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Sat Jun 20 11:00 pm

WNBA - Week 7 of 21

Storm What If?

The Storm What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Storm play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Storm What If?

Next Game - Wings (10‑6)

  Resultant Record Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 2*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 3*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7 8 9
Win Next Game 4 14 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
Current Standings 3 14 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
Lose Next Game 3 15 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
  1*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 2*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 3*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7 8 9
Current Standings <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
Best Case Scenario
None 		Worst Case Scenario
None
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 2*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 3*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7 8 9
27 of 27 100% 30 14 16% 44% 32% 8% 1% <1% <1% <1% ^
26 of 27 96% 29 15 6% 28% 41% 21% 4% <1% <1% <1% ^
25 of 27 93% 28 16 1% 13% 35% 35% 13% 2% <1% <1% <1%
24 of 27 89% 27 17 <1% 4% 19% 38% 30% 9% 1% <1% <1%
23 of 27 85% 26 18 <1% 1% 6% 24% 37% 25% 7% 1% <1%
22 of 27 81% 25 19 <1% <1% 1% 9% 28% 36% 20% 5% <1%
21 of 27 78% 24 20 <1% <1% <1% 2% 11% 31% 35% 18% 4%
20 of 27 74% 23 21 <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 15% 33% 33% 17%
19 of 27 70% 22 22 X <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 18% 35% 44%
18 of 27 67% 21 23 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 5% 21% 73%
17 of 27 63% 20 24 X X X <1% <1% <1% 1% 8% 92%
15 of 27 56% 18 26 X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
10 of 27 37% 13 31 X X X X X X X X 100%
5 of 27 19% 8 36 X X X X X X X X 100%
0 of 27 0% 3 41 X X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • * denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs