The Most Important Games for the Chiefs are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Chiefs final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Chiefs fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Chiefs Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |||
| Falcons (2‑2) vs Ravens (3‑1) |
7 | Falcons Wins | 36% | 14% | 9% | 6% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 10% |
| Current Probabilities | 35% | 15% | 9% | 6% | 12% | 8% | 6% | 10% | ||
| Ravens Wins | 34% | 15% | 9% | 6% | 12% | 8% | 6% | 10% | ||
| Eagles (2‑2) vs Jaguars (3‑1) |
7 | Eagles Wins | 36% | 14% | 8% | 5% | 13% | 8% | 6% | 10% |
| Current Probabilities | 35% | 15% | 9% | 6% | 12% | 8% | 6% | 10% | ||
| Jaguars Wins | 34% | 15% | 9% | 6% | 13% | 8% | 6% | 10% | ||
| Jets (1‑3) vs Browns (3‑1) |
6 | Jets Wins | 37% | 13% | 8% | 5% | 13% | 8% | 6% | 10% |
| Current Probabilities | 35% | 15% | 9% | 6% | 12% | 8% | 6% | 10% | ||
| Browns Wins | 34% | 15% | 9% | 6% | 12% | 8% | 6% | 10% | ||
| Chargers (0‑4) vs Broncos (2‑2) |
6 | Chargers Wins | 35% | 16% | 10% | 7% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 10% |
| Current Probabilities | 35% | 15% | 9% | 6% | 12% | 8% | 6% | 10% | ||
| Broncos Wins | 35% | 14% | 9% | 6% | 13% | 8% | 6% | 10% | ||
| Dolphins (0‑4) vs Bengals (2‑2) |
5 | Dolphins Wins | 36% | 14% | 9% | 6% | 13% | 8% | 6% | 9% |
| Current Probabilities | 35% | 15% | 9% | 6% | 12% | 8% | 6% | 10% | ||
| Bengals Wins | 34% | 15% | 9% | 6% | 13% | 8% | 6% | 10% | ||
| Patriots (2‑2) vs Raiders (3‑1) |
4 | Patriots Wins | 35% | 15% | 10% | 6% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 10% |
| Current Probabilities | 35% | 15% | 9% | 6% | 12% | 8% | 6% | 10% | ||
| Raiders Wins | 35% | 14% | 8% | 5% | 13% | 8% | 6% | 10% | ||
| Steelers (2‑2) vs Colts (2‑2) |
3 | Steelers Wins | 35% | 14% | 9% | 6% | 13% | 8% | 6% | 10% |
| Current Probabilities | 35% | 15% | 9% | 6% | 12% | 8% | 6% | 10% | ||
| Colts Wins | 34% | 14% | 8% | 6% | 13% | 8% | 6% | 10% | ||
| Texans (0‑4) vs Titans (0‑4) |
2 | Texans Wins | 35% | 14% | 9% | 6% | 12% | 8% | 6% | 10% |
| Current Probabilities | 35% | 15% | 9% | 6% | 12% | 8% | 6% | 10% | ||
| Titans Wins | 35% | 14% | 9% | 6% | 13% | 8% | 6% | 10% | ||
| Rams (2‑2) vs Bills (3‑1) |
2 | Rams Wins | 35% | 15% | 8% | 5% | 13% | 8% | 6% | 10% |
| Current Probabilities | 35% | 15% | 9% | 6% | 12% | 8% | 6% | 10% | ||
| Bills Wins | 35% | 14% | 9% | 6% | 12% | 8% | 6% | 10% | ||