The Most Important Games for the UMBC Retrievers are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Retrievers final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. UMBC Retrievers fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
UMBC Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |||
| Binghamton (3‑10) vs NJIT (4‑9) |
1 | Binghamton Wins | 21% | 20% | 15% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 20% | 19% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | ||
| NJIT Wins | 20% | 19% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 4% | 2% | ||
| Bryant (3‑10) vs Maine (1‑13) |
0 | Bryant Wins | 20% | 19% | 16% | 13% | 10% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 20% | 19% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | ||
| Maine Wins | 21% | 20% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | ||
| Vermont (8‑6) vs New Hampshire (4‑8) |
0 | Vermont Wins | 20% | 20% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 20% | 19% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | ||
| New Hampshire Wins | 22% | 18% | 15% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 2% | ||
| Albany (5‑10) vs UMass-LowellUMA-Lowell (5‑9) |
0 | Albany Wins | 21% | 19% | 15% | 12% | 11% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 20% | 19% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | ||
| UMass-LowellUMA-Lowell Wins | 20% | 19% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 4% | 2% | ||