The Most Important Games for the UMBC Retrievers are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Retrievers final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. UMBC Retrievers fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
UMBC Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |||
| UMBC (7‑6) vs Maine (2‑14) |
9 | UMBC Wins | 25% | 22% | 16% | 13% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 24% | 21% | 16% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | ||
| Maine Wins | 18% | 19% | 16% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 2% | ||
| New Hampshire (4‑10) vs NJIT (6‑10) |
1 | New Hampshire Wins | 25% | 21% | 16% | 12% | 9% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 24% | 21% | 16% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | ||
| NJIT Wins | 24% | 20% | 16% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | ||
| Binghamton (4‑12) vs Vermont (9‑7) |
0 | Binghamton Wins | 27% | 20% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 24% | 21% | 16% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | ||
| Vermont Wins | 24% | 21% | 16% | 13% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | ||
| UMass-LowellUMA-Lowell (6‑10) vs Bryant (5‑10) |
0 | UMass-LowellUMA-Lowell Wins | 24% | 21% | 16% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 24% | 21% | 16% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | ||
| Bryant Wins | 24% | 21% | 15% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | ||