The Most Important Games for the UMBC Retrievers are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Retrievers final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. UMBC Retrievers fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
UMBC Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |||
| UMBC (4‑4) vs Bryant (4‑4) |
15 | UMBC Wins | 3% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 14% | 15% | 15% | 12% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 15% | 17% | 18% | ||
| Bryant Wins | 2% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 15% | 19% | 21% | ||
| Albany (4‑3) vs NJIT (1‑5) |
2 | Albany Wins | 3% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 15% | 17% | 17% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 15% | 17% | 18% | ||
| NJIT Wins | 2% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 12% | 14% | 16% | 20% | ||
| Vermont (6‑2) vs Maine (5‑4) |
2 | Vermont Wins | 3% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 13% | 15% | 17% | 17% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 15% | 17% | 18% | ||
| Maine Wins | 3% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 13% | 14% | 17% | 19% | ||
| UMass-LowellUMA-Lowell (5‑1) vs New Hampshire (4‑3) |
1 | UMass-LowellUMA-Lowell Wins | 3% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 15% | 17% | 17% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 15% | 17% | 18% | ||
| New Hampshire Wins | 3% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 13% | 14% | 17% | 18% | ||