The Most Important Games for the UMBC Retrievers are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Retrievers final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. UMBC Retrievers fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
UMBC Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |||
| UMBC (7‑5) vs Binghamton (5‑6) |
12 | UMBC Wins | 9% | 13% | 14% | 15% | 14% | 14% | 11% | 7% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 11% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 9% | 5% | ||
| Binghamton Wins | 5% | 9% | 12% | 13% | 14% | 15% | 15% | 11% | 7% | ||
| Vermont (5‑6) vs New Hampshire (2‑11) |
1 | Vermont Wins | 8% | 11% | 12% | 14% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 9% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 11% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 9% | 5% | ||
| New Hampshire Wins | 8% | 11% | 12% | 14% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 9% | 6% | ||
| Maine (7‑5) vs Bryant (6‑6) |
0 | Maine Wins | 8% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 9% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 11% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 9% | 5% | ||
| Bryant Wins | 8% | 10% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 14% | 13% | 10% | 6% | ||
| Albany (6‑5) vs UMass-LowellUMA-Lowell (7‑4) |
0 | Albany Wins | 8% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 9% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 11% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 9% | 5% | ||
| UMass-LowellUMA-Lowell Wins | 8% | 11% | 13% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 9% | 5% | ||