Where are the UMBC Retrievers going to finish in the regular season standings and be seeded in the post season tournament? The UMBC standings table presents the probabilities of the Retrievers winning different finishing spots. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Record Rcrd | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Wi Schedule Content Number of Wins ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
L | GPi Games Played 16 game season |
1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT |
| Vermont | 6i Vermont Recent Games Won Thu, Jan 19 vs Maine 66-45 Won Sun, Jan 22 vs NJIT 85-69 Won Wed, Jan 25 @ Bingham. 80-55 Won Sat, Jan 28 vs UMBC 74-68 Sat, Feb 04 @ Albany Wed, Feb 08 @ Maine Sat, Feb 11 vs UMass-Lowell Wed, Feb 15 vs New Hampshire |
2 | 8 | 57% | 20% | 11% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Binghamton | 5 Binghamton Recent Games Won Thu, Jan 19 @ Albany 65-54 Lost Sun, Jan 22 @ Maine 57-78 Lost Wed, Jan 25 vs Vermont 55-80 Won Sat, Jan 28 vs Bryant 84-67 Wed, Feb 01 @ UMBC Wed, Feb 08 @ New Hampshire Sat, Feb 11 vs Albany Wed, Feb 15 vs NJIT |
3 | 8 | 4% | 9% | 13% | 16% | 18% | 20% | 14% | 5% | <1% |
| New Hampshire | 5 New Hampshire Recent Games Lost Sat, Jan 14 vs Bryant 81-87 Lost Sat, Jan 21 @ UMBC 69-80 Won Wed, Jan 25 vs Albany 84-65 Won Sat, Jan 28 vs UMass-Lowell 69-65 Wed, Feb 01 @ NJIT Sat, Feb 04 @ Bryant Wed, Feb 08 vs Bingham. Wed, Feb 15 @ Vermont |
3 | 8 | 7% | 12% | 14% | 17% | 18% | 17% | 10% | 4% | <1% |
| UMass-LowellUMA-Lowell | 5 UMass-Lowell Recent Games Won Wed, Jan 18 vs UMBC 81-75 Won Sun, Jan 22 vs Bryant 98-79 Lost Wed, Jan 25 @ Maine 70-75 Lost Sat, Jan 28 @ New Hampshire 65-69 Wed, Feb 01 vs Albany Sat, Feb 04 vs NJIT Mon, Feb 06 @ Hartford Sat, Feb 11 @ Vermont |
4 | 9 | 20% | 26% | 20% | 15% | 11% | 6% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| UMBC | 4 UMBC Recent Games Lost Wed, Jan 18 @ UMass-Lowell 75-81 Won Sat, Jan 21 vs New Hampshire 80-69 Lost Wed, Jan 25 @ NJIT 65-69 Lost Sat, Jan 28 @ Vermont 68-74 Wed, Feb 01 vs Bingham. Sat, Feb 04 @ Maine Wed, Feb 08 vs NJIT Sat, Feb 11 vs Bryant |
4 | 8 | 4% | 16% | 19% | 18% | 17% | 14% | 8% | 4% | <1% |
| Bryant | 4 Bryant Recent Games Won Sat, Jan 14 @ New Hampshire 87-81 Won Thu, Jan 19 vs NJIT 87-75 Lost Sun, Jan 22 @ UMass-Lowell 79-98 Lost Sat, Jan 28 @ Bingham. 67-84 Wed, Feb 01 vs Maine Sat, Feb 04 vs New Hampshire Wed, Feb 08 @ Albany Sat, Feb 11 @ UMBC |
4 | 8 | 7% | 15% | 18% | 19% | 17% | 13% | 8% | 3% | <1% |
| NJIT | 3 NJIT Recent Games Won Sat, Jan 14 vs Albany 74-67 Lost Thu, Jan 19 @ Bryant 75-87 Lost Sun, Jan 22 @ Vermont 69-85 Won Wed, Jan 25 vs UMBC 69-65 Wed, Feb 01 vs New Hampshire Sat, Feb 04 @ UMass-Lowell Wed, Feb 08 @ UMBC Sat, Feb 11 vs Maine |
4 | 7 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 11% | 26% | 39% | 13% |
| Maine | 3 Maine Recent Games Lost Thu, Jan 19 @ Vermont 45-66 Won Sun, Jan 22 vs Bingham. 78-57 Won Wed, Jan 25 vs UMass-Lowell 75-70 Won Sat, Jan 28 @ Albany 72-68 Wed, Feb 01 @ Bryant Sat, Feb 04 vs UMBC Wed, Feb 08 vs Vermont Sat, Feb 11 @ NJIT |
5 | 8 | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 10% | 16% | 28% | 29% | 6% |
| Albany | 1 Albany Recent Games Lost Sat, Jan 14 @ NJIT 67-74 Lost Thu, Jan 19 vs Bingham. 54-65 Lost Wed, Jan 25 @ New Hampshire 65-84 Lost Sat, Jan 28 vs Maine 68-72 Wed, Feb 01 @ UMass-Lowell Sat, Feb 04 vs Vermont Wed, Feb 08 vs Bryant Sat, Feb 11 @ Bingham. |
7 | 8 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 15% | 80% |
| Record | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Opponent | W | L | |
| (2)Binghamton | 5 | 3 | 20% |
| (6)Bryant | 4 | 4 | 17% |
| (3)New Hampshire | 5 | 3 | 17% |
| (4)UMass-LowellUMA-Lowell | 5 | 4 | 13% |
| (8)Maine | 3 | 5 | 13% |
| (7)NJIT | 3 | 4 | 10% |
| (1)Vermont | 6 | 2 | 8% |
| (9)Albany | 1 | 7 | 1% |
| Elimination | <1% | ||
| Week Wk | Opponent | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Vermont (12‑10) |
61‑74 | Home | Sun Jan 1, 1:00 pm |
| 9 | Albany (6‑17) |
92‑83 | Home | Thu Jan 5, 7:00 pm |
| 9 | Bryant (13‑8) |
81‑73 | Away | Sun Jan 8, 1:00 pm |
| 10 | Maine (9‑12) |
85‑77 | Home | Sat Jan 14, 1:00 pm |
| 11 | UMass-LowellUMA-Lowell (17‑6) |
75‑81 | Away | Wed Jan 18 |
| 11 | New Hampshire (10‑10) |
80‑69 | Home | Sat Jan 21, 1:00 pm |
| 12 | NJIT (6‑14) |
65‑69 | Away | Wed Jan 25, 7:00 pm |
| 12 | Vermont (12‑10) |
68‑74 | Away | Sat Jan 28, 1:00 pm |
| 13 | Binghamton (9‑12) |
Home | Wed Feb 1, 7:00 pm | |
| 13 | Maine (9‑12) |
Away | Sat Feb 4, 2:00 pm | |
| 14 | NJIT (6‑14) |
Home | Wed Feb 8, 7:00 pm | |
| 14 | Bryant (13‑8) |
Home | Sat Feb 11, 1:00 pm | |
| 15 | Albany (6‑17) |
Away | Wed Feb 15, 7:00 pm | |
| 15 | New Hampshire (10‑10) |
Away | Sat Feb 18, 1:00 pm | |
| 16 | UMass-LowellUMA-Lowell (17‑6) |
Home | Wed Feb 22, 7:00 pm | |
| 17 | Binghamton (9‑12) |
Away | Tue Feb 28, 7:00 pm |
| Week Wk | Opponent | Conference | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tulane (13‑7) |
American AthleticAm. Athletic | 67‑89 | Away | Mon Nov 7 |
| 1 | PENN ST.-YORK | ‑‑ | 92‑65 | Home | Thu Nov 10 |
| 2 | Princeton (14‑6) |
Ivy LeagueIvy League | 64‑94 | Home | Mon Nov 14 |
| 2 | Lafayette (7‑16) |
Patriot LeaguePatriot League | 71‑63 | Home | Fri Nov 18 |
| 2 | Central Conn. (6‑17) |
NortheastNorth East | 78‑76 | Home | Sun Nov 20 |
| 3 | N.C. Greensboro (13‑8) |
SouthernSouthern | 72‑76 | Away | Tue Nov 22 |
| 3 | Georgetown (6‑15) |
Big EastBig East | 70‑79 | Away | Sat Nov 26 |
| 4 | Coppin St. (5‑17) |
MideasternMid-Eastern | 109‑82 | Home | Wed Nov 30 |
| 4 | Lehigh (12‑8) |
Patriot LeaguePatriot League | 88‑62 | Away | Sat Dec 3 |
| 5 | Columbia (6‑16) |
Ivy LeagueIvy League | 73‑66 | Away | Tue Dec 6, 7:00 pm |
| 5 | Morgan St. (11‑10) |
MideasternMid-Eastern | 75‑63 | Home | Sat Dec 10, 5:30 pm |
| 6 | Loyola-MD (7‑15) |
Patriot LeaguePatriot League | 72‑69 | Away | Tue Dec 13, 7:00 pm |
| 6 | William & Mary (8‑14) |
Colonial AthleticColonial Athl. | 78‑62 | Home | Sun Dec 18, 1:00 pm |
| 8 | Maryland (14‑7) |
Big 10Big 10 | 64‑80 | Away | Thu Dec 29, 7:00 pm |
| 11 | Hartford (5‑17) |
NCAA IndependentsInd. | 87‑62 | Home | Mon Jan 16, 5:00 pm |