The Most Important Games for the Air Force Falcons are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Falcons final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Air Force Falcons fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Air Force Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
9 | 10 | ||||
| Air Force (15‑12‑3) vs Army (11‑14‑5) 2 Games Remaining |
148 | Air Force Sweeps 2 Games | X | 3% | 15% | 23% | 28% | 23% | 8% | ^ | ^ | ^ | |
| Current Probabilities | X | 2% | 8% | 13% | 20% | 26% | 30% | 2% | <1% | ^ | |||
| Army Sweeps 2 Games | X | X | X | <1% | 5% | 20% | 65% | 10% | <1% | ^ | |||
| Robert Morris (10‑17‑3) vs Canisius (15‑13‑2) 2 Games Remaining |
14 | Robert Morris Sweeps 2 Games | X | 1% | 5% | 10% | 29% | 39% | 15% | 2% | <1% | ^ | |
| Current Probabilities | X | 2% | 8% | 13% | 20% | 26% | 30% | 2% | <1% | ^ | |||
| Canisius Sweeps 2 Games | X | 2% | 8% | 14% | 18% | 24% | 33% | 2% | <1% | ^ | |||
| Holy Cross (14‑14‑2) vs Sacred Heart (15‑12‑3) 2 Games Remaining |
14 | Holy Cross Sweeps 2 Games | X | X | 7% | 17% | 29% | 23% | 22% | 2% | <1% | ^ | |
| Current Probabilities | X | 2% | 8% | 13% | 20% | 26% | 30% | 2% | <1% | ^ | |||
| Sacred Heart Sweeps 2 Games | X | 2% | 6% | 13% | 18% | 27% | 31% | 2% | <1% | ^ | |||
| Bentley (17‑9‑5) vs RIT (17‑12‑2) 1 Game Remaining |
6 | Bentley Sweeps 1 Game | X | 3% | 8% | 13% | 19% | 25% | 29% | 2% | <1% | ^ | |
| Current Probabilities | X | 2% | 8% | 13% | 20% | 26% | 30% | 2% | <1% | ^ | |||
| RIT Sweeps 1 Game | X | <1% | 7% | 13% | 21% | 27% | 29% | 2% | <1% | ^ | |||
| Niagara (10‑19‑1) vs Mercyhurst (4‑23‑3) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Niagara Sweeps 1 Game | X | 2% | 8% | 13% | 20% | 26% | 29% | 2% | <1% | ^ | |
| Current Probabilities | X | 2% | 8% | 13% | 20% | 26% | 30% | 2% | <1% | ^ | |||
| Mercyhurst Sweeps 1 Game | X | 2% | 8% | 13% | 20% | 26% | 30% | 2% | ^ | ^ | |||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Air Force Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
9 | 10 | |||
| Air Force (15‑12‑3) vs Army (11‑14‑5) |
77 | Air Force Wins | X | 2% | 11% | 17% | 25% | 26% | 20% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | 2% | 8% | 13% | 20% | 26% | 30% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Army Wins | X | X | 1% | 5% | 14% | 28% | 47% | 4% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Holy Cross (14‑14‑2) vs Sacred Heart (15‑12‑3) |
6 | Holy Cross Wins | X | 1% | 9% | 13% | 21% | 26% | 28% | 2% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | 2% | 8% | 13% | 20% | 26% | 30% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Sacred Heart Wins | X | 2% | 8% | 13% | 18% | 26% | 32% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Bentley (17‑9‑5) vs RIT (17‑12‑2) |
6 | Bentley Wins | X | 3% | 8% | 13% | 19% | 25% | 29% | 2% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | 2% | 8% | 13% | 20% | 26% | 30% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ||
| RIT Wins | X | <1% | 7% | 13% | 21% | 27% | 29% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Robert Morris (10‑17‑3) vs Canisius (15‑13‑2) |
3 | Robert Morris Wins | X | 1% | 7% | 13% | 21% | 29% | 27% | 2% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | 2% | 8% | 13% | 20% | 26% | 30% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Canisius Wins | X | 2% | 9% | 13% | 19% | 23% | 32% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Niagara (10‑19‑1) vs Mercyhurst (4‑23‑3) |
0 | Niagara Wins | X | 2% | 8% | 13% | 20% | 26% | 29% | 2% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | 2% | 8% | 13% | 20% | 26% | 30% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Mercyhurst Wins | X | 2% | 8% | 13% | 20% | 26% | 30% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ||