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Fri Feb 6 10:15 pm

Atlantic Hockey - Week 19 of 22

Robert Morris Colonials Standings

Where are the Robert Morris Colonials going to finish in the regular season standings and be seeded in the post season tournament? The Robert Morris standings table presents the probabilities of the Colonials winning different finishing spots. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Atlantic Hockey Standings
Record Regular Season Finish
Team WRi
Schedule Content
Wins in Regulation
-----
Hover/Touch Content
Recent Games
WOSi
Wins in OT and SO
LOSi
Loses in OT and SO
LRi
Loses in Regulation
GPi
Games Played
26 game season
Ptsi
Pts = 3*WR + 2*WOS + 1*LOS + 0*LR
1*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantange
2*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantange
3*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantange
4*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantange
5**
First Round Bye
6**
First Round Bye
7***
First Round Home Field
Advantange
8***
First Round Home Field
Advantange
9 10
Bentley 13i
Bentley Recent Games

Won  Fri, Jan 30 @  Robert Morris 5-0
Lost Sat, Jan 31 @  Robert Morris 3-3

Won  Fri, Feb 06 @  Holy Cross    4-2

     Sat, Feb 07 vs Holy Cross    

2 2 2 19 45 93% 5% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
RIT 10
RIT Recent Games

Won  Fri, Jan 30 @  Mercy.        2-2
Won  Sat, Jan 31 @  Mercy.        3-1

Lost Fri, Feb 06 @  Army          2-6
     Sat, Feb 07 @  Army          

     Tue, Feb 10 vs Niagara       

3 1 7 21 37 1% 28% 23% 19% 15% 9% 4% <1% <1% ^
Holy Cross 9
Holy Cross Recent Games

Lost Thu, Jan 29 vs Army          2-3
Won  Fri, Jan 30 vs Army          3-0

Lost Fri, Feb 06 vs Bentley       2-4

     Sat, Feb 07 @  Bentley       

2 2 6 19 33 <1% 13% 11% 13% 15% 20% 27% 1% <1% ^
Sacred Heart 9
Sacred Heart Recent Games

Lost Fri, Jan 30 @  Air Force     2-5
Lost Sat, Jan 31 @  Air Force     0-2

Won  Fri, Feb 06 vs Mercy.        5-1
     Sat, Feb 07 vs Mercy.        

     Fri, Feb 13 @  Bentley       
     Sat, Feb 14 @  Bentley       

2 2 6 19 33 4% 22% 19% 18% 16% 13% 6% 1% <1% ^
Robert Morris 8
Robert Morris Recent Games

Lost Fri, Jan 30 vs Bentley       0-5
Won  Sat, Jan 31 vs Bentley       3-3

Won  Fri, Feb 06 vs Canisius      1-0
     Sat, Feb 07 vs Canisius      

     Fri, Feb 13 @  Niagara       

2 2 7 19 30 <1% 4% 8% 12% 16% 25% 28% 5% 1% <1%
Air Force 8
Air Force Recent Games

Won  Fri, Jan 30 vs Sacred Heart  5-2
Won  Sat, Jan 31 vs Sacred Heart  2-0

Won  Fri, Feb 06 @  Niagara       2-1
     Sat, Feb 07 @  Niagara       

     Fri, Feb 13 vs Mercy.        
     Sat, Feb 14 vs Mercy.        

2 2 7 19 30 2% 15% 20% 21% 20% 14% 8% 1% <1% <1%
Canisius 8
Canisius Recent Games

Won  Sat, Jan 31 @  Niagara       4-3

Lost Fri, Feb 06 @  Robert Morris 0-1
     Sat, Feb 07 @  Robert Morris 

     Fri, Feb 13 vs Holy Cross    
     Sat, Feb 14 vs Holy Cross    

3 0 8 19 30 <1% 13% 16% 17% 17% 17% 18% 2% <1% <1%
Army 4
Army Recent Games

Won  Thu, Jan 29 @  Holy Cross    3-2
Lost Fri, Jan 30 @  Holy Cross    0-3

Won  Fri, Feb 06 vs RIT           6-2
     Sat, Feb 07 vs RIT           

     Tue, Feb 10 @  Bentley       

3 3 10 20 21 X <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 43% 52% 1%
Niagara 4
Niagara Recent Games

Lost Sat, Jan 31 vs Canisius      3-4

Lost Fri, Feb 06 vs Air Force     1-2
     Sat, Feb 07 vs Air Force     

     Tue, Feb 10 @  RIT           

1 4 9 18 18 X <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 5% 47% 43% 4%
Mercyhurst 3
Mercyhurst Recent Games

Lost Fri, Jan 30 vs RIT           2-2
Lost Sat, Jan 31 vs RIT           1-3

Lost Fri, Feb 06 @  Sacred Heart  1-5
     Sat, Feb 07 @  Sacred Heart  

     Fri, Feb 13 @  Air Force     
     Sat, Feb 14 @  Air Force     

0 2 14 19 11 X X X X X <1% <1% <1% 4% 95%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • * denotes first round bye and second round home field advantage in the post season conference tournament
  • ** denotes first round bye in the post season conference tournament
  • *** denotes first round home field advantage in the post season conference tournament


(5) Colonials 1st Round Playoff Matchup Probabilities
Record Total Home
(33%)
Away
(1%)
Opponent WRi
Wins in Regulation
WOSi
Wins in OT and SO
LOSi
Losses in OT and SO
LRi
Losses in Regulation
Ptsi
Pts = 3*WR + 2*WOS + 1*LOS + 0*LR
Bye 66%
(10)Mercyhurst 3 0 2 14 11 27% 27% <1%
(8)Army 4 3 3 10 21 4% 4% <1%
(9)Niagara 4 1 4 9 18 3% 3% <1%
(6)Air Force 8 2 2 7 30 <1% <1% <1%
(4)Sacred Heart 9 2 2 6 33 <1% <1% <1%
(2)RIT 10 3 1 7 37 <1% <1% <1%
(3)Holy Cross 9 2 2 6 33 <1% <1% <1%
(7)Canisius 8 3 0 8 30 <1% <1% <1%
(1)Bentley 13 2 2 2 45 <1% X <1%
Elimination X



Colonials Conference Schedule
Current Week 19
Week Wk Opponent Score Home / Away Date / Time (ET)
5 Niagara
(8‑17‑1)
4‑2 Home Fri Oct 31, 7:00 pm
5 Niagara
(8‑17‑1)
4‑3 Away Sat Nov 1, 6:00 pm
7 RIT
(15‑12‑2)
1‑2 Home Fri Nov 14, 7:00 pm
7 RIT
(15‑12‑2)
2‑3 Home Sat Nov 15, 7:00 pm
9 Mercyhurst
(3‑22‑2)
3‑1 Away Fri Nov 28, 7:00 pm
9 Mercyhurst
(3‑22‑2)
1‑1 (SO) Home Sat Nov 29, 7:00 pm
10 Air Force
(14‑11‑2)
1‑4 Away Fri Dec 5, 9:05 pm
10 Air Force
(14‑11‑2)
6‑3 Away Sat Dec 6, 7:05 pm
14 Sacred Heart
(14‑10‑3)
2‑5 Away Tue Dec 30, 4:00 pm
14 Sacred Heart
(14‑10‑3)
1‑3 Home Sat Jan 3, 4:00 pm
15 RIT
(15‑12‑2)
1‑4 Away Fri Jan 9, 7:05 pm
15 RIT
(15‑12‑2)
2‑3 (OT) Away Sat Jan 10, 5:05 pm
16 Army
(11‑12‑5)
2‑3 (OT) Away Fri Jan 16, 7:00 pm
16 Army
(11‑12‑5)
3‑0 Away Sat Jan 17, 4:00 pm
17 Holy Cross
(12‑13‑2)
5‑2 Home Fri Jan 23, 7:00 pm
17 Holy Cross
(12‑13‑2)
1‑0 Home Sat Jan 24, 7:00 pm
18 Bentley
(15‑7‑5)
0‑5 Home Fri Jan 30, 7:00 pm
18 Bentley
(15‑7‑5)
3‑3 (SO) Home Sat Jan 31, 7:00 pm
19 Canisius
(14‑11‑2)
1‑0 Home Fri Feb 6, 7:00 pm
19 Canisius
(14‑11‑2)
  Home Sat Feb 7, 7:00 pm
20 Niagara
(8‑17‑1)
  Away Fri Feb 13, 6:00 pm
20 Niagara
(8‑17‑1)
  Home Sat Feb 14, 7:00 pm
21 Canisius
(14‑11‑2)
  Away Fri Feb 20, 7:00 pm
21 Canisius
(14‑11‑2)
  Away Sat Feb 21, 4:00 pm
22 Mercyhurst
(3‑22‑2)
  Away Fri Feb 27, 7:00 pm
22 Mercyhurst
(3‑22‑2)
  Home Sat Feb 28, 7:00 pm


Colonials Nonconference Schedule
Week Wk Opponent Conference Score Home / Away Date / Time (ET)
3 Michigan
(23‑4)
Big 10Big 10 2‑4 Away Thu Oct 16
3 Michigan
(23‑4)
Big 10Big 10 2‑10 Away Fri Oct 17
4 Notre Dame
(5‑19‑3)
Big 10Big 10 3‑6 Away Fri Oct 24, 7:00 pm
4 Notre Dame
(5‑19‑3)
Big 10Big 10 2‑2 (OT) Away Sat Oct 25, 6:00 pm
6 Long Island
(10‑14‑1)
NCAA IndependentsInd. 3‑6 Home Fri Nov 7, 7:00 pm
6 Long Island
(10‑14‑1)
NCAA IndependentsInd. 0‑2 Home Sat Nov 8, 7:00 pm
8 Lindenwood
(13‑12)
NCAA IndependentsInd. 2‑6 Away Fri Nov 21, 8:00 pm
8 Lindenwood
(13‑12)
NCAA IndependentsInd. 3‑5 Away Sat Nov 22, 7:00 pm