Where are the Air Force Falcons going to finish in the regular season standings and be seeded in the post season tournament? The Air Force standings table presents the probabilities of the Falcons winning different finishing spots. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Record | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | WRi Schedule Content Wins in Regulation ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
WOSi Wins in OT and SO |
LOSi Loses in OT and SO |
LRi Loses in Regulation |
GPi Games Played 26 game season |
Ptsi Pts = 3*WR + 2*WOS + 1*LOS + 0*LR |
1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT |
| RIT | 13i RIT Recent Games Won Fri, Jan 20 @ Arizona St. 5-1 Won Sat, Jan 21 @ Arizona St. 5-3 Won Fri, Jan 27 @ Holy Cross 4-3 Lost Sat, Jan 28 @ Holy Cross 3-4 Fri, Feb 03 @ Canisius |
1 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 44 | 92% | 8% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Sacred Heart | 10 Sacred Heart Recent Games Lost Fri, Jan 27 @ Quinnipiac 0-5 Won Sat, Jan 28 @ Yale 4-3 Thu, Feb 02 @ Amer. Int'l |
3 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 36 | 7% | 70% | 17% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| American Int'l | 8 American Int'l Recent Games Won Tue, Jan 17 @ Army 2-1 Lost Fri, Jan 20 @ Mercy. 1-4 Won Sat, Jan 21 @ Mercy. 2-1 Thu, Feb 02 vs Sacred Heart |
3 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 31 | <1% | 21% | 47% | 19% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Mercyhurst | 7 Mercyhurst Recent Games Won Fri, Jan 20 vs Amer. Int'l 4-1 Lost Sat, Jan 21 vs Amer. Int'l 1-2 Won Fri, Jan 27 vs Bentley 4-3 Lost Sat, Jan 28 vs Bentley 3-5 Fri, Feb 03 @ Air Force Sat, Feb 04 @ Air Force |
1 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 28 | <1% | 1% | 13% | 24% | 25% | 18% | 11% | 6% | 2% |
| Niagara | 7 Niagara Recent Games Lost Fri, Jan 20 @ Air Force 3-6 Won Sat, Jan 21 @ Air Force 2-1 Lost Fri, Jan 27 @ Canisius 2-5 Won Sat, Jan 28 @ Canisius 5-2 Fri, Feb 03 vs Army Sat, Feb 04 vs Army |
2 | 0 | 9 | 18 | 25 | <1% | <1% | 13% | 28% | 23% | 18% | 11% | 6% | 2% |
| Holy Cross | 6 Holy Cross Recent Games Lost Fri, Jan 20 @ Sacred Heart 2-2 Lost Sat, Jan 21 @ Sacred Heart 1-4 Lost Fri, Jan 27 vs RIT 3-4 Won Sat, Jan 28 vs RIT 4-3 Fri, Feb 03 @ Bentley Sat, Feb 04 @ Bentley |
2 | 2 | 8 | 18 | 24 | <1% | <1% | 4% | 12% | 20% | 25% | 19% | 14% | 7% |
| Army | 6 Army Recent Games Lost Tue, Jan 17 vs Amer. Int'l 1-2 Won Fri, Jan 27 vs Air Force 3-1 Lost Sat, Jan 28 vs Air Force 4-6 Fri, Feb 03 @ Niagara Sat, Feb 04 @ Niagara |
1 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 23 | <1% | <1% | 3% | 8% | 12% | 19% | 27% | 21% | 10% |
| Canisius | 4 Canisius Recent Games Won Fri, Jan 20 @ Bentley 5-1 Lost Sat, Jan 21 @ Bentley 2-2 Won Fri, Jan 27 vs Niagara 5-2 Lost Sat, Jan 28 vs Niagara 2-5 Fri, Feb 03 vs RIT |
3 | 2 | 7 | 16 | 20 | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 10% | 15% | 21% | 30% | 17% |
| Bentley | 5 Bentley Recent Games Lost Fri, Jan 20 vs Canisius 1-5 Won Sat, Jan 21 vs Canisius 2-2 Lost Fri, Jan 27 @ Mercy. 3-4 Won Sat, Jan 28 @ Mercy. 5-3 Fri, Feb 03 vs Holy Cross Sat, Feb 04 vs Holy Cross |
1 | 0 | 12 | 18 | 17 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 15% | 75% |
| Air Force | 4 Air Force Recent Games Won Fri, Jan 20 vs Niagara 6-3 Lost Sat, Jan 21 vs Niagara 1-2 Lost Fri, Jan 27 @ Army 1-3 Won Sat, Jan 28 @ Army 6-4 Fri, Feb 03 vs Mercy. Sat, Feb 04 vs Mercy. |
0 | 1 | 11 | 16 | 13 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 87% |
| Record | Total | Home (<1%) |
Away (13%) |
|||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Opponent | WRi Wins in Regulation |
WOSi Wins in OT and SO |
LOSi Losses in OT and SO |
LRi Losses in Regulation |
Ptsi Pts = 3*WR + 2*WOS + 1*LOS + 0*LR |
|||
| (1)RIT | 13 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 44 | 8% | <1% | 8% |
| (2)Sacred Heart | 10 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 36 | 3% | <1% | 3% |
| (3)American Int'l | 8 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 31 | 1% | <1% | 1% |
| (5)Niagara | 7 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 25 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| (4)Mercyhurst | 7 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 28 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| (6)Holy Cross | 6 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 24 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| (7)Army | 6 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 23 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| (8)Canisius | 4 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 20 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| (9)Bentley | 5 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 17 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Elimination | 87% | |||||||
| Week Wk | Opponent | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | RIT (18‑7‑1) |
3‑2 | Home | Thu Oct 20 |
| 4 | RIT (18‑7‑1) |
2‑4 | Home | Fri Oct 21 |
| 7 | Bentley (8‑17‑1) |
1‑5 | Home | Fri Nov 11 |
| 7 | Bentley (8‑17‑1) |
2‑0 | Home | Sat Nov 12 |
| 8 | American Int'l (13‑10‑5) |
3‑3 (SO) | Away | Sat Nov 19 |
| 8 | American Int'l (13‑10‑5) |
1‑3 | Away | Sun Nov 20 |
| 9 | Mercyhurst (8‑15‑3) |
3‑5 | Away | Fri Nov 25 |
| 9 | Mercyhurst (8‑15‑3) |
2‑4 | Away | Sat Nov 26 |
| 10 | Holy Cross (8‑15‑3) |
1‑4 | Home | Fri Dec 2 |
| 10 | Holy Cross (8‑15‑3) |
1‑2 | Home | Sat Dec 3 |
| 16 | Holy Cross (8‑15‑3) |
2‑5 | Away | Fri Jan 13, 7:05 pm |
| 16 | Holy Cross (8‑15‑3) |
1‑4 | Away | Sun Jan 15, 4:05 pm |
| 17 | Niagara (13‑11‑2) |
6‑3 | Home | Fri Jan 20, 9:05 pm |
| 17 | Niagara (13‑11‑2) |
1‑2 | Home | Sat Jan 21, 7:05 pm |
| 18 | Army (8‑14‑3) |
1‑3 | Away | Fri Jan 27, 7:00 pm |
| 18 | Army (8‑14‑3) |
6‑4 | Away | Sat Jan 28, 4:00 pm |
| 19 | Mercyhurst (8‑15‑3) |
Home | Fri Feb 3, 7:00 pm | |
| 19 | Mercyhurst (8‑15‑3) |
Home | Sat Feb 4, 5:00 pm | |
| 20 | Sacred Heart (13‑10‑2) |
Away | Fri Feb 10, 7:00 pm | |
| 20 | Sacred Heart (13‑10‑2) |
Away | Sat Feb 11, 7:00 pm | |
| 21 | Canisius (8‑13‑3) |
Home | Mon Feb 13, 9:00 pm | |
| 21 | Canisius (8‑13‑3) |
Home | Tue Feb 14, 9:00 pm | |
| 21 | American Int'l (13‑10‑5) |
Home | Fri Feb 17, 9:05 pm | |
| 21 | American Int'l (13‑10‑5) |
Home | Sat Feb 18, 7:05 pm | |
| 22 | RIT (18‑7‑1) |
Away | Fri Feb 24, 7:05 pm | |
| 22 | RIT (18‑7‑1) |
Away | Sat Feb 25, 5:05 pm |
| Week Wk | Opponent | Conference | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Maine (11‑12‑2) |
EastEast | 1‑4 | Home | Fri Oct 7 |
| 2 | Notre Dame (13‑12‑3) |
Big 10Big 10 | 5‑5 (OT) | Home | Sat Oct 8 |
| 3 | Lindenwood (5‑17) |
NCAA IndependentsInd. | 6‑7 | Away | Fri Oct 14 |
| 3 | Lindenwood (5‑17) |
NCAA IndependentsInd. | 5‑3 | Away | Sat Oct 15 |
| 5 | Colorado College (10‑14‑1) |
NCHCNCHC | 0‑8 | Away | Fri Oct 28 |
| 5 | Colorado College (10‑14‑1) |
NCHCNCHC | 6‑3 | Home | Sat Oct 29 |
| 6 | Anchorage (4‑15) |
NCAA IndependentsInd. | 5‑3 | Home | Fri Nov 4 |
| 6 | Anchorage (4‑15) |
NCAA IndependentsInd. | 3‑1 | Home | Sat Nov 5 |
| 15 | Boston University (19‑6) |
EastEast | 1‑5 | Home | Fri Jan 6, 5:30 pm |
| 15 | Arizona St. (13‑16) |
NCAA IndependentsInd. | 0‑2 | Away | Sat Jan 7, 9:00 pm |