PlayoffStatus.com

Sat Jan 28 11:45 pm

Atlantic Hockey - Week 19 of 22

Air Force Falcons Standings

Where are the Air Force Falcons going to finish in the regular season standings and be seeded in the post season tournament? The Air Force standings table presents the probabilities of the Falcons winning different finishing spots. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Atlantic Hockey Standings
Record Regular Season Finish
Team WRi
Schedule Content
Wins in Regulation
-----
Hover/Touch Content
Recent Games
WOSi
Wins in OT and SO
LOSi
Loses in OT and SO
LRi
Loses in Regulation
GPi
Games Played
26 game season
Ptsi
Pts = 3*WR + 2*WOS + 1*LOS + 0*LR
1*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
2*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
3*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7 8 NT
RIT 13i
RIT Recent Games

Won  Fri, Jan 20 @  Arizona St.  5-1
Won  Sat, Jan 21 @  Arizona St.  5-3

Won  Fri, Jan 27 @  Holy Cross   4-3
Lost Sat, Jan 28 @  Holy Cross   3-4

     Fri, Feb 03 @  Canisius     

1 3 1 18 44 92% 8% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Sacred Heart 10
Sacred Heart Recent Games

Lost Fri, Jan 27 @  Quinnipiac   0-5

Won  Sat, Jan 28 @  Yale         4-3

     Thu, Feb 02 @  Amer. Int'l  

3 0 4 17 36 7% 70% 17% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
American Int'l 8
American Int'l Recent Games

Won  Tue, Jan 17 @  Army         2-1

Lost Fri, Jan 20 @  Mercy.       1-4
Won  Sat, Jan 21 @  Mercy.       2-1

     Thu, Feb 02 vs Sacred Heart 

3 1 6 18 31 <1% 21% 47% 19% 8% 3% 1% <1% <1%
Mercyhurst 7
Mercyhurst Recent Games

Won  Fri, Jan 20 vs Amer. Int'l  4-1
Lost Sat, Jan 21 vs Amer. Int'l  1-2

Won  Fri, Jan 27 vs Bentley      4-3
Lost Sat, Jan 28 vs Bentley      3-5

     Fri, Feb 03 @  Air Force    
     Sat, Feb 04 @  Air Force    

1 5 5 18 28 <1% 1% 13% 24% 25% 18% 11% 6% 2%
Niagara 7
Niagara Recent Games

Lost Fri, Jan 20 @  Air Force    3-6
Won  Sat, Jan 21 @  Air Force    2-1

Lost Fri, Jan 27 @  Canisius     2-5
Won  Sat, Jan 28 @  Canisius     5-2

     Fri, Feb 03 vs Army         
     Sat, Feb 04 vs Army         

2 0 9 18 25 <1% <1% 13% 28% 23% 18% 11% 6% 2%
Holy Cross 6
Holy Cross Recent Games

Lost Fri, Jan 20 @  Sacred Heart 2-2
Lost Sat, Jan 21 @  Sacred Heart 1-4

Lost Fri, Jan 27 vs RIT          3-4
Won  Sat, Jan 28 vs RIT          4-3

     Fri, Feb 03 @  Bentley      
     Sat, Feb 04 @  Bentley      

2 2 8 18 24 <1% <1% 4% 12% 20% 25% 19% 14% 7%
Army 6
Army Recent Games

Lost Tue, Jan 17 vs Amer. Int'l  1-2

Won  Fri, Jan 27 vs Air Force    3-1
Lost Sat, Jan 28 vs Air Force    4-6

     Fri, Feb 03 @  Niagara      
     Sat, Feb 04 @  Niagara      

1 3 7 17 23 <1% <1% 3% 8% 12% 19% 27% 21% 10%
Canisius 4
Canisius Recent Games

Won  Fri, Jan 20 @  Bentley      5-1
Lost Sat, Jan 21 @  Bentley      2-2

Won  Fri, Jan 27 vs Niagara      5-2
Lost Sat, Jan 28 vs Niagara      2-5

     Fri, Feb 03 vs RIT          

3 2 7 16 20 <1% <1% 2% 5% 10% 15% 21% 30% 17%
 
Bentley 5
Bentley Recent Games

Lost Fri, Jan 20 vs Canisius     1-5
Won  Sat, Jan 21 vs Canisius     2-2

Lost Fri, Jan 27 @  Mercy.       3-4
Won  Sat, Jan 28 @  Mercy.       5-3

     Fri, Feb 03 vs Holy Cross   
     Sat, Feb 04 vs Holy Cross   

1 0 12 18 17 X <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 6% 15% 75%
Air Force 4
Air Force Recent Games

Won  Fri, Jan 20 vs Niagara      6-3
Lost Sat, Jan 21 vs Niagara      1-2

Lost Fri, Jan 27 @  Army         1-3
Won  Sat, Jan 28 @  Army         6-4

     Fri, Feb 03 vs Mercy.       
     Sat, Feb 04 vs Mercy.       

0 1 11 16 13 X <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 8% 87%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • * denotes first round home field advantage in the post season conference tournament


(10) Falcons 1st Round Playoff Matchup Probabilities
Record Total Home
(<1%)
Away
(13%)
Opponent WRi
Wins in Regulation
WOSi
Wins in OT and SO
LOSi
Losses in OT and SO
LRi
Losses in Regulation
Ptsi
Pts = 3*WR + 2*WOS + 1*LOS + 0*LR
(1)RIT 13 1 3 1 44 8% <1% 8%
(2)Sacred Heart 10 3 0 4 36 3% <1% 3%
(3)American Int'l 8 3 1 6 31 1% <1% 1%
(5)Niagara 7 2 0 9 25 <1% <1% <1%
(4)Mercyhurst 7 1 5 5 28 <1% <1% <1%
(6)Holy Cross 6 2 2 8 24 <1% <1% <1%
(7)Army 6 1 3 7 23 <1% <1% <1%
(8)Canisius 4 3 2 7 20 <1% <1% <1%
(9)Bentley 5 1 0 12 17 <1% <1% <1%
Elimination 87%



Falcons Conference Schedule
Current Week 19
Week Wk Opponent Score Home / Away Date / Time (ET)
4 RIT
(18‑7‑1)
3‑2 Home Thu Oct 20
4 RIT
(18‑7‑1)
2‑4 Home Fri Oct 21
7 Bentley
(8‑17‑1)
1‑5 Home Fri Nov 11
7 Bentley
(8‑17‑1)
2‑0 Home Sat Nov 12
8 American Int'l
(13‑10‑5)
3‑3 (SO) Away Sat Nov 19
8 American Int'l
(13‑10‑5)
1‑3 Away Sun Nov 20
9 Mercyhurst
(8‑15‑3)
3‑5 Away Fri Nov 25
9 Mercyhurst
(8‑15‑3)
2‑4 Away Sat Nov 26
10 Holy Cross
(8‑15‑3)
1‑4 Home Fri Dec 2
10 Holy Cross
(8‑15‑3)
1‑2 Home Sat Dec 3
16 Holy Cross
(8‑15‑3)
2‑5 Away Fri Jan 13, 7:05 pm
16 Holy Cross
(8‑15‑3)
1‑4 Away Sun Jan 15, 4:05 pm
17 Niagara
(13‑11‑2)
6‑3 Home Fri Jan 20, 9:05 pm
17 Niagara
(13‑11‑2)
1‑2 Home Sat Jan 21, 7:05 pm
18 Army
(8‑14‑3)
1‑3 Away Fri Jan 27, 7:00 pm
18 Army
(8‑14‑3)
6‑4 Away Sat Jan 28, 4:00 pm
19 Mercyhurst
(8‑15‑3)
  Home Fri Feb 3, 7:00 pm
19 Mercyhurst
(8‑15‑3)
  Home Sat Feb 4, 5:00 pm
20 Sacred Heart
(13‑10‑2)
  Away Fri Feb 10, 7:00 pm
20 Sacred Heart
(13‑10‑2)
  Away Sat Feb 11, 7:00 pm
21 Canisius
(8‑13‑3)
  Home Mon Feb 13, 9:00 pm
21 Canisius
(8‑13‑3)
  Home Tue Feb 14, 9:00 pm
21 American Int'l
(13‑10‑5)
  Home Fri Feb 17, 9:05 pm
21 American Int'l
(13‑10‑5)
  Home Sat Feb 18, 7:05 pm
22 RIT
(18‑7‑1)
  Away Fri Feb 24, 7:05 pm
22 RIT
(18‑7‑1)
  Away Sat Feb 25, 5:05 pm


Falcons Nonconference Schedule
Week Wk Opponent Conference Score Home / Away Date / Time (ET)
2 Maine
(11‑12‑2)
EastEast 1‑4 Home Fri Oct 7
2 Notre Dame
(13‑12‑3)
Big 10Big 10 5‑5 (OT) Home Sat Oct 8
3 Lindenwood
(5‑17)
NCAA IndependentsInd. 6‑7 Away Fri Oct 14
3 Lindenwood
(5‑17)
NCAA IndependentsInd. 5‑3 Away Sat Oct 15
5 Colorado College
(10‑14‑1)
NCHCNCHC 0‑8 Away Fri Oct 28
5 Colorado College
(10‑14‑1)
NCHCNCHC 6‑3 Home Sat Oct 29
6 Anchorage
(4‑15)
NCAA IndependentsInd. 5‑3 Home Fri Nov 4
6 Anchorage
(4‑15)
NCAA IndependentsInd. 3‑1 Home Sat Nov 5
15 Boston University
(19‑6)
EastEast 1‑5 Home Fri Jan 6, 5:30 pm
15 Arizona St.
(13‑16)
NCAA IndependentsInd. 0‑2 Away Sat Jan 7, 9:00 pm