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Sun Oct 25 3:15 am

Atlantic Hockey - Week 5 of 22

Air Force Falcons Standings

Where are the Air Force Falcons going to finish in the regular season standings and be seeded in the post season tournament? The Air Force standings table presents the probabilities of the Falcons winning different finishing spots. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Atlantic Hockey Standings
Record Regular Season Finish
Team WRi
Schedule Content
Wins in Regulation
-----
Hover/Touch Content
Recent Games
WOSi
Wins in OT and SO
LOSi
Loses in OT and SO
LRi
Loses in Regulation
GPi
Games Played
24 game season
Ptsi
Pts = 3*WR + 2*WOS + 1*LOS + 0*LR
1*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantange
2*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantange
3*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantange
4*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Field Advantange
5**
First Round Bye
6**
First Round Bye
7**
First Round Bye
8***
First Round Home Field
Advantange
9
Army 2i
Army Recent Games

Won  Sat, Oct 17 @  Holy Cross    5-2
Won  Sun, Oct 18 @  Holy Cross    3-1

Won  Fri, Oct 23 @  Quinnipiac    4-3

     Fri, Oct 30 vs RIT           
     Sat, Oct 31 vs RIT           

0 0 0 2 6 51% 18% 12% 9% 6% 3% 1% <1% <1%
Bentley 2
Bentley Recent Games

Lost Fri, Oct 16 @  North Dakota  0-5
Lost Sat, Oct 17 @  North Dakota  0-5

Won  Fri, Oct 23 vs Robert Morris 5-0
Won  Sat, Oct 24 vs Robert Morris 5-1

     Fri, Oct 30 @  Holy Cross    

0 0 0 2 6 13% 15% 13% 12% 12% 12% 11% 9% 4%
Niagara 1
Niagara Recent Games

Won  Fri, Oct 16 @  B. Green      3-2
Won  Sat, Oct 17 @  B. Green      2-1

Lost Fri, Oct 23 vs Union         1-4
Won  Sat, Oct 24 vs Union         5-4

     Fri, Oct 30 @  Clarkson      
     Sat, Oct 31 @  Clarkson      

0 0 1 2 3 14% 19% 14% 12% 11% 10% 9% 7% 3%
RIT 1
RIT Recent Games

Lost Sat, Oct 17 vs Michigan State 1-5

Lost Fri, Oct 23 vs Rensselaer    1-4
Won  Sat, Oct 24 vs Rensselaer    5-4

     Fri, Oct 30 @  Army          
     Sat, Oct 31 @  Army          

0 0 1 2 3 6% 11% 12% 12% 12% 13% 13% 12% 9%
Sacred Heart 1
Sacred Heart Recent Games

Lost Fri, Oct 23 @  Holy Cross    1-3

Won  Sat, Oct 24 vs Holy Cross    4-3

     Fri, Oct 30 @  Cornell       
     Sat, Oct 31 @  Cornell       

0 0 1 2 3 7% 11% 13% 13% 12% 12% 12% 11% 8%
Holy Cross 1
Holy Cross Recent Games

Won  Fri, Oct 23 vs Sacred Heart  3-1

Lost Sat, Oct 24 @  Sacred Heart  3-4

     Fri, Oct 30 vs Bentley       

0 0 3 4 3 2% 10% 12% 13% 13% 13% 13% 13% 10%
Canisius 0
Canisius Recent Games

Won  Fri, Oct 16 @  Clarkson      4-3
Lost Sat, Oct 17 @  Clarkson      0-5

Lost Fri, Oct 23 @  Penn State    1-5
Lost Sat, Oct 24 @  Penn State    2-3

     Fri, Nov 06 @  Sacred Heart  
     Sat, Nov 07 @  Sacred Heart  

0 0 0 0 0 3% 8% 10% 10% 11% 12% 13% 15% 18%
Air Force 0
Air Force Recent Games

Lost Fri, Oct 23 @  Colorado College 2-6

Lost Sat, Oct 24 vs Colorado College 0-4

     Fri, Oct 30 @  Robert Morris 
     Sat, Oct 31 @  Robert Morris 

0 0 0 0 0 2% 5% 7% 10% 11% 12% 13% 17% 23%
Robert Morris 0
Robert Morris Recent Games

Won  Tue, Oct 20 @  Penn State    5-2

Lost Fri, Oct 23 @  Bentley       0-5
Lost Sat, Oct 24 @  Bentley       1-5

     Fri, Oct 30 vs Air Force     
     Sat, Oct 31 vs Air Force     

0 0 2 2 0 1% 4% 7% 10% 11% 12% 13% 16% 25%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • * denotes first round bye and second round home field advantage in the post season conference tournament
  • ** denotes first round bye in the post season conference tournament
  • *** denotes first round home field advantage in the post season conference tournament


(8) Falcons 1st Round Playoff Matchup Probabilities
Record Total Home
(17%)
Away
(23%)
Opponent WRi
Wins in Regulation
WOSi
Wins in OT and SO
LOSi
Losses in OT and SO
LRi
Losses in Regulation
Ptsi
Pts = 3*WR + 2*WOS + 1*LOS + 0*LR
Bye 60%
(9)Robert Morris 0 0 0 2 0 10% 5% 5%
(7)Canisius 0 0 0 0 0 10% 4% 5%
(5)Sacred Heart 1 0 0 1 3 5% 2% 4%
(4)RIT 1 0 0 1 3 5% 2% 3%
(6)Holy Cross 1 0 0 3 3 4% 2% 3%
(2)Bentley 2 0 0 0 6 3% 1% 2%
(3)Niagara 1 0 0 1 3 2% 1% 1%
(1)Army 2 0 0 0 6 <1% <1% <1%



Falcons Conference Schedule
Current Week 5
Week Wk Opponent Score Home / Away Date / Time (ET)
5 Robert Morris
(1‑6)
  Away Fri Oct 30, 7:00 pm
5 Robert Morris
(1‑6)
  Away Sat Oct 31, 7:00 pm
6 Army
(3‑1)
  Home Fri Nov 6, 9:05 pm
6 Army
(3‑1)
  Home Sat Nov 7, 7:05 pm
7 Bentley
(3‑3)
  Home Thu Nov 12, 9:05 pm
7 Bentley
(3‑3)
  Home Fri Nov 13, 9:05 pm
9 Holy Cross
(3‑5)
  Away Fri Nov 27, 7:00 pm
9 Holy Cross
(3‑5)
  Away Sat Nov 28, 5:00 pm
10 Niagara
(4‑4)
  Home Fri Dec 4, 9:05 pm
10 Niagara
(4‑4)
  Home Sat Dec 5, 7:05 pm
15 Sacred Heart
(3‑3)
  Away Fri Jan 8, 7:00 pm
15 Sacred Heart
(3‑3)
  Away Sat Jan 9, 5:00 pm
16 RIT
(2‑4‑1)
  Home Fri Jan 15, 9:05 pm
16 RIT
(2‑4‑1)
  Home Sat Jan 16, 7:05 pm
17 Niagara
(4‑4)
  Away Fri Jan 22, 7:00 pm
17 Niagara
(4‑4)
  Away Sat Jan 23, 6:00 pm
19 Canisius
(3‑4‑1)
  Away Fri Feb 5, 7:00 pm
19 Canisius
(3‑4‑1)
  Away Sat Feb 6, 4:00 pm
20 Holy Cross
(3‑5)
  Home Fri Feb 12, 9:05 pm
20 Holy Cross
(3‑5)
  Home Sat Feb 13, 7:05 pm
21 Army
(3‑1)
  Away Fri Feb 19, 7:00 pm
21 Army
(3‑1)
  Away Sat Feb 20, 4:00 pm
22 Robert Morris
(1‑6)
  Home Fri Feb 26, 9:05 pm
22 Robert Morris
(1‑6)
  Home Sat Feb 27, 7:05 pm


Falcons Nonconference Schedule
Week Wk Opponent Conference Score Home / Away Date / Time (ET)
2 St. Thomas
(1‑3)
NCHCNCHC 5‑1 Away Fri Oct 9, 8:00 pm
2 St. Thomas
(1‑3)
NCHCNCHC 2‑4 Away Sat Oct 10, 7:00 pm
3 Lindenwood
(3‑5)
NCAA IndependentsInd. 5‑2 Home Thu Oct 15, 9:05 pm
3 Lindenwood
(3‑5)
NCAA IndependentsInd. 4‑7 Home Fri Oct 16, 9:05 pm
4 Colorado College
(5‑1)
NCHCNCHC 2‑6 Away Fri Oct 23, 9:05 pm
4 Colorado College
(5‑1)
NCHCNCHC 0‑4 Home Sat Oct 24, 9:05 pm
8 Princeton
(0‑0)
ECACECAC   Away Sat Nov 21, 7:00 pm
8 Princeton
(0‑0)
ECACECAC   Away Sun Nov 22, 4:00 pm
14 Lake Superior
(2‑4)
CCHACCHA   Home Sat Jan 2, 7:05 pm
14 Lake Superior
(2‑4)
CCHACCHA   Home Sun Jan 3, 7:05 pm