The Most Important Games for the Army Black Knights are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Black Knights final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Army Black Knights fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Army Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
9 | 10 | ||||
| Army (11‑12‑5) vs RIT (15‑12‑2) 1 Game Remaining |
7 | Army Sweeps 1 Game | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 51% | 43% | <1% | |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 43% | 52% | 1% | |||
| RIT Sweeps 1 Game | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 35% | 63% | 1% | |||
| Air Force (14‑11‑2) vs Niagara (8‑17‑1) 1 Game Remaining |
4 | Air Force Sweeps 1 Game | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 49% | 46% | 1% | |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 43% | 52% | 1% | |||
| Niagara Sweeps 1 Game | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 29% | 67% | 1% | |||
| Mercyhurst (3‑22‑2) vs Sacred Heart (14‑10‑3) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Mercyhurst Sweeps 1 Game | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 42% | 51% | 2% | |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 43% | 52% | 1% | |||
| Sacred Heart Sweeps 1 Game | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 43% | 53% | <1% | |||
| Canisius (14‑11‑2) vs Robert Morris (8‑16‑3) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Canisius Sweeps 1 Game | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 42% | 52% | 1% | |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 43% | 52% | 1% | |||
| Robert Morris Sweeps 1 Game | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 44% | 52% | 1% | |||
| Bentley (15‑7‑5) vs Holy Cross (12‑13‑2) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Bentley Sweeps 1 Game | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 43% | 52% | 1% | |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 43% | 52% | 1% | |||
| Holy Cross Sweeps 1 Game | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 44% | 52% | 1% | |||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Army Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantange |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantange |
9 | 10 | |||
| Army (11‑12‑5) vs RIT (15‑12‑2) |
7 | Army Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 51% | 43% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 43% | 52% | 1% | ||
| RIT Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 35% | 63% | 1% | ||
| Air Force (14‑11‑2) vs Niagara (8‑17‑1) |
4 | Air Force Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 49% | 46% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 43% | 52% | 1% | ||
| Niagara Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 29% | 67% | 1% | ||
| Mercyhurst (3‑22‑2) vs Sacred Heart (14‑10‑3) |
1 | Mercyhurst Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 42% | 51% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 43% | 52% | 1% | ||
| Sacred Heart Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 43% | 53% | <1% | ||
| Canisius (14‑11‑2) vs Robert Morris (8‑16‑3) |
1 | Canisius Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 42% | 52% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 43% | 52% | 1% | ||
| Robert Morris Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 44% | 52% | 1% | ||
| Bentley (15‑7‑5) vs Holy Cross (12‑13‑2) |
0 | Bentley Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 43% | 52% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 43% | 52% | 1% | ||
| Holy Cross Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 44% | 52% | 1% | ||