The Most Important Games for the North Florida Ospreys are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Ospreys final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. North Florida Ospreys fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
North Florida Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | NT | |||
| North Florida (2‑8) vs Austin Peay (5‑5) |
32 | North Florida Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 31% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 14% | 41% | ||
| Austin Peay Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 14% | 44% | ||
| West Georgia (5‑5) vs Bellarmine (4‑6) |
3 | West Georgia Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 41% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 14% | 41% | ||
| Bellarmine Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 14% | 42% | ||
| Lipscomb (6‑4) vs JacksonvilleJack.ville (5‑5) |
1 | Lipscomb Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 14% | 40% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 14% | 41% | ||
| JacksonvilleJack.ville Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 41% | ||
| Fla Gulf Coast (5‑5) vs Central Arkansas (4‑7) |
1 | Fla Gulf Coast Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 41% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 14% | 41% | ||
| Central Arkansas Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 41% | ||
| Stetson (3‑8) vs North Alabama (5‑4) |
1 | Stetson Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 42% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 14% | 41% | ||
| North Alabama Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 14% | 41% | ||
| Eastern Kentucky (3‑8) vs Queens U. (5‑5) |
1 | Eastern Kentucky Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 41% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 14% | 41% | ||
| Queens U. Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 41% | ||