The Most Important Games for the North Florida Ospreys are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Ospreys final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. North Florida Ospreys fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
North Florida Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | NT | |||
| North Florida (2‑10) vs Austin Peay (5‑5) |
29 | North Florida Wins | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 14% | 36% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 46% | ||
| Austin Peay Wins | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 11% | 14% | 48% | ||
| Eastern Kentucky (4‑9) vs Queens U. (5‑7) |
2 | Eastern Kentucky Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 13% | 46% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 46% | ||
| Queens U. Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 13% | 46% | ||
| West Georgia (6‑6) vs Bellarmine (5‑7) |
2 | West Georgia Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 14% | 45% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 46% | ||
| Bellarmine Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 13% | 46% | ||
| Lipscomb (7‑5) vs JacksonvilleJack.ville (5‑8) |
1 | Lipscomb Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 46% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 46% | ||
| JacksonvilleJack.ville Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 13% | 46% | ||
| North Alabama (5‑6) vs Stetson (4‑9) |
0 | North Alabama Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 45% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 46% | ||
| Stetson Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 11% | 13% | 46% | ||
| Central Arkansas (5‑8) vs Fla Gulf Coast (5‑7) |
0 | Central Arkansas Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 14% | 45% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 46% | ||
| Fla Gulf Coast Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 45% | ||