The Most Important Games for the North Florida Ospreys are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Ospreys final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. North Florida Ospreys fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
North Florida Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | NT | |||
| North Florida (9‑10) vs Queens U. (12‑7) |
17 | North Florida Wins | <1% | 2% | 5% | 9% | 13% | 19% | 21% | 18% | 8% | 3% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 11% | 17% | 22% | 21% | 12% | 5% | 2% | ||
| Queens U. Wins | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 9% | 17% | 23% | 23% | 13% | 6% | 2% | ||
| Central Arkansas (5‑14) vs Austin Peay (7‑12) |
3 | Central Arkansas Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 11% | 18% | 22% | 18% | 11% | 6% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 11% | 17% | 22% | 21% | 12% | 5% | 2% | ||
| Austin Peay Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 10% | 16% | 21% | 22% | 12% | 5% | 2% | ||
| Stetson (5‑14) vs Eastern Kentucky (9‑10) |
3 | Stetson Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 11% | 18% | 20% | 18% | 13% | 6% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 11% | 17% | 22% | 21% | 12% | 5% | 2% | ||
| Eastern Kentucky Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 10% | 16% | 22% | 21% | 11% | 5% | 2% | ||
| Lipscomb (13‑6) vs North Alabama (12‑7) |
2 | Lipscomb Wins | <1% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 11% | 17% | 22% | 20% | 12% | 5% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 11% | 17% | 22% | 21% | 12% | 5% | 2% | ||
| North Alabama Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 10% | 18% | 23% | 21% | 12% | 5% | 2% | ||
| Bellarmine (3‑16) vs Fla Gulf Coast (10‑9) |
1 | Bellarmine Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 11% | 17% | 21% | 20% | 12% | 5% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 11% | 17% | 22% | 21% | 12% | 5% | 2% | ||
| Fla Gulf Coast Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 10% | 17% | 22% | 21% | 12% | 5% | 2% | ||
| West Georgia (3‑16) vs JacksonvilleJack.ville (11‑7) |
1 | West Georgia Wins | <1% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 11% | 16% | 21% | 20% | 12% | 6% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 11% | 17% | 22% | 21% | 12% | 5% | 2% | ||
| JacksonvilleJack.ville Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 10% | 17% | 22% | 22% | 12% | 5% | 2% | ||