The Most Important Games for the North Florida Ospreys are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Ospreys final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. North Florida Ospreys fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
North Florida Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | NT | |||
| North Florida (6‑4) vs Austin Peay (4‑5) |
10 | North Florida Wins | 23% | 17% | 14% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 20% | 16% | 14% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 2% | ||
| Austin Peay Wins | 13% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | ||
| Central Arkansas (2‑7) vs Eastern Kentucky (5‑4) |
1 | Central Arkansas Wins | 21% | 17% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 20% | 16% | 14% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 2% | ||
| Eastern Kentucky Wins | 20% | 16% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 2% | ||
| West Georgia (1‑10) vs Fla Gulf Coast (3‑7) |
1 | West Georgia Wins | 20% | 17% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 20% | 16% | 14% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 2% | ||
| Fla Gulf Coast Wins | 20% | 16% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 2% | ||
| North Alabama (6‑4) vs Bellarmine (3‑7) |
0 | North Alabama Wins | 20% | 16% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 20% | 16% | 14% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 2% | ||
| Bellarmine Wins | 20% | 17% | 14% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | ||
| Lipscomb (6‑4) vs JacksonvilleJack.ville (5‑5) |
0 | Lipscomb Wins | 20% | 16% | 14% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 20% | 16% | 14% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 2% | ||
| JacksonvilleJack.ville Wins | 21% | 15% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 2% | ||
| Stetson (1‑8) vs Queens U. (5‑5) |
0 | Stetson Wins | 21% | 17% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 20% | 16% | 14% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 2% | ||
| Queens U. Wins | 19% | 17% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 2% | ||