The Most Important Games for the North Florida Ospreys are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Ospreys final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. North Florida Ospreys fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
North Florida Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Court Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Court Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Court Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Court Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7*** First Round Home Court Advantage |
8*** First Round Home Court Advantage |
9 | 10 | NT | |||
| North Florida (4‑16) vs Bellarmine (7‑12) |
39 | North Florida Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 14% | 16% | 19% | 29% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 14% | 18% | 43% | ||
| Bellarmine Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 12% | 18% | 53% | ||
| Lipscomb (13‑7) vs Fla Gulf Coast (8‑12) |
3 | Lipscomb Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 14% | 18% | 42% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 14% | 18% | 43% | ||
| Fla Gulf Coast Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 14% | 18% | 43% | ||
| Central Arkansas (10‑10) vs North Alabama (6‑12) |
3 | Central Arkansas Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 14% | 19% | 41% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 14% | 18% | 43% | ||
| North Alabama Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 13% | 17% | 45% | ||
| Austin Peay (12‑6) vs Stetson (7‑13) |
2 | Austin Peay Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 14% | 18% | 42% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 14% | 18% | 43% | ||
| Stetson Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 13% | 18% | 44% | ||
| Queens U. (12‑8) vs West Georgia (9‑10) |
2 | Queens U. Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 14% | 18% | 43% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 14% | 18% | 43% | ||
| West Georgia Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 14% | 18% | 43% | ||
| JacksonvilleJack.ville (7‑13) vs Eastern Kentucky (7‑13) |
1 | JacksonvilleJack.ville Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 11% | 13% | 17% | 43% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 14% | 18% | 43% | ||
| Eastern Kentucky Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 14% | 18% | 43% | ||