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Sun Feb 5 12:15 am

Atlantic Sun Basketball - Week 14 of 16

North Florida Ospreys Standings

Where are the North Florida Ospreys going to finish in the regular season standings and be seeded in the post season tournament? The North Florida standings table presents the probabilities of the Ospreys winning different finishing spots. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Atlantic Sun Basketball Standings
Record Rcrd Regular Season Finish
Team Wi
Schedule Content
Number of Wins
-----
Hover/Touch Content
Recent Games
L GPi
Games Played
18 game season
1*
First Round Bye and Home
Field Advantage
2*
First Round Bye and Home
Field Advantage
3*
First Round Bye and Home
Field Advantage
4*
First Round Bye and Home
Field Advantage
5**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
6**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
7**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
8**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
9 10 NT
Kennesaw St. 10i
Kennesaw St. Recent Games

Won  Thu, Jan 26 vs Austin Peay       84-57 
Won  Sat, Jan 28 vs Lipscomb          85-72 
Won  Thu, Feb 02 @  Bellarmine        90-84 
Lost Sat, Feb 04 @  E. Kentucky       74-77 
     Thu, Feb 09 @  Jacksonville St. 
     Sat, Feb 11 vs Jacksonville St. 
     Thu, Feb 16 vs Liberty          
     Sat, Feb 18 vs Queens U.        

2 12 48% 37% 12% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
Liberty 10
Liberty Recent Games

Won  Thu, Jan 26 vs Stetson           74-45 
Won  Sat, Jan 28 vs Fla GC            74-57 
Won  Thu, Feb 02 @  Austin Peay       82-70 
Lost Sat, Feb 04 @  Lipscomb          64-69 
     Thu, Feb 09 vs Bellarmine       
     Sat, Feb 11 vs E. Kentucky      
     Thu, Feb 16 @  Kennesaw St.     
     Sat, Feb 18 @  Jacksonville St. 

2 12 42% 35% 17% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
Eastern Kentucky 9
Eastern Kentucky Recent Games

Lost Thu, Jan 26 @  Bellarmine        71-72 
Won  Sat, Jan 28 vs Bellarmine        73-63 
Won  Thu, Feb 02 vs Jacksonville St.  69-67 
Won  Sat, Feb 04 vs Kennesaw St.      77-74 
     Thu, Feb 09 @  Queens U.        
     Sat, Feb 11 @  Liberty          
     Thu, Feb 16 vs C Arkansas       
     Sat, Feb 18 vs N Alabama        

3 12 9% 23% 38% 18% 7% 3% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Stetson 8
Stetson Recent Games

Lost Thu, Jan 26 @  Liberty           45-74 
Lost Sat, Jan 28 @  Queens U.         65-71 
Won  Thu, Feb 02 vs N Alabama         79-57 
Won  Sat, Feb 04 vs C Arkansas        99-80 
     Thu, Feb 09 @  Jack.ville       
     Sat, Feb 11 @  North Florida    
     Wed, Feb 15 vs Fla GC           
     Sat, Feb 18 @  Fla GC           

4 12 <1% 3% 19% 44% 18% 8% 4% 2% 1% <1% <1%
Lipscomb 7
Lipscomb Recent Games

Lost Thu, Jan 26 @  Jacksonville St.  67-72 
Lost Sat, Jan 28 @  Kennesaw St.      72-85 
Won  Thu, Feb 02 vs Queens U.         66-60 
Won  Sat, Feb 04 vs Liberty           69-64 
     Thu, Feb 09 @  C Arkansas       
     Sat, Feb 11 @  N Alabama        
     Thu, Feb 16 vs North Florida    
     Sat, Feb 18 vs Jack.ville       

5 12 <1% 1% 9% 17% 29% 16% 11% 7% 5% 3% 2%
Queens U. 6
Queens U. Recent Games

Won  Thu, Jan 26 vs Fla GC            84-82 
Won  Sat, Jan 28 vs Stetson           71-65 
Lost Thu, Feb 02 @  Lipscomb          60-66 
Won  Sat, Feb 04 @  Austin Peay       70-69 
     Thu, Feb 09 vs E. Kentucky      
     Sat, Feb 11 vs Bellarmine       
     Thu, Feb 16 @  Jacksonville St. 
     Sat, Feb 18 @  Kennesaw St.     

6 12 <1% <1% 1% 4% 11% 18% 17% 16% 14% 11% 8%
Bellarmine 6
Bellarmine Recent Games

Won  Thu, Jan 26 vs E. Kentucky       72-71 
Lost Sat, Jan 28 @  E. Kentucky       63-73 
Lost Thu, Feb 02 vs Kennesaw St.      84-90 
Won  Sat, Feb 04 vs Jacksonville St.  71-64 
     Thu, Feb 09 @  Liberty          
     Sat, Feb 11 @  Queens U.        
     Thu, Feb 16 vs N Alabama        
     Sun, Feb 19 vs C Arkansas       

6 12 <1% <1% <1% 1% 7% 14% 16% 16% 16% 16% 13%
North Alabama 6
North Alabama Recent Games

Won  Thu, Jan 26 vs Jack.ville        80-62 
Won  Sat, Jan 28 vs North Florida     91-78 
Lost Thu, Feb 02 @  Stetson           57-79 
Won  Sat, Feb 04 @  Fla GC            87-85 
     Thu, Feb 09 vs Austin Peay      
     Sat, Feb 11 vs Lipscomb         
     Thu, Feb 16 @  Bellarmine       
     Sat, Feb 18 @  E. Kentucky      

6 12 <1% <1% 2% 5% 15% 18% 20% 17% 12% 7% 3%
North Florida 5
North Florida Recent Games

Lost Thu, Jan 26 @  C Arkansas        85-88 
Lost Sat, Jan 28 @  N Alabama         78-91 
Won  Thu, Feb 02 @  Jack.ville        76-63 
Won  Sat, Feb 04 vs Jack.ville        65-58 
     Thu, Feb 09 vs Fla GC           
     Sat, Feb 11 vs Stetson          
     Thu, Feb 16 @  Lipscomb         
     Sat, Feb 18 @  Austin Peay      

7 12 <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 8% 11% 13% 16% 18% 29%
JacksonvilleJack.ville 5
Jacksonville Recent Games

Lost Thu, Jan 26 @  N Alabama         62-80 
Won  Sat, Jan 28 @  C Arkansas        74-64 
Lost Thu, Feb 02 vs North Florida     63-76 
Lost Sat, Feb 04 @  North Florida     58-65 
     Thu, Feb 09 vs Stetson          
     Sat, Feb 11 vs Fla GC           
     Thu, Feb 16 @  Austin Peay      
     Sat, Feb 18 @  Lipscomb         

7 12 <1% <1% 1% 2% 6% 9% 12% 14% 15% 17% 24%
 
Fla Gulf Coast 4
Fla Gulf Coast Recent Games

Lost Thu, Jan 26 @  Queens U.         82-84 
Lost Sat, Jan 28 @  Liberty           57-74 
Lost Thu, Feb 02 vs C Arkansas        87-91 
Lost Sat, Feb 04 vs N Alabama         85-87 
     Thu, Feb 09 @  North Florida    
     Sat, Feb 11 @  Jack.ville       
     Wed, Feb 15 @  Stetson          
     Sat, Feb 18 vs Stetson          

8 12 X <1% <1% 1% 2% 5% 8% 13% 17% 19% 35%
Central Arkansas 3
Central Arkansas Recent Games

Won  Thu, Jan 26 vs North Florida     88-85 
Lost Sat, Jan 28 vs Jack.ville        64-74 
Won  Thu, Feb 02 @  Fla GC            91-87 
Lost Sat, Feb 04 @  Stetson           80-99 
     Thu, Feb 09 vs Lipscomb         
     Sat, Feb 11 vs Austin Peay      
     Thu, Feb 16 @  E. Kentucky      
     Sun, Feb 19 @  Bellarmine       

9 12 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 5% 91%
Jacksonville StateJacksnvlle St. 3
Jacksonville State Recent Games

Won  Thu, Jan 26 vs Lipscomb          72-67 
Won  Sat, Jan 28 vs Austin Peay       70-53 
Lost Thu, Feb 02 @  E. Kentucky       67-69 
Lost Sat, Feb 04 @  Bellarmine        64-71 
     Thu, Feb 09 vs Kennesaw St.     
     Sat, Feb 11 @  Kennesaw St.     
     Thu, Feb 16 vs Queens U.        
     Sat, Feb 18 vs Liberty          

9 12 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 97%
Austin Peay 2
Austin Peay Recent Games

Lost Thu, Jan 26 @  Kennesaw St.      57-84 
Lost Sat, Jan 28 @  Jacksonville St.  53-70 
Lost Thu, Feb 02 vs Liberty           70-82 
Lost Sat, Feb 04 vs Queens U.         69-70 
     Thu, Feb 09 @  N Alabama        
     Sat, Feb 11 @  C Arkansas       
     Thu, Feb 16 vs Jack.ville       
     Sat, Feb 18 vs North Florida    

10 12 X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 98%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye and home court advantage in the post season conference tournament
  • ** denotes first round home court advantage in the post season conference tournament


(9) Ospreys 1st Round Playoff Matchup Probabilities
Record Probability
Opponent W L
Bye 14%
(7)Bellarmine 6 6 11%
(8)North Alabama 6 6 10%
(6)Queens U. 6 6 10%
(10)JacksonvilleJack.ville 5 7 9%
(11)Fla Gulf Coast 4 8 9%
(5)Lipscomb 7 5 4%
(4)Stetson 8 4 1%
(12)Central Arkansas 3 9 1%
(3)Eastern Kentucky 9 3 <1%
(13)Jacksonville StateJacksnvlle St. 3 9 <1%
(14)Austin Peay 2 10 <1%
(2)Liberty 10 2 <1%
(1)Kennesaw St. 10 2 <1%
Elimination 29%



Ospreys Conference Schedule
Current Week 14
Week Wk Opponent Score Home / Away Date / Time (ET)
8 Austin Peay
(8‑17)
90‑85 (OT) Home Sat Dec 31, 2:00 pm
9 Stetson
(13‑10)
62‑68 Away Mon Jan 2, 7:30 pm
9 Kennesaw St.
(18‑7)
89‑86 Home Thu Jan 5, 7:00 pm
9 Fla Gulf Coast
(14‑11)
57‑82 Away Sat Jan 7, 7:00 pm
10 Jacksonville StateJacksnvlle St.
(10‑15)
63‑72 Away Thu Jan 12, 7:00 pm
10 Kennesaw St.
(18‑7)
72‑86 Away Sat Jan 14, 2:00 pm
11 Queens U.
(16‑9)
95‑90 Home Thu Jan 19, 7:00 pm
11 Liberty
(19‑6)
62‑73 Home Sat Jan 21, 2:00 pm
12 Central Arkansas
(8‑17)
85‑88 (OT) Away Thu Jan 26, 8:00 pm
12 North Alabama
(14‑11)
78‑91 Away Sat Jan 28, 6:00 pm
13 JacksonvilleJack.ville
(12‑11)
76‑63 Away Thu Feb 2, 7:00 pm
13 JacksonvilleJack.ville
(12‑11)
65‑58 Home Sat Feb 4, 5:00 pm
14 Fla Gulf Coast
(14‑11)
  Home Thu Feb 9, 7:00 pm
14 Stetson
(13‑10)
  Home Sat Feb 11, 2:00 pm
15 Lipscomb
(15‑10)
  Away Thu Feb 16, 8:00 pm
15 Austin Peay
(8‑17)
  Away Sat Feb 18, 4:00 pm
16 Eastern Kentucky
(16‑9)
  Home Wed Feb 22, 7:00 pm
16 Bellarmine
(11‑14)
  Home Fri Feb 24, 7:00 pm


Ospreys Nonconference Schedule
Week Wk Opponent Conference Score Home / Away Date / Time (ET)
1 Gonzaga
(19‑4)
West CoastWest Coast 63‑104 Away Mon Nov 7
1 Washington
(13‑12)
PAC 12PAC 12 67‑75 Away Fri Nov 11
2 S. Carolina St.
(3‑20)
MideasternMid-Eastern 72‑66 Home Sat Nov 19
3 Duquesne
(15‑8)
Atlantic 10Atl. 10 82‑83 Away Mon Nov 21
3 Kentucky
(16‑7)
SECSEC 56‑96 Away Wed Nov 23
4 TRINITY BAPTIST. COLLEGE ‑‑ 90‑49 Home Tue Nov 29
4 High Point
(11‑13)
Big SouthBig South 88‑93 Away Sat Dec 3
5 Houston
(21‑2)
American AthleticAm. Athletic 42‑76 Away Tue Dec 6, 8:00 pm
5 Bethune-CookmanBethn-Ckmn
(9‑14)
SouthwesternSWAC 88‑48 Home Sat Dec 10, 2:00 pm
6 Pittsburgh
(16‑7)
ACCACC 56‑82 Away Sat Dec 17, 1:00 pm
7 DAVIS & ELKINS ‑‑ 105‑66 Home Mon Dec 19, 7:00 pm
7 Bethune-CookmanBethn-Ckmn
(9‑14)
SouthwesternSWAC 87‑85 Away Thu Dec 22, 2:00 pm