The Most Important Games for Borussia Dortmund are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the team's table probabilities. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Borussia Dortmund fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Borussia Dortmund Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season Finish | RelegationRel | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1* Bundesliga Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
6# UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16## Relegation Playoff |
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| Borussia Dortmund (14‑11‑6) vs VfL Wolfsburg (10‑12‑9) |
69 | Borussia Dortmund Wins | X | X | 1% | 35% | 35% | 19% | 8% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | 22% | 28% | 23% | 15% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| VfL Wolfsburg Wins | X | X | X | 5% | 17% | 28% | 26% | 15% | 7% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Bayer Leverkusen (19‑2‑10) vs SC Freiburg (15‑10‑6) |
32 | Bayer Leverkusen Wins | X | X | 1% | 29% | 25% | 21% | 14% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | 22% | 28% | 23% | 15% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| SC Freiburg Wins | X | X | <1% | 11% | 32% | 28% | 18% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Bayern Munich (23‑2‑6) vs RB Leipzig (13‑8‑10) |
21 | Bayern Munich Wins | X | X | 1% | 24% | 29% | 21% | 15% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | 22% | 28% | 23% | 15% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| RB Leipzig Wins | X | X | <1% | 14% | 24% | 29% | 20% | 9% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Eintracht Frankfurt (16‑8‑7) vs Mainz (13‑10‑8) |
13 | Eintracht Frankfurt Wins | X | X | X | 25% | 31% | 25% | 12% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | 22% | 28% | 23% | 15% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Mainz Wins | X | X | 1% | 19% | 24% | 23% | 21% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| FC Union Berlin (9‑13‑9) vs Werder Bremen (13‑11‑7) |
7 | FC Union Berlin Wins | X | X | <1% | 24% | 29% | 24% | 15% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | 22% | 28% | 23% | 15% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Werder Bremen Wins | X | X | 1% | 22% | 24% | 22% | 17% | 9% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| TSG Hoffenheim (7‑15‑9) vs Borussia (13‑13‑5) |
2 | TSG Hoffenheim Wins | X | X | 1% | 23% | 28% | 24% | 17% | 6% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | 22% | 28% | 23% | 15% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Borussia Wins | X | X | 1% | 22% | 28% | 23% | 16% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Holstein Kiel (5‑19‑7) vs FC Augsburg (11‑10‑10) |
1 | Holstein Kiel Wins | X | X | 1% | 23% | 28% | 24% | 15% | 7% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | 22% | 28% | 23% | 15% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| FC Augsburg Wins | X | X | <1% | 23% | 28% | 24% | 15% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| VfB Stuttgart (11‑12‑8) vs St. Pauli (8‑16‑7) |
1 | VfB Stuttgart Wins | X | X | 1% | 23% | 27% | 24% | 15% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | 22% | 28% | 23% | 15% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| St. Pauli Wins | X | X | 1% | 22% | 29% | 23% | 16% | 7% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| FC Heidenheim (7‑20‑4) vs VfL Bochum (5‑20‑6) |
0 | FC Heidenheim Wins | X | X | <1% | 22% | 28% | 23% | 15% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | 22% | 28% | 23% | 15% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| VfL Bochum Wins | X | X | <1% | 22% | 28% | 23% | 15% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||