The Most Important Games for Borussia Dortmund are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the team's table probabilities. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Borussia Dortmund fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Borussia Dortmund Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season Finish | RelegationRel | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1* Bundesliga Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
6# UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16## Relegation Playoff |
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| Borussia Dortmund (10‑1‑6) vs St. Pauli (3‑10‑3) |
16 | Borussia Dortmund Wins | <1% | 47% | 27% | 15% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 45% | 27% | 16% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| St. Pauli Wins | <1% | 32% | 27% | 20% | 12% | 6% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| FC Union Berlin (6‑6‑4) vs VfB Stuttgart (10‑5‑2) |
3 | FC Union Berlin Wins | <1% | 46% | 27% | 15% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 45% | 27% | 16% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| VfB Stuttgart Wins | <1% | 45% | 26% | 16% | 8% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Bayern Munich (15‑0‑2) vs RB Leipzig (10‑4‑2) |
2 | Bayern Munich Wins | <1% | 46% | 27% | 15% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 45% | 27% | 16% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| RB Leipzig Wins | <1% | 39% | 29% | 18% | 9% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| TSG Hoffenheim (9‑4‑3) vs Bayer Leverkusen (9‑5‑2) |
1 | TSG Hoffenheim Wins | <1% | 44% | 27% | 16% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 45% | 27% | 16% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Bayer Leverkusen Wins | <1% | 47% | 26% | 15% | 8% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| FC Heidenheim (3‑11‑3) vs VfL Wolfsburg (5‑9‑3) |
1 | FC Heidenheim Wins | <1% | 45% | 27% | 16% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 45% | 27% | 16% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| VfL Wolfsburg Wins | <1% | 45% | 27% | 16% | 8% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Eintracht Frankfurt (7‑5‑5) vs Werder Bremen (4‑7‑5) |
0 | Eintracht Frankfurt Wins | <1% | 45% | 27% | 16% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 45% | 27% | 16% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Werder Bremen Wins | <1% | 45% | 27% | 15% | 9% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| FC Augsburg (4‑10‑2) vs SC Freiburg (6‑6‑5) |
0 | FC Augsburg Wins | <1% | 45% | 27% | 15% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 45% | 27% | 16% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| SC Freiburg Wins | <1% | 45% | 26% | 16% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| FC Augsburg (4‑10‑2) vs FC Union Berlin (6‑6‑4) |
0 | FC Augsburg Wins | <1% | 45% | 27% | 16% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 45% | 27% | 16% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| FC Union Berlin Wins | <1% | 45% | 27% | 16% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Mainz (2‑9‑6) vs FC Cologne (4‑8‑5) |
0 | Mainz Wins | <1% | 45% | 27% | 16% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 45% | 27% | 16% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| FC Cologne Wins | <1% | 45% | 27% | 16% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Borussia (5‑8‑4) vs Hamburg SV (4‑8‑4) |
0 | Borussia Wins | <1% | 45% | 27% | 16% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 45% | 27% | 16% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Hamburg SV Wins | <1% | 45% | 27% | 16% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||