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Tue Apr 29 10:45 am

Bundesliga - Week 37 of 39

Borussia Dortmund What If?

The Borussia Dortmund What If table presents different table probabilities dependent upon how it plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Borussia Dortmund What If?

Next Game - VfL Wolfsburg (10‑12‑9)

  Resultant Record Season Finish RelegationRel
  W L T Pts 1*
Bundesliga Champions and UEFA
Champions League Participant
2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
4**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
5***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
6#
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16##
Relegation
Playoff
Win Next Game 15 11 6 51 X X 1% 35% 35% 19% 8% 1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Current Standings 14 11 6 48 X X <1% 22% 28% 23% 15% 7% 3% 1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Lose Next Game 14 12 6 48 X X X 5% 17% 28% 26% 15% 7% 2% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Finishing Spot RelegationRel
  1*
Bundesliga Champions and UEFA
Champions League Participant
2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
4**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
5***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
6#
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16##
Relegation
Playoff
Best Case Scenario X X 1% 49% 29% 14% 6% 1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Current Standings X X <1% 22% 28% 23% 15% 7% 3% 1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Worst Case Scenario X X X 1% 6% 30% 34% 19% 8% 2% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Best Case Scenario
   Bayern Munich beats RB Leipzig
   Borussia Dortmund beats VfL Wolfsburg
   Bayer Leverkusen beats SC Freiburg
Worst Case Scenario
   RB Leipzig beats Bayern Munich
   VfL Wolfsburg beats Borussia Dortmund
   SC Freiburg beats Bayer Leverkusen
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Finishing Spot RelegationRel
W L T Pts 1*
Bundesliga Champions and UEFA
Champions League Participant
2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
4**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
5***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
6#
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16##
Relegation
Playoff
3 of 3 100% 17 11 6 57 X X 6% 81% 13% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
2 of 3 67% 16 12 6 54 X X X 28% 49% 21% 2% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
1 of 3 33% 15 13 6 51 X X X <1% 8% 36% 42% 13% 1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
0 of 3 0% 14 14 6 48 X X X X X <1% 6% 28% 40% 23% 3% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this spot
  • X means the team cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *   denotes Bundesliga Champions and advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • **  denotes advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • *** denotes advancement to UEFA Europa League
  • #  denotes advancement to UEFA Conference League Playoff Round
  • ##  denotes Relegation Playoff