The Holstein Kiel What If table presents different table probabilities dependent upon how it plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
Resultant Record | Season Finish | RelegationRel | |||||||||||||||||||
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W | L | T | Pts | 1* Bundesliga Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
6# UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16## Relegation Playoff |
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Win Next Game | 4 | 14 | 3 | 15 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 19% | 32% | 40% |
Current Standings | 3 | 14 | 3 | 12 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 16% | 28% | 48% |
Lose Next Game | 3 | 15 | 3 | 12 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 11% | 24% | 62% |
Finishing Spot | RelegationRel | ||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1* Bundesliga Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
6# UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16## Relegation Playoff |
||
Best Case Scenario | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 10% | 27% | 33% | 22% |
Current Standings | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 16% | 28% | 48% |
Worst Case Scenario | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 8% | 19% | 70% |
Best Case Scenario Holstein Kiel beats VfL Bochum Holstein Kiel beats Eintracht Frankfurt Mainz beats FC Heidenheim |
Worst Case Scenario VfL Bochum beats Holstein Kiel Eintracht Frankfurt beats Holstein Kiel FC Heidenheim beats Mainz |
Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Finishing Spot | RelegationRel | ||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* Bundesliga Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
6# UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16## Relegation Playoff |
|||
14 of 14 | 100% | 17 | 14 | 3 | 54 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 23% | 38% | 26% | 8% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
13 of 14 | 93% | 16 | 15 | 3 | 51 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 12% | 31% | 34% | 17% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
12 of 14 | 86% | 15 | 16 | 3 | 48 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 18% | 36% | 30% | 10% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
11 of 14 | 79% | 14 | 17 | 3 | 45 | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 9% | 29% | 40% | 19% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
10 of 14 | 71% | 13 | 18 | 3 | 42 | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 22% | 45% | 25% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
9 of 14 | 64% | 12 | 19 | 3 | 39 | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 20% | 43% | 28% | 6% | <1% | <1% |
8 of 14 | 57% | 11 | 20 | 3 | 36 | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 20% | 43% | 31% | 4% | <1% |
7 of 14 | 50% | 10 | 21 | 3 | 33 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 21% | 56% | 20% | 1% |
6 of 14 | 43% | 9 | 22 | 3 | 30 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 43% | 46% | 8% |
5 of 14 | 36% | 8 | 23 | 3 | 27 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 15% | 54% | 30% |
4 of 14 | 29% | 7 | 24 | 3 | 24 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 31% | 67% |
3 of 14 | 21% | 6 | 25 | 3 | 21 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 7% | 93% |
2 of 14 | 14% | 5 | 26 | 3 | 18 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | >99% |
1 of 14 | 7% | 4 | 27 | 3 | 15 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | >99% |
0 of 14 | 0% | 3 | 28 | 3 | 12 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |