The Holstein Kiel What If table presents different table probabilities dependent upon how it plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
Resultant Record | Season Finish | RelegationRel | |||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* Bundesliga Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
6# UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16## Relegation Playoff |
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Win Next Game | 2 | 9 | 2 | 8 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 9% | 18% | 63% |
Current Standings | 1 | 9 | 2 | 5 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 7% | 14% | 72% |
Lose Next Game | 1 | 10 | 2 | 5 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 14% | 75% |
Finishing Spot | RelegationRel | ||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1* Bundesliga Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
6# UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16## Relegation Playoff |
||
Best Case Scenario | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 9% | 18% | 63% |
Current Standings | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 7% | 14% | 72% |
Worst Case Scenario | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 14% | 75% |
Best Case Scenario Holstein Kiel beats RB Leipzig |
Worst Case Scenario RB Leipzig beats Holstein Kiel |
Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Finishing Spot | RelegationRel | ||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* Bundesliga Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
6# UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16## Relegation Playoff |
|||
22 of 22 | 100% | 23 | 9 | 2 | 71 | 1% | 41% | 51% | 8% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
21 of 22 | 95% | 22 | 10 | 2 | 68 | <1% | 22% | 56% | 20% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
20 of 22 | 91% | 21 | 11 | 2 | 65 | <1% | 9% | 46% | 37% | 7% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
19 of 22 | 86% | 20 | 12 | 2 | 62 | <1% | 2% | 25% | 46% | 23% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
18 of 22 | 82% | 19 | 13 | 2 | 59 | <1% | <1% | 7% | 32% | 39% | 18% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
17 of 22 | 77% | 18 | 14 | 2 | 56 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 9% | 29% | 36% | 19% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
16 of 22 | 73% | 17 | 15 | 2 | 53 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 8% | 24% | 35% | 23% | 8% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
15 of 22 | 68% | 16 | 16 | 2 | 50 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 18% | 32% | 29% | 13% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
14 of 22 | 64% | 15 | 17 | 2 | 47 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 12% | 28% | 33% | 20% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
13 of 22 | 59% | 14 | 18 | 2 | 44 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 22% | 35% | 26% | 8% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
12 of 22 | 55% | 13 | 19 | 2 | 41 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 17% | 36% | 31% | 11% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
11 of 22 | 50% | 12 | 20 | 2 | 38 | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 15% | 37% | 33% | 11% | 1% | <1% |
10 of 22 | 45% | 11 | 21 | 2 | 35 | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 16% | 38% | 32% | 11% | 1% |
9 of 22 | 41% | 10 | 22 | 2 | 32 | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 19% | 40% | 31% | 8% |
8 of 22 | 36% | 9 | 23 | 2 | 29 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 25% | 45% | 26% |
7 of 22 | 32% | 8 | 24 | 2 | 26 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 8% | 38% | 54% |
6 of 22 | 27% | 7 | 25 | 2 | 23 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 19% | 80% |
5 of 22 | 23% | 6 | 26 | 2 | 20 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 95% |
0 of 22 | 0% | 1 | 31 | 2 | 5 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |