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Sat Aug 29 2:00 pm

Bundesliga - Week 1 of 39

Schalke What If?

The Schalke What If table presents different table probabilities dependent upon how it plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Schalke What If?

Next Game - FC Augsburg (0‑0)

  Resultant Record Season Finish RelegationRel
  W L T Pts 1*
Bundesliga Champions and UEFA
Champions League Participant
 2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 4**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 5***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
 6#
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16##
Relegation
Playoff
Win Next Game 1 0 0 3 8% 7% 7% 7% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 4% 4% 7%
Current Standings 0 0 0 0 6% 6% 6% 5% 5% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 5% 6% 5% 11%
Lose Next Game 0 1 0 0 4% 4% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 7% 6% 14%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Finishing Spot RelegationRel
  1*
Bundesliga Champions and UEFA
Champions League Participant
 2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 4**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 5***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
 6#
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16##
Relegation
Playoff
Best Case Scenario 8% 7% 7% 7% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 4% 4% 7%
Current Standings 6% 6% 6% 5% 5% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 5% 6% 5% 11%
Worst Case Scenario 4% 4% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 7% 6% 14%
Best Case Scenario
   Schalke beats FC Augsburg
 Worst Case Scenario
   FC Augsburg beats Schalke
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Finishing Spot RelegationRel
W L T Pts 1*
Bundesliga Champions and UEFA
Champions League Participant
 2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 4**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 5***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
 6#
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16##
Relegation
Playoff
34 of 34 100% 34 0 0 102 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
30 of 34 88% 30 4 0 90 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
25 of 34 74% 25 9 0 75 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
22 of 34 65% 22 12 0 66 92% 8% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
21 of 34 62% 21 13 0 63 77% 21% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
20 of 34 59% 20 14 0 60 48% 39% 11% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
19 of 34 56% 19 15 0 57 15% 38% 32% 13% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
18 of 34 53% 18 16 0 54 1% 9% 24% 34% 23% 8% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
17 of 34 50% 17 17 0 51 <1% <1% 2% 8% 22% 30% 25% 11% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
16 of 34 47% 16 18 0 48 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 11% 24% 30% 21% 8% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
15 of 34 44% 15 19 0 45 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 14% 26% 29% 19% 6% 1% <1% <1%
14 of 34 41% 14 20 0 42 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 8% 21% 31% 25% 11% 2%
13 of 34 38% 13 21 0 39 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 8% 23% 36% 32%
12 of 34 35% 12 22 0 36 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 18% 78%
10 of 34 29% 10 24 0 30 X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
5 of 34 15% 5 29 0 15 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
0 of 34 0% 0 34 0 0 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this spot
  • X means the team cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *   denotes Bundesliga Champions and advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • **  denotes advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • *** denotes advancement to UEFA Europa League
  • #  denotes advancement to UEFA Conference League Playoff Round
  • ##  denotes Relegation Playoff