The Most Important Games for St. Pauli are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the team's table probabilities. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. St. Pauli fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
St. Pauli Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season Finish | RelegationRel | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1* Bundesliga Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
6# UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16## Relegation Playoff |
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| St. Pauli (2‑0‑1) vs VfB Stuttgart (1‑2) |
48 | St. Pauli Wins | 13% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | ||
| VfB Stuttgart Wins | 6% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 7% | ||
| Mainz (0‑2‑1) vs FC Augsburg (1‑2) |
2 | Mainz Wins | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | ||
| FC Augsburg Wins | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 5% | ||
| TSG Hoffenheim (2‑1) vs Bayern Munich (3‑0) |
2 | TSG Hoffenheim Wins | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | ||
| Bayern Munich Wins | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 5% | ||
| VfL Wolfsburg (1‑0‑2) vs Borussia Dortmund (2‑0‑1) |
2 | VfL Wolfsburg Wins | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | ||
| Borussia Dortmund Wins | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 5% | ||
| FC Heidenheim (0‑3) vs Hamburg SV (0‑2‑1) |
1 | FC Heidenheim Wins | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | ||
| Hamburg SV Wins | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | ||
| Eintracht Frankfurt (2‑1) vs FC Union Berlin (1‑2) |
1 | Eintracht Frankfurt Wins | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | ||
| FC Union Berlin Wins | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | ||
| Borussia (0‑2‑1) vs Bayer Leverkusen (1‑1‑1) |
0 | Borussia Wins | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | ||
| Bayer Leverkusen Wins | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 5% | ||
| RB Leipzig (2‑1) vs FC Cologne (2‑0‑1) |
0 | RB Leipzig Wins | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | ||
| FC Cologne Wins | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 5% | ||
| SC Freiburg (1‑2) vs Werder Bremen (1‑1‑1) |
0 | SC Freiburg Wins | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | ||
| Werder Bremen Wins | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | ||