The Most Important Games for St. Pauli are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the team's table probabilities. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. St. Pauli fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
St. Pauli Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season Finish | RelegationRel | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1* Bundesliga Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
6# UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16## Relegation Playoff |
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| St. Pauli (6‑13‑6) vs Borussia (6‑12‑7) |
15 | St. Pauli Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 7% | 10% | 13% | 14% | 15% | 15% | 12% | 9% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 13% | 15% | 17% | 18% | 8% | ||
| Borussia Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 12% | 16% | 20% | 23% | 11% | ||
| TSG Hoffenheim (15‑6‑4) vs VfL Wolfsburg (5‑15‑5) |
4 | TSG Hoffenheim Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 13% | 16% | 17% | 18% | 7% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 13% | 15% | 17% | 18% | 8% | ||
| VfL Wolfsburg Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 16% | 16% | 13% | ||
| Hamburg SV (7‑10‑8) vs FC Cologne (6‑13‑6) |
1 | Hamburg SV Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 11% | 13% | 16% | 18% | 17% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 13% | 15% | 17% | 18% | 8% | ||
| FC Cologne Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 15% | 17% | 19% | 8% | ||
| Mainz (5‑11‑9) vs Werder Bremen (6‑12‑7) |
1 | Mainz Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 15% | 18% | 18% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 13% | 15% | 17% | 18% | 8% | ||
| Werder Bremen Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 11% | 13% | 15% | 17% | 19% | 8% | ||
| SC Freiburg (9‑9‑7) vs FC Union Berlin (7‑11‑7) |
0 | SC Freiburg Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 13% | 15% | 17% | 18% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 13% | 15% | 17% | 18% | 8% | ||
| FC Union Berlin Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 13% | 16% | 18% | 18% | 8% | ||
| RB Leipzig (14‑6‑5) vs VfB Stuttgart (14‑6‑5) |
0 | RB Leipzig Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 11% | 13% | 15% | 17% | 17% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 13% | 15% | 17% | 18% | 8% | ||
| VfB Stuttgart Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 11% | 13% | 15% | 18% | 18% | 8% | ||
| FC Augsburg (9‑12‑4) vs Borussia Dortmund (16‑2‑7) |
0 | FC Augsburg Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 13% | 16% | 18% | 18% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 13% | 15% | 17% | 18% | 8% | ||
| Borussia Dortmund Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 13% | 15% | 17% | 18% | 8% | ||
| Eintracht Frankfurt (9‑8‑8) vs FC Heidenheim (3‑17‑5) |
0 | Eintracht Frankfurt Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 13% | 15% | 17% | 18% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 13% | 15% | 17% | 18% | 8% | ||
| FC Heidenheim Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 13% | 15% | 17% | 17% | 8% | ||
| Bayern Munich (21‑1‑3) vs Bayer Leverkusen (13‑7‑5) |
0 | Bayern Munich Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 11% | 13% | 15% | 17% | 18% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 13% | 15% | 17% | 18% | 8% | ||
| Bayer Leverkusen Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 11% | 13% | 15% | 17% | 18% | 8% | ||