The Most Important Games for St. Pauli are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the team's table probabilities. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. St. Pauli fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
St. Pauli Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season Finish | RelegationRel | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1* Bundesliga Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
6# UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16## Relegation Playoff |
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| St. Pauli (0‑2) vs FC Augsburg (0‑1‑1) |
34 | St. Pauli Wins | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 12% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 19% | ||
| FC Augsburg Wins | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 23% | ||
| RB Leipzig (2‑0) vs FC Union Berlin (1‑0‑1) |
1 | RB Leipzig Wins | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 19% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 19% | ||
| FC Union Berlin Wins | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 19% | ||
| Borussia Dortmund (1‑0‑1) vs FC Heidenheim (2‑0) |
1 | Borussia Dortmund Wins | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 19% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 19% | ||
| FC Heidenheim Wins | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 19% | ||
| VfL Bochum (0‑2) vs SC Freiburg (1‑1) |
1 | VfL Bochum Wins | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 19% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 19% | ||
| SC Freiburg Wins | 2% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 18% | ||
| VfB Stuttgart (0‑1‑1) vs Borussia (1‑1) |
1 | VfB Stuttgart Wins | 3% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 19% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 19% | ||
| Borussia Wins | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 19% | ||
| Holstein Kiel (0‑2) vs Bayern Munich (2‑0) |
0 | Holstein Kiel Wins | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 19% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 19% | ||
| Bayern Munich Wins | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 19% | ||
| Bayer Leverkusen (1‑1) vs TSG Hoffenheim (1‑1) |
0 | Bayer Leverkusen Wins | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 19% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 19% | ||
| TSG Hoffenheim Wins | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 19% | ||
| Eintracht Frankfurt (1‑1) vs VfL Wolfsburg (1‑1) |
0 | Eintracht Frankfurt Wins | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 19% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 19% | ||
| VfL Wolfsburg Wins | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 19% | ||
| Mainz (0‑0‑2) vs Werder Bremen (0‑0‑2) |
0 | Mainz Wins | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 19% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 19% | ||
| Werder Bremen Wins | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 19% | ||