The Most Important Games for St. Pauli are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the team's table probabilities. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. St. Pauli fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
St. Pauli Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season Finish | RelegationRel | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1* Bundesliga Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
6# UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16## Relegation Playoff |
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| St. Pauli (2‑8‑1) vs Bayern Munich (10‑0‑1) |
13 | St. Pauli Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 13% | 16% | 18% | 28% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 11% | 14% | 18% | 41% | ||
| Bayern Munich Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 14% | 18% | 42% | ||
| VfB Stuttgart (7‑3‑1) vs Hamburg SV (2‑6‑3) |
3 | VfB Stuttgart Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 15% | 18% | 39% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 11% | 14% | 18% | 41% | ||
| Hamburg SV Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 14% | 18% | 43% | ||
| Eintracht Frankfurt (6‑3‑2) vs VfL Wolfsburg (2‑7‑2) |
3 | Eintracht Frankfurt Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 11% | 15% | 18% | 40% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 11% | 14% | 18% | 41% | ||
| VfL Wolfsburg Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 14% | 18% | 43% | ||
| TSG Hoffenheim (6‑3‑2) vs FC Augsburg (3‑7‑1) |
2 | TSG Hoffenheim Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 14% | 18% | 40% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 11% | 14% | 18% | 41% | ||
| FC Augsburg Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 10% | 14% | 19% | 42% | ||
| SC Freiburg (3‑4‑4) vs Mainz (1‑7‑3) |
2 | SC Freiburg Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 11% | 14% | 18% | 40% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 11% | 14% | 18% | 41% | ||
| Mainz Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 14% | 18% | 42% | ||
| FC Union Berlin (4‑4‑3) vs FC Heidenheim (1‑8‑2) |
1 | FC Union Berlin Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 11% | 14% | 18% | 41% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 11% | 14% | 18% | 41% | ||
| FC Heidenheim Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 11% | 14% | 17% | 43% | ||
| FC Cologne (4‑5‑2) vs Werder Bremen (4‑4‑3) |
1 | FC Cologne Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 15% | 19% | 40% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 11% | 14% | 18% | 41% | ||
| Werder Bremen Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 14% | 18% | 41% | ||
| Bayer Leverkusen (7‑2‑2) vs Borussia Dortmund (6‑1‑4) |
0 | Bayer Leverkusen Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 11% | 14% | 18% | 41% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 11% | 14% | 18% | 41% | ||
| Borussia Dortmund Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 14% | 18% | 41% | ||
| RB Leipzig (8‑2‑1) vs Borussia (3‑5‑3) |
0 | RB Leipzig Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 11% | 14% | 18% | 41% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 11% | 14% | 18% | 41% | ||
| Borussia Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 11% | 14% | 19% | 41% | ||