The Most Important Games for St. Pauli are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the team's table probabilities. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. St. Pauli fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
St. Pauli Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season Finish | RelegationRel | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1* Bundesliga Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
6# UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16## Relegation Playoff |
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| St. Pauli (3‑9‑2) vs VfB Stuttgart (6‑3‑5) |
7 | St. Pauli Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 10% | 18% | 22% | 21% | 14% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 7% | 15% | 21% | 24% | 20% | 7% | ||
| VfB Stuttgart Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 14% | 21% | 25% | 21% | 7% | ||
| Borussia (6‑5‑3) vs TSG Hoffenheim (3‑6‑5) |
2 | Borussia Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 7% | 16% | 22% | 23% | 20% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 7% | 15% | 21% | 24% | 20% | 7% | ||
| TSG Hoffenheim Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 7% | 14% | 20% | 24% | 22% | 7% | ||
| VfL Bochum (0‑11‑3) vs FC Heidenheim (3‑10‑1) |
1 | VfL Bochum Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 7% | 16% | 22% | 23% | 18% | 7% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 7% | 15% | 21% | 24% | 20% | 7% | ||
| FC Heidenheim Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 7% | 14% | 21% | 23% | 22% | 6% | ||
| SC Freiburg (7‑4‑3) vs Bayer Leverkusen (8‑1‑5) |
0 | SC Freiburg Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 7% | 15% | 22% | 24% | 20% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 7% | 15% | 21% | 24% | 20% | 7% | ||
| Bayer Leverkusen Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 14% | 21% | 24% | 20% | 7% | ||
| Bayern Munich (10‑1‑3) vs RB Leipzig (7‑3‑3) |
0 | Bayern Munich Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 7% | 15% | 21% | 24% | 20% | 7% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 7% | 15% | 21% | 24% | 20% | 7% | ||
| RB Leipzig Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 7% | 15% | 21% | 23% | 20% | 7% | ||
| Mainz (6‑4‑4) vs Eintracht Frankfurt (8‑2‑3) |
0 | Mainz Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 7% | 15% | 21% | 24% | 20% | 7% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 7% | 15% | 21% | 24% | 20% | 7% | ||
| Eintracht Frankfurt Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 7% | 15% | 21% | 23% | 20% | 7% | ||
| Eintracht Frankfurt (8‑2‑3) vs RB Leipzig (7‑3‑3) |
0 | Eintracht Frankfurt Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 7% | 15% | 21% | 24% | 20% | 7% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 7% | 15% | 21% | 24% | 20% | 7% | ||
| RB Leipzig Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 7% | 15% | 21% | 23% | 21% | 7% | ||
| FC Augsburg (4‑6‑4) vs Holstein Kiel (1‑11‑2) |
0 | FC Augsburg Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 14% | 21% | 24% | 22% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 7% | 15% | 21% | 24% | 20% | 7% | ||
| Holstein Kiel Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 7% | 16% | 21% | 23% | 19% | 8% | ||
| Werder Bremen (6‑4‑4) vs FC Union Berlin (4‑5‑5) |
0 | Werder Bremen Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 15% | 21% | 24% | 20% | 7% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 7% | 15% | 21% | 24% | 20% | 7% | ||
| FC Union Berlin Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 7% | 15% | 21% | 24% | 21% | 6% | ||
| Borussia Dortmund (6‑4‑4) vs VfL Wolfsburg (6‑5‑3) |
0 | Borussia Dortmund Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 7% | 15% | 21% | 24% | 20% | 7% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 7% | 15% | 21% | 24% | 20% | 7% | ||
| VfL Wolfsburg Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 7% | 15% | 21% | 24% | 21% | 7% | ||