The St. Pauli What If table presents different table probabilities dependent upon how it plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
Resultant Record | Season Finish | RelegationRel | |||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* Bundesliga Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
6# UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16## Relegation Playoff |
||
Win Next Game | 4 | 7 | 2 | 14 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 13% | 18% | 17% | 13% | 7% | 2% |
Current Standings | 3 | 7 | 2 | 11 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 12% | 17% | 18% | 16% | 11% | 4% |
Lose Next Game | 3 | 8 | 2 | 11 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 12% | 17% | 19% | 17% | 12% | 5% |
Finishing Spot | RelegationRel | ||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1* Bundesliga Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
6# UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16## Relegation Playoff |
||
Best Case Scenario | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 13% | 18% | 17% | 13% | 7% | 2% |
Current Standings | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 12% | 17% | 18% | 16% | 11% | 4% |
Worst Case Scenario | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 12% | 17% | 19% | 17% | 12% | 5% |
Best Case Scenario St. Pauli beats Bayer Leverkusen |
Worst Case Scenario Bayer Leverkusen beats St. Pauli |
Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Finishing Spot | RelegationRel | ||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* Bundesliga Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
6# UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16## Relegation Playoff |
|||
22 of 22 | 100% | 25 | 7 | 2 | 77 | 9% | 79% | 12% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
21 of 22 | 95% | 24 | 8 | 2 | 74 | 3% | 68% | 28% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
20 of 22 | 91% | 23 | 9 | 2 | 71 | 1% | 48% | 46% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
19 of 22 | 86% | 22 | 10 | 2 | 68 | <1% | 26% | 54% | 18% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
18 of 22 | 82% | 21 | 11 | 2 | 65 | <1% | 9% | 44% | 37% | 9% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
17 of 22 | 77% | 20 | 12 | 2 | 62 | <1% | 2% | 21% | 43% | 27% | 6% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
16 of 22 | 73% | 19 | 13 | 2 | 59 | <1% | <1% | 5% | 24% | 38% | 24% | 7% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
15 of 22 | 68% | 18 | 14 | 2 | 56 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 22% | 36% | 26% | 9% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
14 of 22 | 64% | 17 | 15 | 2 | 53 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 16% | 32% | 30% | 14% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
13 of 22 | 59% | 16 | 16 | 2 | 50 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 11% | 27% | 33% | 20% | 6% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
12 of 22 | 55% | 15 | 17 | 2 | 47 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 22% | 34% | 26% | 9% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
11 of 22 | 50% | 14 | 18 | 2 | 44 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 17% | 35% | 31% | 11% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
10 of 22 | 45% | 13 | 19 | 2 | 41 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 16% | 37% | 34% | 10% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
9 of 22 | 41% | 12 | 20 | 2 | 38 | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 17% | 42% | 30% | 7% | <1% | <1% |
8 of 22 | 36% | 11 | 21 | 2 | 35 | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 25% | 43% | 24% | 4% | <1% |
7 of 22 | 32% | 10 | 22 | 2 | 32 | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 8% | 33% | 42% | 16% | 1% |
6 of 22 | 27% | 9 | 23 | 2 | 29 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 15% | 42% | 36% | 5% |
5 of 22 | 23% | 8 | 24 | 2 | 26 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 25% | 53% | 18% |
4 of 22 | 18% | 7 | 25 | 2 | 23 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 8% | 48% | 43% |
3 of 22 | 14% | 6 | 26 | 2 | 20 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 28% | 71% |
2 of 22 | 9% | 5 | 27 | 2 | 17 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 9% | 91% |
0 of 22 | 0% | 3 | 29 | 2 | 11 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | >99% |