The Most Important Games for the Minnesota State Mavericks are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Mavericks final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Minnesota State Mavericks fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Minnesota State Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Field Advantange |
2* First Round Home Field Advantange |
3* First Round Home Field Advantange |
4* First Round Home Field Advantange |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |||
| Minnesota State (12‑5‑5) vs St. Thomas (11‑7‑3) 1 Game Remaining |
12 | Minnesota State Sweeps 1 Game | 36% | 24% | 19% | 12% | 7% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 28% | 24% | 19% | 14% | 9% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| St. Thomas Sweeps 1 Game | 18% | 23% | 21% | 18% | 13% | 7% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Northern Michigan (1‑21) vs Augustana (12‑6‑3) 2 Games Remaining |
4 | Northern Michigan Sweeps 2 Games | 33% | 26% | 17% | 12% | 7% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 28% | 24% | 19% | 14% | 9% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Augustana Sweeps 2 Games | 28% | 23% | 20% | 15% | 9% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Ferris State (4‑18) vs Bowling Green (9‑5‑4) 2 Games Remaining |
3 | Ferris State Sweeps 2 Games | 30% | 24% | 20% | 14% | 8% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 28% | 24% | 19% | 14% | 9% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Bowling Green Sweeps 2 Games | 28% | 24% | 19% | 14% | 10% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Bemidji State (9‑8‑3) vs Michigan Tech (12‑8‑2) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Bemidji State Sweeps 2 Games | 27% | 24% | 20% | 15% | 9% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 28% | 24% | 19% | 14% | 9% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Michigan Tech Sweeps 2 Games | 30% | 23% | 18% | 14% | 10% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Minnesota State Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Field Advantange |
2* First Round Home Field Advantange |
3* First Round Home Field Advantange |
4* First Round Home Field Advantange |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |||
| Minnesota State (12‑5‑5) vs St. Thomas (11‑7‑3) |
12 | Minnesota State Wins | 36% | 24% | 19% | 12% | 7% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 28% | 24% | 19% | 14% | 9% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| St. Thomas Wins | 18% | 23% | 21% | 18% | 13% | 7% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Northern Michigan (1‑21) vs Augustana (12‑6‑3) |
2 | Northern Michigan Wins | 31% | 25% | 18% | 13% | 9% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 28% | 24% | 19% | 14% | 9% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Augustana Wins | 28% | 23% | 19% | 15% | 10% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Ferris State (4‑18) vs Bowling Green (9‑5‑4) |
2 | Ferris State Wins | 29% | 24% | 20% | 14% | 8% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 28% | 24% | 19% | 14% | 9% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Bowling Green Wins | 28% | 23% | 19% | 14% | 10% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Michigan Tech (12‑8‑2) vs Bemidji State (9‑8‑3) |
0 | Michigan Tech Wins | 29% | 23% | 18% | 15% | 9% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 28% | 24% | 19% | 14% | 9% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Bemidji State Wins | 28% | 23% | 20% | 15% | 10% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||