The Most Important Games for the Minnesota State Mavericks are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Mavericks final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Minnesota State Mavericks fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Minnesota State Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Field Advantange |
2* First Round Home Field Advantange |
3* First Round Home Field Advantange |
4* First Round Home Field Advantange |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |||
| Minnesota State (17‑9‑6) vs Northern Michigan (3‑28‑1) 2 Games Remaining |
56 | Minnesota State Sweeps 2 Games | 34% | 49% | 17% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 29% | 42% | 17% | 12% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Northern Michigan Sweeps 2 Games | X | X | X | 39% | 61% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Bemidji State (12‑17‑3) vs St. Thomas (18‑10‑4) 2 Games Remaining |
13 | Bemidji State Sweeps 2 Games | 52% | 33% | 14% | <1% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 29% | 42% | 17% | 12% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| St. Thomas Sweeps 2 Games | X | 52% | 33% | 15% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Bowling Green (16‑9‑7) vs Michigan Tech (21‑10‑3) 2 Games Remaining |
11 | Bowling Green Sweeps 2 Games | 47% | 37% | 2% | 12% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 29% | 42% | 17% | 12% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Michigan Tech Sweeps 2 Games | X | 48% | 39% | 13% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Lake Superior (11‑20‑2) vs Ferris State (7‑25‑1) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Lake Superior Sweeps 1 Game | 29% | 42% | 17% | 12% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 29% | 42% | 17% | 12% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Ferris State Sweeps 1 Game | 29% | 42% | 17% | 12% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Minnesota State Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Field Advantange |
2* First Round Home Field Advantange |
3* First Round Home Field Advantange |
4* First Round Home Field Advantange |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |||
| Minnesota State (17‑9‑6) vs Northern Michigan (3‑28‑1) |
29 | Minnesota State Wins | 31% | 45% | 17% | 7% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 29% | 42% | 17% | 12% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Northern Michigan Wins | X | X | 12% | 83% | 5% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Bemidji State (12‑17‑3) vs St. Thomas (18‑10‑4) |
8 | Bemidji State Wins | 51% | 33% | 5% | 10% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 29% | 42% | 17% | 12% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| St. Thomas Wins | 18% | 45% | 22% | 14% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Bowling Green (16‑9‑7) vs Michigan Tech (21‑10‑3) |
7 | Bowling Green Wins | 47% | 38% | 2% | 12% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 29% | 42% | 17% | 12% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Michigan Tech Wins | 18% | 43% | 25% | 13% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Lake Superior (11‑20‑2) vs Ferris State (7‑25‑1) |
0 | Lake Superior Wins | 29% | 42% | 17% | 12% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 29% | 42% | 17% | 12% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Ferris State Wins | 29% | 42% | 17% | 12% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||