Where are the St. Thomas Tommies going to finish in the regular season standings and be seeded in the post season tournament? The St. Thomas standings table presents the probabilities of the Tommies winning different finishing spots. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Record | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | WRi Schedule Content Wins in Regulation ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
WOSi Wins in OT and SO |
LOSi Loses in OT and SO |
LRi Loses in Regulation |
GPi Games Played 24 game season |
Ptsi Pts = 3*WR + 2*WOS + 1*LOS + 0*LR |
1* First Round Home Field Advantange |
2* First Round Home Field Advantange |
3* First Round Home Field Advantange |
4* First Round Home Field Advantange |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
| Minnesota State | 6i Minnesota State Recent Games Won Fri, Nov 22 @ Michigan Tech 5-2 Won Sat, Nov 23 @ Michigan Tech 3-1 Won Fri, Dec 06 vs B. Green 4-1 Won Sat, Dec 07 vs B. Green 3-2 Fri, Dec 13 vs Lake S. Sat, Dec 14 vs Lake S. |
2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 23 | 63% | 20% | 11% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Michigan Tech | 6 Michigan Tech Recent Games Won Fri, Nov 29 @ B. Green 3-0 Lost Sat, Nov 30 @ B. Green 2-2 Won Fri, Dec 06 vs St. Thomas 2-1 Lost Sat, Dec 07 vs St. Thomas 1-4 Fri, Dec 13 @ Bemidji State Sat, Dec 14 @ Bemidji State |
0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 19 | 8% | 21% | 23% | 24% | 15% | 7% | 2% | <1% |
| Lake Superior | 6 Lake Superior Recent Games Won Fri, Nov 29 @ St. Thomas 4-2 Won Sat, Nov 30 @ St. Thomas 5-3 Lost Fri, Dec 06 vs Bemidji State 2-4 Won Sat, Dec 07 vs Bemidji State 4-3 Fri, Dec 13 @ Minnesota State Sat, Dec 14 @ Minnesota State |
0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 18 | 14% | 20% | 23% | 19% | 14% | 7% | 3% | <1% |
| Bemidji State | 4 Bemidji State Recent Games Tie Sat, Nov 30 @ North Dakota 3-3 Won Fri, Dec 06 @ Lake S. 4-2 Lost Sat, Dec 07 @ Lake S. 3-4 Fri, Dec 13 vs Michigan Tech Sat, Dec 14 vs Michigan Tech |
1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 13% | 29% | 22% | 17% | 11% | 6% | 2% | <1% |
| Ferris State | 4 Ferris State Recent Games Won Fri, Nov 22 vs Augustana 5-2 Lost Sat, Nov 23 vs Augustana 1-4 Won Fri, Dec 06 @ Northern Michigan 3-1 Won Sat, Dec 07 @ Northern Michigan 2-1 Sat, Dec 28 @ Wisconsin |
0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 12 | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 17% | 30% | 38% | 3% |
| Bowling Green | 2 Bowling Green Recent Games Lost Fri, Nov 29 vs Michigan Tech 0-3 Won Sat, Nov 30 vs Michigan Tech 2-2 Lost Fri, Dec 06 @ Minnesota State 1-4 Lost Sat, Dec 07 @ Minnesota State 2-3 Fri, Dec 13 vs Northern Michigan Sat, Dec 14 vs Northern Michigan |
2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 1% | 8% | 14% | 18% | 23% | 20% | 14% | 2% |
| St. Thomas | 2 St. Thomas Recent Games Lost Fri, Nov 29 vs Lake S. 2-4 Lost Sat, Nov 30 vs Lake S. 3-5 Lost Fri, Dec 06 @ Michigan Tech 1-2 Won Sat, Dec 07 @ Michigan Tech 4-1 Sun, Dec 29 @ St. Cloud |
0 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 9 | <1% | 1% | 4% | 10% | 18% | 28% | 35% | 3% |
| Northern Michigan | 0 Northern Michigan Recent Games Lost Fri, Nov 29 @ Augustana 1-4 Lost Sat, Nov 30 @ Augustana 1-4 Lost Fri, Dec 06 vs Ferris State 1-3 Lost Sat, Dec 07 vs Ferris State 1-2 Fri, Dec 13 @ B. Green Sat, Dec 14 @ B. Green |
1 | 0 | 7 | 8 | 2 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 93% |
| Record | Total | Home (16%) |
Away (84%) |
|||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Opponent | WRi Wins in Regulation |
WOSi Wins in OT and SO |
LOSi Losses in OT and SO |
LRi Losses in Regulation |
Ptsi Pts = 3*WR + 2*WOS + 1*LOS + 0*LR |
|||
| (2)Michigan Tech | 6 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 24% | 4% | 21% |
| (4)Bemidji State | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 23% | 3% | 20% |
| (3)Lake Superior | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 21% | 2% | 18% |
| (6)Bowling Green | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 14% | 4% | 10% |
| (1)Minnesota State | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 13% | <1% | 12% |
| (5)Ferris State | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 6% | 3% | 3% |
| (8)Northern Michigan | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Elimination | X | |||||||
| Week Wk | Opponent | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Minnesota State (12‑4‑2) |
3‑5 | Home | Fri Nov 8, 8:07 pm |
| 6 | Minnesota State (12‑4‑2) |
1‑1 (SO) | Away | Sat Nov 9, 7:07 pm |
| 7 | Bowling Green (5‑7‑2) |
2‑2 (SO) | Home | Fri Nov 15, 8:07 pm |
| 7 | Bowling Green (5‑7‑2) |
6‑3 | Home | Sat Nov 16, 7:07 pm |
| 8 | Bemidji State (8‑7‑2) |
2‑2 (SO) | Away | Fri Nov 22, 8:07 pm |
| 8 | Bemidji State (8‑7‑2) |
1‑2 | Away | Sat Nov 23, 7:07 pm |
| 9 | Lake Superior (8‑7‑1) |
2‑4 | Home | Fri Nov 29, 8:07 pm |
| 9 | Lake Superior (8‑7‑1) |
3‑5 | Home | Sat Nov 30, 7:07 pm |
| 10 | Michigan Tech (8‑5‑1) |
1‑2 | Away | Fri Dec 6, 7:07 pm |
| 10 | Michigan Tech (8‑5‑1) |
4‑1 | Away | Sat Dec 7, 6:07 pm |
| 15 | Ferris State (6‑10‑2) |
Home | Fri Jan 10, 8:07 pm | |
| 15 | Ferris State (6‑10‑2) |
Home | Sat Jan 11, 7:07 pm | |
| 16 | Lake Superior (8‑7‑1) |
Away | Fri Jan 17, 7:07 pm | |
| 16 | Lake Superior (8‑7‑1) |
Away | Sat Jan 18, 6:07 pm | |
| 17 | Bemidji State (8‑7‑2) |
Home | Sat Jan 25, 7:07 pm | |
| 17 | Bemidji State (8‑7‑2) |
Home | Sun Jan 26, 4:07 pm | |
| 18 | Minnesota State (12‑4‑2) |
Away | Fri Jan 31, 8:07 pm | |
| 18 | Minnesota State (12‑4‑2) |
Home | Sat Feb 1, 7:07 pm | |
| 19 | Bowling Green (5‑7‑2) |
Away | Fri Feb 7, 7:07 pm | |
| 19 | Bowling Green (5‑7‑2) |
Away | Sat Feb 8, 7:07 pm | |
| 21 | Northern Michigan (1‑14‑1) |
Away | Fri Feb 21, 7:07 pm | |
| 21 | Northern Michigan (1‑14‑1) |
Away | Sat Feb 22, 6:07 pm | |
| 22 | Michigan Tech (8‑5‑1) |
Home | Fri Feb 28, 8:07 pm | |
| 22 | Michigan Tech (8‑5‑1) |
Home | Sat Mar 1, 7:07 pm |
| Week Wk | Opponent | Conference | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | St. Cloud State (10‑5) |
NCHCNCHC | 0‑1 | Home | Sun Oct 6, 6:07 pm |
| 2 | Vermont (4‑8‑3) |
EastEast | 5‑5 (OT) | Home | Fri Oct 11, 8:07 pm |
| 2 | Vermont (4‑8‑3) |
EastEast | 3‑1 | Home | Sat Oct 12, 7:07 pm |
| 4 | Minnesota (15‑2‑1) |
Big 10Big 10 | 1‑7 | Away | Fri Oct 25, 6:30 pm |
| 4 | Minnesota (15‑2‑1) |
Big 10Big 10 | 2‑6 | Home | Sat Oct 26, 9:00 pm |
| 5 | Augustana (8‑7) |
NCAA IndependentsInd. | 4‑0 | Home | Fri Nov 1, 8:07 pm |
| 5 | Augustana (8‑7) |
NCAA IndependentsInd. | 2‑0 | Home | Fri Nov 1, 8:07 pm |
| 5 | Augustana (8‑7) |
NCAA IndependentsInd. | 2‑3 | Home | Sat Nov 2, 7:07 pm |
| 13 | St. Cloud State (10‑5) |
NCHCNCHC | Away | Sun Dec 29, 5:07 pm | |
| 14 | Lindenwood (3‑12‑1) |
NCAA IndependentsInd. | Away | Fri Jan 3, 8:30 pm | |
| 14 | Lindenwood (3‑12‑1) |
NCAA IndependentsInd. | Away | Sat Jan 4, 5:30 pm |