The Most Important Games for the St. Thomas Tommies are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Tommies final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. St. Thomas Tommies fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
St. Thomas Resultant Probabilities | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Field Advantange |
2* First Round Home Field Advantange |
3* First Round Home Field Advantange |
4* First Round Home Field Advantange |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |||
| Northern Michigan (1‑14‑1) vs Bowling Green (5‑7‑2) 2 Games Remaining |
2 | Northern Michigan Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 2% | 5% | 11% | 23% | 26% | 28% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 4% | 10% | 18% | 28% | 35% | 3% | ||
| Bowling Green Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 1% | 4% | 10% | 18% | 28% | 37% | 2% | ||
| Minnesota State (12‑4‑2) vs Lake Superior (8‑7‑1) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | Minnesota State Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 1% | 4% | 10% | 19% | 28% | 35% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 4% | 10% | 18% | 28% | 35% | 3% | ||
| Lake Superior Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 1% | 4% | 10% | 18% | 29% | 36% | 2% | ||
| Bemidji State (8‑7‑2) vs Michigan Tech (8‑5‑1) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Bemidji State Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 1% | 4% | 10% | 18% | 28% | 36% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 4% | 10% | 18% | 28% | 35% | 3% | ||
| Michigan Tech Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 1% | 4% | 10% | 19% | 28% | 35% | 3% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
St. Thomas Resultant Probabilities | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Field Advantange |
2* First Round Home Field Advantange |
3* First Round Home Field Advantange |
4* First Round Home Field Advantange |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |||
| Northern Michigan (1‑14‑1) vs Bowling Green (5‑7‑2) |
1 | Northern Michigan Wins | <1% | 2% | 5% | 11% | 20% | 26% | 32% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 4% | 10% | 18% | 28% | 35% | 3% | ||
| Bowling Green Wins | <1% | 1% | 4% | 10% | 18% | 28% | 36% | 2% | ||
| Minnesota State (12‑4‑2) vs Lake Superior (8‑7‑1) |
0 | Minnesota State Wins | <1% | 1% | 4% | 10% | 19% | 27% | 36% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 4% | 10% | 18% | 28% | 35% | 3% | ||
| Lake Superior Wins | <1% | 1% | 4% | 10% | 18% | 29% | 35% | 3% | ||
| Bemidji State (8‑7‑2) vs Michigan Tech (8‑5‑1) |
0 | Bemidji State Wins | <1% | 1% | 4% | 10% | 18% | 28% | 36% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 4% | 10% | 18% | 28% | 35% | 3% | ||
| Michigan Tech Wins | <1% | 1% | 4% | 9% | 19% | 28% | 36% | 2% | ||