The Most Important Games for the St. Thomas Tommies are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Tommies final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. St. Thomas Tommies fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
St. Thomas Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Field Advantange |
2* First Round Home Field Advantange |
3* First Round Home Field Advantange |
4* First Round Home Field Advantange |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |||
| St. Thomas (9‑7‑3) vs Ferris State (4‑14) 2 Games Remaining |
20 | St. Thomas Sweeps 2 Games | 17% | 18% | 16% | 16% | 16% | 12% | 4% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 15% | 16% | 15% | 16% | 17% | 15% | 5% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Ferris State Sweeps 2 Games | 5% | 10% | 13% | 16% | 21% | 23% | 11% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Lake Superior (6‑11‑1) vs Northern Michigan (1‑19) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Lake Superior Sweeps 2 Games | 15% | 16% | 15% | 16% | 17% | 14% | 6% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 15% | 16% | 15% | 16% | 17% | 15% | 5% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Northern Michigan Sweeps 2 Games | 15% | 16% | 16% | 16% | 18% | 16% | 3% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
St. Thomas Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Field Advantange |
2* First Round Home Field Advantange |
3* First Round Home Field Advantange |
4* First Round Home Field Advantange |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |||
| St. Thomas (9‑7‑3) vs Ferris State (4‑14) |
10 | St. Thomas Wins | 16% | 16% | 16% | 17% | 16% | 14% | 4% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 15% | 16% | 15% | 16% | 17% | 15% | 5% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Ferris State Wins | 9% | 13% | 15% | 17% | 19% | 19% | 8% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Lake Superior (6‑11‑1) vs Northern Michigan (1‑19) |
0 | Lake Superior Wins | 16% | 16% | 16% | 16% | 16% | 14% | 6% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 15% | 16% | 15% | 16% | 17% | 15% | 5% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Northern Michigan Wins | 15% | 16% | 15% | 17% | 17% | 15% | 4% | <1% | <1% | ||