The Most Important Games for the St. Thomas Tommies are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Tommies final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. St. Thomas Tommies fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
St. Thomas Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Field Advantange |
2* First Round Home Field Advantange |
3* First Round Home Field Advantange |
4* First Round Home Field Advantange |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |||
| St. Thomas (18‑9‑3) vs Augustana (19‑10‑3) 2 Games Remaining |
21 | St. Thomas Sweeps 2 Games | 95% | 5% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 73% | 16% | 6% | 4% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Augustana Sweeps 2 Games | 27% | 21% | 29% | 21% | 3% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Minnesota State (16‑9‑5) vs Bowling Green (16‑8‑6) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Minnesota State Sweeps 2 Games | 75% | 12% | 6% | 6% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 73% | 16% | 6% | 4% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Bowling Green Sweeps 2 Games | 70% | 19% | 6% | 5% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Northern Michigan (3‑26‑1) vs Lake Superior (9‑19‑2) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Northern Michigan Sweeps 2 Games | 73% | 16% | 6% | 4% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 73% | 16% | 6% | 4% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Lake Superior Sweeps 2 Games | 73% | 16% | 6% | 4% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
St. Thomas Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Field Advantange |
2* First Round Home Field Advantange |
3* First Round Home Field Advantange |
4* First Round Home Field Advantange |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |||
| St. Thomas (18‑9‑3) vs Augustana (19‑10‑3) |
9 | St. Thomas Wins | 85% | 14% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 73% | 16% | 6% | 4% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Augustana Wins | 54% | 23% | 13% | 9% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Minnesota State (16‑9‑5) vs Bowling Green (16‑8‑6) |
0 | Minnesota State Wins | 75% | 14% | 6% | 4% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 73% | 16% | 6% | 4% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Bowling Green Wins | 72% | 18% | 6% | 3% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Northern Michigan (3‑26‑1) vs Lake Superior (9‑19‑2) |
0 | Northern Michigan Wins | 73% | 16% | 6% | 4% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 73% | 16% | 6% | 4% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Lake Superior Wins | 73% | 16% | 6% | 4% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||