The Most Important Games for the UNC Wilmington Seahawks are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Seahawks final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. UNC Wilmington Seahawks fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
UNC Wilmington Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9** First Round Bye |
10** First Round Bye |
11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | |||
| UNC Wilmington (12‑2) vs Hampton (8‑7) |
24 | UNC Wilmington Wins | 24% | 21% | 16% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 23% |
| Current Probabilities | 19% | 16% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | 16% | 18% | ||
| Hampton Wins | 15% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ?? | ?? | ?? | ||
| Drexel (6‑9) vs Hofstra (10‑4) |
4 | Drexel Wins | 26% | 20% | 15% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | 23% |
| Current Probabilities | 19% | 16% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | 23% | 19% | ||
| Hofstra Wins | 16% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ?? | ?? | ?? | ||
| William & Mary (11‑3) vs Charleston (9‑6) |
1 | William & Mary Wins | 23% | 20% | 16% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | 23% |
| Current Probabilities | 19% | 16% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | 25% | 18% | ||
| Charleston Wins | 15% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ?? | ?? | ?? | ||
| N. Carolina A&T (7‑6) vs Stony Brook (8‑7) |
1 | N. Carolina A&T Wins | 23% | 20% | 16% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | 23% |
| Current Probabilities | 19% | 16% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | 23% | 20% | ||
| Stony Brook Wins | 15% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ?? | ?? | ?? | ||
| NortheasternN. Eastern (5‑8) vs Campbell (7‑8) |
1 | NortheasternN. Eastern Wins | 23% | 20% | 15% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | 23% |
| Current Probabilities | 19% | 16% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | 24% | 19% | ||
| Campbell Wins | 15% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ?? | ?? | ?? | ||
| Monmouth (6‑8) vs Towson (8‑7) |
0 | Monmouth Wins | 23% | 20% | 16% | 12% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | 23% |
| Current Probabilities | 19% | 16% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | 23% | 19% | ||
| Towson Wins | 16% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ?? | ?? | ?? | ||