The Most Important Games for the UNC Wilmington Seahawks are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Seahawks final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. UNC Wilmington Seahawks fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
UNC Wilmington Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9** First Round Bye |
10** First Round Bye |
11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | |||
| UNC Wilmington (7‑2) vs Towson (4‑6) |
26 | UNC Wilmington Wins | 23% | 18% | 15% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 22% | 17% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Towson Wins | 14% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | ||
| N. Carolina A&T (3‑6) vs Elon (6‑3) |
1 | N. Carolina A&T Wins | 23% | 17% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 22% | 17% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Elon Wins | 22% | 17% | 14% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Monmouth (1‑10) vs Stony Brook (2‑7) |
1 | Monmouth Wins | 22% | 17% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 22% | 17% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Stony Brook Wins | 22% | 17% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Campbell (4‑5) vs Drexel (6‑4) |
0 | Campbell Wins | 22% | 18% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 22% | 17% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Drexel Wins | 22% | 17% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| NortheasternN. Eastern (7‑3) vs Delaware (6‑4) |
0 | NortheasternN. Eastern Wins | 22% | 17% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 22% | 17% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Delaware Wins | 23% | 17% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Hampton (5‑5) vs Charleston (7‑2) |
0 | Hampton Wins | 23% | 17% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 22% | 17% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Charleston Wins | 21% | 17% | 14% | 12% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Hofstra (8‑3) vs William & Mary (4‑6) |
0 | Hofstra Wins | 21% | 17% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 22% | 17% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| William & Mary Wins | 23% | 17% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||