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Mon Dec 8 7:00 am

Coastal Basketball - Week 5 of 18

William & Mary Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for the William & Mary Tribe are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Tribe final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. William & Mary Tribe fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.

William & Mary Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)
Game
Winner
William & Mary Resultant Probabilities
Regular Season Finish
1*
First and Second
Round Byes
2*
First and Second
Round Byes
3*
First and Second
Round Byes
4*
First and Second
Round Byes
5**
First Round Bye
6**
First Round Bye
7**
First Round Bye
8**
First Round Bye
9**
First Round Bye
10**
First Round Bye
11 12 13 14
William & Mary
(8‑3)

vs
Towson
(6‑4)
24 William & Mary Wins 27% 17% 13% 10% 8% 7% 6% 5% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% 22%
Current Probabilities 16% 13% 10% 9% 8% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% <1% 14% 16%
Towson Wins 14% 12% 10% 8% 8% 6% 5% 3% 2% 1% 1% ?? ?? ??
Elon
(4‑4)

vs
NortheasternN. Eastern
(4‑5)
1 Elon Wins 22% 16% 13% 10% 9% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% <1% 22%
Current Probabilities 16% 13% 10% 9% 8% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% <1% 22% 16%
NortheasternN. Eastern Wins 12% 10% 9% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% <1% ?? ?? ??
Drexel
(4‑6)

vs
Charleston
(4‑5)
1 Drexel Wins 22% 16% 13% 11% 9% 7% 7% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% 22%
Current Probabilities 16% 13% 10% 9% 8% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% <1% 22% 16%
Charleston Wins 13% 10% 9% 8% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% <1% ?? ?? ??
Campbell
(4‑5)

vs
Hofstra
(6‑4)
1 Campbell Wins 23% 16% 13% 10% 8% 8% 6% 6% 4% 3% 2% 1% <1% 22%
Current Probabilities 16% 13% 10% 9% 8% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% <1% 22% 16%
Hofstra Wins 13% 10% 9% 7% 6% 6% 4% 3% 2% 1% <1% ?? ?? ??
Stony Brook
(6‑3)

vs
Hampton
(5‑5)
0 Stony Brook Wins 22% 16% 13% 11% 8% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% <1% 22%
Current Probabilities 16% 13% 10% 9% 8% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% <1% 23% 16%
Hampton Wins 12% 10% 9% 8% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% <1% ?? ?? ??
N. Carolina A&T
(4‑3)

vs
UNC Wilmington
(8‑1)
0 N. Carolina A&T Wins 23% 16% 12% 10% 8% 7% 7% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% <1% 22%
Current Probabilities 16% 13% 10% 9% 8% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% <1% 22% 16%
UNC Wilmington Wins 13% 10% 9% 8% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% <1% ?? ?? ??
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • *  denotes first and second round byes in the post season conference tournament
  • ** denotes first round bye in the post season conference tournament