The Most Important Games for the William & Mary Tribe are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Tribe final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. William & Mary Tribe fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
William & Mary Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9** First Round Bye |
10** First Round Bye |
11** First Round Bye |
12 | 13 | |||
| William & Mary (15‑8) vs Hampton (11‑13) |
50 | William & Mary Wins | 2% | 20% | 37% | 17% | 10% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 16% | 32% | 18% | 11% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Hampton Wins | <1% | 6% | 25% | 20% | 14% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| NortheasternN. Eastern (6‑16) vs Stony Brook (14‑10) |
5 | NortheasternN. Eastern Wins | 2% | 16% | 35% | 17% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 16% | 32% | 18% | 11% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Stony Brook Wins | 2% | 16% | 32% | 18% | 11% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Towson (13‑11) vs Hofstra (15‑9) |
5 | Towson Wins | 2% | 17% | 33% | 17% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 16% | 32% | 18% | 11% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Hofstra Wins | 2% | 16% | 31% | 18% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Elon (13‑11) vs Drexel (12‑12) |
5 | Elon Wins | 2% | 16% | 34% | 17% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 16% | 32% | 18% | 11% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Drexel Wins | 2% | 16% | 29% | 19% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| N. Carolina A&T (9‑13) vs Campbell (11‑13) |
3 | N. Carolina A&T Wins | 2% | 16% | 33% | 18% | 11% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 16% | 32% | 18% | 11% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Campbell Wins | 2% | 15% | 32% | 18% | 11% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Charleston (16‑8) vs UNC Wilmington (19‑4) |
3 | Charleston Wins | 2% | 16% | 32% | 18% | 11% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 16% | 32% | 18% | 11% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| UNC Wilmington Wins | 2% | 13% | 33% | 18% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||