The Arsenal What If table presents different table probabilities dependent upon how it plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Season Finish | RelegationRel | ||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* EPL Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
6# UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | ||
| Win Next Game | 5 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 13% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Standings | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 11% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Lose Next Game | 4 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 9% | 11% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Finishing Spot | RelegationRel | |||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* EPL Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
6# UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | |||
| 34 of 34 | 100% | 38 | 0 | 0 | 114 | 100% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 30 of 34 | 88% | 34 | 4 | 0 | 102 | 96% | 4% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 29 of 34 | 85% | 33 | 5 | 0 | 99 | 88% | 12% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 28 of 34 | 82% | 32 | 6 | 0 | 96 | 74% | 24% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 27 of 34 | 79% | 31 | 7 | 0 | 93 | 57% | 37% | 6% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 26 of 34 | 76% | 30 | 8 | 0 | 90 | 40% | 45% | 14% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 25 of 34 | 74% | 29 | 9 | 0 | 87 | 24% | 46% | 25% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 24 of 34 | 71% | 28 | 10 | 0 | 84 | 12% | 39% | 36% | 12% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 23 of 34 | 68% | 27 | 11 | 0 | 81 | 5% | 27% | 40% | 23% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 22 of 34 | 65% | 26 | 12 | 0 | 78 | 2% | 14% | 36% | 33% | 13% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 21 of 34 | 62% | 25 | 13 | 0 | 75 | <1% | 6% | 24% | 37% | 25% | 7% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 20 of 34 | 59% | 24 | 14 | 0 | 72 | <1% | 2% | 12% | 29% | 35% | 18% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 19 of 34 | 56% | 23 | 15 | 0 | 69 | <1% | <1% | 4% | 17% | 33% | 30% | 12% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 18 of 34 | 53% | 22 | 16 | 0 | 66 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 22% | 34% | 25% | 9% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| 17 of 34 | 50% | 21 | 17 | 0 | 63 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 9% | 25% | 33% | 22% | 7% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| 16 of 34 | 47% | 20 | 18 | 0 | 60 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 12% | 27% | 32% | 19% | 6% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 15 of 34 | 44% | 19 | 19 | 0 | 57 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 14% | 29% | 31% | 17% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 14 of 34 | 41% | 18 | 20 | 0 | 54 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 15% | 29% | 30% | 17% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 13 of 34 | 38% | 17 | 21 | 0 | 51 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 15% | 29% | 29% | 17% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 12 of 34 | 35% | 16 | 22 | 0 | 48 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 15% | 29% | 30% | 16% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 11 of 34 | 32% | 15 | 23 | 0 | 45 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 15% | 30% | 30% | 16% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| 10 of 34 | 29% | 14 | 24 | 0 | 42 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 14% | 29% | 32% | 16% | 4% | 1% | <1% |
| 9 of 34 | 26% | 13 | 25 | 0 | 39 | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 14% | 30% | 31% | 16% | 4% | <1% |
| 8 of 34 | 24% | 12 | 26 | 0 | 36 | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 15% | 31% | 32% | 15% | 3% |
| 7 of 34 | 21% | 11 | 27 | 0 | 33 | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 16% | 34% | 32% | 15% |
| 6 of 34 | 18% | 10 | 28 | 0 | 30 | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 19% | 38% | 40% |
| 5 of 34 | 15% | 9 | 29 | 0 | 27 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 25% | 69% |
| 4 of 34 | 12% | 8 | 30 | 0 | 24 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 9% | 90% |
| 0 of 34 | 0% | 4 | 34 | 0 | 12 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | >99% |