PlayoffStatus.com

Sun Nov 13 1:30 pm

English Premier League - Week 16 of 43

Arsenal What If?

The Arsenal What If table presents different table probabilities dependent upon how it plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Arsenal What If?

Next Game - West Ham (4‑9‑2)

  Resultant Record Season Finish RelegationRel
  W L T Pts 1*
EPL Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participate
2**
UEFA Champions League
Participate
3**
UEFA Champions League
Participate
4**
UEFA Champions League
Participate
5***
UEFA Europa League
Participate
6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
Win Next Game 13 1 1 40 57% 29% 10% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Standings 12 1 1 37 56% 28% 10% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Lose Next Game 12 2 1 37 46% 32% 13% 5% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Finishing Spot RelegationRel
  1*
EPL Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participate
2**
UEFA Champions League
Participate
3**
UEFA Champions League
Participate
4**
UEFA Champions League
Participate
5***
UEFA Europa League
Participate
6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
Best Case Scenario 69% 21% 7% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Standings 56% 28% 10% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Worst Case Scenario 38% 34% 16% 7% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Best Case Scenario
   Arsenal beats West Ham
   Everton beats Manchester City
   Arsenal beats Brighton
Worst Case Scenario
   West Ham beats Arsenal
   Manchester City beats Everton
   Brighton beats Arsenal
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Finishing Spot RelegationRel
W L T Pts 1*
EPL Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participate
2**
UEFA Champions League
Participate
3**
UEFA Champions League
Participate
4**
UEFA Champions League
Participate
5***
UEFA Europa League
Participate
6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
24 of 24 100% 36 1 1 109 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
20 of 24 83% 32 5 1 97 98% 2% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
19 of 24 79% 31 6 1 94 93% 7% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
18 of 24 75% 30 7 1 91 82% 18% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
17 of 24 71% 29 8 1 88 64% 35% 1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
16 of 24 67% 28 9 1 85 42% 51% 7% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
15 of 24 63% 27 10 1 82 22% 56% 20% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
14 of 24 58% 26 11 1 79 8% 45% 38% 8% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
13 of 24 54% 25 12 1 76 2% 25% 46% 23% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
12 of 24 50% 24 13 1 73 <1% 9% 35% 38% 15% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
11 of 24 46% 23 14 1 70 <1% 2% 17% 37% 32% 11% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
10 of 24 42% 22 15 1 67 <1% <1% 4% 21% 38% 28% 8% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
9 of 24 38% 21 16 1 64 <1% <1% 1% 7% 25% 38% 24% 6% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
8 of 24 33% 20 17 1 61 <1% <1% <1% 1% 8% 27% 38% 21% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
7 of 24 29% 19 18 1 58 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 8% 28% 37% 20% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
6 of 24 25% 18 19 1 55 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 9% 27% 35% 21% 6% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
5 of 24 21% 17 20 1 52 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 8% 25% 34% 23% 8% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
4 of 24 17% 16 21 1 49 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 6% 20% 34% 27% 11% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1%
3 of 24 13% 15 22 1 46 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 15% 31% 30% 15% 3% <1% <1% <1%
2 of 24 8% 14 23 1 43 X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 11% 27% 33% 20% 6% 1% <1%
1 of 24 4% 13 24 1 40 X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 6% 21% 35% 27% 9% 1%
0 of 24 0% 12 25 1 37 X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 17% 35% 31% 13%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this spot
  • X means the team cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes EPL Champions and advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • ** denotes advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • ***denotes advancement to UEFA Europa League