The Arsenal What If table presents different table probabilities dependent upon how it plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Season Finish | RelegationRel | ||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* EPL Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
6# UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | ||
| Win Next Game | 5 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 8% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Standings | 4 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 7% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% |
| Lose Next Game | 4 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 5% | 9% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% |
| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Finishing Spot | RelegationRel | |||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* EPL Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
6# UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | |||
| 33 of 33 | 100% | 37 | 1 | 0 | 111 | 100% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 30 of 33 | 91% | 34 | 4 | 0 | 102 | 94% | 6% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 29 of 33 | 88% | 33 | 5 | 0 | 99 | 86% | 14% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 28 of 33 | 85% | 32 | 6 | 0 | 96 | 74% | 25% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 27 of 33 | 82% | 31 | 7 | 0 | 93 | 58% | 38% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 26 of 33 | 79% | 30 | 8 | 0 | 90 | 42% | 47% | 10% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 25 of 33 | 76% | 29 | 9 | 0 | 87 | 26% | 50% | 21% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 24 of 33 | 73% | 28 | 10 | 0 | 84 | 13% | 44% | 34% | 8% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 23 of 33 | 70% | 27 | 11 | 0 | 81 | 6% | 31% | 41% | 19% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 22 of 33 | 67% | 26 | 12 | 0 | 78 | 2% | 17% | 38% | 31% | 10% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 21 of 33 | 64% | 25 | 13 | 0 | 75 | 1% | 7% | 27% | 38% | 22% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 20 of 33 | 61% | 24 | 14 | 0 | 72 | <1% | 2% | 14% | 32% | 33% | 15% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 19 of 33 | 58% | 23 | 15 | 0 | 69 | <1% | <1% | 5% | 19% | 34% | 28% | 11% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 18 of 33 | 55% | 22 | 16 | 0 | 66 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 8% | 24% | 34% | 24% | 8% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| 17 of 33 | 52% | 21 | 17 | 0 | 63 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 10% | 26% | 33% | 21% | 7% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| 16 of 33 | 48% | 20 | 18 | 0 | 60 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 12% | 27% | 32% | 19% | 6% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 15 of 33 | 45% | 19 | 19 | 0 | 57 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 13% | 28% | 31% | 18% | 6% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 14 of 33 | 42% | 18 | 20 | 0 | 54 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 13% | 29% | 31% | 18% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 13 of 33 | 39% | 17 | 21 | 0 | 51 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 14% | 28% | 31% | 18% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 12 of 33 | 36% | 16 | 22 | 0 | 48 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 13% | 28% | 32% | 18% | 6% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 11 of 33 | 33% | 15 | 23 | 0 | 45 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 13% | 28% | 31% | 19% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| 10 of 33 | 30% | 14 | 24 | 0 | 42 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 12% | 28% | 33% | 19% | 6% | 1% | <1% |
| 9 of 33 | 27% | 13 | 25 | 0 | 39 | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 11% | 28% | 33% | 20% | 5% | 1% |
| 8 of 33 | 24% | 12 | 26 | 0 | 36 | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 12% | 29% | 34% | 18% | 5% |
| 7 of 33 | 21% | 11 | 27 | 0 | 33 | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 12% | 31% | 34% | 20% |
| 6 of 33 | 18% | 10 | 28 | 0 | 30 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 15% | 35% | 48% |
| 5 of 33 | 15% | 9 | 29 | 0 | 27 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 19% | 77% |
| 4 of 33 | 12% | 8 | 30 | 0 | 24 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 94% |
| 0 of 33 | 0% | 4 | 34 | 0 | 12 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | >99% |