The Arsenal What If table presents different table probabilities dependent upon how it plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
Resultant Record | Season Finish | RelegationRel | ||||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* EPL Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | ||
Win Next Game | 12 | 1 | 3 | 39 | 27% | 24% | 20% | 14% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Current Standings | 11 | 1 | 3 | 36 | 21% | 21% | 20% | 17% | 11% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Lose Next Game | 11 | 2 | 3 | 36 | 16% | 20% | 21% | 19% | 13% | 7% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Finishing Spot | RelegationRel | |||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* EPL Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | |||
23 of 23 | 100% | 34 | 1 | 3 | 105 | 100% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
20 of 23 | 87% | 31 | 4 | 3 | 96 | 99% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
19 of 23 | 83% | 30 | 5 | 3 | 93 | 93% | 7% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
18 of 23 | 78% | 29 | 6 | 3 | 90 | 78% | 21% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
17 of 23 | 74% | 28 | 7 | 3 | 87 | 54% | 40% | 6% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
16 of 23 | 70% | 27 | 8 | 3 | 84 | 28% | 49% | 21% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
15 of 23 | 65% | 26 | 9 | 3 | 81 | 10% | 39% | 39% | 11% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
14 of 23 | 61% | 25 | 10 | 3 | 78 | 2% | 19% | 42% | 30% | 6% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
13 of 23 | 57% | 24 | 11 | 3 | 75 | <1% | 6% | 28% | 42% | 21% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
12 of 23 | 52% | 23 | 12 | 3 | 72 | <1% | 1% | 10% | 36% | 40% | 12% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
11 of 23 | 48% | 22 | 13 | 3 | 69 | <1% | <1% | 2% | 16% | 41% | 31% | 8% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
10 of 23 | 43% | 21 | 14 | 3 | 66 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 23% | 40% | 25% | 7% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
9 of 23 | 39% | 20 | 15 | 3 | 63 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 26% | 38% | 23% | 6% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
8 of 23 | 35% | 19 | 16 | 3 | 60 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 25% | 36% | 24% | 7% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
7 of 23 | 30% | 18 | 17 | 3 | 57 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 23% | 35% | 25% | 8% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
6 of 23 | 26% | 17 | 18 | 3 | 54 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 20% | 35% | 28% | 10% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
5 of 23 | 22% | 16 | 19 | 3 | 51 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 17% | 34% | 30% | 12% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
4 of 23 | 17% | 15 | 20 | 3 | 48 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 15% | 33% | 33% | 14% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
3 of 23 | 13% | 14 | 21 | 3 | 45 | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 13% | 33% | 35% | 15% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
2 of 23 | 9% | 13 | 22 | 3 | 42 | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 13% | 34% | 35% | 14% | 2% | <1% |
1 of 23 | 4% | 12 | 23 | 3 | 39 | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 14% | 36% | 35% | 12% | 1% |
0 of 23 | 0% | 11 | 24 | 3 | 36 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 16% | 40% | 33% | 8% |