The Most Important Games for Aston Villa are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the team's table probabilities. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Aston Villa fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Aston Villa Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season Finish | RelegationRel | |||||||||||||||||||
| 1* EPL Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | ||||
| Aston Villa (12‑3‑3) vs Arsenal (13‑2‑3) |
28 | Aston Villa Wins | 11% | 25% | 44% | 12% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 18% | 47% | 15% | 7% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Arsenal Wins | 4% | 16% | 48% | 16% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Aston Villa (12‑3‑3) vs Nottingham (5‑10‑3) |
24 | Aston Villa Wins | 7% | 19% | 48% | 15% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 18% | 47% | 15% | 7% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Nottingham Wins | 3% | 14% | 44% | 18% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| BournemouthBournemoth (5‑6‑7) vs Arsenal (13‑2‑3) |
4 | BournemouthBournemoth Wins | 7% | 19% | 44% | 15% | 7% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 18% | 47% | 15% | 7% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Arsenal Wins | 5% | 18% | 48% | 15% | 7% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Leeds United (5‑8‑5) vs Liverpool (10‑6‑2) |
4 | Leeds United Wins | 6% | 18% | 48% | 14% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 18% | 47% | 15% | 7% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Liverpool Wins | 6% | 18% | 46% | 15% | 7% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| WolverhamptonWolves (0‑16‑2) vs Manchester United (8‑5‑5) |
3 | WolverhamptonWolves Wins | 6% | 19% | 48% | 15% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 18% | 47% | 15% | 7% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Manchester United Wins | 6% | 18% | 46% | 15% | 7% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Sunderland (7‑4‑7) vs Manchester City (13‑4‑1) |
2 | Sunderland Wins | 7% | 20% | 43% | 15% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 18% | 47% | 15% | 7% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Manchester City Wins | 5% | 17% | 49% | 15% | 7% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Burnley (3‑12‑3) vs Newcastle (6‑7‑5) |
2 | Burnley Wins | 6% | 18% | 47% | 15% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 18% | 47% | 15% | 7% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Newcastle Wins | 6% | 18% | 46% | 15% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Leeds United (5‑8‑5) vs Manchester United (8‑5‑5) |
2 | Leeds United Wins | 6% | 18% | 48% | 15% | 7% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 18% | 47% | 15% | 7% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Manchester United Wins | 6% | 18% | 46% | 15% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| BournemouthBournemoth (5‑6‑7) vs Chelsea (8‑5‑5) |
2 | BournemouthBournemoth Wins | 6% | 18% | 48% | 14% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 18% | 47% | 15% | 7% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Chelsea Wins | 6% | 18% | 46% | 16% | 7% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Burnley (3‑12‑3) vs Brighton (6‑6‑6) |
1 | Burnley Wins | 6% | 18% | 47% | 15% | 7% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 18% | 47% | 15% | 7% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Brighton Wins | 6% | 18% | 47% | 14% | 7% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Everton (7‑7‑4) vs Brentford (8‑8‑2) |
1 | Everton Wins | 6% | 19% | 46% | 15% | 7% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 18% | 47% | 15% | 7% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Brentford Wins | 6% | 18% | 46% | 15% | 7% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Brentford (8‑8‑2) vs Tottenham Hotspur (7‑7‑4) |
1 | Brentford Wins | 6% | 18% | 47% | 15% | 7% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 18% | 47% | 15% | 7% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Tottenham Hotspur Wins | 6% | 18% | 46% | 15% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Crystal Palace (7‑6‑5) vs Fulham (8‑8‑2) |
1 | Crystal Palace Wins | 6% | 18% | 46% | 15% | 7% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 18% | 47% | 15% | 7% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Fulham Wins | 6% | 18% | 46% | 15% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| West Ham (3‑11‑4) vs Brighton (6‑6‑6) |
1 | West Ham Wins | 6% | 18% | 46% | 15% | 7% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 18% | 47% | 15% | 7% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Brighton Wins | 6% | 18% | 46% | 15% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Tottenham Hotspur (7‑7‑4) vs Sunderland (7‑4‑7) |
1 | Tottenham Hotspur Wins | 6% | 18% | 46% | 15% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 18% | 47% | 15% | 7% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Sunderland Wins | 6% | 18% | 47% | 15% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| WolverhamptonWolves (0‑16‑2) vs West Ham (3‑11‑4) |
1 | WolverhamptonWolves Wins | 6% | 18% | 46% | 15% | 7% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 18% | 47% | 15% | 7% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| West Ham Wins | 6% | 18% | 46% | 15% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Everton (7‑7‑4) vs Nottingham (5‑10‑3) |
0 | Everton Wins | 6% | 18% | 47% | 15% | 7% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 18% | 47% | 15% | 7% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Nottingham Wins | 6% | 18% | 47% | 15% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Crystal Palace (7‑6‑5) vs Newcastle (6‑7‑5) |
0 | Crystal Palace Wins | 6% | 18% | 47% | 15% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 18% | 47% | 15% | 7% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Newcastle Wins | 6% | 18% | 46% | 15% | 7% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Fulham (8‑8‑2) vs Liverpool (10‑6‑2) |
0 | Fulham Wins | 6% | 18% | 48% | 14% | 7% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 18% | 47% | 15% | 7% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Liverpool Wins | 6% | 18% | 46% | 16% | 7% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Chelsea (8‑5‑5) vs Manchester City (13‑4‑1) |
0 | Chelsea Wins | 7% | 20% | 41% | 16% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 18% | 47% | 15% | 7% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Manchester City Wins | 5% | 17% | 49% | 15% | 7% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||