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Mon Nov 24 6:30 pm

English Premier League - Week 16 of 41

Aston Villa Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for Aston Villa are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the team's table probabilities. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Aston Villa fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.

Aston Villa Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)
Game
Winner
Aston Villa Resultant Probabilities
Season Finish RelegationRel
1*
EPL Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
4**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
5***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
Aston Villa
(6‑3‑3)

vs
WolverhamptonWolves
(0‑10‑2)
18 Aston Villa Wins 1% 5% 9% 10% 11% 11% 11% 10% 8% 7% 6% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 1% 4% 8% 10% 11% 11% 10% 10% 8% 7% 6% 5% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1%
WolverhamptonWolves Wins 1% 3% 6% 8% 10% 10% 10% 10% 9% 9% 7% 6% 5% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1%
Nottingham
(3‑6‑3)

vs
Brighton
(5‑3‑4)
2 Nottingham Wins 1% 5% 9% 11% 12% 11% 10% 10% 8% 7% 6% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 1% 4% 8% 10% 11% 11% 10% 10% 8% 7% 6% 5% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1%
Brighton Wins 1% 5% 8% 10% 11% 11% 11% 10% 8% 7% 6% 5% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1%
Leeds United
(3‑7‑2)

vs
Manchester City
(7‑4‑1)
2 Leeds United Wins 1% 5% 8% 10% 11% 11% 10% 9% 8% 7% 6% 5% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 1% 4% 8% 10% 11% 11% 10% 10% 8% 7% 6% 5% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1%
Manchester City Wins 1% 4% 8% 10% 11% 11% 10% 9% 8% 7% 6% 5% 4% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1%
Manchester United
(5‑4‑3)

vs
Crystal Palace
(5‑2‑5)
2 Manchester United Wins 1% 5% 9% 10% 11% 11% 10% 10% 8% 7% 6% 5% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 1% 4% 8% 10% 11% 11% 10% 10% 8% 7% 6% 5% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1%
Crystal Palace Wins 1% 4% 8% 10% 11% 11% 10% 10% 8% 7% 6% 5% 4% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1%
Burnley
(3‑8‑1)

vs
Brentford
(5‑6‑1)
2 Burnley Wins 1% 5% 8% 10% 11% 11% 11% 9% 8% 7% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 1% 4% 8% 10% 11% 11% 10% 10% 8% 7% 6% 5% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1%
Brentford Wins 1% 5% 8% 10% 11% 11% 10% 9% 8% 7% 6% 5% 4% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1%
Arsenal
(9‑1‑2)

vs
Chelsea
(7‑3‑2)
1 Arsenal Wins 1% 5% 9% 10% 11% 11% 10% 10% 9% 7% 6% 5% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 1% 4% 8% 10% 11% 11% 10% 10% 8% 7% 6% 5% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1%
Chelsea Wins 1% 4% 8% 10% 11% 11% 10% 10% 8% 7% 6% 5% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1%
BournemouthBournemoth
(5‑3‑4)

vs
Sunderland
(5‑3‑4)
1 BournemouthBournemoth Wins 1% 4% 8% 10% 11% 11% 10% 9% 8% 7% 6% 5% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 1% 4% 8% 10% 11% 11% 10% 10% 8% 7% 6% 5% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1%
Sunderland Wins 1% 4% 8% 10% 11% 11% 10% 10% 8% 7% 6% 5% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1%
West Ham
(3‑7‑2)

vs
Liverpool
(6‑6)
1 West Ham Wins 1% 4% 8% 10% 11% 11% 10% 10% 8% 7% 6% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 1% 4% 8% 10% 11% 11% 10% 10% 8% 7% 6% 5% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1%
Liverpool Wins 1% 4% 8% 10% 11% 11% 10% 9% 8% 8% 6% 5% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1%
Fulham
(4‑6‑2)

vs
Tottenham Hotspur
(5‑4‑3)
0 Fulham Wins 1% 4% 8% 10% 11% 11% 10% 9% 8% 7% 6% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 1% 4% 8% 10% 11% 11% 10% 10% 8% 7% 6% 5% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1%
Tottenham Hotspur Wins 1% 5% 8% 10% 11% 11% 11% 9% 8% 7% 6% 5% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1%
Newcastle
(4‑5‑3)

vs
Everton
(5‑4‑3)
0 Newcastle Wins 1% 4% 8% 10% 11% 11% 10% 10% 8% 7% 6% 5% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 1% 4% 8% 10% 11% 11% 10% 10% 8% 7% 6% 5% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1%
Everton Wins 1% 4% 8% 10% 11% 11% 10% 10% 8% 7% 6% 5% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this spot
  • X means the team cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • *  denotes EPL Champions and advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • ** denotes advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • ***denotes advancement to UEFA Europa League