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Mon Jan 19 5:30 pm

English Premier League - Week 24 of 41

Aston Villa Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for Aston Villa are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the team's table probabilities. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Aston Villa fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.

Aston Villa Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)
Game
Winner
Aston Villa Resultant Probabilities
Season Finish RelegationRel
1*
EPL Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
4**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
5***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
Aston Villa
(13‑5‑4)

vs
Newcastle
(9‑7‑6)
25 Aston Villa Wins 3% 24% 46% 14% 6% 3% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 2% 19% 43% 16% 8% 5% 3% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Newcastle Wins 1% 15% 42% 18% 10% 6% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Crystal Palace
(7‑8‑7)

vs
Chelsea
(9‑6‑7)
5 Crystal Palace Wins 2% 20% 44% 16% 8% 4% 3% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 2% 19% 43% 16% 8% 5% 3% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Chelsea Wins 2% 19% 41% 17% 9% 5% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
BournemouthBournemoth
(6‑7‑9)

vs
Liverpool
(10‑6‑6)
4 BournemouthBournemoth Wins 2% 20% 44% 16% 8% 4% 3% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 2% 19% 43% 16% 8% 5% 3% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Liverpool Wins 2% 20% 42% 16% 9% 5% 3% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Nottingham
(6‑12‑4)

vs
Brentford
(10‑9‑3)
3 Nottingham Wins 2% 20% 44% 16% 8% 4% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 2% 19% 43% 16% 8% 5% 3% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Brentford Wins 2% 20% 42% 16% 8% 5% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
West Ham
(4‑13‑5)

vs
Sunderland
(8‑5‑9)
3 West Ham Wins 2% 20% 44% 16% 8% 4% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 2% 19% 43% 16% 8% 5% 3% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Sunderland Wins 2% 20% 42% 16% 8% 5% 3% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
WolverhamptonWolves
(1‑16‑5)

vs
Manchester City
(13‑5‑4)
1 WolverhamptonWolves Wins 3% 27% 36% 16% 8% 4% 3% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 2% 19% 43% 16% 8% 5% 3% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Manchester City Wins 2% 19% 44% 17% 8% 4% 3% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Manchester United
(9‑5‑8)

vs
Arsenal
(15‑2‑5)
0 Manchester United Wins 4% 19% 40% 17% 9% 5% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 2% 19% 43% 16% 8% 5% 3% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Arsenal Wins 2% 20% 44% 16% 8% 4% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Brighton
(7‑6‑9)

vs
Fulham
(9‑9‑4)
0 Brighton Wins 2% 19% 43% 17% 8% 4% 3% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 2% 19% 43% 16% 8% 5% 3% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Fulham Wins 2% 20% 43% 16% 8% 5% 3% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Tottenham Hotspur
(7‑9‑6)

vs
Burnley
(3‑14‑5)
0 Tottenham Hotspur Wins 2% 20% 43% 16% 8% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 2% 19% 43% 16% 8% 5% 3% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Burnley Wins 2% 20% 43% 17% 8% 5% 2% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this spot
  • X means the team cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • *  denotes EPL Champions and advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • ** denotes advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • ***denotes advancement to UEFA Europa League