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Thu Dec 7 5:15 pm

English Premier League - Week 18 of 41

Aston Villa Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for Aston Villa are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the team's table probabilities. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Aston Villa fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.

Aston Villa Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)
Game
Winner
Aston Villa Resultant Probabilities
Season Finish RelegationRel
1*
EPL Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
4**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
5***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
Aston Villa
(10‑3‑2)

vs
Arsenal
(11‑1‑3)
39 Aston Villa Wins 15% 20% 21% 19% 12% 7% 3% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 12% 18% 19% 19% 15% 8% 4% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Arsenal Wins 8% 14% 19% 21% 18% 10% 5% 3% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Crystal Palace
(4‑7‑4)

vs
Liverpool
(10‑1‑4)
8 Crystal Palace Wins 14% 18% 19% 18% 14% 8% 4% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 12% 18% 19% 19% 15% 8% 4% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Liverpool Wins 12% 17% 19% 20% 15% 8% 4% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Luton Town
(2‑10‑3)

vs
Manchester City
(9‑3‑3)
5 Luton Town Wins 14% 19% 19% 18% 14% 8% 4% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 12% 18% 19% 19% 15% 8% 4% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Manchester City Wins 12% 17% 19% 19% 15% 8% 4% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Tottenham Hotspur
(8‑4‑3)

vs
Newcastle
(8‑5‑2)
4 Tottenham Hotspur Wins 13% 18% 20% 19% 14% 8% 5% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 12% 18% 19% 19% 15% 8% 4% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Newcastle Wins 12% 17% 19% 19% 15% 9% 4% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Burnley
(2‑12‑1)

vs
Brighton
(7‑4‑4)
2 Burnley Wins 12% 18% 20% 19% 15% 8% 4% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 12% 18% 19% 19% 15% 8% 4% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Brighton Wins 12% 18% 19% 19% 15% 8% 4% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Fulham
(5‑7‑3)

vs
West Ham
(7‑5‑3)
2 Fulham Wins 12% 18% 19% 19% 15% 8% 4% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 12% 18% 19% 19% 15% 8% 4% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
West Ham Wins 12% 17% 19% 19% 15% 8% 4% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Everton
(6‑7‑2)

vs
Chelsea
(5‑6‑4)
1 Everton Wins 12% 18% 19% 19% 15% 8% 4% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 12% 18% 19% 19% 15% 8% 4% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Chelsea Wins 12% 17% 20% 19% 15% 8% 4% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
BournemouthBournemoth
(4‑7‑4)

vs
Manchester United
(9‑6)
0 BournemouthBournemoth Wins 13% 17% 19% 19% 15% 8% 4% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 12% 18% 19% 19% 15% 8% 4% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Manchester United Wins 13% 18% 19% 19% 15% 8% 4% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Brentford
(5‑6‑4)

vs
Sheffield United
(1‑12‑2)
0 Brentford Wins 13% 18% 19% 20% 14% 8% 4% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 12% 18% 19% 19% 15% 8% 4% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Sheffield United Wins 12% 17% 20% 19% 15% 8% 4% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
WolverhamptonWolves
(5‑7‑3)

vs
Nottingham
(3‑8‑4)
0 WolverhamptonWolves Wins 12% 17% 19% 19% 14% 9% 4% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 12% 18% 19% 19% 15% 8% 4% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Nottingham Wins 12% 18% 19% 19% 14% 8% 4% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this spot
  • X means the team cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • *  denotes EPL Champions and advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • ** denotes advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • ***denotes advancement to UEFA Europa League