The Most Important Games for Aston Villa are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the team's table probabilities. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Aston Villa fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Aston Villa Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season Finish | RelegationRel | |||||||||||||||||||
| 1* EPL Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | ||||
| Aston Villa (16‑9‑6) vs Nottingham (8‑15‑8) |
45 | Aston Villa Wins | <1% | 2% | 36% | 43% | 14% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 26% | 40% | 19% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Nottingham Wins | <1% | <1% | 16% | 39% | 24% | 12% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Manchester City (18‑5‑7) vs Chelsea (13‑9‑9) |
13 | Manchester City Wins | <1% | <1% | 27% | 43% | 19% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 26% | 40% | 19% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Chelsea Wins | <1% | 2% | 24% | 37% | 20% | 10% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Tottenham Hotspur (7‑15‑9) vs Sunderland (11‑10‑10) |
1 | Tottenham Hotspur Wins | <1% | 1% | 26% | 41% | 20% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 26% | 40% | 19% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Sunderland Wins | <1% | 1% | 26% | 40% | 20% | 8% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Newcastle (12‑13‑6) vs Crystal Palace (10‑11‑9) |
1 | Newcastle Wins | <1% | 1% | 26% | 40% | 19% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 26% | 40% | 19% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Crystal Palace Wins | <1% | 1% | 26% | 40% | 20% | 8% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||