The Aston Villa What If table presents different table probabilities dependent upon how it plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Season Finish | RelegationRel | ||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* EPL Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | ||
| Win Next Game | 16 | 7 | 6 | 54 | <1% | 3% | 45% | 33% | 13% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Standings | 15 | 7 | 6 | 51 | <1% | 2% | 35% | 32% | 17% | 9% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Lose Next Game | 15 | 8 | 6 | 51 | <1% | 1% | 24% | 30% | 22% | 13% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Finishing Spot | RelegationRel | |||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* EPL Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | ||
| Best Case Scenario | <1% | 3% | 52% | 29% | 11% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Standings | <1% | 2% | 35% | 32% | 17% | 9% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Worst Case Scenario | <1% | 1% | 20% | 32% | 24% | 15% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
|
Best Case Scenario Aston Villa beats Chelsea Newcastle beats Manchester United |
Worst Case Scenario Chelsea beats Aston Villa Manchester United beats Newcastle |
|||||||||||||||||
| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Finishing Spot | RelegationRel | |||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* EPL Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | |||
| 10 of 10 | 100% | 25 | 7 | 6 | 81 | 7% | 73% | 21% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 9 of 10 | 90% | 24 | 8 | 6 | 78 | 1% | 46% | 53% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 8 of 10 | 80% | 23 | 9 | 6 | 75 | <1% | 19% | 78% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 7 of 10 | 70% | 22 | 10 | 6 | 72 | <1% | 5% | 82% | 13% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 6 of 10 | 60% | 21 | 11 | 6 | 69 | <1% | <1% | 58% | 39% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 5 of 10 | 50% | 20 | 12 | 6 | 66 | <1% | <1% | 21% | 55% | 22% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 4 of 10 | 40% | 19 | 13 | 6 | 63 | <1% | <1% | 2% | 27% | 47% | 21% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 3 of 10 | 30% | 18 | 14 | 6 | 60 | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 21% | 44% | 28% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 2 of 10 | 20% | 17 | 15 | 6 | 57 | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 11% | 35% | 35% | 14% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| 1 of 10 | 10% | 16 | 16 | 6 | 54 | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 18% | 35% | 29% | 12% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 0 of 10 | 0% | 15 | 17 | 6 | 51 | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 19% | 36% | 29% | 9% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |