The Aston Villa What If table presents different table probabilities dependent upon how it plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
Resultant Record | Season Finish | RelegationRel | ||||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* EPL Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | ||
Win Next Game | 11 | 3 | 2 | 35 | 15% | 20% | 21% | 18% | 13% | 7% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Current Standings | 10 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 12% | 17% | 19% | 19% | 15% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Lose Next Game | 10 | 4 | 2 | 32 | 8% | 14% | 19% | 22% | 17% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Finishing Spot | RelegationRel | |||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* EPL Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | |||
23 of 23 | 100% | 33 | 3 | 2 | 101 | 100% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
20 of 23 | 87% | 30 | 6 | 2 | 92 | 85% | 15% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
19 of 23 | 83% | 29 | 7 | 2 | 89 | 64% | 33% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
18 of 23 | 78% | 28 | 8 | 2 | 86 | 38% | 48% | 13% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
17 of 23 | 74% | 27 | 9 | 2 | 83 | 16% | 47% | 31% | 6% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
16 of 23 | 70% | 26 | 10 | 2 | 80 | 5% | 29% | 44% | 20% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
15 of 23 | 65% | 25 | 11 | 2 | 77 | 1% | 11% | 38% | 39% | 11% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
14 of 23 | 61% | 24 | 12 | 2 | 74 | <1% | 2% | 19% | 44% | 29% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
13 of 23 | 57% | 23 | 13 | 2 | 71 | <1% | <1% | 5% | 29% | 45% | 18% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
12 of 23 | 52% | 22 | 14 | 2 | 68 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 11% | 39% | 36% | 12% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
11 of 23 | 48% | 21 | 15 | 2 | 65 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 17% | 39% | 31% | 10% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
10 of 23 | 43% | 20 | 16 | 2 | 62 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 20% | 37% | 28% | 9% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
9 of 23 | 39% | 19 | 17 | 2 | 59 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 20% | 35% | 28% | 10% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
8 of 23 | 35% | 18 | 18 | 2 | 56 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 18% | 33% | 30% | 13% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
7 of 23 | 30% | 17 | 19 | 2 | 53 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 15% | 32% | 32% | 15% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
6 of 23 | 26% | 16 | 20 | 2 | 50 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 11% | 30% | 34% | 18% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
5 of 23 | 22% | 15 | 21 | 2 | 47 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 10% | 29% | 36% | 20% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
4 of 23 | 17% | 14 | 22 | 2 | 44 | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 9% | 28% | 37% | 21% | 4% | <1% | <1% |
3 of 23 | 13% | 13 | 23 | 2 | 41 | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 8% | 29% | 39% | 20% | 3% | <1% |
2 of 23 | 9% | 12 | 24 | 2 | 38 | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 9% | 31% | 40% | 17% | 2% |
1 of 23 | 4% | 11 | 25 | 2 | 35 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 12% | 37% | 38% | 12% |
0 of 23 | 0% | 10 | 26 | 2 | 32 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 16% | 44% | 38% |