The Aston Villa What If table presents different table probabilities dependent upon how it plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
Resultant Record | Season Finish | RelegationRel | ||||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* EPL Champions and UEFA Champions League Participate |
2** UEFA Champions League Participate |
3** UEFA Champions League Participate |
4** UEFA Champions League Participate |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participate |
6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | ||
Win Next Game | 9 | 9 | 4 | 31 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 10% | 16% | 24% | 19% | 11% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% |
Current Standings | 8 | 9 | 4 | 28 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 12% | 21% | 20% | 14% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% |
Lose Next Game | 8 | 10 | 4 | 28 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 11% | 21% | 19% | 15% | 10% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% |
Finishing Spot | RelegationRel | |||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1* EPL Champions and UEFA Champions League Participate |
2** UEFA Champions League Participate |
3** UEFA Champions League Participate |
4** UEFA Champions League Participate |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participate |
6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | ||
Best Case Scenario | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 10% | 16% | 23% | 18% | 12% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% |
Current Standings | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 12% | 21% | 20% | 14% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% |
Worst Case Scenario | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 12% | 23% | 20% | 14% | 9% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% |
Best Case Scenario Crystal Palace beats Brighton Aston Villa beats Manchester City |
Worst Case Scenario Brighton beats Crystal Palace Manchester City beats Aston Villa |
Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Finishing Spot | RelegationRel | |||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* EPL Champions and UEFA Champions League Participate |
2** UEFA Champions League Participate |
3** UEFA Champions League Participate |
4** UEFA Champions League Participate |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participate |
6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | |||
17 of 17 | 100% | 25 | 9 | 4 | 79 | 1% | 34% | 52% | 12% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
16 of 17 | 94% | 24 | 10 | 4 | 76 | <1% | 11% | 46% | 36% | 7% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
15 of 17 | 88% | 23 | 11 | 4 | 73 | <1% | 2% | 21% | 44% | 28% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
14 of 17 | 82% | 22 | 12 | 4 | 70 | <1% | <1% | 4% | 24% | 43% | 24% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
13 of 17 | 76% | 21 | 13 | 4 | 67 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 28% | 44% | 20% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
12 of 17 | 71% | 20 | 14 | 4 | 64 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 7% | 33% | 42% | 16% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
11 of 17 | 65% | 19 | 15 | 4 | 61 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 10% | 35% | 38% | 14% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
10 of 17 | 59% | 18 | 16 | 4 | 58 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 13% | 34% | 35% | 15% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
9 of 17 | 53% | 17 | 17 | 4 | 55 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 13% | 36% | 36% | 12% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
8 of 17 | 47% | 16 | 18 | 4 | 52 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 14% | 40% | 37% | 6% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
7 of 17 | 41% | 15 | 19 | 4 | 49 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 18% | 50% | 26% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
6 of 17 | 35% | 14 | 20 | 4 | 46 | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 29% | 43% | 21% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
5 of 17 | 29% | 13 | 21 | 4 | 43 | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 28% | 39% | 22% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
4 of 17 | 24% | 12 | 22 | 4 | 40 | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 23% | 37% | 26% | 8% | 1% | <1% |
3 of 17 | 18% | 11 | 23 | 4 | 37 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 14% | 32% | 33% | 15% | 3% |
2 of 17 | 12% | 10 | 24 | 4 | 34 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 25% | 39% | 28% |
1 of 17 | 6% | 9 | 25 | 4 | 31 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 19% | 78% |
0 of 17 | 0% | 8 | 26 | 4 | 28 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 98% |