The Aston Villa What If table presents different table probabilities dependent upon how it plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
Resultant Record | Season Finish | RelegationRel | ||||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* EPL Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
6# UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | ||
Win Next Game | 17 | 9 | 9 | 60 | X | <1% | 1% | 3% | 9% | 26% | 57% | 4% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
Current Standings | 16 | 9 | 9 | 57 | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 19% | 57% | 12% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
Lose Next Game | 16 | 10 | 9 | 57 | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 9% | 54% | 23% | 9% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
Finishing Spot | RelegationRel | |||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1* EPL Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
6# UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | ||
Best Case Scenario | X | <1% | 1% | 5% | 12% | 29% | 48% | 4% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
Current Standings | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 19% | 57% | 12% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
Worst Case Scenario | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 58% | 24% | 10% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
Best Case Scenario Wolverhampton beats Manchester City Aston Villa beats Fulham Liverpool beats Chelsea |
Worst Case Scenario Manchester City beats Wolverhampton Fulham beats Aston Villa Chelsea beats Liverpool |
Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Finishing Spot | RelegationRel | |||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* EPL Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
6# UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | |||
4 of 4 | 100% | 20 | 9 | 9 | 69 | X | <1% | 12% | 37% | 38% | 12% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
3 of 4 | 75% | 19 | 10 | 9 | 66 | X | X | <1% | 2% | 19% | 54% | 25% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
2 of 4 | 50% | 18 | 11 | 9 | 63 | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 15% | 82% | 3% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
1 of 4 | 25% | 17 | 12 | 9 | 60 | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 57% | 36% | 6% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
0 of 4 | 0% | 16 | 13 | 9 | 57 | X | X | X | X | X | X | 3% | 21% | 41% | 28% | 7% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |