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Sat Dec 9 9:45 am

English Premier League - Week 18 of 41

Aston Villa What If?

The Aston Villa What If table presents different table probabilities dependent upon how it plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Aston Villa What If?

Next Game - Arsenal (11‑1‑3)

  Resultant Record Season Finish RelegationRel
  W L T Pts 1*
EPL Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
 2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 4**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 5***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
Win Next Game 11 3 2 35 15% 20% 21% 18% 13% 7% 3% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Standings 10 3 2 32 12% 17% 19% 19% 15% 8% 4% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Lose Next Game 10 4 2 32 8% 14% 19% 22% 17% 10% 6% 3% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Finishing Spot RelegationRel
W L T Pts 1*
EPL Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
 2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 4**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 5***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
23 of 23 100% 33 3 2 101 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
20 of 23 87% 30 6 2 92 85% 15% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
19 of 23 83% 29 7 2 89 64% 33% 3% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
18 of 23 78% 28 8 2 86 38% 48% 13% 1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
17 of 23 74% 27 9 2 83 16% 47% 31% 6% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
16 of 23 70% 26 10 2 80 5% 29% 44% 20% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
15 of 23 65% 25 11 2 77 1% 11% 38% 39% 11% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
14 of 23 61% 24 12 2 74 <1% 2% 19% 44% 29% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
13 of 23 57% 23 13 2 71 <1% <1% 5% 29% 45% 18% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
12 of 23 52% 22 14 2 68 <1% <1% 1% 11% 39% 36% 12% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
11 of 23 48% 21 15 2 65 <1% <1% <1% 2% 17% 39% 31% 10% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
10 of 23 43% 20 16 2 62 <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 20% 37% 28% 9% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
9 of 23 39% 19 17 2 59 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 5% 20% 35% 28% 10% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
8 of 23 35% 18 18 2 56 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 18% 33% 30% 13% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
7 of 23 30% 17 19 2 53 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
6 of 23 26% 16 20 2 50 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 11% 30% 34% 18% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1%
5 of 23 22% 15 21 2 47 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 10% 29% 36% 20% 4% <1% <1% <1%
4 of 23 17% 14 22 2 44 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 9% 28% 37% 21% 4% <1% <1%
3 of 23 13% 13 23 2 41 X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 8% 29% 39% 20% 3% <1%
2 of 23 9% 12 24 2 38 X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 9% 31% 40% 17% 2%
1 of 23 4% 11 25 2 35 X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 12% 37% 38% 12%
0 of 23 0% 10 26 2 32 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 16% 44% 38%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this spot
  • X means the team cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes EPL Champions and advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • ** denotes advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • ***denotes advancement to UEFA Europa League