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Thu May 1 4:30 pm

English Premier League - Week 38 of 41

Chelsea Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for Chelsea are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the team's table probabilities. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Chelsea fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.

Chelsea Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)
Game
Winner
Chelsea Resultant Probabilities
Season Finish RelegationRel
1*
EPL Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
4**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
5***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
6#
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
Chelsea
(17‑8‑9)

vs
Liverpool
(25‑2‑7)
52 Chelsea Wins X 1% 16% 23% 26% 30% 5% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Current Probabilities X <1% 8% 15% 22% 38% 16% 1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Liverpool Wins X <1% 3% 10% 21% 43% 22% 1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Brighton
(13‑9‑12)

vs
Newcastle
(19‑10‑5)
18 Brighton Wins X <1% 9% 18% 22% 34% 15% 1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Current Probabilities X <1% 8% 15% 22% 38% 16% 1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Newcastle Wins X <1% 6% 12% 23% 42% 16% 1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
WolverhamptonWolves
(12‑17‑5)

vs
Manchester City
(18‑9‑7)
13 WolverhamptonWolves Wins X <1% 13% 16% 21% 35% 15% 1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Current Probabilities X <1% 8% 15% 22% 38% 16% 1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Manchester City Wins X <1% 6% 15% 23% 39% 16% 1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Fulham
(14‑11‑9)

vs
Aston Villa
(16‑9‑9)
6 Fulham Wins X <1% 8% 15% 24% 45% 7% 1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Current Probabilities X <1% 8% 15% 22% 38% 16% 1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Aston Villa Wins X <1% 8% 14% 21% 33% 23% 1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Arsenal
(18‑3‑13)

vs
BournemouthBournemoth
(13‑10‑11)
1 Arsenal Wins X <1% 8% 15% 23% 38% 15% 1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Current Probabilities X <1% 8% 15% 22% 38% 16% 1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
BournemouthBournemoth Wins X 1% 7% 14% 23% 38% 16% 1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Manchester United
(10‑15‑9)

vs
Brentford
(14‑13‑7)
0 Manchester United Wins X <1% 8% 15% 23% 39% 16% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Current Probabilities X <1% 8% 15% 22% 38% 16% 1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Brentford Wins X <1% 7% 15% 23% 38% 15% 1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Everton
(8‑12‑14)

vs
Ipswich Town
(4‑21‑9)
0 Everton Wins X <1% 8% 15% 22% 38% 16% 1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Current Probabilities X <1% 8% 15% 22% 38% 16% 1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Ipswich Town Wins X <1% 8% 15% 22% 38% 16% 1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Leicester City
(4‑24‑6)

vs
SouthamptonSouthamptn
(2‑27‑5)
0 Leicester City Wins X <1% 8% 15% 22% 38% 16% 1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Current Probabilities X <1% 8% 15% 22% 38% 16% 1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
SouthamptonSouthamptn Wins X <1% 8% 15% 22% 38% 16% 1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
West Ham
(9‑16‑9)

vs
Tottenham Hotspur
(11‑19‑4)
0 West Ham Wins X <1% 8% 15% 22% 38% 16% 1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Current Probabilities X <1% 8% 15% 22% 38% 16% 1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Tottenham Hotspur Wins X <1% 8% 15% 22% 38% 16% 1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this spot
  • X means the team cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • *  denotes EPL Champions and advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • ** denotes advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • ***denotes advancement to UEFA Europa League
  • #  denotes advancement to UEFA Conference League Playoff Round