The Most Important Games for Chelsea are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the team's table probabilities. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Chelsea fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Chelsea Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season Finish | RelegationRel | |||||||||||||||||||
| 1* EPL Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | ||||
| Chelsea (8‑5‑5) vs Manchester City (13‑4‑1) |
27 | Chelsea Wins | <1% | 3% | 12% | 24% | 18% | 13% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 8% | 19% | 17% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Manchester City Wins | <1% | 1% | 7% | 18% | 17% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Chelsea (8‑5‑5) vs BournemouthBournemoth (5‑6‑7) |
25 | Chelsea Wins | <1% | 2% | 9% | 21% | 18% | 14% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 8% | 19% | 17% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| BournemouthBournemoth Wins | <1% | 1% | 5% | 14% | 15% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Leeds United (5‑8‑5) vs Liverpool (10‑6‑2) |
5 | Leeds United Wins | <1% | 2% | 8% | 21% | 17% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 8% | 19% | 17% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Liverpool Wins | <1% | 1% | 8% | 19% | 17% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Fulham (8‑8‑2) vs Liverpool (10‑6‑2) |
4 | Fulham Wins | <1% | 2% | 8% | 20% | 16% | 13% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 8% | 19% | 17% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Liverpool Wins | <1% | 2% | 8% | 18% | 17% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Leeds United (5‑8‑5) vs Manchester United (8‑5‑5) |
4 | Leeds United Wins | <1% | 1% | 9% | 20% | 17% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 8% | 19% | 17% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Manchester United Wins | <1% | 1% | 8% | 18% | 17% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Nottingham (5‑10‑3) vs Aston Villa (12‑3‑3) |
3 | Nottingham Wins | <1% | 2% | 10% | 18% | 16% | 13% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 8% | 19% | 17% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Aston Villa Wins | <1% | 2% | 8% | 19% | 17% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| WolverhamptonWolves (0‑16‑2) vs Manchester United (8‑5‑5) |
3 | WolverhamptonWolves Wins | <1% | 2% | 8% | 20% | 17% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 8% | 19% | 17% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Manchester United Wins | <1% | 1% | 9% | 19% | 17% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Arsenal (13‑2‑3) vs Aston Villa (12‑3‑3) |
3 | Arsenal Wins | <1% | 2% | 9% | 19% | 16% | 13% | 11% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 8% | 19% | 17% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Aston Villa Wins | <1% | 1% | 6% | 20% | 17% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Everton (7‑7‑4) vs Brentford (8‑8‑2) |
2 | Everton Wins | <1% | 2% | 8% | 20% | 17% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 8% | 19% | 17% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Brentford Wins | <1% | 1% | 8% | 19% | 17% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Manchester City (13‑4‑1) vs Sunderland (7‑4‑7) |
2 | Manchester City Wins | <1% | 1% | 8% | 20% | 17% | 14% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 8% | 19% | 17% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Sunderland Wins | <1% | 2% | 8% | 18% | 17% | 13% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Newcastle (6‑7‑5) vs Crystal Palace (7‑6‑5) |
2 | Newcastle Wins | <1% | 2% | 8% | 19% | 17% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 8% | 19% | 17% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Crystal Palace Wins | <1% | 1% | 8% | 19% | 17% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Burnley (3‑12‑3) vs Newcastle (6‑7‑5) |
2 | Burnley Wins | <1% | 2% | 8% | 19% | 17% | 14% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 8% | 19% | 17% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Newcastle Wins | <1% | 1% | 8% | 19% | 17% | 13% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Burnley (3‑12‑3) vs Brighton (6‑6‑6) |
1 | Burnley Wins | <1% | 2% | 8% | 20% | 17% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 8% | 19% | 17% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Brighton Wins | <1% | 1% | 8% | 19% | 17% | 13% | 11% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| West Ham (3‑11‑4) vs Brighton (6‑6‑6) |
1 | West Ham Wins | <1% | 1% | 8% | 19% | 17% | 13% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 8% | 19% | 17% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Brighton Wins | <1% | 1% | 9% | 19% | 16% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Everton (7‑7‑4) vs Nottingham (5‑10‑3) |
1 | Everton Wins | <1% | 1% | 8% | 19% | 17% | 13% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 8% | 19% | 17% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Nottingham Wins | <1% | 2% | 8% | 19% | 17% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Tottenham Hotspur (7‑7‑4) vs Brentford (8‑8‑2) |
1 | Tottenham Hotspur Wins | <1% | 1% | 8% | 19% | 17% | 13% | 11% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 8% | 19% | 17% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Brentford Wins | <1% | 1% | 8% | 19% | 17% | 13% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| West Ham (3‑11‑4) vs WolverhamptonWolves (0‑16‑2) |
1 | West Ham Wins | <1% | 1% | 8% | 19% | 17% | 13% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 8% | 19% | 17% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| WolverhamptonWolves Wins | <1% | 2% | 8% | 19% | 16% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Tottenham Hotspur (7‑7‑4) vs Sunderland (7‑4‑7) |
0 | Tottenham Hotspur Wins | <1% | 1% | 8% | 19% | 17% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 8% | 19% | 17% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Sunderland Wins | <1% | 1% | 8% | 19% | 17% | 13% | 11% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Fulham (8‑8‑2) vs Crystal Palace (7‑6‑5) |
0 | Fulham Wins | <1% | 1% | 8% | 20% | 17% | 13% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 8% | 19% | 17% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Crystal Palace Wins | <1% | 1% | 8% | 19% | 17% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| BournemouthBournemoth (5‑6‑7) vs Arsenal (13‑2‑3) |
0 | BournemouthBournemoth Wins | <1% | 2% | 8% | 19% | 17% | 14% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 8% | 19% | 17% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Arsenal Wins | <1% | 1% | 8% | 19% | 17% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||