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Tue Apr 23 10:30 pm

English Premier League - Week 38 of 41

Chelsea What If?

The Chelsea What If table presents different table probabilities dependent upon how it plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Chelsea What If?

Next Game - Aston Villa (20‑8‑6)

  Resultant Record Season Finish RelegationRel
  W L T Pts 1*
EPL Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
4**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
5***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
Win Next Game 14 11 8 50 X X X X 1% 12% 35% 39% 9% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
Current Standings 13 11 8 47 X X X X <1% 6% 24% 42% 16% 8% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
Lose Next Game 13 12 8 47 X X X X <1% 3% 19% 44% 19% 10% 4% 2% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Finishing Spot RelegationRel
W L T Pts 1*
EPL Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
4**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
5***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
6 of 6 100% 19 11 8 65 X X X X 17% 66% 17% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
5 of 6 83% 18 12 8 62 X X X X 1% 39% 54% 6% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
4 of 6 67% 17 13 8 59 X X X X X 7% 55% 37% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
3 of 6 50% 16 14 8 56 X X X X X <1% 16% 69% 14% 1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
2 of 6 33% 15 15 8 53 X X X X X <1% 1% 26% 49% 23% 2% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
1 of 6 17% 14 16 8 50 X X X X X X <1% <1% 9% 43% 38% 9% 1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
0 of 6 0% 13 17 8 47 X X X X X X X X X 1% 20% 47% 32% 1% <1% ^ ^ ^
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this spot
  • X means the team cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes EPL Champions and advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • ** denotes advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • ***denotes advancement to UEFA Europa League