The Chelsea What If table presents different table probabilities dependent upon how it plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Season Finish | RelegationRel | ||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* EPL Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5** UEFA Champions League Participant |
6*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
7# UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | ||
| Win Next Game | 14 | 13 | 9 | 51 | X | X | X | X | X | 16% | 22% | 21% | 18% | 12% | 8% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Standings | 13 | 13 | 9 | 48 | X | X | X | X | X | 6% | 10% | 14% | 16% | 17% | 17% | 12% | 7% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Lose Next Game | 13 | 14 | 9 | 48 | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 4% | 10% | 15% | 19% | 22% | 16% | 10% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Finishing Spot | RelegationRel | |||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* EPL Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5** UEFA Champions League Participant |
6*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
7# UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | ||
| Best Case Scenario | X | X | X | X | X | 26% | 26% | 18% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Standings | X | X | X | X | X | 6% | 10% | 14% | 16% | 17% | 17% | 12% | 7% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Worst Case Scenario | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 6% | 16% | 21% | 24% | 17% | 10% | 4% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
|
Best Case Scenario Chelsea beats Liverpool Wolverhampton beats Brighton Manchester City beats Brentford |
Worst Case Scenario Liverpool beats Chelsea Brighton beats Wolverhampton Brentford beats Manchester City |
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| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Finishing Spot | RelegationRel | |||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* EPL Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5** UEFA Champions League Participant |
6*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
7# UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | |||
| 3 of 3 | 100% | 16 | 13 | 9 | 57 | X | X | X | X | X | 58% | 35% | 6% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 2 of 3 | 67% | 15 | 14 | 9 | 54 | X | X | X | X | X | 3% | 18% | 38% | 31% | 9% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 1 of 3 | 33% | 14 | 15 | 9 | 51 | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 5% | 26% | 46% | 20% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| 0 of 3 | 0% | 13 | 16 | 9 | 48 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 19% | 46% | 28% | 6% | <1% | ^ | ^ |