The Chelsea What If table presents different table probabilities dependent upon how it plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Season Finish | RelegationRel | ||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* EPL Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | ||
| Win Next Game | 14 | 9 | 9 | 51 | X | <1% | 8% | 20% | 32% | 21% | 10% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Standings | 13 | 9 | 9 | 48 | X | <1% | 4% | 13% | 27% | 22% | 14% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Lose Next Game | 13 | 10 | 9 | 48 | X | <1% | 2% | 8% | 23% | 23% | 17% | 11% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Finishing Spot | RelegationRel | |||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* EPL Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | ||
| Best Case Scenario | X | <1% | 15% | 22% | 26% | 18% | 10% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Standings | X | <1% | 4% | 13% | 27% | 22% | 14% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Worst Case Scenario | X | <1% | 1% | 5% | 25% | 24% | 17% | 12% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
|
Best Case Scenario Chelsea beats Manchester City Leeds United beats Manchester United Nottingham beats Aston Villa |
Worst Case Scenario Manchester City beats Chelsea Manchester United beats Leeds United Aston Villa beats Nottingham |
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| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Finishing Spot | RelegationRel | |||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* EPL Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | |||
| 7 of 7 | 100% | 20 | 9 | 9 | 69 | X | 4% | 78% | 18% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 6 of 7 | 86% | 19 | 10 | 9 | 66 | X | <1% | 39% | 48% | 13% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 5 of 7 | 71% | 18 | 11 | 9 | 63 | X | <1% | 7% | 40% | 49% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 4 of 7 | 57% | 17 | 12 | 9 | 60 | X | X | <1% | 7% | 49% | 38% | 6% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 3 of 7 | 43% | 16 | 13 | 9 | 57 | X | X | <1% | <1% | 6% | 34% | 40% | 17% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 2 of 7 | 29% | 15 | 14 | 9 | 54 | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 11% | 28% | 35% | 19% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 1 of 7 | 14% | 14 | 15 | 9 | 51 | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 23% | 38% | 26% | 6% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| 0 of 7 | 0% | 13 | 16 | 9 | 48 | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 28% | 47% | 18% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |