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Sun Sep 14 3:30 pm

English Premier League - Week 6 of 41

Everton What If?

The Everton What If table presents different table probabilities dependent upon how it plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Everton What If?

Next Game - Liverpool (4‑0)

  Resultant Record Season Finish RelegationRel
  W L T Pts 1*
EPL Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
 2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 4**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 5***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
Win Next Game 3 1 1 10 <1% <1% 1% 2% 2% 4% 5% 5% 7% 7% 7% 8% 8% 8% 8% 8% 7% 13%
Current Standings 2 1 1 7 <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 6% 7% 8% 8% 8% 8% 8% 8% 17%
Lose Next Game 2 2 1 7 <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 5% 6% 7% 8% 8% 8% 8% 8% 8% 17%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Finishing Spot RelegationRel
  1*
EPL Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
 2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 4**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 5***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
Best Case Scenario <1% <1% 1% 2% 2% 4% 5% 5% 7% 7% 7% 8% 8% 8% 8% 8% 7% 13%
Current Standings <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 6% 7% 8% 8% 8% 8% 8% 8% 17%
Worst Case Scenario <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 5% 6% 7% 8% 8% 8% 8% 8% 8% 17%
Best Case Scenario
   Everton beats Liverpool
 Worst Case Scenario
   Liverpool beats Everton
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Finishing Spot RelegationRel
W L T Pts 1*
EPL Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
 2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 4**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 5***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
34 of 34 100% 36 1 1 109 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
32 of 34 94% 34 3 1 103 93% 6% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
31 of 34 91% 33 4 1 100 84% 16% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
30 of 34 88% 32 5 1 97 69% 29% 2% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
29 of 34 85% 31 6 1 94 50% 42% 7% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
28 of 34 82% 30 7 1 91 31% 50% 18% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
27 of 34 79% 29 8 1 88 17% 46% 31% 6% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
26 of 34 76% 28 9 1 85 8% 34% 40% 16% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
25 of 34 74% 27 10 1 82 3% 21% 40% 29% 7% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
24 of 34 71% 26 11 1 79 1% 10% 31% 38% 17% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
23 of 34 68% 25 12 1 76 <1% 3% 18% 37% 30% 10% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
22 of 34 65% 24 13 1 73 <1% 1% 8% 27% 37% 21% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
21 of 34 62% 23 14 1 70 <1% <1% 3% 14% 32% 33% 15% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
20 of 34 59% 22 15 1 67 <1% <1% 1% 6% 20% 35% 28% 10% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
19 of 34 56% 21 16 1 64 <1% <1% <1% 1% 9% 25% 35% 22% 7% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
18 of 34 53% 20 17 1 61 <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 12% 29% 33% 18% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
17 of 34 50% 19 18 1 58 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 15% 32% 31% 15% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
16 of 34 47% 18 19 1 55 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 5% 18% 32% 29% 12% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
15 of 34 44% 17 20 1 52 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 6% 20% 33% 27% 11% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
14 of 34 41% 16 21 1 49 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 7% 22% 33% 26% 9% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1%
13 of 34 38% 15 22 1 46 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 7% 23% 34% 25% 9% 1% <1% <1% <1%
12 of 34 35% 14 23 1 43 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 8% 23% 34% 24% 8% 1% <1% <1%
11 of 34 32% 13 24 1 40 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 8% 23% 35% 24% 8% 1% <1%
10 of 34 29% 12 25 1 37 X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 8% 24% 35% 24% 7% 1%
9 of 34 26% 11 26 1 34 X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 8% 26% 36% 23% 6%
8 of 34 24% 10 27 1 31 X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 9% 29% 37% 24%
7 of 34 21% 9 28 1 28 X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 11% 33% 54%
6 of 34 18% 8 29 1 25 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 17% 81%
5 of 34 15% 7 30 1 22 X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 95%
0 of 34 0% 2 35 1 7 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this spot
  • X means the team cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes EPL Champions and advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • ** denotes advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • ***denotes advancement to UEFA Europa League