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Sun Oct 6 11:45 am

English Premier League - Week 8 of 41

Everton What If?

The Everton What If table presents different table probabilities dependent upon how it plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Everton What If?

Next Game - Ipswich Town (0‑3‑4)

  Resultant Record Season Finish RelegationRel
  W L T Pts 1*
EPL Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
 2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 4**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 5***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
 6#
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
Win Next Game 2 4 2 8 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 9% 11% 14% 44%
Current Standings 1 4 2 5 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 7% 10% 13% 51%
Lose Next Game 1 5 2 5 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 7% 9% 13% 55%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Finishing Spot RelegationRel
  1*
EPL Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
 2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 4**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 5***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
 6#
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
Current Standings <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 7% 10% 13% 51%
Best Case Scenario
None 		Worst Case Scenario
None
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Finishing Spot RelegationRel
W L T Pts 1*
EPL Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
 2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 4**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 5***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
 6#
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
31 of 31 100% 32 4 2 98 94% 6% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
30 of 31 97% 31 5 2 95 84% 16% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
29 of 31 94% 30 6 2 92 67% 30% 3% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
28 of 31 90% 29 7 2 89 46% 44% 10% 1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
27 of 31 87% 28 8 2 86 27% 47% 23% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
26 of 31 84% 27 9 2 83 13% 39% 36% 11% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
25 of 31 81% 26 10 2 80 5% 25% 40% 24% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
24 of 31 77% 25 11 2 77 1% 11% 33% 36% 15% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
23 of 31 74% 24 12 2 74 <1% 4% 19% 37% 30% 10% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
22 of 31 71% 23 13 2 71 <1% 1% 7% 24% 38% 23% 6% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
21 of 31 68% 22 14 2 68 <1% <1% 1% 11% 30% 35% 18% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
20 of 31 65% 21 15 2 65 <1% <1% <1% 3% 15% 32% 33% 15% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
19 of 31 61% 20 16 2 62 <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 17% 33% 30% 13% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
18 of 31 58% 19 17 2 59 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 5% 19% 33% 28% 12% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
17 of 31 55% 18 18 2 56 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 6% 19% 33% 27% 12% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
16 of 31 52% 17 19 2 53 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 5% 19% 32% 28% 12% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
15 of 31 48% 16 20 2 50 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 5% 18% 32% 28% 13% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1%
14 of 31 45% 15 21 2 47 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 18% 32% 30% 13% 3% <1% <1% <1%
13 of 31 42% 14 22 2 44 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 16% 33% 30% 14% 3% <1% <1%
12 of 31 39% 13 23 2 41 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 16% 33% 31% 14% 2% <1%
11 of 31 35% 12 24 2 38 X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 16% 34% 32% 12% 2%
10 of 31 32% 11 25 2 35 X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 19% 37% 30% 10%
9 of 31 29% 10 26 2 32 X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 5% 24% 40% 30%
8 of 31 26% 9 27 2 29 X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 8% 32% 59%
7 of 31 23% 8 28 2 26 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 15% 84%
5 of 31 16% 6 30 2 20 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 99%
0 of 31 0% 1 35 2 5 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this spot
  • X means the team cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes EPL Champions and advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • ** denotes advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • ***denotes advancement to UEFA Europa League
  • #  denotes advancement to UEFA Conference League Playoff Round