PlayoffStatus.com

Sun Mar 22 12:15 pm

English Premier League - Week 35 of 41

Liverpool What If?

The Liverpool What If table presents different table probabilities dependent upon how it plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Liverpool What If?

Next Game - Fulham (13‑13‑5)

  Resultant Record Season Finish RelegationRel
  W L T Pts 1*
EPL Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
4**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
5***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
Win Next Game 15 10 7 52 <1% <1% 8% 18% 27% 22% 13% 7% 4% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Current Standings 14 10 7 49 <1% <1% 6% 14% 23% 21% 15% 10% 6% 4% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Lose Next Game 14 11 7 49 X <1% 2% 7% 17% 19% 16% 13% 10% 7% 5% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Finishing Spot RelegationRel
  1*
EPL Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
4**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
5***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
Best Case Scenario <1% <1% 10% 22% 26% 18% 12% 7% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Current Standings <1% <1% 6% 14% 23% 21% 15% 10% 6% 4% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Worst Case Scenario X <1% 1% 5% 14% 22% 18% 14% 10% 7% 4% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Best Case Scenario
   Manchester City beats Chelsea
   Liverpool beats Fulham
   Nottingham beats Aston Villa
Worst Case Scenario
   Chelsea beats Manchester City
   Fulham beats Liverpool
   Aston Villa beats Nottingham
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Finishing Spot RelegationRel
W L T Pts 1*
EPL Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
4**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
5***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
7 of 7 100% 21 10 7 70 <1% 3% 90% 7% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
6 of 7 86% 20 11 7 67 X <1% 60% 36% 3% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
5 of 7 71% 19 12 7 64 X <1% 16% 50% 31% 3% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
4 of 7 57% 18 13 7 61 X <1% 1% 14% 49% 32% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
3 of 7 43% 17 14 7 58 X X <1% <1% 9% 36% 39% 14% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
2 of 7 29% 16 15 7 55 X X <1% <1% <1% 2% 14% 33% 33% 14% 3% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
1 of 7 14% 15 16 7 52 X X X X <1% <1% <1% 1% 10% 29% 36% 20% 4% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
0 of 7 0% 14 17 7 49 X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% 1% 8% 31% 43% 16% 1% <1% <1% <1%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this spot
  • X means the team cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes EPL Champions and advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • ** denotes advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • ***denotes advancement to UEFA Europa League