PlayoffStatus.com

Mon Feb 3 10:15 pm

English Premier League - Week 27 of 41

Liverpool What If?

The Liverpool What If table presents different table probabilities dependent upon how it plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Liverpool What If?

Next Game - Everton (6‑9‑8)

  Resultant Record Season Finish RelegationRel
  W L T Pts 1*
EPL Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
4**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
5***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
6#
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
Win Next Game 18 1 5 59 94% 6% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
Current Standings 17 1 5 56 92% 7% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Lose Next Game 17 2 5 56 87% 12% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Finishing Spot RelegationRel
  1*
EPL Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
4**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
5***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
6#
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
Best Case Scenario 98% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
Current Standings 92% 7% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Worst Case Scenario 76% 21% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Best Case Scenario
   Liverpool beats Everton
   Leicester City beats Arsenal
   Liverpool beats Wolverhampton
Worst Case Scenario
   Everton beats Liverpool
   Arsenal beats Leicester City
   Wolverhampton beats Liverpool
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Finishing Spot RelegationRel
W L T Pts 1*
EPL Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
4**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
5***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
6#
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
15 of 15 100% 32 1 5 101 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
14 of 15 93% 31 2 5 98 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
13 of 15 87% 30 3 5 95 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
12 of 15 80% 29 4 5 92 >99% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
11 of 15 73% 28 5 5 89 98% 2% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
10 of 15 67% 27 6 5 86 91% 9% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
9 of 15 60% 26 7 5 83 73% 27% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
8 of 15 53% 25 8 5 80 46% 51% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
7 of 15 47% 24 9 5 77 20% 66% 14% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
6 of 15 40% 23 10 5 74 5% 49% 37% 8% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
5 of 15 33% 22 11 5 71 <1% 18% 41% 30% 9% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
4 of 15 27% 21 12 5 68 <1% 2% 16% 35% 32% 12% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
3 of 15 20% 20 13 5 65 <1% <1% 2% 12% 32% 37% 16% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
2 of 15 13% 19 14 5 62 <1% <1% <1% 1% 8% 32% 44% 13% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
1 of 15 7% 18 15 5 59 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 7% 34% 41% 16% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
0 of 15 0% 17 16 5 56 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 6% 27% 39% 22% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this spot
  • X means the team cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes EPL Champions and advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • ** denotes advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • ***denotes advancement to UEFA Europa League
  • #  denotes advancement to UEFA Conference League Playoff Round