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Mon Sep 30 5:30 pm

English Premier League - Week 8 of 41

Liverpool What If?

The Liverpool What If table presents different table probabilities dependent upon how it plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Liverpool What If?

Next Game - Crystal Palace (0‑3‑3)

  Resultant Record Season Finish RelegationRel
  W L T Pts 1*
EPL Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
 2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 4**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 5***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
 6#
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
Win Next Game 6 1 0 18 17% 18% 17% 14% 11% 8% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Standings 5 1 0 15 16% 17% 17% 14% 11% 8% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Lose Next Game 5 2 0 15 12% 15% 16% 15% 12% 9% 7% 5% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Finishing Spot RelegationRel
  1*
EPL Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
 2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 4**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 5***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
 6#
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
Best Case Scenario 19% 18% 17% 13% 10% 7% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Standings 16% 17% 17% 14% 11% 8% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Worst Case Scenario 12% 16% 16% 15% 12% 9% 6% 5% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Best Case Scenario
   Liverpool beats Crystal Palace
   Southampton beats Arsenal
   Nottingham beats Chelsea
 Worst Case Scenario
   Crystal Palace beats Liverpool
   Arsenal beats Southampton
   Chelsea beats Nottingham
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Finishing Spot RelegationRel
W L T Pts 1*
EPL Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
 2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 4**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 5***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
 6#
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
32 of 32 100% 37 1 0 111 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
30 of 32 94% 35 3 0 105 >99% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
28 of 32 88% 33 5 0 99 91% 9% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
27 of 32 84% 32 6 0 96 78% 21% 1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
26 of 32 81% 31 7 0 93 60% 35% 5% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
25 of 32 78% 30 8 0 90 40% 46% 13% 1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
24 of 32 75% 29 9 0 87 24% 47% 25% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
23 of 32 72% 28 10 0 84 12% 39% 37% 11% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
22 of 32 69% 27 11 0 81 5% 25% 42% 24% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
21 of 32 66% 26 12 0 78 1% 13% 36% 35% 12% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
20 of 32 63% 25 13 0 75 <1% 5% 23% 40% 26% 6% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
19 of 32 59% 24 14 0 72 <1% 1% 10% 31% 37% 17% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
18 of 32 56% 23 15 0 69 <1% <1% 3% 16% 35% 31% 13% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
17 of 32 53% 22 16 0 66 <1% <1% 1% 5% 21% 35% 27% 9% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
16 of 32 50% 21 17 0 63 <1% <1% <1% 1% 8% 25% 34% 23% 8% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
15 of 32 47% 20 18 0 60 <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 10% 26% 33% 21% 6% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
14 of 32 44% 19 19 0 57 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 11% 27% 33% 20% 6% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
13 of 32 41% 18 20 0 54 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 11% 27% 32% 20% 6% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
12 of 32 38% 17 21 0 51 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 11% 27% 32% 20% 6% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
11 of 32 34% 16 22 0 48 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 11% 27% 33% 20% 6% 1% <1% <1% <1%
10 of 32 31% 15 23 0 45 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 10% 27% 34% 20% 6% 1% <1% <1%
9 of 32 28% 14 24 0 42 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 11% 27% 34% 20% 5% 1% <1%
8 of 32 25% 13 25 0 39 X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 11% 29% 35% 19% 5% <1%
7 of 32 22% 12 26 0 36 X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 12% 31% 35% 16% 3%
6 of 32 19% 11 27 0 33 X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 15% 35% 33% 14%
5 of 32 16% 10 28 0 30 X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 20% 39% 37%
4 of 32 13% 9 29 0 27 X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 6% 27% 67%
3 of 32 9% 8 30 0 24 X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 11% 88%
0 of 32 0% 5 33 0 15 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% >99%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this spot
  • X means the team cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes EPL Champions and advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • ** denotes advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • ***denotes advancement to UEFA Europa League
  • #  denotes advancement to UEFA Conference League Playoff Round