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Sat Sep 30 2:45 pm

English Premier League - Week 8 of 41

Manchester City Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for Manchester City are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the team's table probabilities. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Manchester City fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.

Manchester City Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)
Game
Winner
Manchester City Resultant Probabilities
Season Finish RelegationRel
1*
EPL Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
4**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
5***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
Manchester City
(6‑1)

vs
Arsenal
(5‑0‑2)
31 Manchester City Wins 21% 19% 17% 14% 10% 8% 5% 3% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 19% 17% 16% 14% 11% 9% 6% 4% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Arsenal Wins 15% 16% 16% 15% 12% 10% 7% 4% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
West Ham
(4‑2‑1)

vs
Newcastle
(4‑3)
4 West Ham Wins 20% 17% 16% 13% 11% 9% 6% 4% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 19% 17% 16% 14% 11% 9% 6% 4% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Newcastle Wins 18% 17% 16% 14% 11% 9% 6% 4% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Brighton
(5‑2)

vs
Liverpool
(5‑1‑1)
4 Brighton Wins 20% 17% 15% 13% 11% 8% 6% 4% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 19% 17% 16% 14% 11% 9% 6% 4% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Liverpool Wins 18% 17% 16% 14% 12% 8% 6% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
WolverhamptonWolves
(2‑4‑1)

vs
Aston Villa
(5‑2)
3 WolverhamptonWolves Wins 20% 18% 16% 14% 11% 9% 6% 4% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 19% 17% 16% 14% 11% 9% 6% 4% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Aston Villa Wins 19% 17% 16% 14% 11% 9% 6% 4% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Luton Town
(1‑4‑1)

vs
Tottenham Hotspur
(5‑0‑2)
2 Luton Town Wins 19% 17% 16% 14% 11% 8% 6% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 19% 17% 16% 14% 11% 9% 6% 4% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Tottenham Hotspur Wins 19% 17% 16% 14% 11% 8% 6% 4% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Chelsea
(1‑3‑2)

vs
Burnley
(0‑5‑1)
2 Chelsea Wins 19% 17% 16% 14% 12% 9% 6% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 19% 17% 16% 14% 11% 9% 6% 4% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Burnley Wins 18% 17% 16% 14% 12% 9% 6% 4% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Brentford
(1‑2‑3)

vs
Nottingham
(2‑3‑1)
1 Brentford Wins 19% 17% 16% 14% 11% 9% 6% 4% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 19% 17% 16% 14% 11% 9% 6% 4% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Nottingham Wins 19% 17% 16% 14% 11% 9% 6% 4% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
BournemouthBournemoth
(0‑4‑3)

vs
Everton
(1‑5‑1)
1 BournemouthBournemoth Wins 19% 17% 16% 14% 12% 9% 6% 4% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 19% 17% 16% 14% 11% 9% 6% 4% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Everton Wins 18% 17% 16% 14% 12% 9% 6% 4% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Burnley
(0‑5‑1)

vs
Luton Town
(1‑4‑1)
1 Burnley Wins 19% 17% 16% 14% 11% 9% 6% 4% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 19% 17% 16% 14% 11% 9% 6% 4% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Luton Town Wins 19% 17% 16% 14% 12% 9% 6% 4% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Fulham
(2‑2‑2)

vs
Sheffield United
(0‑6‑1)
1 Fulham Wins 19% 17% 16% 15% 12% 8% 6% 4% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 19% 17% 16% 14% 11% 9% 6% 4% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Sheffield United Wins 19% 17% 16% 14% 11% 9% 6% 4% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Manchester United
(3‑4)

vs
Brentford
(1‑2‑3)
0 Manchester United Wins 19% 17% 16% 14% 12% 9% 6% 4% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 19% 17% 16% 14% 11% 9% 6% 4% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Brentford Wins 19% 17% 16% 14% 11% 9% 6% 4% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Fulham
(2‑2‑2)

vs
Chelsea
(1‑3‑2)
0 Fulham Wins 19% 17% 16% 14% 11% 8% 6% 4% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 19% 17% 16% 14% 11% 9% 6% 4% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Chelsea Wins 19% 17% 16% 14% 11% 9% 6% 4% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Crystal Palace
(3‑2‑2)

vs
Nottingham
(2‑3‑1)
0 Crystal Palace Wins 19% 17% 16% 14% 12% 8% 6% 4% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 19% 17% 16% 14% 11% 9% 6% 4% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Nottingham Wins 19% 17% 16% 14% 12% 9% 6% 4% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this spot
  • X means the team cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • *  denotes EPL Champions and advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • ** denotes advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • ***denotes advancement to UEFA Europa League