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Sun Nov 13 1:30 pm

English Premier League - Week 16 of 43

Manchester City Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for Manchester City are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the team's table probabilities. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Manchester City fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.

Manchester City Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)
Game
Winner
Manchester City Resultant Probabilities
Season Finish RelegationRel
1*
EPL Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participate
2**
UEFA Champions League
Participate
3**
UEFA Champions League
Participate
4**
UEFA Champions League
Participate
5***
UEFA Europa League
Participate
6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
Manchester City
(10‑2‑2)

vs
Everton
(3‑7‑5)
27 Manchester City Wins 37% 39% 14% 6% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 35% 39% 15% 6% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Everton Wins 26% 39% 19% 9% 4% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Manchester City
(10‑2‑2)

vs
Leeds United
(4‑7‑3)
26 Manchester City Wins 38% 39% 14% 5% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 35% 39% 15% 6% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Leeds United Wins 28% 40% 18% 8% 4% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Brighton
(6‑5‑3)

vs
Arsenal
(12‑1‑1)
16 Brighton Wins 41% 34% 14% 6% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 35% 39% 15% 6% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Arsenal Wins 33% 41% 15% 7% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
West Ham
(4‑9‑2)

vs
Arsenal
(12‑1‑1)
16 West Ham Wins 43% 33% 14% 6% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 35% 39% 15% 6% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Arsenal Wins 35% 39% 15% 6% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Leeds United
(4‑7‑3)

vs
Newcastle
(8‑1‑6)
3 Leeds United Wins 37% 41% 13% 5% 3% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 35% 39% 15% 6% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Newcastle Wins 35% 38% 15% 6% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Leicester City
(5‑8‑2)

vs
Newcastle
(8‑1‑6)
3 Leicester City Wins 36% 40% 13% 6% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 35% 39% 15% 6% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Newcastle Wins 35% 38% 16% 6% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Aston Villa
(5‑7‑3)

vs
Tottenham Hotspur
(9‑4‑2)
2 Aston Villa Wins 36% 39% 15% 6% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 35% 39% 15% 6% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Tottenham Hotspur Wins 35% 39% 15% 6% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Leicester City
(5‑8‑2)

vs
Liverpool
(6‑4‑4)
2 Leicester City Wins 36% 39% 15% 6% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 35% 39% 15% 6% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Liverpool Wins 36% 38% 15% 6% 3% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
WolverhamptonWolves
(2‑9‑4)

vs
Manchester United
(8‑4‑2)
2 WolverhamptonWolves Wins 36% 39% 14% 6% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 35% 39% 15% 6% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Manchester United Wins 36% 39% 15% 6% 3% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Brentford
(4‑4‑7)

vs
Tottenham Hotspur
(9‑4‑2)
2 Brentford Wins 36% 39% 14% 6% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 35% 39% 15% 6% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Tottenham Hotspur Wins 36% 38% 15% 6% 3% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
West Ham
(4‑9‑2)

vs
Brentford
(4‑4‑7)
1 West Ham Wins 36% 39% 14% 6% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 35% 39% 15% 6% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Brentford Wins 35% 38% 15% 6% 3% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
SouthamptonS Hmp
(3‑9‑3)

vs
Brighton
(6‑5‑3)
1 SouthamptonS Hmp Wins 35% 39% 15% 6% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 35% 39% 15% 6% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Brighton Wins 35% 39% 15% 6% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Chelsea
(6‑5‑3)

vs
BournemouthBournemoth
(4‑7‑4)
1 Chelsea Wins 36% 39% 14% 6% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 35% 39% 15% 6% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
BournemouthBournemoth Wins 35% 39% 15% 6% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Aston Villa
(5‑7‑3)

vs
Liverpool
(6‑4‑4)
1 Aston Villa Wins 35% 40% 15% 6% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 35% 39% 15% 6% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Liverpool Wins 35% 39% 15% 6% 3% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Nottingham
(3‑8‑4)

vs
Chelsea
(6‑5‑3)
1 Nottingham Wins 36% 39% 15% 6% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 35% 39% 15% 6% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Chelsea Wins 36% 39% 15% 6% 3% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Fulham
(5‑6‑4)

vs
Crystal Palace
(5‑5‑4)
1 Fulham Wins 36% 38% 15% 6% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 35% 39% 15% 6% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Crystal Palace Wins 36% 39% 14% 6% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
BournemouthBournemoth
(4‑7‑4)

vs
Crystal Palace
(5‑5‑4)
1 BournemouthBournemoth Wins 36% 38% 15% 6% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 35% 39% 15% 6% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Crystal Palace Wins 36% 39% 15% 6% 3% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Fulham
(5‑6‑4)

vs
SouthamptonS Hmp
(3‑9‑3)
1 Fulham Wins 36% 39% 15% 6% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 35% 39% 15% 6% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
SouthamptonS Hmp Wins 35% 39% 15% 6% 3% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Nottingham
(3‑8‑4)

vs
Manchester United
(8‑4‑2)
0 Nottingham Wins 36% 40% 15% 6% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 35% 39% 15% 6% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Manchester United Wins 36% 39% 15% 6% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Everton
(3‑7‑5)

vs
WolverhamptonWolves
(2‑9‑4)
0 Everton Wins 35% 39% 14% 6% 3% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 35% 39% 15% 6% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
WolverhamptonWolves Wins 35% 40% 15% 6% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this spot
  • X means the team cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • *  denotes EPL Champions and advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • ** denotes advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • ***denotes advancement to UEFA Europa League