The Manchester City What If table presents different table probabilities dependent upon how it plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Season Finish | RelegationRel | ||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* EPL Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | ||
| Win Next Game | 17 | 5 | 5 | 56 | 23% | 63% | 12% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Standings | 16 | 5 | 5 | 53 | 21% | 63% | 14% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Lose Next Game | 16 | 6 | 5 | 53 | 12% | 62% | 20% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Finishing Spot | RelegationRel | |||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* EPL Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | ||
| Best Case Scenario | 33% | 54% | 11% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Standings | 21% | 63% | 14% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Worst Case Scenario | 8% | 65% | 21% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
|
Best Case Scenario Manchester City beats Newcastle Tottenham Hotspur beats Arsenal |
Worst Case Scenario Newcastle beats Manchester City Arsenal beats Tottenham Hotspur |
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| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Finishing Spot | RelegationRel | |||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* EPL Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | |||
| 12 of 12 | 100% | 28 | 5 | 5 | 89 | 97% | 3% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 11 of 12 | 92% | 27 | 6 | 5 | 86 | 81% | 19% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 10 of 12 | 83% | 26 | 7 | 5 | 83 | 52% | 48% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 9 of 12 | 75% | 25 | 8 | 5 | 80 | 24% | 74% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 8 of 12 | 67% | 24 | 9 | 5 | 77 | 8% | 83% | 10% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 7 of 12 | 58% | 23 | 10 | 5 | 74 | 1% | 69% | 29% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 6 of 12 | 50% | 22 | 11 | 5 | 71 | <1% | 39% | 53% | 8% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 5 of 12 | 42% | 21 | 12 | 5 | 68 | <1% | 12% | 52% | 31% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 4 of 12 | 33% | 20 | 13 | 5 | 65 | <1% | 1% | 21% | 45% | 27% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 3 of 12 | 25% | 19 | 14 | 5 | 62 | <1% | <1% | 3% | 19% | 40% | 30% | 8% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 2 of 12 | 17% | 18 | 15 | 5 | 59 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 13% | 36% | 36% | 12% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| 1 of 12 | 8% | 17 | 16 | 5 | 56 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 26% | 39% | 23% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 0 of 12 | 0% | 16 | 17 | 5 | 53 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 12% | 30% | 33% | 17% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |