The Most Important Games for Manchester United are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the team's table probabilities. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Manchester United fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Manchester United Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season Finish | RelegationRel | |||||||||||||||||||
| 1* EPL Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
6# UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | ||||
| Brighton (13‑9‑12) vs Newcastle (19‑10‑5) |
0 | Brighton Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 4% | 15% | 20% | 23% | 26% | 13% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 15% | 20% | 23% | 26% | 13% | ^ | ||
| Newcastle Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 15% | 19% | 23% | 26% | 13% | ^ | ||
| West Ham (9‑16‑9) vs Tottenham Hotspur (11‑19‑4) |
0 | West Ham Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 18% | 20% | 22% | 19% | 17% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 15% | 20% | 23% | 26% | 13% | ^ | ||
| Tottenham Hotspur Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 13% | 18% | 23% | 33% | 10% | ^ | ||
| Manchester United (10‑15‑9) vs Brentford (14‑13‑7) |
0 | Manchester United Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 11% | 32% | 25% | 18% | 11% | 2% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 15% | 20% | 23% | 26% | 13% | ^ | ||
| Brentford Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 10% | 17% | 24% | 32% | 17% | ^ | ||
| Ipswich Town (4‑21‑9) vs Everton (8‑12‑14) |
0 | Ipswich Town Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 20% | 24% | 24% | 18% | 11% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 15% | 20% | 23% | 26% | 13% | ^ | ||
| Everton Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 13% | 18% | 23% | 29% | 13% | ^ | ||
| Arsenal (18‑3‑13) vs BournemouthBournemoth (13‑10‑11) |
0 | Arsenal Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 15% | 19% | 23% | 26% | 13% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 15% | 20% | 23% | 26% | 13% | ^ | ||
| BournemouthBournemoth Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 4% | 15% | 19% | 23% | 26% | 13% | ^ | ||
| Fulham (14‑11‑9) vs Aston Villa (16‑9‑9) |
0 | Fulham Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 15% | 19% | 23% | 26% | 13% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 15% | 20% | 23% | 26% | 13% | ^ | ||
| Aston Villa Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 15% | 19% | 23% | 26% | 13% | ^ | ||
| Manchester City (18‑9‑7) vs WolverhamptonWolves (12‑17‑5) |
0 | Manchester City Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 16% | 20% | 23% | 25% | 13% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 15% | 20% | 23% | 26% | 13% | ^ | ||
| WolverhamptonWolves Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 10% | 18% | 25% | 31% | 14% | ^ | ||
| Leicester City (4‑24‑6) vs SouthamptonSouthamptn (2‑27‑5) |
0 | Leicester City Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 15% | 20% | 23% | 26% | 13% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 15% | 20% | 23% | 26% | 13% | ^ | ||
| SouthamptonSouthamptn Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 15% | 20% | 23% | 26% | 13% | ^ | ||
| Chelsea (17‑8‑9) vs Liverpool (25‑2‑7) |
0 | Chelsea Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 15% | 20% | 23% | 26% | 13% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 15% | 20% | 23% | 26% | 13% | ^ | ||
| Liverpool Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 15% | 20% | 23% | 26% | 13% | ^ | ||