The Manchester United What If table presents different table probabilities dependent upon how it plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
Resultant Record | Season Finish | RelegationRel | ||||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* EPL Champions and UEFA Champions League Participate |
2** UEFA Champions League Participate |
3** UEFA Champions League Participate |
4** UEFA Champions League Participate |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participate |
6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | ||
Win Next Game | 13 | 5 | 3 | 42 | <1% | 8% | 25% | 32% | 18% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Current Standings | 12 | 5 | 3 | 39 | <1% | 7% | 24% | 31% | 18% | 10% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Lose Next Game | 12 | 6 | 3 | 39 | <1% | 3% | 17% | 30% | 21% | 14% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Finishing Spot | RelegationRel | |||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1* EPL Champions and UEFA Champions League Participate |
2** UEFA Champions League Participate |
3** UEFA Champions League Participate |
4** UEFA Champions League Participate |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participate |
6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | ||
Best Case Scenario | <1% | 6% | 28% | 37% | 15% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Current Standings | <1% | 7% | 24% | 31% | 18% | 10% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Worst Case Scenario | <1% | 4% | 16% | 27% | 22% | 15% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Best Case Scenario Bournemouth beats Brighton Manchester United beats Crystal Palace Manchester City beats Tottenham Hotspur |
Worst Case Scenario Brighton beats Bournemouth Crystal Palace beats Manchester United Tottenham Hotspur beats Manchester City |
Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Finishing Spot | RelegationRel | |||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* EPL Champions and UEFA Champions League Participate |
2** UEFA Champions League Participate |
3** UEFA Champions League Participate |
4** UEFA Champions League Participate |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participate |
6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | |||
18 of 18 | 100% | 30 | 5 | 3 | 93 | 42% | 56% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
17 of 18 | 94% | 29 | 6 | 3 | 90 | 21% | 69% | 10% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
16 of 18 | 89% | 28 | 7 | 3 | 87 | 8% | 65% | 28% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
15 of 18 | 83% | 27 | 8 | 3 | 84 | 2% | 46% | 49% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
14 of 18 | 78% | 26 | 9 | 3 | 81 | <1% | 25% | 63% | 12% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
13 of 18 | 72% | 25 | 10 | 3 | 78 | <1% | 9% | 57% | 32% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
12 of 18 | 67% | 24 | 11 | 3 | 75 | <1% | 2% | 35% | 54% | 8% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
11 of 18 | 61% | 23 | 12 | 3 | 72 | <1% | <1% | 14% | 54% | 28% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
10 of 18 | 56% | 22 | 13 | 3 | 69 | <1% | <1% | 3% | 32% | 44% | 18% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
9 of 18 | 50% | 21 | 14 | 3 | 66 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 10% | 35% | 38% | 15% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
8 of 18 | 44% | 20 | 15 | 3 | 63 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 13% | 34% | 36% | 14% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
7 of 18 | 39% | 19 | 16 | 3 | 60 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 13% | 34% | 36% | 14% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
6 of 18 | 33% | 18 | 17 | 3 | 57 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 12% | 34% | 36% | 15% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
5 of 18 | 28% | 17 | 18 | 3 | 54 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 12% | 34% | 38% | 13% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
4 of 18 | 22% | 16 | 19 | 3 | 51 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 12% | 38% | 37% | 11% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
3 of 18 | 17% | 15 | 20 | 3 | 48 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 15% | 40% | 34% | 10% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
2 of 18 | 11% | 14 | 21 | 3 | 45 | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 16% | 40% | 33% | 9% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
1 of 18 | 6% | 13 | 22 | 3 | 42 | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 15% | 39% | 32% | 10% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
0 of 18 | 0% | 12 | 23 | 3 | 39 | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 13% | 35% | 34% | 14% | 3% | <1% |