The Newcastle What If table presents different table probabilities dependent upon how it plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Season Finish | RelegationRel | ||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* EPL Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | ||
| Win Next Game | 12 | 12 | 6 | 42 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 9% | 14% | 15% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Standings | 11 | 12 | 6 | 39 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 14% | 13% | 13% | 6% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| Lose Next Game | 11 | 13 | 6 | 39 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 14% | 15% | 16% | 7% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| Finishing Spot | RelegationRel | |||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* EPL Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | ||
| Best Case Scenario | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 9% | 14% | 15% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Standings | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 14% | 13% | 13% | 6% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| Worst Case Scenario | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 14% | 15% | 16% | 7% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
|
Best Case Scenario Newcastle beats Chelsea |
Worst Case Scenario Chelsea beats Newcastle |
|||||||||||||||||
| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Finishing Spot | RelegationRel | |||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* EPL Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | |||
| 9 of 9 | 100% | 20 | 12 | 6 | 66 | <1% | <1% | 20% | 47% | 28% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 8 of 9 | 89% | 19 | 13 | 6 | 63 | X | <1% | 2% | 17% | 40% | 32% | 8% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 7 of 9 | 78% | 18 | 14 | 6 | 60 | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 9% | 35% | 41% | 13% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 6 of 9 | 67% | 17 | 15 | 6 | 57 | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 29% | 45% | 18% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 5 of 9 | 56% | 16 | 16 | 6 | 54 | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 17% | 36% | 30% | 12% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| 4 of 9 | 44% | 15 | 17 | 6 | 51 | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 18% | 33% | 30% | 13% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 3 of 9 | 33% | 14 | 18 | 6 | 48 | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 20% | 41% | 31% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 2 of 9 | 22% | 13 | 19 | 6 | 45 | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 10% | 49% | 34% | 6% | <1% | <1% |
| 1 of 9 | 11% | 12 | 20 | 6 | 42 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 14% | 44% | 33% | 8% | <1% |
| 0 of 9 | 0% | 11 | 21 | 6 | 39 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 12% | 39% | 37% | 12% |