The Nottingham What If table presents different table probabilities dependent upon how it plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
Resultant Record | Season Finish | RelegationRel | ||||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* EPL Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
6# UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | ||
Win Next Game | 17 | 7 | 6 | 57 | <1% | 13% | 57% | 18% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
Current Standings | 16 | 7 | 6 | 54 | <1% | 11% | 52% | 20% | 10% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
Lose Next Game | 16 | 8 | 6 | 54 | <1% | 4% | 40% | 25% | 16% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
Finishing Spot | RelegationRel | |||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1* EPL Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
6# UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | ||
Best Case Scenario | <1% | 10% | 54% | 20% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
Current Standings | <1% | 11% | 52% | 20% | 10% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
Worst Case Scenario | <1% | 10% | 51% | 20% | 11% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
Best Case Scenario Crystal Palace beats Newcastle |
Worst Case Scenario Newcastle beats Crystal Palace |
Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Finishing Spot | RelegationRel | |||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* EPL Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
6# UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | |||
9 of 9 | 100% | 25 | 7 | 6 | 81 | 1% | 86% | 14% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
8 of 9 | 89% | 24 | 8 | 6 | 78 | <1% | 58% | 42% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
7 of 9 | 78% | 23 | 9 | 6 | 75 | <1% | 27% | 72% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
6 of 9 | 67% | 22 | 10 | 6 | 72 | <1% | 7% | 80% | 12% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
5 of 9 | 56% | 21 | 11 | 6 | 69 | X | 1% | 52% | 38% | 8% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
4 of 9 | 44% | 20 | 12 | 6 | 66 | X | <1% | 13% | 38% | 36% | 12% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
3 of 9 | 33% | 19 | 13 | 6 | 63 | X | <1% | 1% | 8% | 28% | 39% | 20% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
2 of 9 | 22% | 18 | 14 | 6 | 60 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 15% | 36% | 34% | 11% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
1 of 9 | 11% | 17 | 15 | 6 | 57 | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 24% | 41% | 25% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
0 of 9 | 0% | 16 | 16 | 6 | 54 | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 9% | 31% | 38% | 18% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |