PlayoffStatus.com

Sun Oct 6 1:30 pm

English Premier League - Week 9 of 41

Southampton What If?

The Southampton What If table presents different table probabilities dependent upon how it plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Southampton What If?

Next Game - Leicester City (1‑3‑3)

  Resultant Record Season Finish RelegationRel
  W L T Pts 1*
EPL Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
4**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
5***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
6#
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
Win Next Game 1 6 1 4 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 5% 9% 78%
Current Standings 0 6 1 1 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 7% 82%
Lose Next Game 0 7 1 1 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 4% 7% 85%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Finishing Spot RelegationRel
  1*
EPL Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
4**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
5***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
6#
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
Best Case Scenario <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 5% 9% 78%
Current Standings <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 7% 82%
Worst Case Scenario <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 4% 7% 85%
Best Case Scenario
   Southampton beats Leicester City
Worst Case Scenario
   Leicester City beats Southampton
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Finishing Spot RelegationRel
W L T Pts 1*
EPL Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
4**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
5***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
6#
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
31 of 31 100% 31 6 1 94 79% 21% 1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
30 of 31 97% 30 7 1 91 62% 34% 4% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
29 of 31 94% 29 8 1 88 43% 45% 12% 1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
28 of 31 90% 28 9 1 85 25% 47% 24% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
27 of 31 87% 27 10 1 82 11% 38% 37% 12% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
26 of 31 84% 26 11 1 79 4% 24% 41% 25% 6% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
25 of 31 81% 25 12 1 76 1% 11% 32% 37% 16% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
24 of 31 77% 24 13 1 73 <1% 3% 18% 36% 31% 11% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
23 of 31 74% 23 14 1 70 <1% 1% 6% 24% 37% 25% 7% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
22 of 31 71% 22 15 1 67 <1% <1% 1% 10% 27% 35% 21% 5% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
21 of 31 68% 21 16 1 64 <1% <1% <1% 2% 12% 29% 34% 17% 5% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
20 of 31 65% 20 17 1 61 <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 14% 30% 32% 16% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
19 of 31 61% 19 18 1 58 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 15% 30% 31% 16% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
18 of 31 58% 18 19 1 55 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 15% 30% 31% 16% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
17 of 31 55% 17 20 1 52 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 14% 30% 31% 17% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
16 of 31 52% 16 21 1 49 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 13% 29% 31% 17% 5% 1% <1% <1% <1%
15 of 31 48% 15 22 1 46 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 12% 28% 33% 18% 5% 1% <1% <1%
14 of 31 45% 14 23 1 43 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 5% 1% <1%
13 of 31 42% 13 24 1 40 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 5% 1%
12 of 31 39% 12 25 1 37 X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4%
11 of 31 35% 11 26 1 34 X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 12% 32% 36% 19%
10 of 31 32% 10 27 1 31 X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 15% 36% 47%
9 of 31 29% 9 28 1 28 X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 20% 76%
8 of 31 26% 8 29 1 25 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 6% 93%
5 of 31 16% 5 32 1 16 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% >99%
0 of 31 0% 0 37 1 1 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this spot
  • X means the team cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes EPL Champions and advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • ** denotes advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • ***denotes advancement to UEFA Europa League
  • #  denotes advancement to UEFA Conference League Playoff Round