PlayoffStatus.com

Sun Sep 18 11:45 am

English Premier League - Week 8 of 43

Southampton What If?

The Southampton What If table presents different table probabilities dependent upon how it plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Southampton What If?

Next Game - Everton (1‑2‑4)

  Resultant Record Season Finish RelegationRel
  W L T Pts 1*
EPL Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participate
2**
UEFA Champions League
Participate
3**
UEFA Champions League
Participate
4**
UEFA Champions League
Participate
5***
UEFA Europa League
Participate
6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
Win Next Game 3 4 1 10 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 6% 7% 9% 9% 10% 11% 11% 23%
Current Standings 2 4 1 7 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 8% 9% 10% 11% 12% 29%
Lose Next Game 2 5 1 7 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 3% 4% 6% 7% 8% 9% 11% 12% 33%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Finishing Spot RelegationRel
  1*
EPL Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participate
2**
UEFA Champions League
Participate
3**
UEFA Champions League
Participate
4**
UEFA Champions League
Participate
5***
UEFA Europa League
Participate
6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
Best Case Scenario <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 6% 7% 9% 9% 10% 11% 11% 23%
Current Standings <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 8% 9% 10% 11% 12% 29%
Worst Case Scenario <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 3% 4% 6% 7% 8% 9% 11% 12% 33%
Best Case Scenario
   Southampton beats Everton
Worst Case Scenario
   Everton beats Southampton
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Finishing Spot RelegationRel
W L T Pts 1*
EPL Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participate
2**
UEFA Champions League
Participate
3**
UEFA Champions League
Participate
4**
UEFA Champions League
Participate
5***
UEFA Europa League
Participate
6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
31 of 31 100% 33 4 1 100 98% 2% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
30 of 31 97% 32 5 1 97 93% 7% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
29 of 31 94% 31 6 1 94 83% 16% 1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
28 of 31 90% 30 7 1 91 67% 31% 3% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
27 of 31 87% 29 8 1 88 47% 44% 9% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
26 of 31 84% 28 9 1 85 26% 48% 22% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
25 of 31 81% 27 10 1 82 12% 39% 36% 12% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
24 of 31 77% 26 11 1 79 4% 23% 40% 25% 6% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
23 of 31 74% 25 12 1 76 1% 9% 30% 37% 19% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
22 of 31 71% 24 13 1 73 <1% 3% 15% 32% 33% 15% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
21 of 31 68% 23 14 1 70 <1% <1% 5% 19% 34% 29% 11% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
20 of 31 65% 22 15 1 67 <1% <1% 1% 7% 22% 34% 26% 9% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
19 of 31 61% 21 16 1 64 <1% <1% <1% 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
18 of 31 58% 20 17 1 61 <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 10% 26% 34% 21% 6% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
17 of 31 55% 19 18 1 58 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 12% 28% 33% 19% 5% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
16 of 31 52% 18 19 1 55 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 13% 30% 32% 17% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
15 of 31 48% 17 20 1 52 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 15% 31% 31% 15% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
14 of 31 45% 16 21 1 49 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 16% 32% 31% 14% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1%
13 of 31 42% 15 22 1 46 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 16% 32% 30% 14% 3% <1% <1% <1%
12 of 31 39% 14 23 1 43 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 16% 32% 30% 14% 3% <1% <1%
11 of 31 35% 13 24 1 40 X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 16% 31% 30% 14% 3% <1%
10 of 31 32% 12 25 1 37 X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 16% 32% 31% 14% 3%
9 of 31 29% 11 26 1 34 X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 16% 34% 32% 14%
8 of 31 26% 10 27 1 31 X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 18% 38% 40%
7 of 31 23% 9 28 1 28 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 5% 24% 70%
6 of 31 19% 8 29 1 25 X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 8% 91%
5 of 31 16% 7 30 1 22 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 98%
0 of 31 0% 2 35 1 7 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this spot
  • X means the team cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes EPL Champions and advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • ** denotes advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • ***denotes advancement to UEFA Europa League