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Fri Aug 22 6:00 pm

English Premier League - Week 2 of 41

Sunderland What If?

The Sunderland What If table presents different table probabilities dependent upon how it plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Sunderland What If?

Next Game - Burnley (0‑1)

  Resultant Record Season Finish RelegationRel
  W L T Pts 1*
EPL Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
 2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 4**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 5***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
Win Next Game 2 0 0 6 10% 9% 8% 7% 7% 6% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 4% 4% 4% 4% 3% 3% 7%
Current Standings 1 0 0 3 7% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 4% 4% 4% 11%
Lose Next Game 1 1 0 3 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 13%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Finishing Spot RelegationRel
  1*
EPL Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
 2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 4**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 5***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
Best Case Scenario 10% 9% 8% 7% 7% 6% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 4% 4% 4% 4% 3% 3% 7%
Current Standings 7% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 4% 4% 4% 11%
Worst Case Scenario 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 13%
Best Case Scenario
   Sunderland beats Burnley
 Worst Case Scenario
   Burnley beats Sunderland
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Finishing Spot RelegationRel
W L T Pts 1*
EPL Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
 2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 4**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 5***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
37 of 37 100% 38 0 0 114 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
35 of 37 95% 36 2 0 108 >99% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
30 of 37 81% 31 7 0 93 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
25 of 37 68% 26 12 0 78 99% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
23 of 37 62% 24 14 0 72 89% 10% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
22 of 37 59% 23 15 0 69 72% 25% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
21 of 37 57% 22 16 0 66 42% 41% 15% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
20 of 37 54% 21 17 0 63 12% 33% 34% 16% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
19 of 37 51% 20 18 0 60 1% 7% 21% 31% 25% 12% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
18 of 37 49% 19 19 0 57 <1% <1% 1% 6% 17% 28% 27% 15% 5% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
17 of 37 46% 18 20 0 54 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 8% 19% 28% 24% 13% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
16 of 37 43% 17 21 0 51 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 8% 20% 29% 24% 12% 3% 1% <1% <1%
15 of 37 41% 16 22 0 48 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 10% 23% 30% 22% 9% 2%
14 of 37 38% 15 23 0 45 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 8% 21% 32% 38%
13 of 37 35% 14 24 0 42 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 12% 85%
10 of 37 27% 11 27 0 33 X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
5 of 37 14% 6 32 0 18 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
0 of 37 0% 1 37 0 3 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this spot
  • X means the team cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes EPL Champions and advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • ** denotes advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • ***denotes advancement to UEFA Europa League