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Tue Feb 7 12:00 am

Horizon Basketball - Week 14 of 16

Youngstown St. Penguins Standings

Where are the Youngstown St. Penguins going to finish in the regular season standings and be seeded in the post season tournament? The Youngstown St. standings table presents the probabilities of the Penguins winning different finishing spots. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Horizon Basketball Standings
Record Rcrd Regular Season Finish
Team Wi
Schedule Content
Number of Wins
-----
Hover/Touch Content
Recent Games
L GPi
Games Played
20 game season
1*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Court Advantage
2*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Court Advantage
3*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Court Advantage
4*
First Round Bye and Second Round
Home Court Advantage
5**
First Round Bye
6***
First Round Home Court
Advantage
7***
First Round Home Court
Advantage
8***
First Round Home Court
Advantage
9***
First Round Home Court
Advantage
10 11
Youngstown St. 11i
Youngstown St. Recent Games

Won  Fri, Jan 27 vs Oakland            77-73 
Won  Sun, Jan 29 vs Detroit            73-63 
Won  Thu, Feb 02 vs Wright St.         91-89 
Won  Sat, Feb 04 vs Northern Kentucky  74-56 
     Fri, Feb 10 @  Fort Wayne        
     Sun, Feb 12 @  Cleveland St.     
     Thu, Feb 16 vs Wis. Milwaukee    
     Sat, Feb 18 vs Green Bay         

3 14 68% 22% 8% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Wis. Milwaukee 10
Wis. Milwaukee Recent Games

Lost Thu, Jan 26 @  Wright St.         86-93 
Won  Sat, Jan 28 @  Northern Kentucky  75-74 
Won  Thu, Feb 02 @  IUPUI              72-69 
Lost Mon, Feb 06 vs Green Bay          79-80 
     Thu, Feb 09 vs Detroit           
     Sat, Feb 11 vs Oakland           
     Thu, Feb 16 @  Youngstwn St.     
     Sat, Feb 18 @  Robert Morris     

4 14 23% 34% 23% 11% 6% 3% 1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Northern Kentucky 10
Northern Kentucky Recent Games

Won  Thu, Jan 26 vs Green Bay          68-50 
Lost Sat, Jan 28 vs Wis. Milwaukee     74-75 
Won  Thu, Feb 02 @  Robert Morris      65-52 
Lost Sat, Feb 04 @  Youngstwn St.      56-74 
     Fri, Feb 10 @  Wright St.        
     Sun, Feb 12 vs IUPUI             
     Fri, Feb 17 @  Fort Wayne        
     Sun, Feb 19 @  Cleveland St.     

4 14 6% 30% 35% 16% 8% 4% 1% <1% <1% ^ ^
Cleveland St. 9
Cleveland St. Recent Games

Won  Fri, Jan 27 vs Fort Wayne         79-74 
Won  Sun, Jan 29 vs IUPUI              78-72 
Lost Thu, Feb 02 @  Detroit            67-85 
Lost Sat, Feb 04 @  Oakland            89-92 
     Fri, Feb 10 vs Robert Morris     
     Sun, Feb 12 vs Youngstwn St.     
     Fri, Feb 17 vs Wright St.        
     Sun, Feb 19 vs Northern Kentucky 

5 14 2% 9% 17% 32% 21% 11% 5% 2% <1% ^ ^
Oakland 8
Oakland Recent Games

Lost Fri, Jan 27 @  Youngstwn St.      73-77 
Lost Sun, Jan 29 @  Robert Morris      63-68 
Lost Thu, Feb 02 vs Fort Wayne         73-82 
Won  Sat, Feb 04 vs Cleveland St.      92-89 
     Thu, Feb 09 @  Green Bay         
     Sat, Feb 11 @  Wis. Milwaukee    
     Wed, Feb 15 vs IUPUI             
     Fri, Feb 17 vs Detroit           

6 14 <1% 5% 11% 20% 22% 21% 14% 6% 2% <1% ^
Fort Wayne 7
Fort Wayne Recent Games

Won  Wed, Jan 25 vs IUPUI              81-75 
Lost Fri, Jan 27 @  Cleveland St.      74-79 
Won  Thu, Feb 02 @  Oakland            82-73 
Lost Sat, Feb 04 @  Detroit            52-85 
     Fri, Feb 10 vs Youngstwn St.     
     Sun, Feb 12 vs Robert Morris     
     Fri, Feb 17 vs Northern Kentucky 
     Sun, Feb 19 vs Wright St.        

7 14 <1% 1% 4% 9% 21% 24% 18% 13% 10% <1% ^
Wright St. 7
Wright St. Recent Games

Won  Thu, Jan 26 vs Wis. Milwaukee     93-86 
Won  Sat, Jan 28 vs Green Bay          77-46 
Lost Thu, Feb 02 @  Youngstwn St.      89-91 
Won  Sat, Feb 04 @  Robert Morris      82-67 
     Wed, Feb 08 vs IUPUI             
     Fri, Feb 10 vs Northern Kentucky 
     Fri, Feb 17 @  Cleveland St.     
     Sun, Feb 19 @  Fort Wayne        

7 14 <1% 1% 2% 8% 13% 20% 29% 18% 9% <1% <1%
Detroit 6
Detroit Recent Games

Lost Fri, Jan 27 @  Robert Morris      77-85 
Lost Sun, Jan 29 @  Youngstwn St.      63-73 
Won  Thu, Feb 02 vs Cleveland St.      85-67 
Won  Sat, Feb 04 vs Fort Wayne         85-52 
     Thu, Feb 09 @  Wis. Milwaukee    
     Sat, Feb 11 @  Green Bay         
     Fri, Feb 17 @  Oakland           
     Sun, Feb 19 vs IUPUI             

8 14 <1% <1% <1% 2% 5% 10% 18% 32% 32% <1% <1%
Robert Morris 6
Robert Morris Recent Games

Won  Fri, Jan 27 vs Detroit            85-77 
Won  Sun, Jan 29 vs Oakland            68-63 
Lost Thu, Feb 02 vs Northern Kentucky  52-65 
Lost Sat, Feb 04 vs Wright St.         67-82 
     Fri, Feb 10 @  Cleveland St.     
     Sun, Feb 12 @  Fort Wayne        
     Thu, Feb 16 vs Green Bay         
     Sat, Feb 18 vs Wis. Milwaukee    

8 14 <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 7% 14% 28% 46% <1% <1%
Green Bay 2
Green Bay Recent Games

Lost Thu, Jan 26 @  Northern Kentucky  50-68 
Lost Sat, Jan 28 @  Wright St.         46-77 
Lost Sat, Feb 04 @  IUPUI              53-68 
Won  Mon, Feb 06 @  Wis. Milwaukee     80-79 
     Thu, Feb 09 vs Oakland           
     Sat, Feb 11 vs Detroit           
     Thu, Feb 16 @  Robert Morris     
     Sat, Feb 18 @  Youngstwn St.     

12 14 X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 91% 9%
IUPUI 1
IUPUI Recent Games

Lost Wed, Jan 25 @  Fort Wayne         75-81 
Lost Sun, Jan 29 @  Cleveland St.      72-78 
Lost Thu, Feb 02 vs Wis. Milwaukee     69-72 
Won  Sat, Feb 04 vs Green Bay          68-53 
     Wed, Feb 08 @  Wright St.        
     Sun, Feb 12 @  Northern Kentucky 
     Wed, Feb 15 @  Oakland           
     Sun, Feb 19 @  Detroit           

13 14 X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% 9% 91%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye and second round home court advantage in the post season conference tournament
  • ** denotes first round bye in the post season conference tournament
  • ***denotes first round home court advantage in the post season conference tournament


(1) Penguins 1st Round Playoff Matchup Probabilities
Record Probability
Opponent W L
Bye >99%
(11)IUPUI 1 13 <1%
(10)Green Bay 2 12 <1%
(6)Fort Wayne 7 7 <1%
(3)Northern Kentucky 10 4 <1%
(5)Oakland 8 6 <1%
(7)Wright St. 7 7 <1%
(8)Detroit 6 8 <1%
(9)Robert Morris 6 8 <1%
(2)Wis. Milwaukee 10 4 <1%
(4)Cleveland St. 9 5 <1%
Elimination X



Penguins Conference Schedule
Current Week 14
Week Wk Opponent Score Home / Away Date / Time (ET)
4 Northern Kentucky
(15‑10)
73‑77 (OT) Away Thu Dec 1
4 Wright St.
(14‑11)
88‑77 Away Sun Dec 4
8 Cleveland St.
(14‑11)
85‑71 Home Thu Dec 29, 8:00 pm
8 Fort Wayne
(15‑10)
71‑76 Home Sat Dec 31, 2:45 pm
9 Robert Morris
(11‑14)
78‑56 Home Thu Jan 5, 7:00 pm
9 IUPUI
(4‑21)
105‑74 Home Sat Jan 7, 2:00 pm
10 Detroit
(10‑15)
84‑79 Away Thu Jan 12, 7:00 pm
10 Oakland
(10‑15)
85‑69 Away Sat Jan 14, 3:00 pm
11 Green Bay
(3‑22)
86‑70 Away Thu Jan 19, 8:00 pm
11 Wis. Milwaukee
(16‑8)
75‑88 Away Sat Jan 21, 7:00 pm
12 Oakland
(10‑15)
77‑73 Home Fri Jan 27, 7:00 pm
12 Detroit
(10‑15)
73‑63 Home Sun Jan 29, 2:00 pm
13 Wright St.
(14‑11)
91‑89 (OT) Home Thu Feb 2, 7:00 pm
13 Northern Kentucky
(15‑10)
74‑56 Home Sat Feb 4, 7:00 pm
14 Fort Wayne
(15‑10)
  Away Fri Feb 10, 7:00 pm
14 Cleveland St.
(14‑11)
  Away Sun Feb 12, 1:00 pm
15 Wis. Milwaukee
(16‑8)
  Home Thu Feb 16, 7:00 pm
15 Green Bay
(3‑22)
  Home Sat Feb 18, 2:00 pm
16 Robert Morris
(11‑14)
  Away Tue Feb 21, 7:00 pm
16 IUPUI
(4‑21)
  Away Sat Feb 25, 7:00 pm


Penguins Nonconference Schedule
Week Wk Opponent Conference Score Home / Away Date / Time (ET)
1 Canisius
(5‑17)
Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic 92‑81 Away Mon Nov 7
1 Tenn-MartinTN-Martin
(15‑10)
Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 90‑72 Home Wed Nov 9
1 Notre Dame
(10‑13)
ACCACC 81‑88 Away Sun Nov 13
2 GRACE CHRISTIAN U. ‑‑ 96‑68 Home Tue Nov 15
2 UC San Diego
(8‑17)
Big WestBig West 73‑54 Away Sat Nov 19
2 Navy
(13‑11)
Patriot LeaguePatriot League 67‑80 Away Sun Nov 20
3 Western Illinois
(15‑9)
SummitSummit 88‑64 Away Sat Nov 26
5 WESTMINSTER (PA) ‑‑ 117‑65 Home Thu Dec 8, 7:00 pm
5 Ohio
(12‑11)
MACMAC 79‑81 Home Sun Dec 11, 2:00 pm
6 Southern
(12‑12)
SouthwesternSWAC 85‑81 Home Fri Dec 16, 8:00 pm
7 Central Michigan
(8‑15)
MACMAC 76‑65 Away Wed Dec 21, 7:00 pm