PlayoffStatus.com

Sun Feb 5 12:15 am

Ivy League Basketball - Week 14 of 17

Pennsylvania What If?

The Pennsylvania Quakers What If table presents finishing probabilities depended upon how Pennsylvania plays future conference games. These games include either the next game or all remaining games. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Pennsylvania What If?

Next Game - Harvard (12‑11)

  Resultant Record Regular Season Finish
  W L 1 2 3 4 NT
Win Next Game 6 4 4% 12% 22% 32% 30%
Current Standings 5 4 2% 9% 18% 28% 43%
Lose Next Game 5 5 1% 5% 14% 27% 53%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Regular Season Finish
  1 2 3 4 NT
Best Case Scenario 2% 10% 21% 40% 27%
Current Standings 2% 9% 18% 28% 43%
Worst Case Scenario 2% 8% 15% 17% 58%
Best Case Scenario
   Cornell beats Brown
   Princeton beats Dartmouth
   Pennsylvania beats Harvard
Worst Case Scenario
   Brown beats Cornell
   Dartmouth beats Princeton
   Harvard beats Pennsylvania
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Regular Season Finish
W L 1 2 3 4 NT
5 of 5 100% 10 4 44% 56% ^ ^ ^
4 of 5 80% 9 5 4% 40% 48% 8% ^
3 of 5 60% 8 6 <1% 3% 34% 53% 9%
2 of 5 40% 7 7 X X 2% 29% 69%
1 of 5 20% 6 8 X X X 1% 99%
0 of 5 0% 5 9 X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method