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Thu Sep 19 3:00 pm

La Liga - Week 6 of 41

Alavés What If?

The Alavés What If table presents different table probabilities dependent upon how it plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Alavés What If?

Next Game - Sevilla FC (1‑2‑2)

  Resultant Record Season Finish RelegationRel
  W L T Pts 1*
La Liga Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
 2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 4**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 5***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
 6***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
 7#
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
Win Next Game 3 2 1 10 1% 2% 4% 5% 7% 8% 8% 8% 8% 7% 7% 7% 6% 5% 5% 4% 3% 5%
Current Standings 2 2 1 7 <1% 2% 4% 5% 6% 7% 8% 8% 8% 7% 7% 6% 6% 6% 5% 4% 4% 7%
Lose Next Game 2 3 1 7 <1% 2% 3% 4% 6% 6% 7% 7% 8% 7% 7% 7% 7% 6% 6% 5% 4% 8%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Finishing Spot RelegationRel
  1*
La Liga Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
 2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 4**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 5***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
 6***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
 7#
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
Best Case Scenario 1% 2% 4% 5% 7% 8% 8% 8% 8% 7% 7% 7% 6% 5% 5% 4% 3% 5%
Current Standings <1% 2% 4% 5% 6% 7% 8% 8% 8% 7% 7% 6% 6% 6% 5% 4% 4% 7%
Worst Case Scenario <1% 2% 3% 4% 6% 6% 7% 7% 8% 7% 7% 7% 7% 6% 6% 5% 4% 8%
Best Case Scenario
   Alavés beats Sevilla FC
 Worst Case Scenario
   Sevilla FC beats Alavés
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Finishing Spot RelegationRel
W L T Pts 1*
La Liga Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
 2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 4**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 5***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
 6***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
 7#
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
33 of 33 100% 35 2 1 106 98% 2% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
32 of 33 97% 34 3 1 103 91% 9% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
31 of 33 94% 33 4 1 100 79% 21% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
30 of 33 91% 32 5 1 97 65% 35% 1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
29 of 33 88% 31 6 1 94 48% 48% 3% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
28 of 33 85% 30 7 1 91 33% 57% 10% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
27 of 33 82% 29 8 1 88 20% 57% 22% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
26 of 33 79% 28 9 1 85 10% 48% 35% 7% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
25 of 33 76% 27 10 1 82 4% 33% 44% 17% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
24 of 33 73% 26 11 1 79 1% 18% 42% 30% 8% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
23 of 33 70% 25 12 1 76 <1% 8% 30% 39% 19% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
22 of 33 67% 24 13 1 73 <1% 3% 17% 36% 32% 11% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
21 of 33 64% 23 14 1 70 <1% 1% 7% 24% 36% 24% 7% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
20 of 33 61% 22 15 1 67 <1% <1% 2% 11% 29% 35% 18% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
19 of 33 58% 21 16 1 64 <1% <1% <1% 3% 16% 32% 31% 15% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
18 of 33 55% 20 17 1 61 <1% <1% <1% 1% 5% 20% 33% 28% 11% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
17 of 33 52% 19 18 1 58 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 7% 21% 34% 26% 9% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
16 of 33 48% 18 19 1 55 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 8% 23% 34% 24% 9% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
15 of 33 45% 17 20 1 52 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 9% 23% 34% 23% 8% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
14 of 33 42% 16 21 1 49 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 8% 24% 32% 24% 9% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1%
13 of 33 39% 15 22 1 46 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 8% 22% 33% 25% 9% 2% <1% <1% <1%
12 of 33 36% 14 23 1 43 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 7% 21% 33% 26% 10% 2% <1% <1%
11 of 33 33% 13 24 1 40 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 6% 19% 33% 28% 11% 2% <1%
10 of 33 30% 12 25 1 37 X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 5% 18% 33% 29% 12% 2%
9 of 33 27% 11 26 1 34 X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 18% 34% 30% 13%
8 of 33 24% 10 27 1 31 X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 19% 37% 40%
7 of 33 21% 9 28 1 28 X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 5% 23% 72%
6 of 33 18% 8 29 1 25 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 7% 92%
5 of 33 15% 7 30 1 22 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 99%
0 of 33 0% 2 35 1 7 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this spot
  • X means the team cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *   denotes La Liga Champions and advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • **  denotes advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • *** denotes advancement to UEFA Europa League
  • #  denotes advancement to UEFA Conference League Playoff Round