Is your team going to win its league championship, qualify for the UEFA Championship League, or be relegated? The La Liga table presents the probabilities that a team will win each table spot. All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths. Click a team name to proceed to the team page.
| Record | Season Finish | RelegationRel | ||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | W | L | T | G | GD | Pts | 1* | 2** | 3** | 4** | 5*** | 6# | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | |
| Atletico Madrid | 17 | 2 | 4 | 45 | 29 | 55 | 61% | 25% | 10% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Real Madrid | 16 | 4 | 4 | 42 | 23 | 52 | 23% | 36% | 24% | 13% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Sevilla FC | 15 | 5 | 3 | 34 | 18 | 48 | 9% | 21% | 31% | 28% | 9% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Barcelona | 14 | 4 | 5 | 50 | 28 | 47 | 7% | 17% | 28% | 34% | 11% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Real Sociedad | 11 | 5 | 8 | 41 | 21 | 41 | <1% | 2% | 5% | 14% | 41% | 21% | 10% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Villarreal | 8 | 3 | 13 | 33 | 8 | 37 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 15% | 26% | 23% | 13% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Real Betis | 11 | 10 | 3 | 32 | -6 | 36 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 12% | 23% | 22% | 15% | 10% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Levante | 7 | 7 | 10 | 34 | 1 | 31 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 7% | 11% | 14% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% |
| Granada | 8 | 10 | 6 | 29 | -12 | 30 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 9% | 12% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 2% |
| Athletic Bilbao | 8 | 10 | 5 | 33 | 6 | 29 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 10% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% |
| Celta Vigo | 7 | 9 | 8 | 29 | -7 | 29 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 10% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 3% |
| Valencia | 6 | 9 | 9 | 30 | -2 | 27 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 8% |
| Osasuna | 6 | 11 | 7 | 22 | -11 | 25 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 18% |
| Cádiz | 6 | 11 | 7 | 21 | -19 | 25 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 17% |
| Getafe | 6 | 12 | 6 | 17 | -13 | 24 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 23% |
| Alavés | 5 | 12 | 7 | 20 | -18 | 22 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 39% |
| Elche | 4 | 9 | 9 | 20 | -11 | 21 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 27% |
| Eibar | 4 | 11 | 9 | 19 | -8 | 21 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 48% |
| Real Valladolid | 4 | 11 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 21 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 48% |
| Huesca | 3 | 11 | 10 | 21 | -14 | 19 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 63% |