The Most Important Games for Athletic Bilbao are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the team's table probabilities. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Athletic Bilbao fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Athletic Bilbao Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season Finish | RelegationRel | |||||||||||||||||||
| 1* La Liga Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
6# UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | ||||
| Athletic Bilbao (2‑2‑1) vs Alavés (3‑1‑1) |
17 | Athletic Bilbao Wins | 2% | 9% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 8% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Alavés Wins | 1% | 6% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Athletic Bilbao (2‑2‑1) vs Levante (1‑2‑2) |
14 | Athletic Bilbao Wins | 2% | 9% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 8% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Levante Wins | 1% | 7% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Valencia (0‑4‑1) vs Alavés (3‑1‑1) |
2 | Valencia Wins | 2% | 8% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 8% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Alavés Wins | 2% | 8% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Elche (0‑3‑2) vs Espanyol (2‑2‑1) |
2 | Elche Wins | 2% | 9% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 8% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Espanyol Wins | 2% | 8% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Osasuna (2‑2‑1) vs Atletico Madrid (3‑1‑1) |
1 | Osasuna Wins | 2% | 8% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 8% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Atletico Madrid Wins | 2% | 8% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Rayo Vallecano (1‑3‑1) vs Espanyol (2‑2‑1) |
1 | Rayo Vallecano Wins | 2% | 8% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 8% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Espanyol Wins | 2% | 8% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Osasuna (2‑2‑1) vs Rayo Vallecano (1‑3‑1) |
1 | Osasuna Wins | 2% | 8% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 8% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Rayo Vallecano Wins | 2% | 8% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Deportivo (2‑0‑3) vs Real Betis (3‑1) |
1 | Deportivo Wins | 2% | 8% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 8% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Real Betis Wins | 2% | 8% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Sevilla FC (3‑1‑1) vs Deportivo (2‑0‑3) |
1 | Sevilla FC Wins | 2% | 8% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 8% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Deportivo Wins | 2% | 8% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Elche (0‑3‑2) vs Real Madrid (4‑1) |
1 | Elche Wins | 2% | 9% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 8% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Real Madrid Wins | 2% | 8% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Villarreal (0‑2‑2) vs Levante (1‑2‑2) |
1 | Villarreal Wins | 2% | 8% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 8% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Levante Wins | 1% | 8% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Getafe (1‑2‑2) vs Real Betis (3‑1) |
1 | Getafe Wins | 2% | 8% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 8% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Real Betis Wins | 2% | 8% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Valencia (0‑4‑1) vs Real Sociedad (2‑3‑1) |
1 | Valencia Wins | 2% | 8% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 8% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Real Sociedad Wins | 2% | 8% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Villarreal (0‑2‑2) vs Real Betis (3‑1) |
1 | Villarreal Wins | 2% | 8% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 8% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Real Betis Wins | 2% | 8% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Málaga (0‑2‑3) vs Villarreal (0‑2‑2) |
1 | Málaga Wins | 1% | 8% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 8% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Villarreal Wins | 2% | 8% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Getafe (1‑2‑2) vs Málaga (0‑2‑3) |
1 | Getafe Wins | 2% | 8% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 8% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Málaga Wins | 2% | 8% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Santander (2‑2‑1) vs Barcelona (5‑0) |
0 | Santander Wins | 2% | 8% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 8% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Barcelona Wins | 2% | 8% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 8% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Barcelona (5‑0) vs Sevilla FC (3‑1‑1) |
0 | Barcelona Wins | 2% | 8% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 8% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Sevilla FC Wins | 2% | 8% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Celta Vigo (0‑2‑4) vs Santander (2‑2‑1) |
0 | Celta Vigo Wins | 2% | 8% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 8% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Santander Wins | 2% | 8% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Atletico Madrid (3‑1‑1) vs Real Madrid (4‑1) |
0 | Atletico Madrid Wins | 2% | 9% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 8% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Real Madrid Wins | 2% | 8% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | ||