The Most Important Games for Athletic Bilbao are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the team's table probabilities. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Athletic Bilbao fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Athletic Bilbao Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season Finish | RelegationRel | |||||||||||||||||||
| 1* La Liga Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
6# UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | ||||
| Athletic Bilbao (13‑17‑5) vs Espanyol (10‑16‑9) |
1 | Athletic Bilbao Wins | X | X | X | X | X | 2% | 16% | 27% | 34% | 17% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 6% | 13% | 24% | 19% | 13% | 11% | 8% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Espanyol Wins | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 5% | 18% | 18% | 15% | 17% | 15% | 8% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Athletic Bilbao (13‑17‑5) vs Celta Vigo (13‑12‑11) |
0 | Athletic Bilbao Wins | X | X | X | X | X | 2% | 14% | 25% | 35% | 20% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 6% | 13% | 24% | 19% | 13% | 11% | 8% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Celta Vigo Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 5% | 17% | 18% | 16% | 18% | 15% | 8% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Valencia (11‑15‑9) vs Real Sociedad (11‑13‑11) |
0 | Valencia Wins | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 8% | 14% | 18% | 19% | 13% | 12% | 9% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 6% | 13% | 24% | 19% | 13% | 11% | 8% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Real Sociedad Wins | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 5% | 12% | 28% | 20% | 12% | 11% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Girona (9‑14‑12) vs Real Sociedad (11‑13‑11) |
0 | Girona Wins | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 9% | 16% | 22% | 17% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 6% | 13% | 24% | 19% | 13% | 11% | 8% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Real Sociedad Wins | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 4% | 11% | 26% | 22% | 14% | 11% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Elche (9‑15‑12) vs Getafe (13‑16‑6) |
0 | Elche Wins | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 9% | 15% | 22% | 18% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 6% | 13% | 24% | 19% | 13% | 11% | 8% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Getafe Wins | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 3% | 12% | 27% | 21% | 13% | 11% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Mallorca (10‑16‑9) vs Getafe (13‑16‑6) |
0 | Mallorca Wins | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 10% | 15% | 19% | 16% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 6% | 13% | 24% | 19% | 13% | 11% | 8% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Getafe Wins | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 4% | 12% | 27% | 22% | 14% | 11% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Atletico Madrid (20‑10‑6) vs Girona (9‑14‑12) |
0 | Atletico Madrid Wins | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 7% | 13% | 25% | 20% | 13% | 11% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 6% | 13% | 24% | 19% | 13% | 11% | 8% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Girona Wins | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 6% | 12% | 22% | 19% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Barcelona (30‑4‑1) vs Alavés (9‑16‑10) |
0 | Barcelona Wins | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 6% | 14% | 24% | 19% | 12% | 11% | 8% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 6% | 13% | 24% | 19% | 13% | 11% | 8% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Alavés Wins | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 7% | 14% | 24% | 19% | 12% | 11% | 8% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Real Oviedo (6‑18‑11) vs Alavés (9‑16‑10) |
0 | Real Oviedo Wins | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 6% | 14% | 24% | 19% | 13% | 11% | 8% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 6% | 13% | 24% | 19% | 13% | 11% | 8% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Alavés Wins | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 7% | 13% | 24% | 19% | 12% | 11% | 8% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Osasuna (11‑16‑9) vs Espanyol (10‑16‑9) |
0 | Osasuna Wins | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 6% | 13% | 24% | 19% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 6% | 13% | 24% | 19% | 13% | 11% | 8% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Espanyol Wins | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 6% | 13% | 23% | 19% | 14% | 12% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Levante (10‑17‑9) vs Mallorca (10‑16‑9) |
0 | Levante Wins | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 7% | 14% | 25% | 20% | 13% | 10% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 6% | 13% | 24% | 19% | 13% | 11% | 8% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Mallorca Wins | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 6% | 13% | 23% | 18% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Sevilla FC (11‑17‑7) vs Real Madrid (24‑6‑5) |
0 | Sevilla FC Wins | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 6% | 13% | 23% | 19% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 6% | 13% | 24% | 19% | 13% | 11% | 8% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Real Madrid Wins | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 7% | 14% | 25% | 19% | 13% | 11% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Villarreal (21‑8‑6) vs Rayo Vallecano (10‑12‑13) |
0 | Villarreal Wins | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 7% | 15% | 27% | 17% | 12% | 11% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 6% | 13% | 24% | 19% | 13% | 11% | 8% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Rayo Vallecano Wins | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 6% | 11% | 18% | 24% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Sevilla FC (11‑17‑7) vs Villarreal (21‑8‑6) |
0 | Sevilla FC Wins | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 6% | 13% | 23% | 19% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 6% | 13% | 24% | 19% | 13% | 11% | 8% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Villarreal Wins | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 7% | 14% | 25% | 19% | 12% | 11% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Rayo Vallecano (10‑12‑13) vs Valencia (11‑15‑9) |
0 | Rayo Vallecano Wins | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 6% | 12% | 20% | 24% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 6% | 13% | 24% | 19% | 13% | 11% | 8% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Valencia Wins | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 6% | 13% | 26% | 17% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Real Madrid (24‑6‑5) vs Real Oviedo (6‑18‑11) |
0 | Real Madrid Wins | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 6% | 13% | 24% | 19% | 13% | 11% | 8% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 6% | 13% | 24% | 19% | 13% | 11% | 8% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Real Oviedo Wins | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 6% | 13% | 24% | 19% | 13% | 11% | 8% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Real Betis (14‑7‑15) vs Barcelona (30‑4‑1) |
0 | Real Betis Wins | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 6% | 13% | 24% | 19% | 13% | 11% | 8% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 6% | 13% | 24% | 19% | 13% | 11% | 8% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Barcelona Wins | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 6% | 13% | 24% | 19% | 13% | 11% | 8% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||