The Most Important Games for Athletic Bilbao are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the team's table probabilities. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Athletic Bilbao fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Athletic Bilbao Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season Finish | RelegationRel | |||||||||||||||||||
| 1* La Liga Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4** UEFA Champions League Participant |
5*** UEFA Europa League Participant |
6# UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | ||||
| Alavés (11‑16‑10) vs Rayo Vallecano (11‑12‑14) |
0 | Alavés Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 5% | 1% | 3% | 9% | 65% | 16% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 3% | 2% | 7% | 43% | 36% | 7% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Rayo Vallecano Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 5% | 10% | 67% | 17% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Real Sociedad (11‑14‑12) vs Espanyol (12‑16‑9) |
0 | Real Sociedad Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 2% | 4% | 10% | 43% | 35% | 7% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 3% | 2% | 7% | 43% | 36% | 7% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Espanyol Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 4% | 3% | 9% | 43% | 35% | 7% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Sevilla FC (12‑18‑7) vs Celta Vigo (13‑12‑12) |
0 | Sevilla FC Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 3% | 3% | <1% | 12% | 48% | 34% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 3% | 2% | 7% | 43% | 36% | 7% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Celta Vigo Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 3% | 2% | 9% | 51% | 34% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Getafe (14‑17‑6) vs Osasuna (11‑17‑9) |
0 | Getafe Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 3% | 2% | 7% | 43% | 37% | 7% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 3% | 2% | 7% | 43% | 36% | 7% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Osasuna Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 3% | 3% | 7% | 43% | 37% | 7% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Girona (9‑15‑13) vs Elche (10‑15‑12) |
0 | Girona Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 3% | 3% | 7% | 43% | 37% | 7% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 3% | 2% | 7% | 43% | 36% | 7% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Elche Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 3% | 3% | 7% | 43% | 37% | 7% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Real Betis (14‑8‑15) vs Levante (11‑17‑9) |
0 | Real Betis Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 3% | 3% | 7% | 43% | 37% | 7% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 3% | 2% | 7% | 43% | 36% | 7% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Levante Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 3% | 2% | 7% | 44% | 36% | 7% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Mallorca (10‑18‑9) vs Real Oviedo (6‑20‑11) |
0 | Mallorca Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 3% | 2% | 7% | 43% | 36% | 7% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 3% | 2% | 7% | 43% | 36% | 7% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Real Oviedo Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 3% | 2% | 7% | 43% | 36% | 7% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Athletic Bilbao (13‑18‑6) vs Real Madrid (26‑6‑5) |
0 | Athletic Bilbao Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 13% | 44% | 38% | 5% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 3% | 2% | 7% | 43% | 36% | 7% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Real Madrid Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 47% | 45% | 9% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Valencia (12‑15‑10) vs Barcelona (31‑5‑1) |
0 | Valencia Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 3% | 12% | 40% | 37% | 7% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 3% | 2% | 7% | 43% | 36% | 7% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Barcelona Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 3% | 2% | 6% | 44% | 37% | 7% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Villarreal (21‑10‑6) vs Atletico Madrid (21‑10‑6) |
0 | Villarreal Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 3% | 2% | 7% | 43% | 36% | 7% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 3% | 2% | 7% | 43% | 36% | 7% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Atletico Madrid Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 3% | 2% | 7% | 43% | 36% | 7% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||