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Sun Sep 1 6:00 pm

La Liga - Week 4 of 41

Leganés What If?

The Leganés What If table presents different table probabilities dependent upon how it plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Leganés What If?

Next Game - Real Betis (0‑1‑2)

  Resultant Record Season Finish RelegationRel
  W L T Pts 1*
La Liga Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
 2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 4**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 5***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
 6***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
 7#
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
Win Next Game 2 1 2 8 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 4% 4% 4% 10%
Current Standings 1 1 2 5 4% 4% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 14%
Lose Next Game 1 2 2 5 3% 3% 4% 4% 4% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 6% 5% 5% 6% 6% 6% 18%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Finishing Spot RelegationRel
  1*
La Liga Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
 2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 4**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 5***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
 6***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
 7#
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
Best Case Scenario 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 4% 4% 4% 10%
Current Standings 4% 4% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 14%
Worst Case Scenario 3% 3% 4% 4% 4% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 6% 5% 5% 6% 6% 6% 18%
Best Case Scenario
   Leganés beats Real Betis
 Worst Case Scenario
   Real Betis beats Leganés
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Finishing Spot RelegationRel
W L T Pts 1*
La Liga Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
 2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 4**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 5***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
 6***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
 7#
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
34 of 34 100% 35 1 2 107 >99% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
30 of 34 88% 31 5 2 95 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
25 of 34 74% 26 10 2 80 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
23 of 34 68% 24 12 2 74 95% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
22 of 34 65% 23 13 2 71 86% 14% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
21 of 34 62% 22 14 2 68 64% 31% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
20 of 34 59% 21 15 2 65 32% 43% 20% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
19 of 34 56% 20 16 2 62 7% 26% 35% 22% 7% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
18 of 34 53% 19 17 2 59 <1% 3% 14% 28% 30% 18% 6% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
17 of 34 50% 18 18 2 56 <1% <1% <1% 2% 10% 22% 28% 23% 11% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
16 of 34 47% 17 19 2 53 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 12% 24% 28% 20% 9% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
15 of 34 44% 16 20 2 50 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 13% 24% 28% 20% 8% 2% <1% <1%
14 of 34 41% 15 21 2 47 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 6% 17% 28% 27% 15% 5%
13 of 34 38% 14 22 2 44 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 5% 16% 30% 49%
12 of 34 35% 13 23 2 41 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 8% 90%
10 of 34 29% 11 25 2 35 X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
5 of 34 15% 6 30 2 20 X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
0 of 34 0% 1 35 2 5 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this spot
  • X means the team cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *   denotes La Liga Champions and advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • **  denotes advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • *** denotes advancement to UEFA Europa League
  • #  denotes advancement to UEFA Conference League Playoff Round