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Sat Aug 29 2:00 pm

La Liga - Week 3 of 42

Málaga What If?

The Málaga What If table presents different table probabilities dependent upon how it plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Málaga What If?

Next Game - Real Madrid (2‑0)

  Resultant Record Season Finish RelegationRel
  W L T Pts 1*
La Liga Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
 2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 4**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 5***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
 6#
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
Win Next Game 1 1 1 4 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 14%
Current Standings 0 1 1 1 3% 3% 4% 4% 4% 4% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 6% 6% 6% 20%
Lose Next Game 0 2 1 1 2% 3% 3% 3% 4% 4% 4% 4% 5% 5% 5% 5% 6% 6% 6% 6% 7% 24%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Finishing Spot RelegationRel
  1*
La Liga Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
 2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 4**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 5***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
 6#
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
Best Case Scenario 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 14%
Current Standings 3% 3% 4% 4% 4% 4% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 6% 6% 6% 20%
Worst Case Scenario 2% 3% 3% 3% 4% 4% 4% 4% 5% 5% 5% 5% 6% 6% 6% 6% 7% 24%
Best Case Scenario
   Málaga beats Real Madrid
 Worst Case Scenario
   Real Madrid beats Málaga
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Finishing Spot RelegationRel
W L T Pts 1*
La Liga Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
 2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 4**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
 5***
UEFA Europa League
Participant
 6#
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
36 of 36 100% 36 1 1 109 >99% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
35 of 36 97% 35 2 1 106 >99% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
30 of 36 83% 30 7 1 91 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
25 of 36 69% 25 12 1 76 98% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
24 of 36 67% 24 13 1 73 93% 7% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
23 of 36 64% 23 14 1 70 79% 19% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
22 of 36 61% 22 15 1 67 53% 37% 9% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
21 of 36 58% 21 16 1 64 21% 40% 28% 9% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
20 of 36 56% 20 17 1 61 3% 16% 31% 30% 16% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
19 of 36 53% 19 18 1 58 <1% 1% 5% 16% 28% 28% 16% 6% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
18 of 36 50% 18 19 1 55 <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 10% 21% 29% 23% 11% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
17 of 36 47% 17 20 1 52 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 10% 22% 29% 23% 10% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1%
16 of 36 44% 16 21 1 49 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 11% 23% 29% 21% 9% 2% <1%
15 of 36 42% 15 22 1 46 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 7% 18% 29% 27% 17%
14 of 36 39% 14 23 1 43 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 7% 21% 70%
10 of 36 28% 10 27 1 31 X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
5 of 36 14% 5 32 1 16 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
0 of 36 0% 0 37 1 1 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this spot
  • X means the team cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *   denotes La Liga Champions and advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • **  denotes advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • *** denotes advancement to UEFA Europa League
  • #  denotes advancement to UEFA Conference League Playoff Round