Where are the Bowling Green Falcons going to finish in the regular season standings and be seeded in the post season tournament? The Bowling Green standings table presents the probabilities of the Falcons winning different finishing spots. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Record Rcrd | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Wi Schedule Content Number of Wins ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
L | GPi Games Played 18 game season |
1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5** First Round Home Field Advantage |
6** First Round Home Field Advantage |
7** First Round Home Field Advantage |
8** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
| Kent State | 7i Kent State Recent Games Won Tue, Jan 17 @ Eastern Michigan 77-63 Won Fri, Jan 20 vs Ball State 86-65 Lost Tue, Jan 24 @ Northern Illinois 76-86 Won Fri, Jan 27 vs Buffalo 74-68 Tue, Jan 31 vs Central Michigan Sat, Feb 04 @ Akron Tue, Feb 07 vs Bowling Green Sat, Feb 11 @ Buffalo |
1 | 8 | 66% | 22% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Akron | 7 Akron Recent Games Won Tue, Jan 17 @ Central Michigan 69-51 Won Sat, Jan 21 @ Western Michigan 63-55 Won Tue, Jan 24 vs Miami OH 73-68 Won Sat, Jan 28 vs Ohio 83-77 Tue, Jan 31 @ Buffalo Sat, Feb 04 vs Kent State Tue, Feb 07 vs Toledo Sat, Feb 11 @ Ohio |
1 | 8 | 18% | 26% | 26% | 17% | 9% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Toledo | 6 Toledo Recent Games Won Tue, Jan 17 vs Ohio 90-75 Won Fri, Jan 20 @ Buffalo 86-77 Won Tue, Jan 24 vs Eastern Michigan 84-79 Won Sat, Jan 28 vs Bowling Green 91-77 Tue, Jan 31 @ Miami OH Sat, Feb 04 vs Central Michigan Tue, Feb 07 @ Akron Sat, Feb 11 @ Eastern Michigan |
2 | 8 | 11% | 35% | 29% | 16% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Ball State | 5 Ball State Recent Games Won Tue, Jan 17 vs Western Michigan 71-70 Lost Fri, Jan 20 @ Kent State 65-86 Lost Tue, Jan 24 vs Buffalo 65-91 Won Sat, Jan 28 @ Northern Illinois 87-69 Tue, Jan 31 @ Bowling Green Sat, Feb 04 vs Eastern Michigan Tue, Feb 07 @ Central Michigan Sat, Feb 11 vs Bowling Green |
3 | 8 | 4% | 13% | 23% | 23% | 17% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Buffalo | 4 Buffalo Recent Games Won Tue, Jan 17 vs Bowling Green 100-71 Lost Fri, Jan 20 vs Toledo 77-86 Won Tue, Jan 24 @ Ball State 91-65 Lost Fri, Jan 27 @ Kent State 68-74 Tue, Jan 31 vs Akron Sat, Feb 04 @ Western Michigan Tue, Feb 07 vs Eastern Michigan Sat, Feb 11 vs Kent State |
4 | 8 | <1% | 2% | 8% | 15% | 21% | 20% | 15% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| Northern Illinois | 4 Northern Illinois Recent Games Won Tue, Jan 17 @ Miami OH 81-77 Won Sat, Jan 21 @ Eastern Michigan 88-67 Won Tue, Jan 24 vs Kent State 86-76 Lost Sat, Jan 28 vs Ball State 69-87 Tue, Jan 31 @ Western Michigan Sat, Feb 04 @ Bowling Green Tue, Feb 07 vs Ohio Sat, Feb 11 vs Western Michigan |
4 | 8 | <1% | <1% | 2% | 9% | 17% | 19% | 20% | 17% | 10% | 5% | 1% | <1% |
| Bowling Green | 4 Bowling Green Recent Games Lost Tue, Jan 17 @ Buffalo 71-100 Won Sat, Jan 21 vs Miami OH 83-73 Won Tue, Jan 24 @ Central Michigan 83-61 Lost Sat, Jan 28 @ Toledo 77-91 Tue, Jan 31 vs Ball State Sat, Feb 04 vs Northern Illinois Tue, Feb 07 @ Kent State Sat, Feb 11 @ Ball State |
4 | 8 | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 11% | 17% | 21% | 20% | 12% | 6% | 3% | 1% |
| Ohio | 3 Ohio Recent Games Lost Tue, Jan 17 @ Toledo 75-90 Won Sat, Jan 21 vs Central Michigan 96-68 Won Tue, Jan 24 vs Western Michigan 88-76 Lost Sat, Jan 28 @ Akron 77-83 Tue, Jan 31 @ Eastern Michigan Sat, Feb 04 vs Miami OH Tue, Feb 07 @ Northern Illinois Sat, Feb 11 vs Akron |
5 | 8 | <1% | <1% | 3% | 10% | 17% | 19% | 20% | 16% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% |
| Central Michigan | 3 Central Michigan Recent Games Lost Tue, Jan 17 vs Akron 51-69 Lost Sat, Jan 21 @ Ohio 68-96 Lost Tue, Jan 24 vs Bowling Green 61-83 Won Sat, Jan 28 vs Western Michigan 70-69 Tue, Jan 31 @ Kent State Sat, Feb 04 @ Toledo Tue, Feb 07 vs Ball State Sat, Feb 11 @ Miami OH |
5 | 8 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 14% | 24% | 22% | 16% | 9% |
| Western Michigan | 2 Western Michigan Recent Games Lost Tue, Jan 17 @ Ball State 70-71 Lost Sat, Jan 21 vs Akron 55-63 Lost Tue, Jan 24 @ Ohio 76-88 Lost Sat, Jan 28 @ Central Michigan 69-70 Tue, Jan 31 vs Northern Illinois Sat, Feb 04 vs Buffalo Tue, Feb 07 @ Miami OH Sat, Feb 11 @ Northern Illinois |
6 | 8 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 11% | 18% | 24% | 21% | 17% |
| Eastern Michigan | 2 Eastern Michigan Recent Games Lost Tue, Jan 17 vs Kent State 63-77 Lost Sat, Jan 21 vs Northern Illinois 67-88 Lost Tue, Jan 24 @ Toledo 79-84 Won Sat, Jan 28 @ Miami OH 74-69 Tue, Jan 31 vs Ohio Sat, Feb 04 @ Ball State Tue, Feb 07 @ Buffalo Sat, Feb 11 vs Toledo |
6 | 8 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 10% | 20% | 34% | 29% |
| Miami OH | 1 Miami OH Recent Games Lost Tue, Jan 17 vs Northern Illinois 77-81 Lost Sat, Jan 21 @ Bowling Green 73-83 Lost Tue, Jan 24 @ Akron 68-73 Lost Sat, Jan 28 vs Eastern Michigan 69-74 Tue, Jan 31 vs Toledo Sat, Feb 04 @ Ohio Tue, Feb 07 vs Western Michigan Sat, Feb 11 vs Central Michigan |
7 | 8 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 10% | 16% | 23% | 43% |
| Record | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Opponent | W | L | |
| Bye | 8% | ||
| (9)Central Michigan | 3 | 5 | 20% |
| (10)Western Michigan | 2 | 6 | 18% |
| (11)Eastern Michigan | 2 | 6 | 17% |
| (12)Miami OH | 1 | 7 | 16% |
| (6)Northern Illinois | 4 | 4 | 7% |
| (8)Ohio | 3 | 5 | 7% |
| (5)Buffalo | 4 | 4 | 5% |
| (4)Ball State | 5 | 3 | 1% |
| (2)Akron | 7 | 1 | <1% |
| (3)Toledo | 6 | 2 | <1% |
| (1)Kent State | 7 | 1 | <1% |
| Elimination | X | ||
| Week Wk | Opponent | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Eastern Michigan (5‑16) |
91‑65 | Away | Tue Jan 3, 7:00 pm |
| 9 | Ohio (10‑10) |
88‑79 | Home | Sat Jan 7, 5:00 pm |
| 10 | Akron (15‑6) |
70‑74 | Home | Tue Jan 10, 7:00 pm |
| 10 | Western Michigan (5‑15) |
92‑108 | Away | Sat Jan 14, 1:00 pm |
| 11 | Buffalo (9‑11) |
71‑100 | Away | Tue Jan 17, 7:00 pm |
| 11 | Miami OH (7‑14) |
83‑73 | Home | Sat Jan 21, 5:00 pm |
| 12 | Central Michigan (8‑13) |
83‑61 | Away | Tue Jan 24, 7:00 pm |
| 12 | Toledo (15‑6) |
77‑91 | Away | Sat Jan 28, 2:00 pm |
| 13 | Ball State (13‑7) |
Home | Tue Jan 31, 7:00 pm | |
| 13 | Northern Illinois (8‑13) |
Home | Sat Feb 4, 5:00 pm | |
| 14 | Kent State (16‑4) |
Away | Tue Feb 7, 7:00 pm | |
| 14 | Ball State (13‑7) |
Away | Sat Feb 11, 2:00 pm | |
| 15 | Central Michigan (8‑13) |
Home | Tue Feb 14, 7:00 pm | |
| 15 | Toledo (15‑6) |
Home | Sat Feb 18, 5:00 pm | |
| 16 | Miami OH (7‑14) |
Away | Tue Feb 21, 7:00 pm | |
| 16 | Kent State (16‑4) |
Home | Sat Feb 25, 5:00 pm | |
| 17 | Eastern Michigan (5‑16) |
Home | Tue Feb 28, 7:00 pm | |
| 17 | Ohio (10‑10) |
Away | Fri Mar 3, 7:00 pm |
| Week Wk | Opponent | Conference | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Air Force (12‑10) |
Mountain WestMntn West | 62‑58 | Home | Mon Nov 7 |
| 1 | Oakland (9‑13) |
HorizonHorizon | 87‑82 | Away | Fri Nov 11 |
| 2 | Wright St. (13‑10) |
HorizonHorizon | 71‑80 | Away | Tue Nov 15 |
| 2 | St. BonaventureSt. Bonavnt (11‑11) |
Atlantic 10Atl. 10 | 68‑81 | Away | Sat Nov 19 |
| 3 | Notre Dame (10‑12) |
ACCACC | 66‑82 | Away | Tue Nov 22 |
| 3 | Southern Indiana (13‑10) |
Ohio ValleyOhio Valley | 57‑69 | Home | Sat Nov 26 |
| 4 | Queens U. (15‑8) |
Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun | 66‑72 | Home | Tue Nov 29 |
| 4 | Morgan St. (11‑10) |
MideasternMid-Eastern | 86‑76 | Home | Sat Dec 3 |
| 5 | Hampton (5‑17) |
Colonial AthleticColonial Athl. | 86‑72 | Away | Sun Dec 11, 4:00 pm |
| 6 | Norfolk St. (14‑7) |
MideasternMid-Eastern | 75‑81 | Away | Wed Dec 14, 7:30 pm |
| 6 | Tenn-MartinTN-Martin (15‑8) |
Ohio ValleyOhio Valley | 67‑75 | Home | Sat Dec 17, 2:00 pm |
| 7 | FAIRMONT ST. | ‑‑ | 93‑74 | Home | Mon Dec 19, 11:00 am |
| 8 | OHIO DOMINICAN | ‑‑ | 102‑65 | Home | Thu Dec 29, 5:00 pm |