The Most Important Games for the Merrimack Warriors are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Warriors final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Merrimack Warriors fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Merrimack Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6* First Round Bye |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | NT | |||
| St. Peter's (11‑7) vs Mount St. Mary's (9‑13) |
1 | St. Peter's Wins | 42% | 26% | 13% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 44% | 25% | 13% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Mount St. Mary's Wins | 49% | 21% | 12% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Iona (14‑8) vs Fairfield (13‑9) |
0 | Iona Wins | 43% | 25% | 13% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 44% | 25% | 13% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Fairfield Wins | 46% | 25% | 13% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Rider (2‑17) vs Manhattan (8‑14) |
0 | Rider Wins | 44% | 24% | 13% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 44% | 25% | 13% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Manhattan Wins | 44% | 25% | 13% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Marist (13‑7) vs Canisius (8‑13) |
0 | Marist Wins | 44% | 24% | 13% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 44% | 25% | 13% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Canisius Wins | 45% | 26% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Niagara (5‑15) vs Siena (14‑7) |
0 | Niagara Wins | 46% | 24% | 12% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 44% | 25% | 13% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Siena Wins | 44% | 25% | 13% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Quinnipiac (14‑8) vs Sacred Heart (9‑13) |
0 | Quinnipiac Wins | 43% | 25% | 13% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 44% | 25% | 13% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Sacred Heart Wins | 46% | 26% | 13% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||