The Most Important Games for the Merrimack Warriors are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Warriors final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Merrimack Warriors fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Merrimack Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6* First Round Bye |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | NT | |||
| Niagara (4‑12) vs Canisius (8‑9) |
2 | Niagara Wins | 14% | 16% | 15% | 15% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 15% | 15% | 15% | 14% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Canisius Wins | 15% | 15% | 15% | 14% | 14% | 12% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Quinnipiac (12‑5) vs St. Peter's (8‑6) |
1 | Quinnipiac Wins | 14% | 15% | 15% | 15% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 15% | 15% | 15% | 14% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| St. Peter's Wins | 16% | 14% | 14% | 14% | 14% | 12% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Fairfield (10‑7) vs Manhattan (8‑10) |
1 | Fairfield Wins | 15% | 16% | 15% | 14% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 15% | 15% | 15% | 14% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Manhattan Wins | 14% | 15% | 15% | 14% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Rider (1‑14) vs Iona (12‑6) |
1 | Rider Wins | 15% | 16% | 15% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 15% | 15% | 15% | 14% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Iona Wins | 14% | 15% | 15% | 14% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Sacred Heart (5‑13) vs Siena (11‑6) |
0 | Sacred Heart Wins | 15% | 15% | 15% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 15% | 15% | 15% | 14% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Siena Wins | 14% | 15% | 15% | 14% | 14% | 12% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||