The Most Important Games for the Merrimack Warriors are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Warriors final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Merrimack Warriors fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Merrimack Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6* First Round Bye |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | NT | |||
| Merrimack (2‑6) vs Rider (1‑5) |
17 | Merrimack Wins | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 31% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 36% | ||
| Rider Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 41% | ||
| Sacred Heart (2‑5) vs Mount St. Mary's (2‑6) |
1 | Sacred Heart Wins | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 36% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 36% | ||
| Mount St. Mary's Wins | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 36% | ||
| Canisius (4‑4) vs St. Peter's (2‑4) |
1 | Canisius Wins | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 36% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 36% | ||
| St. Peter's Wins | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 36% | ||
| Fairfield (4‑3) vs Manhattan (3‑5) |
1 | Fairfield Wins | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 35% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 36% | ||
| Manhattan Wins | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 36% | ||
| Siena (6‑2) vs Niagara (2‑5) |
0 | Siena Wins | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 11% | 36% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 36% | ||
| Niagara Wins | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 36% | ||
| Iona (5‑2) vs Quinnipiac (4‑3) |
0 | Iona Wins | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 35% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 36% | ||
| Quinnipiac Wins | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 35% | ||