The Most Important Games for the Astros are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Astros final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Astros fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Astros Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Astros (11‑19) vs Orioles (14‑15) 2 Games Remaining |
6 | Astros Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 81% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 84% | ||
| Orioles Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 1% | 4% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 85% | ||
| Royals (12‑17) vs Athletics (15‑14) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | Royals Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 83% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 84% | ||
| Athletics Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 83% | ||
| White Sox (13‑17) vs Angels (12‑19) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | White Sox Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 83% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 84% | ||
| Angels Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 84% | ||
| Yankees (20‑10) vs Rangers (14‑16) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Yankees Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 83% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 84% | ||
| Rangers Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 84% | ||
| Tigers (15‑15) vs Braves (21‑9) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Tigers Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 83% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 84% | ||
| Braves Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 83% | ||
| Twins (13‑17) vs Mariners (15‑16) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Twins Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 83% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 84% | ||
| Mariners Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 83% | ||
| Guardians (15‑16) vs Rays (18‑11) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Guardians Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 83% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 84% | ||
| Rays Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 83% | ||
| Red Sox (12‑18) vs Blue Jays (13‑16) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Red Sox Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 83% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 84% | ||
| Blue Jays Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 83% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Astros Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Astros (11‑19) vs Orioles (14‑15) |
3 | Astros Wins | <1% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 82% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 84% | ||
| Orioles Wins | <1% | 2% | 4% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 84% | ||
| White Sox (13‑17) vs Angels (12‑19) |
1 | White Sox Wins | <1% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 83% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 84% | ||
| Angels Wins | <1% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 84% | ||
| Yankees (20‑10) vs Rangers (14‑16) |
1 | Yankees Wins | <1% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 83% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 84% | ||
| Rangers Wins | <1% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 84% | ||
| Royals (12‑17) vs Athletics (15‑14) |
0 | Royals Wins | <1% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 83% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 84% | ||
| Athletics Wins | <1% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 83% | ||
| Twins (13‑17) vs Mariners (15‑16) |
0 | Twins Wins | <1% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 83% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 84% | ||
| Mariners Wins | <1% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 83% | ||
| Guardians (15‑16) vs Rays (18‑11) |
0 | Guardians Wins | <1% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 83% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 84% | ||
| Rays Wins | <1% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 83% | ||
| Braves (21‑9) vs Tigers (15‑15) |
0 | Braves Wins | <1% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 83% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 84% | ||
| Tigers Wins | <1% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 83% | ||
| Red Sox (12‑18) vs Blue Jays (13‑16) |
0 | Red Sox Wins | <1% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 83% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 84% | ||
| Blue Jays Wins | <1% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 83% | ||