The Most Important Games for the Astros are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Astros final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Astros fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Astros Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* | 2* | 3** | 4** | 5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Astros (45‑27) vs Mets (47‑27) 2 Games Remaining |
6 | Astros Sweeps 2 Games | 17% | 67% | 13% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 14% | 66% | 15% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | ||
| Mets Sweeps 2 Games | 12% | 65% | 17% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | ||
| Royals (26‑45) vs Rangers (34‑37) 3 Games Remaining |
2 | Royals Sweeps 3 Games | 14% | 67% | 15% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 14% | 66% | 15% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | ||
| Rangers Sweeps 3 Games | 14% | 66% | 14% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 2% | ||
| Orioles (34‑40) vs Mariners (34‑40) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Orioles Sweeps 3 Games | 14% | 67% | 15% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 14% | 66% | 15% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | ||
| Mariners Sweeps 3 Games | 14% | 66% | 15% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 2% | ||
| Athletics (25‑49) vs Yankees (53‑20) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Athletics Sweeps 3 Games | 19% | 61% | 15% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 14% | 66% | 15% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | ||
| Yankees Sweeps 3 Games | 13% | 67% | 15% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | ||
| White Sox (34‑37) vs Angels (35‑40) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | White Sox Sweeps 3 Games | 14% | 65% | 16% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 14% | 66% | 15% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | ||
| Angels Sweeps 3 Games | 14% | 66% | 14% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | ||
| Twins (41‑33) vs Guardians (36‑32) 5 Games Remaining |
0 | Twins Sweeps 5 Games | 14% | 66% | 15% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 14% | 66% | 15% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | ||
| Guardians Sweeps 5 Games | 14% | 66% | 15% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | ||
| Rays (40‑32) vs Brewers (42‑33) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Rays Sweeps 2 Games | 14% | 66% | 15% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 14% | 66% | 15% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | ||
| Brewers Sweeps 2 Games | 14% | 66% | 15% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | ||
| Giants (39‑33) vs Tigers (28‑44) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Giants Sweeps 2 Games | 14% | 66% | 15% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 14% | 66% | 15% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | ||
| Tigers Sweeps 2 Games | 14% | 66% | 15% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | ||
| Blue Jays (40‑32) vs Red Sox (42‑31) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Blue Jays Sweeps 3 Games | 14% | 66% | 15% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 14% | 66% | 15% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | ||
| Red Sox Sweeps 3 Games | 14% | 67% | 15% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Astros Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* | 2* | 3** | 4** | 5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Astros (45‑27) vs Mets (47‑27) |
3 | Astros Wins | 15% | 67% | 14% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 14% | 66% | 15% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | ||
| Mets Wins | 13% | 66% | 16% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | ||
| Orioles (34‑40) vs Mariners (34‑40) |
1 | Orioles Wins | 13% | 67% | 15% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 14% | 66% | 15% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | ||
| Mariners Wins | 14% | 65% | 16% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | ||
| Royals (26‑45) vs Rangers (34‑37) |
1 | Royals Wins | 14% | 67% | 15% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 14% | 66% | 15% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | ||
| Rangers Wins | 14% | 66% | 15% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | ||
| White Sox (34‑37) vs Angels (35‑40) |
1 | White Sox Wins | 14% | 65% | 16% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 14% | 66% | 15% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | ||
| Angels Wins | 14% | 66% | 14% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | ||
| Yankees (53‑20) vs Athletics (25‑49) |
1 | Yankees Wins | 14% | 67% | 15% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 14% | 66% | 15% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | ||
| Athletics Wins | 15% | 65% | 15% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | ||
| Brewers (42‑33) vs Rays (40‑32) |
0 | Brewers Wins | 14% | 67% | 15% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 14% | 66% | 15% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | ||
| Rays Wins | 14% | 66% | 15% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | ||
| Giants (39‑33) vs Tigers (28‑44) |
0 | Giants Wins | 14% | 66% | 15% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 14% | 66% | 15% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | ||
| Tigers Wins | 14% | 66% | 15% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | ||
| Twins (41‑33) vs Guardians (36‑32) |
0 | Twins Wins | 14% | 67% | 14% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 14% | 66% | 15% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | ||
| Guardians Wins | 14% | 66% | 15% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | ||
| Red Sox (42‑31) vs Blue Jays (40‑32) |
0 | Red Sox Wins | 14% | 66% | 15% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 14% | 66% | 15% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | ||
| Blue Jays Wins | 14% | 66% | 15% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | ||