The Most Important Games for the Astros are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Astros final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Astros fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Astros Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Astros (41‑30) vs Athletics (29‑44) 4 Games Remaining |
35 | Astros Sweeps 4 Games | 19% | 25% | 31% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 11% |
| Current Probabilities | 14% | 22% | 32% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 16% | ||
| Athletics Sweeps 4 Games | 9% | 18% | 34% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 22% | ||
| Red Sox (37‑36) vs Mariners (36‑34) 3 Games Remaining |
7 | Red Sox Sweeps 3 Games | 15% | 22% | 34% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 16% |
| Current Probabilities | 14% | 22% | 32% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 16% | ||
| Mariners Sweeps 3 Games | 14% | 22% | 31% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 16% | ||
| Royals (34‑38) vs Rangers (36‑36) 3 Games Remaining |
6 | Royals Sweeps 3 Games | 15% | 22% | 34% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 15% |
| Current Probabilities | 14% | 22% | 32% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 16% | ||
| Rangers Sweeps 3 Games | 14% | 22% | 31% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 16% | ||
| Orioles (30‑40) vs Rays (39‑32) 4 Games Remaining |
3 | Orioles Sweeps 4 Games | 16% | 23% | 31% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 15% |
| Current Probabilities | 14% | 22% | 32% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 16% | ||
| Rays Sweeps 4 Games | 14% | 22% | 32% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 16% | ||
| Yankees (42‑28) vs Angels (33‑37) 4 Games Remaining |
3 | Yankees Sweeps 4 Games | 13% | 21% | 35% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 15% |
| Current Probabilities | 14% | 22% | 32% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 16% | ||
| Angels Sweeps 4 Games | 16% | 23% | 28% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 16% | ||
| Reds (36‑35) vs Twins (36‑35) 3 Games Remaining |
2 | Reds Sweeps 3 Games | 15% | 22% | 32% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 16% |
| Current Probabilities | 14% | 22% | 32% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 16% | ||
| Twins Sweeps 3 Games | 14% | 22% | 32% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 17% | ||
| Giants (41‑31) vs Guardians (35‑35) 3 Games Remaining |
2 | Giants Sweeps 3 Games | 14% | 22% | 32% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 15% |
| Current Probabilities | 14% | 22% | 32% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 16% | ||
| Guardians Sweeps 3 Games | 14% | 22% | 33% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 17% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs (36‑34) vs Blue Jays (38‑33) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | DiamondbacksD. Backs Sweeps 3 Games | 15% | 22% | 32% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 16% |
| Current Probabilities | 14% | 22% | 32% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 16% | ||
| Blue Jays Sweeps 3 Games | 14% | 21% | 33% | 4% | 6% | 5% | 16% | ||
| Pirates (29‑44) vs Tigers (46‑27) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Pirates Sweeps 3 Games | 17% | 22% | 29% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 16% |
| Current Probabilities | 14% | 22% | 32% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 16% | ||
| Tigers Sweeps 3 Games | 13% | 21% | 34% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 16% | ||
| Cardinals (37‑35) vs White Sox (23‑49) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Cardinals Sweeps 3 Games | 14% | 22% | 32% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 16% |
| Current Probabilities | 14% | 22% | 32% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 16% | ||
| White Sox Sweeps 3 Games | 14% | 22% | 32% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 16% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Astros Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Astros (41‑30) vs Athletics (29‑44) |
8 | Astros Wins | 15% | 23% | 32% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 15% |
| Current Probabilities | 14% | 22% | 32% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 16% | ||
| Athletics Wins | 13% | 21% | 33% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 17% | ||
| Reds (36‑35) vs Twins (36‑35) |
2 | Reds Wins | 15% | 22% | 32% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 15% |
| Current Probabilities | 14% | 22% | 32% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 16% | ||
| Twins Wins | 14% | 22% | 33% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 16% | ||
| Red Sox (37‑36) vs Mariners (36‑34) |
2 | Red Sox Wins | 14% | 22% | 33% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 16% |
| Current Probabilities | 14% | 22% | 32% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 16% | ||
| Mariners Wins | 14% | 22% | 32% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 16% | ||
| Pirates (29‑44) vs Tigers (46‑27) |
2 | Pirates Wins | 15% | 22% | 32% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 16% |
| Current Probabilities | 14% | 22% | 32% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 16% | ||
| Tigers Wins | 14% | 22% | 32% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 16% | ||
| Yankees (42‑28) vs Angels (33‑37) |
2 | Yankees Wins | 14% | 22% | 33% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 16% |
| Current Probabilities | 14% | 22% | 32% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 16% | ||
| Angels Wins | 15% | 22% | 31% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 16% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs (36‑34) vs Blue Jays (38‑33) |
1 | DiamondbacksD. Backs Wins | 15% | 22% | 32% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 16% |
| Current Probabilities | 14% | 22% | 32% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 16% | ||
| Blue Jays Wins | 14% | 22% | 33% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 16% | ||
| Royals (34‑38) vs Rangers (36‑36) |
1 | Royals Wins | 15% | 22% | 32% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 16% |
| Current Probabilities | 14% | 22% | 32% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 16% | ||
| Rangers Wins | 15% | 22% | 32% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 16% | ||
| Guardians (35‑35) vs Giants (41‑31) |
1 | Guardians Wins | 14% | 22% | 33% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 16% |
| Current Probabilities | 14% | 22% | 32% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 16% | ||
| Giants Wins | 15% | 22% | 32% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 16% | ||
| Orioles (30‑40) vs Rays (39‑32) |
0 | Orioles Wins | 15% | 22% | 32% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 16% |
| Current Probabilities | 14% | 22% | 32% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 16% | ||
| Rays Wins | 14% | 22% | 32% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 16% | ||
| Cardinals (37‑35) vs White Sox (23‑49) |
0 | Cardinals Wins | 15% | 21% | 33% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 16% |
| Current Probabilities | 14% | 22% | 32% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 16% | ||
| White Sox Wins | 15% | 22% | 32% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 16% | ||