The Most Important Games for the Astros are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Astros final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Astros fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Astros Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Astros (56‑40) vs Mariners (51‑45) 3 Games Remaining |
43 | Astros Sweeps 3 Games | 32% | 32% | 26% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 24% | 28% | 26% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 6% | ||
| Mariners Sweeps 3 Games | 16% | 24% | 24% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 10% | ||
| Phillies (55‑41) vs Angels (47‑49) 3 Games Remaining |
3 | Phillies Sweeps 3 Games | 24% | 28% | 26% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | 24% | 28% | 26% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 6% | ||
| Angels Sweeps 3 Games | 24% | 28% | 25% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 7% | ||
| Giants (52‑45) vs Blue Jays (55‑41) 3 Games Remaining |
3 | Giants Sweeps 3 Games | 25% | 29% | 23% | 8% | 5% | 4% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | 24% | 28% | 26% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 6% | ||
| Blue Jays Sweeps 3 Games | 23% | 27% | 27% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 7% | ||
| Braves (42‑53) vs Yankees (53‑43) 3 Games Remaining |
2 | Braves Sweeps 3 Games | 24% | 29% | 24% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | 24% | 28% | 26% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 6% | ||
| Yankees Sweeps 3 Games | 23% | 27% | 27% | 6% | 6% | 4% | 6% | ||
| Marlins (44‑51) vs Royals (47‑50) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Marlins Sweeps 3 Games | 24% | 28% | 26% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | 24% | 28% | 26% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 6% | ||
| Royals Sweeps 3 Games | 23% | 28% | 25% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 7% | ||
| Tigers (59‑38) vs Rangers (48‑49) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Tigers Sweeps 3 Games | 20% | 29% | 29% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | 24% | 28% | 26% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 6% | ||
| Rangers Sweeps 3 Games | 29% | 26% | 22% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 7% | ||
| Athletics (41‑57) vs Guardians (46‑49) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Athletics Sweeps 3 Games | 24% | 28% | 25% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | 24% | 28% | 26% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 6% | ||
| Guardians Sweeps 3 Games | 24% | 29% | 25% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 6% | ||
| Cubs (57‑39) vs Red Sox (53‑45) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Cubs Sweeps 3 Games | 24% | 28% | 25% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | 24% | 28% | 26% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 6% | ||
| Red Sox Sweeps 3 Games | 23% | 28% | 26% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 7% | ||
| Rays (50‑47) vs Orioles (43‑52) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Rays Sweeps 3 Games | 24% | 28% | 26% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | 24% | 28% | 26% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 6% | ||
| Orioles Sweeps 3 Games | 23% | 28% | 26% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 6% | ||
| Pirates (39‑58) vs White Sox (32‑65) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Pirates Sweeps 3 Games | 23% | 28% | 25% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | 24% | 28% | 26% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 6% | ||
| White Sox Sweeps 3 Games | 23% | 27% | 26% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 6% | ||
| Twins (47‑49) vs Rockies (22‑74) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Twins Sweeps 3 Games | 24% | 28% | 26% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | 24% | 28% | 26% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 6% | ||
| Rockies Sweeps 3 Games | 24% | 27% | 26% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 6% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Astros Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Astros (56‑40) vs Mariners (51‑45) |
15 | Astros Wins | 26% | 30% | 26% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | 24% | 28% | 26% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 6% | ||
| Mariners Wins | 21% | 27% | 25% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 7% | ||
| Rockies (22‑74) vs Twins (47‑49) |
2 | Rockies Wins | 24% | 29% | 25% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | 24% | 28% | 26% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 6% | ||
| Twins Wins | 23% | 28% | 26% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 6% | ||
| Phillies (55‑41) vs Angels (47‑49) |
2 | Phillies Wins | 24% | 28% | 26% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | 24% | 28% | 26% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 6% | ||
| Angels Wins | 24% | 27% | 26% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 6% | ||
| Cubs (57‑39) vs Red Sox (53‑45) |
1 | Cubs Wins | 24% | 28% | 26% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | 24% | 28% | 26% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 6% | ||
| Red Sox Wins | 23% | 27% | 26% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 7% | ||
| Giants (52‑45) vs Blue Jays (55‑41) |
1 | Giants Wins | 25% | 28% | 25% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | 24% | 28% | 26% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 6% | ||
| Blue Jays Wins | 23% | 28% | 26% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 6% | ||
| Guardians (46‑49) vs Athletics (41‑57) |
1 | Guardians Wins | 24% | 28% | 25% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | 24% | 28% | 26% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 6% | ||
| Athletics Wins | 24% | 27% | 26% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 6% | ||
| Tigers (59‑38) vs Rangers (48‑49) |
1 | Tigers Wins | 23% | 28% | 27% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | 24% | 28% | 26% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 6% | ||
| Rangers Wins | 25% | 27% | 25% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 6% | ||
| Orioles (43‑52) vs Rays (50‑47) |
1 | Orioles Wins | 24% | 27% | 26% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | 24% | 28% | 26% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 6% | ||
| Rays Wins | 24% | 28% | 26% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 6% | ||
| Braves (42‑53) vs Yankees (53‑43) |
0 | Braves Wins | 24% | 28% | 25% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | 24% | 28% | 26% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 6% | ||
| Yankees Wins | 24% | 27% | 26% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 6% | ||
| Pirates (39‑58) vs White Sox (32‑65) |
0 | Pirates Wins | 24% | 28% | 25% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | 24% | 28% | 26% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 6% | ||
| White Sox Wins | 24% | 28% | 25% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 6% | ||
| Royals (47‑50) vs Marlins (44‑51) |
0 | Royals Wins | 24% | 28% | 25% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | 24% | 28% | 26% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 6% | ||
| Marlins Wins | 24% | 28% | 26% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 6% | ||