The Most Important Games for the Astros are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Astros final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Astros fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Astros Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Astros (51‑34) vs Rockies (19‑66) 2 Games Remaining |
12 | Astros Sweeps 2 Games | 34% | 32% | 22% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 31% | 32% | 22% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | ||
| Rockies Sweeps 2 Games | 25% | 31% | 26% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 5% | ||
| Royals (40‑46) vs Mariners (44‑41) 2 Games Remaining |
3 | Royals Sweeps 2 Games | 32% | 32% | 24% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | 31% | 32% | 22% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | ||
| Mariners Sweeps 2 Games | 32% | 31% | 22% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | ||
| Braves (38‑46) vs Angels (42‑42) 2 Games Remaining |
2 | Braves Sweeps 2 Games | 32% | 32% | 23% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | 31% | 32% | 22% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | ||
| Angels Sweeps 2 Games | 31% | 32% | 22% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | ||
| Nationals (35‑49) vs Tigers (53‑32) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Nationals Sweeps 3 Games | 37% | 28% | 21% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | 31% | 32% | 22% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | ||
| Tigers Sweeps 3 Games | 28% | 34% | 24% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | ||
| Marlins (38‑45) vs Twins (40‑45) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | Marlins Sweeps 2 Games | 32% | 32% | 23% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | 31% | 32% | 22% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | ||
| Twins Sweeps 2 Games | 32% | 32% | 23% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | ||
| Blue Jays (47‑38) vs Yankees (48‑37) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Blue Jays Sweeps 2 Games | 32% | 32% | 22% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | 31% | 32% | 22% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | ||
| Yankees Sweeps 2 Games | 31% | 31% | 23% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | ||
| Red Sox (42‑44) vs Reds (43‑41) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Red Sox Sweeps 2 Games | 32% | 32% | 23% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | 31% | 32% | 22% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | ||
| Reds Sweeps 2 Games | 31% | 32% | 23% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | ||
| Guardians (40‑43) vs Cubs (50‑35) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Guardians Sweeps 2 Games | 31% | 32% | 23% | 5% | 3% | 3% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | 31% | 32% | 22% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | ||
| Cubs Sweeps 2 Games | 32% | 32% | 22% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | ||
| White Sox (28‑57) vs Dodgers (54‑32) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | White Sox Sweeps 2 Games | 32% | 32% | 23% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | 31% | 32% | 22% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | ||
| Dodgers Sweeps 2 Games | 31% | 32% | 23% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 3% | ||
| Athletics (36‑52) vs Rays (47‑39) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Athletics Sweeps 1 Game | 32% | 32% | 23% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | 31% | 32% | 22% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | ||
| Rays Sweeps 1 Game | 32% | 31% | 23% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | ||
| Rangers (42‑44) vs Orioles (37‑48) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Rangers Sweeps 1 Game | 32% | 32% | 23% | 5% | 3% | 3% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | 31% | 32% | 22% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | ||
| Orioles Sweeps 1 Game | 31% | 31% | 23% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Astros Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Astros (51‑34) vs Rockies (19‑66) |
5 | Astros Wins | 32% | 32% | 22% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | 31% | 32% | 22% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | ||
| Rockies Wins | 29% | 31% | 24% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 4% | ||
| Royals (40‑46) vs Mariners (44‑41) |
2 | Royals Wins | 32% | 32% | 23% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | 31% | 32% | 22% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | ||
| Mariners Wins | 31% | 32% | 22% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | ||
| Cubs (50‑35) vs Guardians (40‑43) |
1 | Cubs Wins | 32% | 32% | 23% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | 31% | 32% | 22% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | ||
| Guardians Wins | 31% | 32% | 23% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | ||
| Braves (38‑46) vs Angels (42‑42) |
1 | Braves Wins | 32% | 31% | 23% | 5% | 3% | 3% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | 31% | 32% | 22% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | ||
| Angels Wins | 32% | 32% | 22% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | ||
| Red Sox (42‑44) vs Reds (43‑41) |
1 | Red Sox Wins | 32% | 31% | 23% | 5% | 3% | 3% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | 31% | 32% | 22% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | ||
| Reds Wins | 32% | 31% | 23% | 5% | 3% | 3% | 3% | ||
| Tigers (53‑32) vs Nationals (35‑49) |
0 | Tigers Wins | 31% | 32% | 23% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | 31% | 32% | 22% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | ||
| Nationals Wins | 34% | 31% | 22% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | ||
| Blue Jays (47‑38) vs Yankees (48‑37) |
0 | Blue Jays Wins | 32% | 32% | 23% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | 31% | 32% | 22% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | ||
| Yankees Wins | 31% | 32% | 23% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 3% | ||
| Twins (40‑45) vs Marlins (38‑45) |
0 | Twins Wins | 32% | 32% | 23% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | 31% | 32% | 22% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | ||
| Marlins Wins | 31% | 32% | 23% | 5% | 3% | 3% | 3% | ||
| Athletics (36‑52) vs Rays (47‑39) |
0 | Athletics Wins | 32% | 32% | 23% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | 31% | 32% | 22% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | ||
| Rays Wins | 32% | 31% | 23% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | ||
| Dodgers (54‑32) vs White Sox (28‑57) |
0 | Dodgers Wins | 32% | 32% | 23% | 5% | 3% | 3% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | 31% | 32% | 22% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | ||
| White Sox Wins | 32% | 32% | 23% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | ||
| Rangers (42‑44) vs Orioles (37‑48) |
0 | Rangers Wins | 32% | 32% | 23% | 5% | 3% | 3% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | 31% | 32% | 22% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | ||
| Orioles Wins | 31% | 31% | 23% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% | ||