The Most Important Games for the Astros are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Astros final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Astros fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Astros Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Blue Jays (14‑16) vs Red Sox (17‑15) 1 Game Remaining |
2 | Blue Jays Sweeps 1 Game | 9% | 9% | 7% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 49% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 9% | 6% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 49% | ||
| Red Sox Sweeps 1 Game | 9% | 9% | 6% | 10% | 8% | 8% | 50% | ||
| Athletics (16‑15) vs Rangers (16‑15) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Athletics Sweeps 1 Game | 9% | 9% | 7% | 10% | 8% | 8% | 49% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 9% | 6% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 49% | ||
| Rangers Sweeps 1 Game | 9% | 8% | 6% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 50% | ||
| Guardians (17‑13) vs Twins (13‑18) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Guardians Sweeps 1 Game | 9% | 9% | 6% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 49% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 9% | 6% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 49% | ||
| Twins Sweeps 1 Game | 9% | 8% | 7% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 50% | ||
| Brewers (16‑15) vs White Sox (7‑23) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Brewers Sweeps 1 Game | 9% | 9% | 6% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 49% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 9% | 6% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 49% | ||
| White Sox Sweeps 1 Game | 9% | 9% | 7% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 49% | ||
| Angels (12‑17) vs Tigers (19‑12) 4 Games Remaining |
1 | Angels Sweeps 4 Games | 9% | 8% | 6% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 50% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 9% | 6% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 49% | ||
| Tigers Sweeps 4 Games | 8% | 8% | 7% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 50% | ||
| Royals (16‑15) vs Rays (14‑16) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Royals Sweeps 1 Game | 9% | 9% | 7% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 49% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 9% | 6% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 49% | ||
| Rays Sweeps 1 Game | 9% | 8% | 7% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 49% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Astros Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Blue Jays (14‑16) vs Red Sox (17‑15) |
2 | Blue Jays Wins | 9% | 9% | 7% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 49% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 9% | 6% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 49% | ||
| Red Sox Wins | 9% | 9% | 6% | 10% | 8% | 8% | 50% | ||
| Athletics (16‑15) vs Rangers (16‑15) |
1 | Athletics Wins | 9% | 9% | 7% | 10% | 8% | 8% | 49% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 9% | 6% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 49% | ||
| Rangers Wins | 9% | 8% | 6% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 50% | ||
| Angels (12‑17) vs Tigers (19‑12) |
1 | Angels Wins | 9% | 9% | 6% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 49% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 9% | 6% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 49% | ||
| Tigers Wins | 9% | 9% | 7% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 49% | ||
| Guardians (17‑13) vs Twins (13‑18) |
1 | Guardians Wins | 9% | 9% | 6% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 49% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 9% | 6% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 49% | ||
| Twins Wins | 9% | 8% | 7% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 50% | ||
| Brewers (16‑15) vs White Sox (7‑23) |
1 | Brewers Wins | 9% | 9% | 6% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 49% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 9% | 6% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 49% | ||
| White Sox Wins | 9% | 9% | 7% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 49% | ||
| Royals (16‑15) vs Rays (14‑16) |
0 | Royals Wins | 9% | 9% | 7% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 49% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 9% | 6% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 49% | ||
| Rays Wins | 9% | 8% | 7% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 49% | ||