PlayoffStatus.com

Mon Jul 14 3:30 am

MLB - Week 18 of 28

Astros Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for the Astros are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Astros final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Astros fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.

Astros Most Important Series
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)
Remaining
Games Winner
Astros Resultant Playoff Probabilities
Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
1*
First Round Bye
2*
First Round Bye
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7
Astros
(56‑40)

vs
Mariners
(51‑45)

3 Games Remaining
43 Astros Sweeps 3 Games 32% 32% 26% 3% 3% 2% 2%
Current Probabilities 24% 28% 26% 7% 6% 4% 6%
Mariners Sweeps 3 Games 16% 24% 24% 11% 8% 6% 10%
Phillies
(55‑41)

vs
Angels
(47‑49)

3 Games Remaining
3 Phillies Sweeps 3 Games 24% 28% 26% 7% 5% 4% 6%
Current Probabilities 24% 28% 26% 7% 6% 4% 6%
Angels Sweeps 3 Games 24% 28% 25% 7% 6% 4% 7%
Giants
(52‑45)

vs
Blue Jays
(55‑41)

3 Games Remaining
3 Giants Sweeps 3 Games 25% 29% 23% 8% 5% 4% 6%
Current Probabilities 24% 28% 26% 7% 6% 4% 6%
Blue Jays Sweeps 3 Games 23% 27% 27% 7% 6% 4% 7%
Braves
(42‑53)

vs
Yankees
(53‑43)

3 Games Remaining
2 Braves Sweeps 3 Games 24% 29% 24% 7% 5% 4% 6%
Current Probabilities 24% 28% 26% 7% 6% 4% 6%
Yankees Sweeps 3 Games 23% 27% 27% 6% 6% 4% 6%
Marlins
(44‑51)

vs
Royals
(47‑50)

3 Games Remaining
1 Marlins Sweeps 3 Games 24% 28% 26% 7% 5% 4% 6%
Current Probabilities 24% 28% 26% 7% 6% 4% 6%
Royals Sweeps 3 Games 23% 28% 25% 7% 6% 4% 7%
Tigers
(59‑38)

vs
Rangers
(48‑49)

3 Games Remaining
1 Tigers Sweeps 3 Games 20% 29% 29% 7% 6% 4% 6%
Current Probabilities 24% 28% 26% 7% 6% 4% 6%
Rangers Sweeps 3 Games 29% 26% 22% 7% 6% 4% 7%
Athletics
(41‑57)

vs
Guardians
(46‑49)

3 Games Remaining
1 Athletics Sweeps 3 Games 24% 28% 25% 7% 5% 4% 6%
Current Probabilities 24% 28% 26% 7% 6% 4% 6%
Guardians Sweeps 3 Games 24% 29% 25% 7% 5% 4% 6%
Cubs
(57‑39)

vs
Red Sox
(53‑45)

3 Games Remaining
0 Cubs Sweeps 3 Games 24% 28% 25% 7% 6% 4% 6%
Current Probabilities 24% 28% 26% 7% 6% 4% 6%
Red Sox Sweeps 3 Games 23% 28% 26% 6% 5% 4% 7%
Rays
(50‑47)

vs
Orioles
(43‑52)

3 Games Remaining
0 Rays Sweeps 3 Games 24% 28% 26% 6% 5% 4% 6%
Current Probabilities 24% 28% 26% 7% 6% 4% 6%
Orioles Sweeps 3 Games 23% 28% 26% 7% 6% 4% 6%
Pirates
(39‑58)

vs
White Sox
(32‑65)

3 Games Remaining
0 Pirates Sweeps 3 Games 23% 28% 25% 7% 5% 4% 6%
Current Probabilities 24% 28% 26% 7% 6% 4% 6%
White Sox Sweeps 3 Games 23% 27% 26% 7% 6% 4% 6%
Twins
(47‑49)

vs
Rockies
(22‑74)

3 Games Remaining
0 Twins Sweeps 3 Games 24% 28% 26% 7% 6% 4% 6%
Current Probabilities 24% 28% 26% 7% 6% 4% 6%
Rockies Sweeps 3 Games 24% 27% 26% 7% 6% 4% 6%


Astros Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)
Game
Winner
Astros Resultant Playoff Probabilities
Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
1*
First Round Bye
2*
First Round Bye
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7
Astros
(56‑40)

vs
Mariners
(51‑45)
15 Astros Wins 26% 30% 26% 6% 4% 3% 5%
Current Probabilities 24% 28% 26% 7% 6% 4% 6%
Mariners Wins 21% 27% 25% 8% 6% 5% 7%
Rockies
(22‑74)

vs
Twins
(47‑49)
2 Rockies Wins 24% 29% 25% 7% 5% 4% 6%
Current Probabilities 24% 28% 26% 7% 6% 4% 6%
Twins Wins 23% 28% 26% 7% 6% 4% 6%
Phillies
(55‑41)

vs
Angels
(47‑49)
2 Phillies Wins 24% 28% 26% 7% 5% 4% 6%
Current Probabilities 24% 28% 26% 7% 6% 4% 6%
Angels Wins 24% 27% 26% 7% 6% 4% 6%
Cubs
(57‑39)

vs
Red Sox
(53‑45)
1 Cubs Wins 24% 28% 26% 7% 5% 4% 6%
Current Probabilities 24% 28% 26% 7% 6% 4% 6%
Red Sox Wins 23% 27% 26% 7% 5% 4% 7%
Giants
(52‑45)

vs
Blue Jays
(55‑41)
1 Giants Wins 25% 28% 25% 7% 5% 4% 6%
Current Probabilities 24% 28% 26% 7% 6% 4% 6%
Blue Jays Wins 23% 28% 26% 7% 6% 4% 6%
Guardians
(46‑49)

vs
Athletics
(41‑57)
1 Guardians Wins 24% 28% 25% 7% 6% 4% 6%
Current Probabilities 24% 28% 26% 7% 6% 4% 6%
Athletics Wins 24% 27% 26% 7% 6% 4% 6%
Tigers
(59‑38)

vs
Rangers
(48‑49)
1 Tigers Wins 23% 28% 27% 7% 5% 4% 6%
Current Probabilities 24% 28% 26% 7% 6% 4% 6%
Rangers Wins 25% 27% 25% 7% 6% 4% 6%
Orioles
(43‑52)

vs
Rays
(50‑47)
1 Orioles Wins 24% 27% 26% 7% 6% 4% 6%
Current Probabilities 24% 28% 26% 7% 6% 4% 6%
Rays Wins 24% 28% 26% 7% 6% 4% 6%
Braves
(42‑53)

vs
Yankees
(53‑43)
0 Braves Wins 24% 28% 25% 7% 5% 4% 6%
Current Probabilities 24% 28% 26% 7% 6% 4% 6%
Yankees Wins 24% 27% 26% 7% 5% 5% 6%
Pirates
(39‑58)

vs
White Sox
(32‑65)
0 Pirates Wins 24% 28% 25% 7% 6% 4% 6%
Current Probabilities 24% 28% 26% 7% 6% 4% 6%
White Sox Wins 24% 28% 25% 7% 6% 4% 6%
Royals
(47‑50)

vs
Marlins
(44‑51)
0 Royals Wins 24% 28% 25% 7% 5% 4% 6%
Current Probabilities 24% 28% 26% 7% 6% 4% 6%
Marlins Wins 24% 28% 26% 7% 6% 4% 6%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs