The Most Important Games for the Astros are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Astros final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Astros fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Astros Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Astros (50‑34) vs Rockies (19‑65) 3 Games Remaining |
20 | Astros Sweeps 3 Games | 33% | 31% | 23% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 29% | 30% | 24% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 4% | ||
| Rockies Sweeps 3 Games | 20% | 28% | 29% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 6% | ||
| Royals (39‑46) vs Mariners (44‑40) 3 Games Remaining |
6 | Royals Sweeps 3 Games | 29% | 31% | 27% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 29% | 30% | 24% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 4% | ||
| Mariners Sweeps 3 Games | 29% | 30% | 23% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 4% | ||
| Braves (38‑45) vs Angels (41‑42) 3 Games Remaining |
3 | Braves Sweeps 3 Games | 29% | 30% | 25% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | 29% | 30% | 24% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 4% | ||
| Angels Sweeps 3 Games | 29% | 30% | 24% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 4% | ||
| Nationals (35‑49) vs Tigers (53‑32) 3 Games Remaining |
2 | Nationals Sweeps 3 Games | 34% | 27% | 22% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 29% | 30% | 24% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 4% | ||
| Tigers Sweeps 3 Games | 25% | 32% | 26% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 4% | ||
| Cubs (49‑35) vs Guardians (40‑42) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Cubs Sweeps 3 Games | 29% | 30% | 25% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 29% | 30% | 24% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 4% | ||
| Guardians Sweeps 3 Games | 29% | 31% | 24% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 4% | ||
| Blue Jays (46‑38) vs Yankees (48‑36) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Blue Jays Sweeps 3 Games | 29% | 30% | 24% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 29% | 30% | 24% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 4% | ||
| Yankees Sweeps 3 Games | 28% | 30% | 25% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 4% | ||
| Orioles (37‑47) vs Rangers (41‑44) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | Orioles Sweeps 2 Games | 29% | 30% | 25% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 29% | 30% | 24% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 4% | ||
| Rangers Sweeps 2 Games | 29% | 30% | 24% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 4% | ||
| Twins (40‑44) vs Marlins (37‑45) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Twins Sweeps 3 Games | 29% | 30% | 25% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 29% | 30% | 24% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 4% | ||
| Marlins Sweeps 3 Games | 28% | 30% | 25% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 4% | ||
| Red Sox (42‑44) vs Reds (43‑41) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Red Sox Sweeps 2 Games | 29% | 30% | 24% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 29% | 30% | 24% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 4% | ||
| Reds Sweeps 2 Games | 29% | 30% | 24% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 4% | ||
| Athletics (35‑52) vs Rays (47‑38) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Athletics Sweeps 2 Games | 29% | 30% | 24% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 29% | 30% | 24% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 4% | ||
| Rays Sweeps 2 Games | 29% | 30% | 25% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 4% | ||
| White Sox (28‑56) vs Dodgers (53‑32) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | White Sox Sweeps 3 Games | 29% | 30% | 25% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 29% | 30% | 24% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 4% | ||
| Dodgers Sweeps 3 Games | 29% | 30% | 24% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 4% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Astros Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Astros (50‑34) vs Rockies (19‑65) |
7 | Astros Wins | 30% | 31% | 24% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | 29% | 30% | 24% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 4% | ||
| Rockies Wins | 26% | 30% | 26% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 5% | ||
| Royals (39‑46) vs Mariners (44‑40) |
2 | Royals Wins | 29% | 30% | 25% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 29% | 30% | 24% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 4% | ||
| Mariners Wins | 29% | 30% | 24% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 4% | ||
| Braves (38‑45) vs Angels (41‑42) |
1 | Braves Wins | 29% | 31% | 24% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 29% | 30% | 24% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 4% | ||
| Angels Wins | 29% | 29% | 25% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 4% | ||
| Blue Jays (46‑38) vs Yankees (48‑36) |
1 | Blue Jays Wins | 30% | 30% | 24% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | 29% | 30% | 24% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 4% | ||
| Yankees Wins | 29% | 30% | 25% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 4% | ||
| Orioles (37‑47) vs Rangers (41‑44) |
1 | Orioles Wins | 29% | 30% | 25% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 29% | 30% | 24% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 4% | ||
| Rangers Wins | 29% | 30% | 24% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 4% | ||
| Marlins (37‑45) vs Twins (40‑44) |
1 | Marlins Wins | 29% | 30% | 24% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 29% | 30% | 24% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 4% | ||
| Twins Wins | 29% | 30% | 24% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 4% | ||
| Cubs (49‑35) vs Guardians (40‑42) |
1 | Cubs Wins | 29% | 30% | 24% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 29% | 30% | 24% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 4% | ||
| Guardians Wins | 29% | 30% | 24% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 4% | ||
| Dodgers (53‑32) vs White Sox (28‑56) |
0 | Dodgers Wins | 29% | 30% | 24% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 29% | 30% | 24% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 4% | ||
| White Sox Wins | 28% | 30% | 24% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 4% | ||
| Red Sox (42‑44) vs Reds (43‑41) |
0 | Red Sox Wins | 29% | 30% | 24% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 29% | 30% | 24% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 4% | ||
| Reds Wins | 29% | 30% | 24% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 4% | ||
| Rays (47‑38) vs Athletics (35‑52) |
0 | Rays Wins | 29% | 30% | 24% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 29% | 30% | 24% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 4% | ||
| Athletics Wins | 29% | 30% | 24% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 4% | ||
| Tigers (53‑32) vs Nationals (35‑49) |
0 | Tigers Wins | 28% | 31% | 25% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 29% | 30% | 24% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 4% | ||
| Nationals Wins | 30% | 29% | 24% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 4% | ||