The Most Important Games for the Astros are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Astros final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Astros fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Astros Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Astros (31‑37) vs Angels (25‑42) 2 Games Remaining |
12 | Astros Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 3% | 7% | 2% | 6% | 8% | 75% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 6% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 78% | ||
| Angels Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 2% | 5% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 82% | ||
| Brewers (40‑23) vs Athletics (31‑34) 3 Games Remaining |
3 | Brewers Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 2% | 6% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 77% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 6% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 78% | ||
| Athletics Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 78% | ||
| Orioles (31‑36) vs Mariners (35‑32) 3 Games Remaining |
3 | Orioles Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 2% | 7% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 78% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 6% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 78% | ||
| Mariners Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 6% | 7% | 78% | ||
| Braves (45‑21) vs White Sox (34‑31) 3 Games Remaining |
2 | Braves Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 3% | 6% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 77% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 6% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 78% | ||
| White Sox Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 2% | 6% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 79% | ||
| Royals (27‑39) vs Rangers (32‑33) 3 Games Remaining |
2 | Royals Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 2% | 6% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 77% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 6% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 78% | ||
| Rangers Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 78% | ||
| Twins (30‑37) vs Tigers (27‑39) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Twins Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 2% | 6% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 78% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 6% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 78% | ||
| Tigers Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 2% | 6% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 78% | ||
| Guardians (37‑31) vs Yankees (39‑26) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Guardians Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 2% | 6% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 77% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 6% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 78% | ||
| Yankees Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 2% | 6% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 77% | ||
| Rays (38‑25) vs Red Sox (27‑37) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Rays Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 2% | 6% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 77% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 6% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 78% | ||
| Red Sox Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 2% | 6% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 77% | ||
| Phillies (36‑30) vs Blue Jays (32‑35) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Phillies Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 2% | 6% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 78% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 6% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 78% | ||
| Blue Jays Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 2% | 6% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 78% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Astros Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Astros (31‑37) vs Angels (25‑42) |
6 | Astros Wins | <1% | 3% | 6% | 2% | 6% | 8% | 76% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 6% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 78% | ||
| Angels Wins | <1% | 2% | 6% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 79% | ||
| Brewers (40‑23) vs Athletics (31‑34) |
1 | Brewers Wins | <1% | 2% | 6% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 77% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 6% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 78% | ||
| Athletics Wins | <1% | 2% | 6% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 78% | ||
| Royals (27‑39) vs Rangers (32‑33) |
1 | Royals Wins | <1% | 2% | 6% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 78% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 6% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 78% | ||
| Rangers Wins | <1% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 78% | ||
| Twins (30‑37) vs Tigers (27‑39) |
1 | Twins Wins | <1% | 2% | 6% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 78% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 6% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 78% | ||
| Tigers Wins | <1% | 2% | 6% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 78% | ||
| Yankees (39‑26) vs Guardians (37‑31) |
1 | Yankees Wins | <1% | 2% | 6% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 78% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 6% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 78% | ||
| Guardians Wins | <1% | 2% | 6% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 78% | ||
| Orioles (31‑36) vs Mariners (35‑32) |
1 | Orioles Wins | <1% | 2% | 6% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 77% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 6% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 78% | ||
| Mariners Wins | <1% | 2% | 6% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 77% | ||
| Red Sox (27‑37) vs Rays (38‑25) |
0 | Red Sox Wins | <1% | 2% | 6% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 78% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 6% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 78% | ||
| Rays Wins | <1% | 2% | 6% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 78% | ||
| Braves (45‑21) vs White Sox (34‑31) |
0 | Braves Wins | <1% | 2% | 6% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 78% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 6% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 78% | ||
| White Sox Wins | <1% | 2% | 6% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 78% | ||
| Phillies (36‑30) vs Blue Jays (32‑35) |
0 | Phillies Wins | <1% | 2% | 6% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 78% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 6% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 78% | ||
| Blue Jays Wins | <1% | 2% | 6% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 78% | ||