The Most Important Games for the Astros are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Astros final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Astros fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Astros Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Astros (76‑62) vs Yankees (76‑61) 3 Games Remaining |
61 | Astros Sweeps 3 Games | 7% | 18% | 51% | 3% | 7% | 9% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 11% | 50% | 2% | 6% | 14% | 14% | ||
| Yankees Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 3% | 46% | <1% | 4% | 20% | 26% | ||
| Rays (68‑69) vs Mariners (73‑65) 2 Games Remaining |
20 | Rays Sweeps 2 Games | 3% | 10% | 57% | 1% | 4% | 12% | 12% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 11% | 50% | 2% | 6% | 14% | 14% | ||
| Mariners Sweeps 2 Games | 3% | 11% | 43% | 3% | 9% | 17% | 14% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs (68‑71) vs Rangers (72‑67) 2 Games Remaining |
12 | DiamondbacksD. Backs Sweeps 2 Games | 3% | 11% | 52% | 2% | 6% | 15% | 11% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 11% | 50% | 2% | 6% | 14% | 14% | ||
| Rangers Sweeps 2 Games | 3% | 10% | 47% | 2% | 7% | 15% | 16% | ||
| Reds (70‑68) vs Blue Jays (79‑59) 2 Games Remaining |
2 | Reds Sweeps 2 Games | 3% | 13% | 48% | 2% | 7% | 14% | 13% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 11% | 50% | 2% | 6% | 14% | 14% | ||
| Blue Jays Sweeps 2 Games | 3% | 9% | 51% | 2% | 6% | 15% | 14% | ||
| Red Sox (77‑62) vs Guardians (68‑68) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | Red Sox Sweeps 2 Games | 3% | 10% | 51% | 2% | 5% | 16% | 13% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 11% | 50% | 2% | 6% | 14% | 14% | ||
| Guardians Sweeps 2 Games | 3% | 12% | 49% | 2% | 8% | 13% | 14% | ||
| Mets (74‑64) vs Tigers (80‑59) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | Mets Sweeps 2 Games | 4% | 12% | 47% | 2% | 6% | 15% | 13% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 11% | 50% | 2% | 6% | 14% | 14% | ||
| Tigers Sweeps 2 Games | 2% | 10% | 52% | 2% | 7% | 15% | 13% | ||
| Angels (64‑73) vs Royals (70‑67) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Angels Sweeps 3 Games | 3% | 10% | 49% | 2% | 7% | 16% | 12% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 11% | 50% | 2% | 6% | 14% | 14% | ||
| Royals Sweeps 3 Games | 3% | 11% | 49% | 2% | 6% | 13% | 15% | ||
| Twins (62‑75) vs White Sox (50‑88) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Twins Sweeps 3 Games | 3% | 11% | 50% | 2% | 7% | 14% | 13% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 11% | 50% | 2% | 6% | 14% | 14% | ||
| White Sox Sweeps 3 Games | 3% | 11% | 49% | 2% | 6% | 15% | 14% | ||
| Athletics (64‑75) vs Cardinals (68‑71) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | Athletics Sweeps 2 Games | 3% | 12% | 49% | 2% | 6% | 14% | 14% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 11% | 50% | 2% | 6% | 14% | 14% | ||
| Cardinals Sweeps 2 Games | 3% | 11% | 49% | 2% | 7% | 14% | 14% | ||
| Orioles (62‑76) vs Padres (76‑62) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Orioles Sweeps 2 Games | 3% | 11% | 50% | 2% | 7% | 15% | 14% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 11% | 50% | 2% | 6% | 14% | 14% | ||
| Padres Sweeps 2 Games | 3% | 10% | 50% | 2% | 7% | 14% | 14% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Astros Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Astros (76‑62) vs Yankees (76‑61) |
20 | Astros Wins | 4% | 12% | 51% | 2% | 7% | 13% | 10% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 11% | 50% | 2% | 6% | 14% | 14% | ||
| Yankees Wins | 2% | 8% | 49% | 2% | 6% | 17% | 17% | ||
| Rays (68‑69) vs Mariners (73‑65) |
10 | Rays Wins | 3% | 11% | 52% | 1% | 6% | 13% | 13% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 11% | 50% | 2% | 6% | 14% | 14% | ||
| Mariners Wins | 3% | 10% | 47% | 2% | 8% | 16% | 14% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs (68‑71) vs Rangers (72‑67) |
6 | DiamondbacksD. Backs Wins | 3% | 11% | 51% | 2% | 6% | 14% | 13% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 11% | 50% | 2% | 6% | 14% | 14% | ||
| Rangers Wins | 3% | 10% | 48% | 2% | 7% | 15% | 15% | ||
| Angels (64‑73) vs Royals (70‑67) |
3 | Angels Wins | 3% | 11% | 50% | 2% | 6% | 14% | 13% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 11% | 50% | 2% | 6% | 14% | 14% | ||
| Royals Wins | 3% | 11% | 49% | 2% | 6% | 14% | 14% | ||
| Athletics (64‑75) vs Cardinals (68‑71) |
2 | Athletics Wins | 3% | 11% | 50% | 2% | 6% | 15% | 13% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 11% | 50% | 2% | 6% | 14% | 14% | ||
| Cardinals Wins | 3% | 11% | 50% | 2% | 6% | 14% | 14% | ||
| Twins (62‑75) vs White Sox (50‑88) |
1 | Twins Wins | 3% | 11% | 51% | 2% | 7% | 14% | 13% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 11% | 50% | 2% | 6% | 14% | 14% | ||
| White Sox Wins | 3% | 11% | 50% | 2% | 6% | 14% | 14% | ||
| Reds (70‑68) vs Blue Jays (79‑59) |
1 | Reds Wins | 3% | 12% | 49% | 2% | 6% | 15% | 13% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 11% | 50% | 2% | 6% | 14% | 14% | ||
| Blue Jays Wins | 3% | 10% | 51% | 2% | 6% | 15% | 14% | ||
| Red Sox (77‑62) vs Guardians (68‑68) |
1 | Red Sox Wins | 3% | 11% | 49% | 2% | 6% | 16% | 13% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 11% | 50% | 2% | 6% | 14% | 14% | ||
| Guardians Wins | 3% | 11% | 49% | 2% | 7% | 14% | 14% | ||
| Orioles (62‑76) vs Padres (76‑62) |
1 | Orioles Wins | 3% | 11% | 50% | 2% | 6% | 15% | 14% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 11% | 50% | 2% | 6% | 14% | 14% | ||
| Padres Wins | 3% | 11% | 50% | 2% | 6% | 14% | 14% | ||
| Tigers (80‑59) vs Mets (74‑64) |
0 | Tigers Wins | 3% | 10% | 51% | 2% | 7% | 14% | 13% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 11% | 50% | 2% | 6% | 14% | 14% | ||
| Mets Wins | 4% | 11% | 48% | 2% | 7% | 14% | 14% | ||