The Most Important Games for the Astros are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Astros final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Astros fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Astros Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Astros (7‑17) vs Cubs (14‑9) 2 Games Remaining |
5 | Astros Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 1% | 5% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 86% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 5% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 87% | ||
| Cubs Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 1% | 5% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 89% | ||
| Blue Jays (13‑11) vs Royals (14‑10) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | Blue Jays Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 1% | 5% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 87% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 5% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 87% | ||
| Royals Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 1% | 5% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 88% | ||
| Angels (10‑14) vs Orioles (15‑8) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Angels Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 1% | 5% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 87% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 5% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 87% | ||
| Orioles Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 1% | 5% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 88% | ||
| Rays (12‑13) vs Tigers (14‑10) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Rays Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 1% | 5% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 87% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 5% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 87% | ||
| Tigers Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 1% | 5% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 87% | ||
| Twins (9‑13) vs White Sox (3‑20) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Twins Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 1% | 5% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 87% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 5% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 87% | ||
| White Sox Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 1% | 5% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 87% | ||
| Guardians (17‑6) vs Red Sox (13‑11) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Guardians Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 1% | 5% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 88% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 5% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 87% | ||
| Red Sox Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 1% | 5% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 87% | ||
| Mariners (12‑11) vs Rangers (12‑12) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Mariners Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 1% | 5% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 87% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 5% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 87% | ||
| Rangers Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 1% | 5% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 88% | ||
| Yankees (16‑8) vs Athletics (9‑15) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Yankees Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 1% | 5% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 87% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 5% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 87% | ||
| Athletics Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 1% | 5% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 87% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Astros Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Astros (7‑17) vs Cubs (14‑9) |
1 | Astros Wins | <1% | 1% | 5% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 87% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 5% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 87% | ||
| Cubs Wins | <1% | 1% | 5% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 88% | ||
| Guardians (17‑6) vs Red Sox (13‑11) |
1 | Guardians Wins | <1% | 1% | 5% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 87% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 5% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 87% | ||
| Red Sox Wins | <1% | 1% | 5% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 88% | ||
| White Sox (3‑20) vs Twins (9‑13) |
1 | White Sox Wins | <1% | 1% | 5% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 87% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 5% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 87% | ||
| Twins Wins | <1% | 1% | 5% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 87% | ||
| Blue Jays (13‑11) vs Royals (14‑10) |
1 | Blue Jays Wins | <1% | 1% | 5% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 87% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 5% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 87% | ||
| Royals Wins | <1% | 1% | 5% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 87% | ||
| Athletics (9‑15) vs Yankees (16‑8) |
0 | Athletics Wins | <1% | 1% | 5% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 87% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 5% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 87% | ||
| Yankees Wins | <1% | 1% | 5% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 87% | ||
| Angels (10‑14) vs Orioles (15‑8) |
0 | Angels Wins | <1% | 1% | 5% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 87% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 5% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 87% | ||
| Orioles Wins | <1% | 1% | 5% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 88% | ||
| Rays (12‑13) vs Tigers (14‑10) |
0 | Rays Wins | <1% | 1% | 5% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 87% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 5% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 87% | ||
| Tigers Wins | <1% | 1% | 5% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 87% | ||
| Rangers (12‑12) vs Mariners (12‑11) |
0 | Rangers Wins | <1% | 1% | 5% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 87% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 5% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 87% | ||
| Mariners Wins | <1% | 1% | 5% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 87% | ||