The Most Important Games for the Astros are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Astros final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Astros fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Astros Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Astros (64‑64) vs Athletics (49‑79) 3 Games Remaining |
68 | Astros Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 17% | 44% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 33% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 12% | 39% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 44% | ||
| Athletics Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 5% | 29% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 64% | ||
| Angels (51‑77) vs Rangers (63‑65) 3 Games Remaining |
31 | Angels Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 12% | 47% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 38% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 12% | 39% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 44% | ||
| Rangers Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 11% | 33% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 49% | ||
| Cubs (74‑54) vs Mariners (60‑68) 3 Games Remaining |
24 | Cubs Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 12% | 44% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 41% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 12% | 39% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 44% | ||
| Mariners Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 11% | 33% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 50% | ||
| Rockies (50‑77) vs Guardians (62‑66) 3 Games Remaining |
3 | Rockies Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 12% | 39% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 43% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 12% | 39% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 44% | ||
| Guardians Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 11% | 40% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 45% | ||
| Mets (58‑70) vs White Sox (66‑61) 3 Games Remaining |
2 | Mets Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 16% | 35% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 44% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 12% | 39% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 44% | ||
| White Sox Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 9% | 42% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 45% | ||
| Royals (55‑74) vs Tigers (61‑66) 3 Games Remaining |
2 | Royals Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 12% | 39% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 44% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 12% | 39% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 44% | ||
| Tigers Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 11% | 40% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 45% | ||
| Padres (68‑60) vs Twins (63‑65) 3 Games Remaining |
2 | Padres Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 13% | 38% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 44% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 12% | 39% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 44% | ||
| Twins Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 10% | 41% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 45% | ||
| Rays (76‑51) vs Orioles (61‑67) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Rays Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 12% | 39% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 44% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 12% | 39% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 44% | ||
| Orioles Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 12% | 39% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 45% | ||
| Red Sox (68‑59) vs Giants (52‑75) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Red Sox Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 11% | 40% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 44% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 12% | 39% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 44% | ||
| Giants Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 11% | 39% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 44% | ||
| Blue Jays (63‑66) vs Yankees (72‑55) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Blue Jays Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 12% | 40% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 45% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 12% | 39% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 44% | ||
| Yankees Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 11% | 39% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 44% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Astros Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Astros (64‑64) vs Athletics (49‑79) |
21 | Astros Wins | <1% | 13% | 41% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 41% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 12% | 39% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 44% | ||
| Athletics Wins | <1% | 9% | 37% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 50% | ||
| Angels (51‑77) vs Rangers (63‑65) |
12 | Angels Wins | <1% | 12% | 42% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 42% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 12% | 39% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 44% | ||
| Rangers Wins | <1% | 12% | 37% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 46% | ||
| Cubs (74‑54) vs Mariners (60‑68) |
8 | Cubs Wins | <1% | 12% | 41% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 43% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 12% | 39% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 44% | ||
| Mariners Wins | <1% | 11% | 38% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 46% | ||
| Padres (68‑60) vs Twins (63‑65) |
3 | Padres Wins | <1% | 12% | 40% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 43% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 12% | 39% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 44% | ||
| Twins Wins | <1% | 11% | 40% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 45% | ||
| Red Sox (68‑59) vs Giants (52‑75) |
1 | Red Sox Wins | <1% | 12% | 40% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 44% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 12% | 39% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 44% | ||
| Giants Wins | <1% | 12% | 39% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 44% | ||
| Mets (58‑70) vs White Sox (66‑61) |
1 | Mets Wins | <1% | 14% | 38% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 44% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 12% | 39% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 44% | ||
| White Sox Wins | <1% | 11% | 40% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 45% | ||
| Yankees (72‑55) vs Blue Jays (63‑66) |
1 | Yankees Wins | <1% | 12% | 40% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 44% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 12% | 39% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 44% | ||
| Blue Jays Wins | <1% | 12% | 39% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 45% | ||
| Royals (55‑74) vs Tigers (61‑66) |
0 | Royals Wins | <1% | 11% | 39% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 45% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 12% | 39% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 44% | ||
| Tigers Wins | <1% | 12% | 39% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 45% | ||
| Guardians (62‑66) vs Rockies (50‑77) |
0 | Guardians Wins | <1% | 11% | 39% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 45% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 12% | 39% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 44% | ||
| Rockies Wins | <1% | 12% | 39% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 45% | ||
| Orioles (61‑67) vs Rays (76‑51) |
0 | Orioles Wins | <1% | 12% | 39% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 44% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 12% | 39% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 44% | ||
| Rays Wins | <1% | 12% | 39% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 44% | ||