PlayoffStatus.com

Sat Apr 13 5:00 am

MLB - Week 4 of 28

Astros What If?

The Astros What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Astros play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Astros What If?

Next Game - Rangers (8‑6)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
2*
First Round Bye
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7
Win Next Game 5 11 <1% 2% 6% 3% 5% 6% 78%
Current Standings 4 11 <1% 2% 6% 3% 5% 6% 79%
Lose Next Game 4 12 <1% 2% 6% 3% 5% 6% 79%


Current Series - Rangers (8‑6) - 2 Remaining Games

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
2*
First Round Bye
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7
Astros Sweeps 6 11 <1% 2% 6% 3% 5% 6% 78%
Current Standings 4 11 <1% 2% 6% 3% 5% 6% 79%
Rangers Sweeps 4 13 <1% 2% 5% 2% 4% 6% 80%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
2*
First Round Bye
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7
147 of 147 100% 151 11 >99% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
140 of 147 95% 144 18 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
130 of 147 88% 134 28 99% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
123 of 147 84% 127 35 94% 6% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
122 of 147 83% 126 36 93% 7% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
121 of 147 82% 125 37 91% 9% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
120 of 147 82% 124 38 88% 12% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
119 of 147 81% 123 39 85% 14% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
118 of 147 80% 122 40 82% 17% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
117 of 147 80% 121 41 78% 20% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
116 of 147 79% 120 42 73% 24% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1%
115 of 147 78% 119 43 69% 28% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1%
114 of 147 78% 118 44 64% 31% 3% 2% <1% <1% <1%
113 of 147 77% 117 45 58% 35% 4% 3% <1% <1% <1%
112 of 147 76% 116 46 52% 38% 7% 3% <1% <1% <1%
111 of 147 76% 115 47 47% 40% 7% 5% <1% <1% <1%
110 of 147 75% 114 48 41% 43% 9% 6% <1% <1% <1%
109 of 147 74% 113 49 36% 43% 12% 8% 1% <1% <1%
108 of 147 73% 112 50 31% 45% 14% 9% 1% <1% <1%
107 of 147 73% 111 51 25% 46% 16% 12% 1% <1% <1%
106 of 147 72% 110 52 21% 45% 19% 13% 2% <1% <1%
105 of 147 71% 109 53 17% 43% 21% 16% 3% <1% <1%
104 of 147 71% 108 54 14% 40% 24% 18% 4% <1% <1%
103 of 147 70% 107 55 10% 38% 27% 19% 6% 1% <1%
102 of 147 69% 106 56 8% 35% 27% 21% 8% 1% <1%
101 of 147 69% 105 57 6% 31% 30% 22% 9% 2% <1%
100 of 147 68% 104 58 4% 27% 31% 23% 12% 3% <1%
99 of 147 67% 103 59 3% 24% 31% 22% 16% 4% <1%
98 of 147 67% 102 60 2% 20% 32% 22% 18% 5% 1%
97 of 147 66% 101 61 1% 16% 31% 22% 21% 8% 1%
96 of 147 65% 100 62 1% 13% 31% 20% 24% 10% 2%
95 of 147 65% 99 63 1% 11% 30% 18% 25% 12% 3%
94 of 147 64% 98 64 <1% 9% 28% 16% 27% 15% 4%
93 of 147 63% 97 65 <1% 7% 27% 14% 27% 19% 6%
92 of 147 63% 96 66 <1% 5% 25% 13% 27% 21% 9%
91 of 147 62% 95 67 <1% 4% 24% 10% 26% 24% 12%
90 of 147 61% 94 68 <1% 3% 21% 8% 24% 27% 16%
89 of 147 61% 93 69 <1% 2% 21% 7% 22% 26% 21%
88 of 147 60% 92 70 <1% 2% 18% 5% 20% 29% 26%
87 of 147 59% 91 71 <1% 1% 16% 4% 18% 29% 33%
86 of 147 59% 90 72 <1% 1% 14% 3% 15% 28% 39%
85 of 147 58% 89 73 <1% 1% 13% 2% 12% 26% 46%
84 of 147 57% 88 74 <1% <1% 12% 1% 10% 25% 52%
83 of 147 56% 87 75 <1% <1% 10% 1% 8% 22% 59%
82 of 147 56% 86 76 <1% <1% 8% 1% 6% 19% 66%
81 of 147 55% 85 77 <1% <1% 8% <1% 5% 16% 71%
80 of 147 54% 84 78 <1% <1% 7% <1% 3% 14% 76%
79 of 147 54% 83 79 <1% <1% 6% <1% 3% 11% 80%
78 of 147 53% 82 80 <1% <1% 5% <1% 1% 8% 85%
77 of 147 52% 81 81 <1% <1% 4% <1% 1% 6% 88%
76 of 147 52% 80 82 <1% <1% 3% <1% 1% 5% 91%
75 of 147 51% 79 83 <1% <1% 3% <1% <1% 3% 94%
74 of 147 50% 78 84 <1% <1% 3% <1% <1% 3% 95%
70 of 147 48% 74 88 <1% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1% 99%
60 of 147 41% 64 98 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
50 of 147 34% 54 108 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
40 of 147 27% 44 118 X X <1% X <1% <1% >99%
30 of 147 20% 34 128 X X <1% X X X >99%
20 of 147 14% 24 138 X X X X X X 100%
10 of 147 7% 14 148 X X X X X X 100%
0 of 147 0% 4 158 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs