PlayoffStatus.com

Wed May 14 3:30 am

MLB - Week 9 of 28

Astros What If?

The Astros What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Astros play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Astros What If?

Next Game - Royals (25‑19)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
2*
First Round Bye
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7
Win Next Game 22 20 5% 10% 9% 6% 8% 8% 54%
Current Standings 21 20 5% 10% 9% 6% 7% 8% 55%
Lose Next Game 21 21 4% 9% 9% 6% 7% 8% 57%


Current Series - Royals (25‑19) - 1 Remaining Game

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
2*
First Round Bye
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7
Astros Sweeps 22 20 5% 10% 9% 6% 8% 8% 54%
Current Standings 21 20 5% 10% 9% 6% 7% 8% 55%
Royals Sweeps 21 21 4% 9% 9% 6% 7% 8% 57%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
2*
First Round Bye
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7
121 of 121 100% 142 20 >99% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
120 of 121 99% 141 21 >99% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
110 of 121 91% 131 31 >99% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
100 of 121 83% 121 41 >99% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
91 of 121 75% 112 50 94% 6% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
90 of 121 74% 111 51 93% 7% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
89 of 121 74% 110 52 90% 10% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
88 of 121 73% 109 53 86% 13% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
87 of 121 72% 108 54 82% 17% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
86 of 121 71% 107 55 77% 22% <1% 1% ^ ^ ^
85 of 121 70% 106 56 73% 25% 1% 1% ^ ^ ^
84 of 121 69% 105 57 67% 29% 1% 2% ^ ^ ^
83 of 121 69% 104 58 60% 35% 2% 3% <1% ^ ^
82 of 121 68% 103 59 53% 39% 3% 4% <1% <1% ^
81 of 121 67% 102 60 45% 43% 5% 6% <1% ^ ^
80 of 121 66% 101 61 38% 47% 6% 8% 1% <1% ^
79 of 121 65% 100 62 32% 48% 9% 10% 1% <1% ^
78 of 121 64% 99 63 25% 50% 11% 13% 2% <1% ^
77 of 121 64% 98 64 18% 48% 15% 16% 3% <1% ^
76 of 121 63% 97 65 13% 45% 18% 19% 5% 1% ^
75 of 121 62% 96 66 9% 42% 20% 21% 8% 1% <1%
74 of 121 61% 95 67 6% 37% 22% 22% 11% 2% <1%
73 of 121 60% 94 68 3% 30% 25% 22% 15% 4% <1%
72 of 121 60% 93 69 2% 25% 27% 21% 19% 6% 1%
71 of 121 59% 92 70 1% 18% 27% 19% 22% 10% 2%
70 of 121 58% 91 71 1% 14% 26% 17% 25% 14% 3%
69 of 121 57% 90 72 <1% 9% 25% 14% 27% 19% 6%
68 of 121 56% 89 73 <1% 6% 22% 10% 26% 23% 11%
67 of 121 55% 88 74 <1% 4% 20% 7% 23% 28% 18%
66 of 121 55% 87 75 <1% 2% 16% 4% 20% 30% 28%
65 of 121 54% 86 76 <1% 1% 13% 3% 15% 29% 39%
64 of 121 53% 85 77 <1% <1% 10% 1% 10% 26% 52%
63 of 121 52% 84 78 <1% <1% 8% 1% 7% 21% 63%
62 of 121 51% 83 79 <1% <1% 6% <1% 3% 15% 76%
61 of 121 50% 82 80 <1% <1% 4% <1% 2% 10% 84%
60 of 121 50% 81 81 <1% <1% 3% <1% 1% 6% 90%
59 of 121 49% 80 82 <1% <1% 2% <1% <1% 3% 95%
50 of 121 41% 71 91 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
40 of 121 33% 61 101 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
30 of 121 25% 51 111 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
20 of 121 17% 41 121 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
10 of 121 8% 31 131 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
0 of 121 0% 21 141 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs