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Sun Jun 4 10:45 pm

MLB - Week 11 of 27

Astros What If?

The Astros What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Astros play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Astros What If?

Next Game - Blue Jays (33‑27)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Win Next Game 36 24 7% 20% 2% 11% 13% 14% 34%
Current Standings 35 24 6% 19% 2% 10% 12% 14% 37%
Lose Next Game 35 25 5% 18% 2% 9% 12% 14% 39%


Current Series - Blue Jays (33‑27) - 4 Remaining Games

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Astros Sweeps 39 24 9% 21% 2% 12% 14% 14% 27%
Current Standings 35 24 6% 19% 2% 10% 12% 14% 37%
Blue Jays Sweeps 35 28 4% 16% 2% 8% 11% 14% 46%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
103 of 103 100% 138 24 >99% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
100 of 103 97% 135 27 >99% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
90 of 103 87% 125 37 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
80 of 103 78% 115 47 95% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
79 of 103 77% 114 48 93% 7% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
78 of 103 76% 113 49 90% 10% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
77 of 103 75% 112 50 87% 12% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
76 of 103 74% 111 51 82% 16% <1% 2% <1% <1% <1%
75 of 103 73% 110 52 78% 20% <1% 3% <1% <1% <1%
74 of 103 72% 109 53 73% 23% <1% 4% <1% <1% <1%
73 of 103 71% 108 54 66% 28% <1% 5% <1% <1% <1%
72 of 103 70% 107 55 59% 33% <1% 8% <1% <1% <1%
71 of 103 69% 106 56 52% 38% <1% 10% <1% <1% <1%
70 of 103 68% 105 57 44% 43% <1% 12% <1% <1% <1%
69 of 103 67% 104 58 36% 47% <1% 16% 1% <1% <1%
68 of 103 66% 103 59 29% 50% <1% 19% 2% <1% <1%
67 of 103 65% 102 60 23% 52% <1% 23% 3% <1% <1%
66 of 103 64% 101 61 17% 53% 1% 24% 5% <1% <1%
65 of 103 63% 100 62 12% 52% 1% 27% 7% 1% <1%
64 of 103 62% 99 63 8% 51% 2% 27% 11% 1% <1%
63 of 103 61% 98 64 5% 48% 2% 27% 16% 3% <1%
62 of 103 60% 97 65 3% 43% 3% 26% 21% 5% <1%
61 of 103 59% 96 66 2% 39% 4% 23% 25% 8% 1%
60 of 103 58% 95 67 1% 32% 5% 20% 29% 13% 1%
59 of 103 57% 94 68 <1% 27% 5% 16% 32% 18% 3%
58 of 103 56% 93 69 <1% 22% 5% 12% 32% 24% 6%
57 of 103 55% 92 70 <1% 16% 6% 8% 30% 30% 10%
56 of 103 54% 91 71 <1% 11% 5% 5% 26% 35% 17%
55 of 103 53% 90 72 <1% 8% 5% 3% 21% 38% 25%
54 of 103 52% 89 73 <1% 5% 5% 1% 15% 37% 37%
53 of 103 51% 88 74 <1% 3% 4% 1% 11% 34% 48%
52 of 103 50% 87 75 <1% 2% 3% <1% 6% 27% 62%
51 of 103 50% 86 76 <1% 1% 2% <1% 3% 21% 73%
50 of 103 49% 85 77 <1% <1% 1% <1% 2% 14% 83%
49 of 103 48% 84 78 <1% <1% 1% <1% 1% 9% 90%
48 of 103 47% 83 79 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 5% 94%
40 of 103 39% 75 87 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
30 of 103 29% 65 97 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
20 of 103 19% 55 107 X <1% <1% X <1% <1% >99%
10 of 103 10% 45 117 X X X X X X 100%
0 of 103 0% 35 127 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs