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Sat Jul 5 3:30 am

MLB - Week 16 of 28

Astros What If?

The Astros What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Astros play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Astros What If?

Next Game - Dodgers (56‑33)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Win Next Game 54 35 37% 32% 20% 4% 3% 2% 2%
Current Standings 53 35 35% 32% 21% 5% 3% 2% 2%
Lose Next Game 53 36 33% 32% 22% 5% 4% 2% 2%


Current Series - Dodgers (56‑33) - 2 Remaining Games

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Astros Sweeps 55 35 40% 32% 18% 4% 2% 1% 1%
Current Standings 53 35 35% 32% 21% 5% 3% 2% 2%
Dodgers Sweeps 53 37 31% 32% 23% 5% 4% 2% 3%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
74 of 74 100% 127 35 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
70 of 74 95% 123 39 >99% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
60 of 74 81% 113 49 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
53 of 74 72% 106 56 95% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
52 of 74 70% 105 57 93% 7% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
51 of 74 69% 104 58 89% 11% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
50 of 74 68% 103 59 85% 15% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
49 of 74 66% 102 60 80% 20% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
48 of 74 65% 101 61 74% 26% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
47 of 74 64% 100 62 64% 34% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1%
46 of 74 62% 99 63 56% 41% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1%
45 of 74 61% 98 64 49% 46% 5% 1% <1% <1% <1%
44 of 74 59% 97 65 39% 52% 8% 1% <1% <1% <1%
43 of 74 58% 96 66 30% 55% 13% 1% <1% <1% <1%
42 of 74 57% 95 67 22% 56% 20% 2% <1% <1% <1%
41 of 74 55% 94 68 14% 53% 29% 4% <1% <1% <1%
40 of 74 54% 93 69 9% 46% 38% 7% 1% <1% <1%
39 of 74 53% 92 70 5% 37% 47% 10% 1% <1% <1%
38 of 74 51% 91 71 2% 29% 53% 12% 4% <1% <1%
37 of 74 50% 90 72 1% 18% 57% 15% 7% 1% <1%
36 of 74 49% 89 73 <1% 11% 57% 16% 13% 3% <1%
35 of 74 47% 88 74 <1% 6% 54% 14% 18% 8% 1%
34 of 74 46% 87 75 <1% 2% 45% 11% 22% 15% 5%
33 of 74 45% 86 76 <1% 1% 37% 7% 23% 22% 11%
32 of 74 43% 85 77 <1% <1% 27% 4% 19% 27% 23%
31 of 74 42% 84 78 <1% <1% 19% 2% 12% 28% 40%
30 of 74 41% 83 79 <1% <1% 12% <1% 6% 22% 60%
29 of 74 39% 82 80 <1% <1% 7% <1% 2% 14% 77%
28 of 74 38% 81 81 <1% <1% 3% <1% 1% 6% 90%
20 of 74 27% 73 89 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
10 of 74 14% 63 99 X X <1% X <1% <1% >99%
0 of 74 0% 53 109 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs