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Thu Aug 14 3:30 am

MLB - Week 22 of 28

Astros What If?

The Astros What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Astros play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Astros What If?

Next Game - Orioles (54‑66)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Win Next Game 69 53 22% 21% 20% 16% 11% 6% 4%
Current Standings 68 53 20% 21% 20% 15% 12% 7% 5%
Lose Next Game 68 54 17% 20% 21% 15% 13% 8% 7%


Current Series - Orioles (54‑66) - 3 Remaining Games

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Astros Sweeps 71 53 26% 23% 19% 15% 9% 5% 3%
Current Standings 68 53 20% 21% 20% 15% 12% 7% 5%
Orioles Sweeps 68 56 10% 15% 22% 15% 15% 11% 12%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
41 of 41 100% 109 53 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
40 of 41 98% 108 54 >99% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
35 of 41 85% 103 59 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
30 of 41 73% 98 64 93% 6% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
29 of 41 71% 97 65 86% 12% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
28 of 41 68% 96 66 76% 21% 1% 2% <1% <1% <1%
27 of 41 66% 95 67 61% 30% 4% 5% <1% <1% <1%
26 of 41 63% 94 68 45% 38% 8% 9% <1% <1% <1%
25 of 41 61% 93 69 27% 42% 15% 15% 1% <1% <1%
24 of 41 59% 92 70 15% 38% 23% 22% 2% <1% <1%
23 of 41 56% 91 71 6% 29% 31% 26% 7% <1% <1%
22 of 41 54% 90 72 2% 19% 34% 29% 15% 1% <1%
21 of 41 51% 89 73 <1% 9% 34% 27% 24% 6% <1%
20 of 41 49% 88 74 <1% 3% 28% 18% 35% 14% 2%
19 of 41 46% 87 75 <1% 1% 20% 11% 35% 27% 7%
18 of 41 44% 86 76 <1% <1% 12% 5% 27% 37% 19%
17 of 41 41% 85 77 <1% <1% 7% 1% 15% 38% 39%
16 of 41 39% 84 78 <1% <1% 3% <1% 5% 27% 64%
15 of 41 37% 83 79 <1% <1% 1% <1% 2% 14% 84%
14 of 41 34% 82 80 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 95%
10 of 41 24% 78 84 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
5 of 41 12% 73 89 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
0 of 41 0% 68 94 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs