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Sat Jun 6 1:45 am

MLB - Week 11 of 27

Athletics What If?

The Athletics What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Athletics play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Athletics What If?

Next Game - Astros (29‑36)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Win Next Game 31 33 2% 8% 16% 3% 7% 8% 56%
Current Standings 30 33 2% 7% 15% 3% 6% 8% 59%
Lose Next Game 30 34 1% 6% 14% 3% 6% 8% 61%


Current Series - Astros (29‑36) - 2 Remaining Games

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Athletics Sweeps 32 33 2% 9% 16% 4% 7% 9% 54%
Current Standings 30 33 2% 7% 15% 3% 6% 8% 59%
Astros Sweeps 30 35 1% 6% 14% 3% 6% 8% 63%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
99 of 99 100% 129 33 >99% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
90 of 99 91% 120 42 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
80 of 99 81% 110 52 98% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
77 of 99 78% 107 55 94% 6% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
76 of 99 77% 106 56 91% 9% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
75 of 99 76% 105 57 88% 12% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
74 of 99 75% 104 58 84% 16% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
73 of 99 74% 103 59 79% 21% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
72 of 99 73% 102 60 72% 27% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
71 of 99 72% 101 61 67% 31% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1%
70 of 99 71% 100 62 59% 37% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1%
69 of 99 70% 99 63 52% 43% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1%
68 of 99 69% 98 64 43% 49% 6% 1% <1% <1% <1%
67 of 99 68% 97 65 36% 52% 10% 2% <1% <1% <1%
66 of 99 67% 96 66 27% 55% 13% 4% <1% <1% <1%
65 of 99 66% 95 67 20% 56% 18% 5% 1% <1% <1%
64 of 99 65% 94 68 15% 54% 23% 6% 1% <1% <1%
63 of 99 64% 93 69 10% 50% 28% 9% 3% <1% <1%
62 of 99 63% 92 70 7% 45% 32% 11% 5% <1% <1%
61 of 99 62% 91 71 4% 38% 38% 13% 7% 1% <1%
60 of 99 61% 90 72 2% 30% 41% 14% 11% 2% <1%
59 of 99 60% 89 73 1% 23% 43% 14% 16% 4% <1%
58 of 99 59% 88 74 <1% 17% 43% 12% 20% 7% 1%
57 of 99 58% 87 75 <1% 11% 42% 10% 23% 11% 2%
56 of 99 57% 86 76 <1% 7% 38% 8% 24% 18% 6%
55 of 99 56% 85 77 <1% 4% 34% 5% 23% 23% 11%
54 of 99 55% 84 78 <1% 2% 28% 3% 19% 28% 19%
53 of 99 54% 83 79 <1% 1% 23% 1% 14% 28% 33%
52 of 99 53% 82 80 <1% 1% 18% 1% 9% 25% 47%
51 of 99 52% 81 81 <1% <1% 14% <1% 5% 19% 62%
50 of 99 51% 80 82 <1% <1% 9% <1% 2% 12% 76%
49 of 99 49% 79 83 <1% <1% 7% <1% 1% 7% 86%
48 of 99 48% 78 84 <1% <1% 4% <1% <1% 3% 93%
40 of 99 40% 70 92 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
30 of 99 30% 60 102 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
20 of 99 20% 50 112 X X <1% X X X >99%
10 of 99 10% 40 122 X X X X X X 100%
0 of 99 0% 30 132 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs