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Tue Jun 2 1:15 am

MLB - Week 11 of 27

Blue Jays Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for the Blue Jays are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Blue Jays final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Blue Jays fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.

Blue Jays Most Important Series
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)		 Remaining
Games Winner		 Blue Jays Resultant Playoff Probabilities
Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Blue Jays
(29‑31)
vs
Braves
(40‑20)
3 Games Remaining		 15 Blue Jays Sweeps 3 Games 2% 1% <1% 11% 16% 13% 57%
Current Probabilities 1% 1% <1% 8% 14% 12% 64%
Braves Sweeps 3 Games 1% 1% <1% 6% 12% 11% 68%
Pirates
(32‑28)
vs
Astros
(27‑34)
3 Games Remaining		 3 Pirates Sweeps 3 Games 1% 1% <1% 9% 14% 12% 64%
Current Probabilities 1% 1% <1% 8% 14% 12% 64%
Astros Sweeps 3 Games 1% 1% <1% 8% 13% 11% 66%
Tigers
(23‑38)
vs
Rays
(36‑21)
2 Games Remaining		 2 Tigers Sweeps 2 Games 1% 1% <1% 8% 14% 11% 64%
Current Probabilities 1% 1% <1% 8% 14% 12% 64%
Rays Sweeps 2 Games 1% 1% <1% 8% 14% 12% 64%
Cardinals
(31‑27)
vs
Rangers
(29‑31)
2 Games Remaining		 1 Cardinals Sweeps 2 Games 1% 1% <1% 8% 14% 12% 64%
Current Probabilities 1% 1% <1% 8% 14% 12% 64%
Rangers Sweeps 2 Games 1% 1% <1% 8% 13% 12% 65%
Rockies
(23‑38)
vs
Angels
(23‑38)
2 Games Remaining		 1 Rockies Sweeps 2 Games 1% 1% <1% 8% 14% 11% 64%
Current Probabilities 1% 1% <1% 8% 14% 12% 64%
Angels Sweeps 2 Games 1% 1% <1% 8% 13% 11% 65%
Cubs
(32‑28)
vs
Athletics
(28‑31)
3 Games Remaining		 1 Cubs Sweeps 3 Games 1% 1% <1% 8% 14% 11% 64%
Current Probabilities 1% 1% <1% 8% 14% 12% 64%
Athletics Sweeps 3 Games 1% 1% <1% 8% 13% 12% 65%
Guardians
(34‑27)
vs
Yankees
(36‑23)
3 Games Remaining		 1 Guardians Sweeps 3 Games 1% 1% <1% 9% 13% 11% 65%
Current Probabilities 1% 1% <1% 8% 14% 12% 64%
Yankees Sweeps 3 Games 1% 1% <1% 8% 14% 11% 65%
Mets
(26‑34)
vs
Mariners
(32‑29)
2 Games Remaining		 1 Mets Sweeps 2 Games 1% 1% <1% 8% 14% 12% 64%
Current Probabilities 1% 1% <1% 8% 14% 12% 64%
Mariners Sweeps 2 Games 1% 1% <1% 8% 14% 11% 64%
Twins
(28‑33)
vs
White Sox
(32‑28)
2 Games Remaining		 0 Twins Sweeps 2 Games 1% 1% <1% 8% 14% 11% 65%
Current Probabilities 1% 1% <1% 8% 14% 12% 64%
White Sox Sweeps 2 Games 1% 1% <1% 8% 14% 12% 65%
Red Sox
(25‑33)
vs
Orioles
(28‑32)
3 Games Remaining		 0 Red Sox Sweeps 3 Games 1% 1% <1% 8% 14% 12% 64%
Current Probabilities 1% 1% <1% 8% 14% 12% 64%
Orioles Sweeps 3 Games 1% 1% <1% 8% 14% 12% 65%
Reds
(30‑29)
vs
Royals
(23‑37)
2 Games Remaining		 0 Reds Sweeps 2 Games 1% 1% <1% 8% 14% 11% 64%
Current Probabilities 1% 1% <1% 8% 14% 12% 64%
Royals Sweeps 2 Games 1% 1% <1% 8% 14% 12% 65%


Blue Jays Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)		 Game
Winner		 Blue Jays Resultant Playoff Probabilities
Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Blue Jays
(29‑31)
vs
Braves
(40‑20)		 4 Blue Jays Wins 1% 1% <1% 9% 15% 12% 62%
Current Probabilities 1% 1% <1% 8% 14% 12% 64%
Braves Wins 1% 1% <1% 7% 13% 11% 66%
Cardinals
(31‑27)
vs
Rangers
(29‑31)		 2 Cardinals Wins 1% 1% <1% 8% 14% 12% 64%
Current Probabilities 1% 1% <1% 8% 14% 12% 64%
Rangers Wins 1% 1% <1% 8% 13% 11% 65%
Reds
(30‑29)
vs
Royals
(23‑37)		 1 Reds Wins 1% 1% <1% 8% 13% 12% 65%
Current Probabilities 1% 1% <1% 8% 14% 12% 64%
Royals Wins 1% 1% <1% 8% 13% 11% 66%
Red Sox
(25‑33)
vs
Orioles
(28‑32)		 1 Red Sox Wins 1% 1% <1% 8% 14% 11% 64%
Current Probabilities 1% 1% <1% 8% 14% 12% 64%
Orioles Wins 1% 1% <1% 8% 14% 12% 65%
Mariners
(32‑29)
vs
Mets
(26‑34)		 0 Mariners Wins 1% 1% <1% 8% 14% 11% 64%
Current Probabilities 1% 1% <1% 8% 14% 12% 64%
Mets Wins 1% 1% <1% 8% 14% 11% 65%
Yankees
(36‑23)
vs
Guardians
(34‑27)		 0 Yankees Wins 1% 1% <1% 8% 14% 12% 65%
Current Probabilities 1% 1% <1% 8% 14% 12% 64%
Guardians Wins 1% 1% <1% 8% 13% 11% 65%
Athletics
(28‑31)
vs
Cubs
(32‑28)		 0 Athletics Wins 1% 1% <1% 8% 14% 11% 64%
Current Probabilities 1% 1% <1% 8% 14% 12% 64%
Cubs Wins 1% 1% <1% 8% 14% 12% 65%
Twins
(28‑33)
vs
White Sox
(32‑28)		 0 Twins Wins 1% 1% <1% 8% 14% 11% 65%
Current Probabilities 1% 1% <1% 8% 14% 12% 64%
White Sox Wins 1% 1% <1% 8% 13% 12% 65%
Pirates
(32‑28)
vs
Astros
(27‑34)		 0 Pirates Wins 1% 1% <1% 8% 14% 12% 65%
Current Probabilities 1% 1% <1% 8% 14% 12% 64%
Astros Wins 1% 1% <1% 8% 13% 12% 65%
Angels
(23‑38)
vs
Rockies
(23‑38)		 0 Angels Wins 1% 1% <1% 8% 13% 12% 65%
Current Probabilities 1% 1% <1% 8% 14% 12% 64%
Rockies Wins 1% 1% <1% 8% 13% 11% 65%
Tigers
(23‑38)
vs
Rays
(36‑21)		 0 Tigers Wins 1% 1% <1% 8% 14% 11% 65%
Current Probabilities 1% 1% <1% 8% 14% 12% 64%
Rays Wins 1% 1% <1% 8% 14% 12% 64%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs