The Most Important Games for the Blue Jays are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Blue Jays final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Blue Jays fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Blue Jays Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Blue Jays (14‑16) vs Red Sox (17‑15) 1 Game Remaining |
6 | Blue Jays Sweeps 1 Game | 3% | 6% | 8% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 64% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 5% | 8% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 66% | ||
| Red Sox Sweeps 1 Game | 2% | 5% | 7% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 67% | ||
| Angels (12‑17) vs Tigers (19‑12) 4 Games Remaining |
2 | Angels Sweeps 4 Games | 3% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 65% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 5% | 8% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 66% | ||
| Tigers Sweeps 4 Games | 2% | 5% | 8% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 66% | ||
| White Sox (7‑23) vs Brewers (16‑15) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | White Sox Sweeps 1 Game | 3% | 5% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 65% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 5% | 8% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 66% | ||
| Brewers Sweeps 1 Game | 3% | 5% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 66% | ||
| Guardians (17‑13) vs Twins (13‑18) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Guardians Sweeps 1 Game | 2% | 5% | 8% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 66% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 5% | 8% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 66% | ||
| Twins Sweeps 1 Game | 2% | 5% | 8% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 65% | ||
| Rays (14‑16) vs Royals (16‑15) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Rays Sweeps 1 Game | 3% | 5% | 8% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 65% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 5% | 8% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 66% | ||
| Royals Sweeps 1 Game | 3% | 5% | 8% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 65% | ||
| Athletics (16‑15) vs Rangers (16‑15) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Athletics Sweeps 1 Game | 3% | 5% | 8% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 65% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 5% | 8% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 66% | ||
| Rangers Sweeps 1 Game | 2% | 5% | 8% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 65% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Blue Jays Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Blue Jays (14‑16) vs Red Sox (17‑15) |
6 | Blue Jays Wins | 3% | 6% | 8% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 64% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 5% | 8% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 66% | ||
| Red Sox Wins | 2% | 5% | 7% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 67% | ||
| White Sox (7‑23) vs Brewers (16‑15) |
1 | White Sox Wins | 3% | 5% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 65% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 5% | 8% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 66% | ||
| Brewers Wins | 3% | 5% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 66% | ||
| Guardians (17‑13) vs Twins (13‑18) |
0 | Guardians Wins | 2% | 5% | 8% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 66% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 5% | 8% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 66% | ||
| Twins Wins | 2% | 5% | 8% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 65% | ||
| Rays (14‑16) vs Royals (16‑15) |
0 | Rays Wins | 3% | 5% | 8% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 65% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 5% | 8% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 66% | ||
| Royals Wins | 3% | 5% | 8% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 65% | ||
| Tigers (19‑12) vs Angels (12‑17) |
0 | Tigers Wins | 3% | 5% | 8% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 66% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 5% | 8% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 66% | ||
| Angels Wins | 3% | 5% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 66% | ||
| Athletics (16‑15) vs Rangers (16‑15) |
0 | Athletics Wins | 3% | 5% | 8% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 65% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 5% | 8% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 66% | ||
| Rangers Wins | 2% | 5% | 8% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 65% | ||