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Sat Jul 5 3:30 am

MLB - Week 16 of 28

Blue Jays Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for the Blue Jays are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Blue Jays final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Blue Jays fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.

Blue Jays Most Important Series
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)		 Remaining
Games Winner		 Blue Jays Resultant Playoff Probabilities
Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Blue Jays
(50‑38)
vs
Angels
(43‑44)
2 Games Remaining		 22 Blue Jays Sweeps 2 Games 11% 20% 25% 18% 11% 7% 9%
Current Probabilities 9% 18% 24% 17% 12% 8% 12%
Angels Sweeps 2 Games 7% 15% 24% 16% 13% 9% 17%
Mets
(51‑38)
vs
Yankees
(48‑40)
2 Games Remaining		 5 Mets Sweeps 2 Games 9% 18% 25% 17% 11% 8% 12%
Current Probabilities 9% 18% 24% 17% 12% 8% 12%
Yankees Sweeps 2 Games 9% 17% 23% 19% 13% 8% 12%
Twins
(42‑46)
vs
Rays
(48‑40)
2 Games Remaining		 5 Twins Sweeps 2 Games 9% 18% 26% 16% 11% 8% 12%
Current Probabilities 9% 18% 24% 17% 12% 8% 12%
Rays Sweeps 2 Games 9% 18% 22% 18% 13% 8% 12%
Athletics
(37‑53)
vs
Giants
(47‑42)
2 Games Remaining		 2 Athletics Sweeps 2 Games 9% 18% 24% 17% 12% 8% 12%
Current Probabilities 9% 18% 24% 17% 12% 8% 12%
Giants Sweeps 2 Games 9% 18% 24% 17% 13% 8% 12%
Pirates
(38‑51)
vs
Mariners
(46‑42)
2 Games Remaining		 2 Pirates Sweeps 2 Games 9% 18% 24% 18% 12% 7% 12%
Current Probabilities 9% 18% 24% 17% 12% 8% 12%
Mariners Sweeps 2 Games 9% 17% 24% 17% 12% 8% 12%
Nationals
(37‑51)
vs
Red Sox
(44‑45)
2 Games Remaining		 1 Nationals Sweeps 2 Games 9% 18% 25% 17% 12% 8% 12%
Current Probabilities 9% 18% 24% 17% 12% 8% 12%
Red Sox Sweeps 2 Games 9% 18% 24% 17% 12% 8% 12%
DiamondbacksD. Backs
(43‑44)
vs
Royals
(42‑47)
2 Games Remaining		 1 DiamondbacksD. Backs Sweeps 2 Games 9% 18% 24% 18% 12% 8% 12%
Current Probabilities 9% 18% 24% 17% 12% 8% 12%
Royals Sweeps 2 Games 9% 18% 24% 17% 12% 7% 13%
Orioles
(38‑49)
vs
Braves
(39‑48)
2 Games Remaining		 1 Orioles Sweeps 2 Games 9% 18% 24% 17% 11% 8% 12%
Current Probabilities 9% 18% 24% 17% 12% 8% 12%
Braves Sweeps 2 Games 9% 18% 24% 17% 12% 8% 12%
Guardians
(40‑46)
vs
Tigers
(55‑34)
2 Games Remaining		 1 Guardians Sweeps 2 Games 10% 18% 23% 17% 12% 8% 12%
Current Probabilities 9% 18% 24% 17% 12% 8% 12%
Tigers Sweeps 2 Games 8% 18% 25% 17% 12% 8% 12%
White Sox
(29‑59)
vs
Rockies
(20‑68)
2 Games Remaining		 0 White Sox Sweeps 2 Games 9% 18% 24% 17% 11% 8% 12%
Current Probabilities 9% 18% 24% 17% 12% 8% 12%
Rockies Sweeps 2 Games 10% 17% 24% 18% 11% 8% 12%
Padres
(47‑40)
vs
Rangers
(43‑45)
2 Games Remaining		 0 Padres Sweeps 2 Games 9% 18% 24% 18% 12% 8% 12%
Current Probabilities 9% 18% 24% 17% 12% 8% 12%
Rangers Sweeps 2 Games 9% 18% 24% 17% 12% 8% 12%
Astros
(53‑35)
vs
Dodgers
(56‑33)
2 Games Remaining		 0 Astros Sweeps 2 Games 8% 17% 26% 17% 12% 8% 12%
Current Probabilities 9% 18% 24% 17% 12% 8% 12%
Dodgers Sweeps 2 Games 10% 18% 23% 17% 12% 8% 12%


Blue Jays Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)		 Game
Winner		 Blue Jays Resultant Playoff Probabilities
Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Blue Jays
(50‑38)
vs
Angels
(43‑44)		 12 Blue Jays Wins 10% 18% 25% 17% 12% 7% 10%
Current Probabilities 9% 18% 24% 17% 12% 8% 12%
Angels Wins 8% 16% 24% 18% 13% 9% 14%
Mets
(51‑38)
vs
Yankees
(48‑40)		 3 Mets Wins 9% 18% 25% 16% 12% 8% 12%
Current Probabilities 9% 18% 24% 17% 12% 8% 12%
Yankees Wins 9% 17% 23% 18% 12% 8% 13%
Twins
(42‑46)
vs
Rays
(48‑40)		 3 Twins Wins 9% 18% 25% 16% 12% 8% 12%
Current Probabilities 9% 18% 24% 17% 12% 8% 12%
Rays Wins 9% 17% 24% 18% 12% 8% 12%
Mariners
(46‑42)
vs
Pirates
(38‑51)		 1 Mariners Wins 9% 18% 24% 17% 12% 8% 12%
Current Probabilities 9% 18% 24% 17% 12% 8% 12%
Pirates Wins 9% 18% 23% 18% 12% 8% 12%
DiamondbacksD. Backs
(43‑44)
vs
Royals
(42‑47)		 1 DiamondbacksD. Backs Wins 9% 17% 25% 17% 12% 8% 11%
Current Probabilities 9% 18% 24% 17% 12% 8% 12%
Royals Wins 9% 18% 24% 17% 12% 8% 12%
White Sox
(29‑59)
vs
Rockies
(20‑68)		 1 White Sox Wins 9% 18% 24% 17% 12% 8% 12%
Current Probabilities 9% 18% 24% 17% 12% 8% 12%
Rockies Wins 9% 18% 24% 17% 12% 8% 12%
Giants
(47‑42)
vs
Athletics
(37‑53)		 0 Giants Wins 9% 17% 24% 18% 12% 8% 12%
Current Probabilities 9% 18% 24% 17% 12% 8% 12%
Athletics Wins 9% 18% 24% 17% 12% 8% 12%
Padres
(47‑40)
vs
Rangers
(43‑45)		 0 Padres Wins 9% 17% 24% 17% 11% 8% 12%
Current Probabilities 9% 18% 24% 17% 12% 8% 12%
Rangers Wins 9% 18% 24% 17% 12% 8% 12%
Orioles
(38‑49)
vs
Braves
(39‑48)		 0 Orioles Wins 9% 18% 24% 18% 12% 8% 12%
Current Probabilities 9% 18% 24% 17% 12% 8% 12%
Braves Wins 9% 18% 25% 18% 12% 8% 12%
Tigers
(55‑34)
vs
Guardians
(40‑46)		 0 Tigers Wins 9% 18% 25% 18% 11% 8% 12%
Current Probabilities 9% 18% 24% 17% 12% 8% 12%
Guardians Wins 10% 17% 24% 17% 12% 8% 12%
Dodgers
(56‑33)
vs
Astros
(53‑35)		 0 Dodgers Wins 10% 18% 24% 17% 11% 8% 12%
Current Probabilities 9% 18% 24% 17% 12% 8% 12%
Astros Wins 9% 17% 25% 17% 12% 8% 12%
Red Sox
(44‑45)
vs
Nationals
(37‑51)		 0 Red Sox Wins 9% 18% 24% 17% 12% 8% 12%
Current Probabilities 9% 18% 24% 17% 12% 8% 12%
Nationals Wins 9% 18% 24% 17% 12% 8% 12%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs