The Most Important Games for the Blue Jays are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Blue Jays final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Blue Jays fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Blue Jays Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* | 2* | 3** | 4** | 5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Blue Jays (42‑32) vs Red Sox (42‑33) 1 Game Remaining |
6 | Blue Jays Sweeps 1 Game | 1% | 1% | <1% | 49% | 20% | 11% | 18% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 1% | <1% | 47% | 20% | 12% | 19% | ||
| Red Sox Sweeps 1 Game | 1% | 1% | <1% | 44% | 21% | 12% | 22% | ||
| Twins (43‑34) vs Guardians (37‑34) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | Twins Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 1% | <1% | 47% | 20% | 12% | 19% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 1% | <1% | 47% | 20% | 12% | 19% | ||
| Guardians Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 1% | <1% | 47% | 20% | 11% | 20% | ||
| Royals (26‑47) vs Rangers (36‑37) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Royals Sweeps 1 Game | 1% | 1% | <1% | 47% | 20% | 12% | 19% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 1% | <1% | 47% | 20% | 12% | 19% | ||
| Rangers Sweeps 1 Game | 1% | 1% | <1% | 47% | 20% | 11% | 20% | ||
| Angels (36‑41) vs White Sox (35‑38) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Angels Sweeps 1 Game | 1% | 1% | <1% | 47% | 20% | 11% | 20% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 1% | <1% | 47% | 20% | 12% | 19% | ||
| White Sox Sweeps 1 Game | 1% | 1% | <1% | 46% | 20% | 11% | 20% | ||
| Athletics (25‑51) vs Yankees (55‑20) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Athletics Sweeps 1 Game | 1% | 1% | <1% | 46% | 20% | 12% | 19% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 1% | <1% | 47% | 20% | 12% | 19% | ||
| Yankees Sweeps 1 Game | 1% | 1% | <1% | 47% | 20% | 12% | 19% | ||
| Brewers (43‑33) vs Rays (40‑33) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Brewers Sweeps 1 Game | 1% | 1% | <1% | 47% | 20% | 12% | 19% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 1% | <1% | 47% | 20% | 12% | 19% | ||
| Rays Sweeps 1 Game | 1% | 1% | <1% | 47% | 20% | 11% | 20% | ||
| Giants (40‑33) vs Tigers (28‑45) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Giants Sweeps 1 Game | 1% | 1% | <1% | 47% | 20% | 12% | 19% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 1% | <1% | 47% | 20% | 12% | 19% | ||
| Tigers Sweeps 1 Game | 1% | 1% | <1% | 47% | 20% | 11% | 20% | ||
| Mets (47‑28) vs Astros (46‑27) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Mets Sweeps 1 Game | 1% | 1% | <1% | 47% | 20% | 12% | 19% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 1% | <1% | 47% | 20% | 12% | 19% | ||
| Astros Sweeps 1 Game | 1% | 1% | <1% | 46% | 20% | 12% | 20% | ||
| Orioles (35‑41) vs Mariners (35‑41) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Orioles Sweeps 1 Game | 1% | 1% | <1% | 47% | 21% | 12% | 19% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 1% | <1% | 47% | 20% | 12% | 19% | ||
| Mariners Sweeps 1 Game | 1% | 1% | <1% | 47% | 21% | 11% | 19% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Blue Jays Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* | 2* | 3** | 4** | 5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Blue Jays (42‑32) vs Red Sox (42‑33) |
6 | Blue Jays Wins | 1% | 1% | <1% | 49% | 20% | 11% | 18% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 1% | <1% | 47% | 20% | 12% | 19% | ||
| Red Sox Wins | 1% | 1% | <1% | 44% | 21% | 12% | 22% | ||
| Royals (26‑47) vs Rangers (36‑37) |
1 | Royals Wins | 1% | 1% | <1% | 47% | 20% | 12% | 19% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 1% | <1% | 47% | 20% | 12% | 19% | ||
| Rangers Wins | 1% | 1% | <1% | 47% | 20% | 11% | 20% | ||
| Angels (36‑41) vs White Sox (35‑38) |
1 | Angels Wins | 1% | 1% | <1% | 47% | 20% | 11% | 20% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 1% | <1% | 47% | 20% | 12% | 19% | ||
| White Sox Wins | 1% | 1% | <1% | 46% | 20% | 11% | 20% | ||
| Athletics (25‑51) vs Yankees (55‑20) |
1 | Athletics Wins | 1% | 1% | <1% | 46% | 20% | 12% | 19% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 1% | <1% | 47% | 20% | 12% | 19% | ||
| Yankees Wins | 1% | 1% | <1% | 47% | 20% | 12% | 19% | ||
| Brewers (43‑33) vs Rays (40‑33) |
1 | Brewers Wins | 1% | 1% | <1% | 47% | 20% | 12% | 19% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 1% | <1% | 47% | 20% | 12% | 19% | ||
| Rays Wins | 1% | 1% | <1% | 47% | 20% | 11% | 20% | ||
| Twins (43‑34) vs Guardians (37‑34) |
1 | Twins Wins | 1% | 1% | <1% | 48% | 19% | 12% | 19% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 1% | <1% | 47% | 20% | 12% | 19% | ||
| Guardians Wins | 1% | 1% | <1% | 47% | 20% | 11% | 20% | ||
| Giants (40‑33) vs Tigers (28‑45) |
1 | Giants Wins | 1% | 1% | <1% | 47% | 20% | 12% | 19% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 1% | <1% | 47% | 20% | 12% | 19% | ||
| Tigers Wins | 1% | 1% | <1% | 47% | 20% | 11% | 20% | ||
| Mets (47‑28) vs Astros (46‑27) |
1 | Mets Wins | 1% | 1% | <1% | 47% | 20% | 12% | 19% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 1% | <1% | 47% | 20% | 12% | 19% | ||
| Astros Wins | 1% | 1% | <1% | 46% | 20% | 12% | 20% | ||
| Orioles (35‑41) vs Mariners (35‑41) |
0 | Orioles Wins | 1% | 1% | <1% | 47% | 21% | 12% | 19% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 1% | <1% | 47% | 20% | 12% | 19% | ||
| Mariners Wins | 1% | 1% | <1% | 47% | 21% | 11% | 19% | ||