The Most Important Games for the Blue Jays are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Blue Jays final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Blue Jays fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Blue Jays Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Blue Jays (13‑10) vs Royals (13‑10) 3 Games Remaining |
14 | Blue Jays Sweeps 3 Games | 8% | 6% | 3% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 50% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 6% | 3% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 54% | ||
| Royals Sweeps 3 Games | 5% | 5% | 3% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 57% | ||
| Angels (9‑14) vs Orioles (15‑7) 2 Games Remaining |
2 | Angels Sweeps 2 Games | 7% | 6% | 3% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 54% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 6% | 3% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 54% | ||
| Orioles Sweeps 2 Games | 6% | 6% | 3% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 54% | ||
| Athletics (9‑14) vs Yankees (15‑8) 3 Games Remaining |
2 | Athletics Sweeps 3 Games | 7% | 6% | 3% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 54% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 6% | 3% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 54% | ||
| Yankees Sweeps 3 Games | 6% | 5% | 3% | 12% | 11% | 8% | 55% | ||
| Rangers (12‑11) vs Mariners (11‑11) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Rangers Sweeps 3 Games | 7% | 6% | 3% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 54% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 6% | 3% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 54% | ||
| Mariners Sweeps 3 Games | 6% | 6% | 3% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 54% | ||
| Twins (8‑13) vs White Sox (3‑19) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Twins Sweeps 3 Games | 6% | 6% | 3% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 54% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 6% | 3% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 54% | ||
| White Sox Sweeps 3 Games | 6% | 6% | 3% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 54% | ||
| Tigers (13‑10) vs Rays (12‑12) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Tigers Sweeps 2 Games | 6% | 6% | 3% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 54% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 6% | 3% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 54% | ||
| Rays Sweeps 2 Games | 7% | 6% | 3% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 54% | ||
| Cubs (13‑9) vs Astros (7‑16) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Cubs Sweeps 3 Games | 7% | 6% | 3% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 54% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 6% | 3% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 54% | ||
| Astros Sweeps 3 Games | 7% | 6% | 3% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 54% | ||
| Guardians (16‑6) vs Red Sox (13‑10) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Guardians Sweeps 3 Games | 7% | 6% | 3% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 54% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 6% | 3% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 54% | ||
| Red Sox Sweeps 3 Games | 7% | 5% | 2% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 54% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Blue Jays Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Blue Jays (13‑10) vs Royals (13‑10) |
5 | Blue Jays Wins | 7% | 6% | 3% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 53% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 6% | 3% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 54% | ||
| Royals Wins | 6% | 6% | 3% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 56% | ||
| Athletics (9‑14) vs Yankees (15‑8) |
2 | Athletics Wins | 7% | 6% | 3% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 54% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 6% | 3% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 54% | ||
| Yankees Wins | 6% | 6% | 3% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 54% | ||
| Tigers (13‑10) vs Rays (12‑12) |
2 | Tigers Wins | 6% | 6% | 3% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 54% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 6% | 3% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 54% | ||
| Rays Wins | 6% | 6% | 3% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 55% | ||
| Mariners (11‑11) vs Rangers (12‑11) |
1 | Mariners Wins | 6% | 6% | 3% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 54% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 6% | 3% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 54% | ||
| Rangers Wins | 6% | 6% | 3% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 54% | ||
| Guardians (16‑6) vs Red Sox (13‑10) |
1 | Guardians Wins | 6% | 6% | 3% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 54% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 6% | 3% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 54% | ||
| Red Sox Wins | 6% | 6% | 3% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 55% | ||
| Cubs (13‑9) vs Astros (7‑16) |
1 | Cubs Wins | 7% | 6% | 3% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 53% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 6% | 3% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 54% | ||
| Astros Wins | 6% | 6% | 3% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 54% | ||
| White Sox (3‑19) vs Twins (8‑13) |
1 | White Sox Wins | 7% | 5% | 3% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 54% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 6% | 3% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 54% | ||
| Twins Wins | 7% | 5% | 3% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 55% | ||
| Angels (9‑14) vs Orioles (15‑7) |
0 | Angels Wins | 7% | 6% | 3% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 55% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 6% | 3% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 54% | ||
| Orioles Wins | 7% | 5% | 3% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 54% | ||