The Most Important Games for the Blue Jays are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Blue Jays final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Blue Jays fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Blue Jays Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Blue Jays (7‑12) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (12‑8) 2 Games Remaining |
6 | Blue Jays Sweeps 2 Games | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 72% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 74% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 76% | ||
| Guardians (11‑10) vs Orioles (10‑10) 2 Games Remaining |
2 | Guardians Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 73% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 74% | ||
| Orioles Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 75% | ||
| Royals (7‑13) vs Yankees (11‑9) 2 Games Remaining |
2 | Royals Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 74% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 74% | ||
| Yankees Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 75% | ||
| Pirates (12‑8) vs Rays (11‑8) 2 Games Remaining |
2 | Pirates Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 74% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 74% | ||
| Rays Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 75% | ||
| Astros (8‑13) vs Cardinals (11‑8) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | Astros Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 74% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 74% | ||
| Cardinals Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 75% | ||
| Padres (13‑7) vs Angels (11‑10) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | Padres Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 74% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 74% | ||
| Angels Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 74% | ||
| Mariners (8‑13) vs Rangers (11‑9) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | Mariners Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 74% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 74% | ||
| Rangers Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 75% | ||
| Red Sox (8‑11) vs Tigers (10‑10) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Red Sox Sweeps 3 Games | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 74% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 74% | ||
| Tigers Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 74% | ||
| Reds (12‑8) vs Twins (11‑9) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Reds Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 74% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 74% | ||
| Twins Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 74% | ||
| Athletics (10‑10) vs White Sox (7‑13) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Athletics Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 74% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 74% | ||
| White Sox Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 74% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Blue Jays Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Reds (12‑8) vs Twins (11‑9) |
2 | Reds Wins | 1% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 74% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 74% | ||
| Twins Wins | 1% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 75% | ||
| Blue Jays (7‑12) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (12‑8) |
2 | Blue Jays Wins | 1% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 74% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 74% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Wins | 1% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 75% | ||
| Angels (11‑10) vs Padres (13‑7) |
1 | Angels Wins | 1% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 73% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 74% | ||
| Padres Wins | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 74% | ||
| Astros (8‑13) vs Cardinals (11‑8) |
1 | Astros Wins | 1% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 74% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 74% | ||
| Cardinals Wins | 1% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 74% | ||
| Yankees (11‑9) vs Royals (7‑13) |
1 | Yankees Wins | 1% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 74% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 74% | ||
| Royals Wins | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 74% | ||
| Guardians (11‑10) vs Orioles (10‑10) |
0 | Guardians Wins | 1% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 74% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 74% | ||
| Orioles Wins | 1% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 74% | ||
| Pirates (12‑8) vs Rays (11‑8) |
0 | Pirates Wins | 1% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 74% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 74% | ||
| Rays Wins | 1% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 74% | ||
| Tigers (10‑10) vs Red Sox (8‑11) |
0 | Tigers Wins | 1% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 74% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 74% | ||
| Red Sox Wins | 1% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 74% | ||
| White Sox (7‑13) vs Athletics (10‑10) |
0 | White Sox Wins | 1% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 74% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 74% | ||
| Athletics Wins | 1% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 74% | ||
| Mariners (8‑13) vs Rangers (11‑9) |
0 | Mariners Wins | 1% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 74% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 74% | ||
| Rangers Wins | 1% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 74% | ||