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Mon Jun 30 3:30 am

MLB - Week 16 of 28

Blue Jays Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for the Blue Jays are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Blue Jays final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Blue Jays fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.

Blue Jays Most Important Series
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)		 Remaining
Games Winner		 Blue Jays Resultant Playoff Probabilities
Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Blue Jays
(45‑38)
vs
Yankees
(48‑35)
4 Games Remaining		 56 Blue Jays Sweeps 4 Games 6% 12% 16% 19% 15% 11% 21%
Current Probabilities 3% 8% 11% 17% 16% 13% 32%
Yankees Sweeps 4 Games 1% 4% 6% 15% 16% 15% 44%
Athletics
(34‑52)
vs
Rays
(47‑37)
3 Games Remaining		 8 Athletics Sweeps 3 Games 3% 9% 13% 17% 15% 12% 31%
Current Probabilities 3% 8% 11% 17% 16% 13% 32%
Rays Sweeps 3 Games 3% 7% 10% 17% 16% 13% 33%
Marlins
(37‑45)
vs
Twins
(40‑44)
3 Games Remaining		 3 Marlins Sweeps 3 Games 3% 8% 11% 18% 17% 13% 31%
Current Probabilities 3% 8% 11% 17% 16% 13% 32%
Twins Sweeps 3 Games 3% 8% 11% 17% 16% 13% 33%
Cubs
(49‑35)
vs
Guardians
(40‑42)
3 Games Remaining		 3 Cubs Sweeps 3 Games 3% 8% 10% 18% 17% 13% 31%
Current Probabilities 3% 8% 11% 17% 16% 13% 32%
Guardians Sweeps 3 Games 3% 8% 11% 16% 16% 13% 33%
Royals
(39‑45)
vs
Mariners
(43‑40)
4 Games Remaining		 2 Royals Sweeps 4 Games 3% 8% 11% 18% 16% 12% 31%
Current Probabilities 3% 8% 11% 17% 16% 13% 32%
Mariners Sweeps 4 Games 3% 8% 11% 16% 16% 13% 33%
Dodgers
(53‑32)
vs
White Sox
(28‑56)
3 Games Remaining		 2 Dodgers Sweeps 3 Games 3% 8% 10% 17% 16% 13% 32%
Current Probabilities 3% 8% 11% 17% 16% 13% 32%
White Sox Sweeps 3 Games 3% 8% 10% 17% 16% 13% 33%
Reds
(43‑40)
vs
Red Sox
(41‑44)
3 Games Remaining		 1 Reds Sweeps 3 Games 3% 8% 10% 17% 16% 14% 31%
Current Probabilities 3% 8% 11% 17% 16% 13% 32%
Red Sox Sweeps 3 Games 3% 8% 10% 17% 16% 13% 32%
Orioles
(36‑47)
vs
Rangers
(41‑43)
3 Games Remaining		 1 Orioles Sweeps 3 Games 3% 8% 11% 17% 16% 13% 32%
Current Probabilities 3% 8% 11% 17% 16% 13% 32%
Rangers Sweeps 3 Games 3% 8% 10% 18% 16% 13% 32%
Braves
(38‑45)
vs
Angels
(41‑42)
3 Games Remaining		 1 Braves Sweeps 3 Games 3% 8% 10% 18% 16% 13% 31%
Current Probabilities 3% 8% 11% 17% 16% 13% 32%
Angels Sweeps 3 Games 3% 8% 11% 17% 16% 13% 33%
Tigers
(53‑32)
vs
Nationals
(35‑49)
3 Games Remaining		 1 Tigers Sweeps 3 Games 3% 8% 11% 17% 16% 13% 32%
Current Probabilities 3% 8% 11% 17% 16% 13% 32%
Nationals Sweeps 3 Games 4% 8% 10% 17% 16% 13% 32%
Rockies
(19‑65)
vs
Astros
(50‑34)
3 Games Remaining		 0 Rockies Sweeps 3 Games 4% 8% 10% 18% 16% 12% 32%
Current Probabilities 3% 8% 11% 17% 16% 13% 32%
Astros Sweeps 3 Games 3% 8% 11% 17% 16% 13% 32%


Blue Jays Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)		 Game
Winner		 Blue Jays Resultant Playoff Probabilities
Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Blue Jays
(45‑38)
vs
Yankees
(48‑35)		 15 Blue Jays Wins 4% 9% 12% 18% 16% 13% 29%
Current Probabilities 3% 8% 11% 17% 16% 13% 32%
Yankees Wins 3% 6% 9% 17% 17% 14% 35%
Braves
(38‑45)
vs
Angels
(41‑42)		 2 Braves Wins 3% 8% 11% 18% 16% 13% 32%
Current Probabilities 3% 8% 11% 17% 16% 13% 32%
Angels Wins 3% 8% 10% 17% 16% 13% 33%
Athletics
(34‑52)
vs
Rays
(47‑37)		 2 Athletics Wins 3% 8% 11% 17% 16% 12% 32%
Current Probabilities 3% 8% 11% 17% 16% 13% 32%
Rays Wins 3% 8% 10% 17% 16% 13% 32%
Nationals
(35‑49)
vs
Tigers
(53‑32)		 2 Nationals Wins 4% 8% 10% 17% 16% 13% 32%
Current Probabilities 3% 8% 11% 17% 16% 13% 32%
Tigers Wins 3% 8% 10% 17% 16% 13% 33%
Reds
(43‑40)
vs
Red Sox
(41‑44)		 2 Reds Wins 3% 8% 11% 17% 16% 13% 32%
Current Probabilities 3% 8% 11% 17% 16% 13% 32%
Red Sox Wins 3% 8% 10% 18% 16% 13% 32%
Royals
(39‑45)
vs
Mariners
(43‑40)		 1 Royals Wins 3% 8% 10% 17% 16% 13% 32%
Current Probabilities 3% 8% 11% 17% 16% 13% 32%
Mariners Wins 3% 8% 10% 17% 16% 13% 33%
Cubs
(49‑35)
vs
Guardians
(40‑42)		 1 Cubs Wins 3% 8% 11% 18% 16% 13% 32%
Current Probabilities 3% 8% 11% 17% 16% 13% 32%
Guardians Wins 3% 7% 11% 17% 16% 13% 33%
Dodgers
(53‑32)
vs
White Sox
(28‑56)		 1 Dodgers Wins 3% 8% 11% 17% 16% 13% 32%
Current Probabilities 3% 8% 11% 17% 16% 13% 32%
White Sox Wins 3% 8% 10% 17% 16% 13% 32%
Orioles
(36‑47)
vs
Rangers
(41‑43)		 1 Orioles Wins 3% 8% 11% 18% 16% 13% 31%
Current Probabilities 3% 8% 11% 17% 16% 13% 32%
Rangers Wins 3% 8% 11% 17% 16% 13% 32%
Marlins
(37‑45)
vs
Twins
(40‑44)		 1 Marlins Wins 3% 8% 11% 17% 17% 13% 31%
Current Probabilities 3% 8% 11% 17% 16% 13% 32%
Twins Wins 3% 8% 11% 17% 16% 13% 32%
Astros
(50‑34)
vs
Rockies
(19‑65)		 0 Astros Wins 3% 8% 11% 18% 16% 13% 32%
Current Probabilities 3% 8% 11% 17% 16% 13% 32%
Rockies Wins 3% 9% 10% 17% 16% 13% 32%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs