The Most Important Games for the Blue Jays are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Blue Jays final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Blue Jays fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Blue Jays Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Blue Jays (65‑69) vs Royals (59‑75) 1 Game Remaining |
7 | Blue Jays Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 19% | 80% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 17% | 82% | ||
| Royals Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 13% | 86% | ||
| Phillies (74‑60) vs Angels (52‑82) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Phillies Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 17% | 82% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 17% | 82% | ||
| Angels Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 16% | 83% | ||
| Cardinals (66‑68) vs Orioles (65‑68) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Cardinals Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 17% | 82% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 17% | 82% | ||
| Orioles Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 17% | 82% | ||
| Yankees (75‑57) vs Astros (66‑67) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Yankees Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 17% | 82% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 17% | 82% | ||
| Astros Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 17% | 82% | ||
| Padres (72‑62) vs Rays (79‑54) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Padres Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 17% | 82% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 17% | 82% | ||
| Rays Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 17% | 82% | ||
| White Sox (70‑63) vs Twins (64‑70) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | White Sox Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 17% | 82% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 17% | 82% | ||
| Twins Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 17% | 82% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Blue Jays Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Blue Jays (65‑69) vs Royals (59‑75) |
7 | Blue Jays Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 19% | 80% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 17% | 82% | ||
| Royals Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 13% | 86% | ||
| Twins (64‑70) vs White Sox (70‑63) |
1 | Twins Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 17% | 82% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 17% | 82% | ||
| White Sox Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 16% | 82% | ||
| Cardinals (66‑68) vs Orioles (65‑68) |
0 | Cardinals Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 17% | 82% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 17% | 82% | ||
| Orioles Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 17% | 82% | ||
| Rays (79‑54) vs Padres (72‑62) |
0 | Rays Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 17% | 82% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 17% | 82% | ||
| Padres Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 16% | 82% | ||
| Yankees (75‑57) vs Astros (66‑67) |
0 | Yankees Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 17% | 82% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 17% | 82% | ||
| Astros Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 17% | 82% | ||
| Angels (52‑82) vs Phillies (74‑60) |
0 | Angels Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 17% | 82% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 17% | 82% | ||
| Phillies Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 17% | 82% | ||