The Most Important Games for the Blue Jays are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Blue Jays final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Blue Jays fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Blue Jays Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Blue Jays (89‑62) vs Rays (73‑78) 2 Games Remaining |
5 | Blue Jays Sweeps 2 Games | 99% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 97% | 2% | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Rays Sweeps 2 Games | 93% | 4% | <1% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Twins (66‑85) vs Yankees (84‑67) 1 Game Remaining |
2 | Twins Sweeps 1 Game | 98% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 97% | 2% | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Yankees Sweeps 1 Game | 96% | 2% | <1% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Mariners (83‑68) vs Royals (75‑76) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Mariners Sweeps 2 Games | 97% | 2% | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 97% | 2% | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Royals Sweeps 2 Games | 97% | 2% | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Guardians (79‑71) vs Tigers (85‑66) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Guardians Sweeps 2 Games | 98% | <1% | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 97% | 2% | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Tigers Sweeps 2 Games | 96% | 3% | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Red Sox (82‑69) vs Athletics (71‑80) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Red Sox Sweeps 2 Games | 97% | 1% | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 97% | 2% | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Athletics Sweeps 2 Games | 97% | 2% | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Rangers (79‑73) vs Astros (83‑69) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Rangers Sweeps 1 Game | 97% | 1% | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 97% | 2% | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Astros Sweeps 1 Game | 97% | 2% | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| White Sox (57‑95) vs Orioles (71‑80) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | White Sox Sweeps 1 Game | 97% | 2% | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 97% | 2% | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Orioles Sweeps 1 Game | 97% | 2% | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Brewers (92‑59) vs Angels (69‑82) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Brewers Sweeps 2 Games | 97% | 2% | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 97% | 2% | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Angels Sweeps 2 Games | 97% | 2% | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Blue Jays Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Blue Jays (89‑62) vs Rays (73‑78) |
2 | Blue Jays Wins | 98% | 1% | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 97% | 2% | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Rays Wins | 95% | 2% | <1% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Twins (66‑85) vs Yankees (84‑67) |
2 | Twins Wins | 98% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 97% | 2% | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Yankees Wins | 96% | 2% | <1% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Royals (75‑76) vs Mariners (83‑68) |
0 | Royals Wins | 97% | 1% | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 97% | 2% | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Mariners Wins | 97% | 2% | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Athletics (71‑80) vs Red Sox (82‑69) |
0 | Athletics Wins | 97% | 2% | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 97% | 2% | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Red Sox Wins | 97% | 2% | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Guardians (79‑71) vs Tigers (85‑66) |
0 | Guardians Wins | 98% | 1% | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 97% | 2% | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Tigers Wins | 97% | 2% | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Rangers (79‑73) vs Astros (83‑69) |
0 | Rangers Wins | 97% | 1% | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 97% | 2% | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Astros Wins | 97% | 2% | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| White Sox (57‑95) vs Orioles (71‑80) |
0 | White Sox Wins | 97% | 2% | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 97% | 2% | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Orioles Wins | 97% | 2% | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Brewers (92‑59) vs Angels (69‑82) |
0 | Brewers Wins | 97% | 2% | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 97% | 2% | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Angels Wins | 97% | 2% | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||