The Most Important Games for the Blue Jays are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Blue Jays final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Blue Jays fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Blue Jays Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Blue Jays (74‑54) vs Marlins (60‑67) 3 Games Remaining |
32 | Blue Jays Sweeps 3 Games | 45% | 34% | 6% | 12% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 33% | 35% | 9% | 17% | 4% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Marlins Sweeps 3 Games | 20% | 34% | 11% | 24% | 8% | 3% | 1% | ||
| Red Sox (68‑59) vs Yankees (69‑57) 4 Games Remaining |
17 | Red Sox Sweeps 4 Games | 34% | 38% | 9% | 13% | 4% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 33% | 35% | 9% | 17% | 4% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Yankees Sweeps 4 Games | 30% | 31% | 7% | 26% | 4% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Orioles (59‑67) vs Astros (69‑58) 4 Games Remaining |
2 | Orioles Sweeps 4 Games | 34% | 38% | 4% | 18% | 4% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 33% | 35% | 9% | 17% | 4% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Astros Sweeps 4 Games | 31% | 32% | 14% | 17% | 5% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Rangers (63‑65) vs Royals (65‑62) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Rangers Sweeps 1 Game | 33% | 35% | 9% | 18% | 4% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 33% | 35% | 9% | 17% | 4% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Royals Sweeps 1 Game | 32% | 35% | 9% | 18% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Twins (58‑68) vs Athletics (58‑70) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Twins Sweeps 1 Game | 33% | 35% | 9% | 18% | 4% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 33% | 35% | 9% | 17% | 4% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Athletics Sweeps 1 Game | 32% | 35% | 9% | 18% | 4% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Rays (61‑66) vs Cardinals (63‑65) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Rays Sweeps 3 Games | 33% | 35% | 9% | 17% | 4% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 33% | 35% | 9% | 17% | 4% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Cardinals Sweeps 3 Games | 33% | 35% | 9% | 17% | 4% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Blue Jays Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Blue Jays (74‑54) vs Marlins (60‑67) |
10 | Blue Jays Wins | 36% | 35% | 8% | 16% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 33% | 35% | 9% | 17% | 4% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Marlins Wins | 28% | 35% | 10% | 20% | 5% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Red Sox (68‑59) vs Yankees (69‑57) |
5 | Red Sox Wins | 33% | 36% | 9% | 15% | 4% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 33% | 35% | 9% | 17% | 4% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Yankees Wins | 32% | 34% | 8% | 19% | 4% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Rangers (63‑65) vs Royals (65‑62) |
1 | Rangers Wins | 33% | 35% | 9% | 18% | 4% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 33% | 35% | 9% | 17% | 4% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Royals Wins | 32% | 35% | 9% | 18% | 4% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Orioles (59‑67) vs Astros (69‑58) |
1 | Orioles Wins | 33% | 36% | 7% | 18% | 4% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 33% | 35% | 9% | 17% | 4% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Astros Wins | 32% | 34% | 10% | 17% | 4% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Twins (58‑68) vs Athletics (58‑70) |
0 | Twins Wins | 33% | 35% | 9% | 18% | 4% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 33% | 35% | 9% | 17% | 4% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Athletics Wins | 32% | 35% | 9% | 18% | 4% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Rays (61‑66) vs Cardinals (63‑65) |
0 | Rays Wins | 33% | 35% | 9% | 17% | 4% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 33% | 35% | 9% | 17% | 4% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Cardinals Wins | 33% | 35% | 8% | 17% | 4% | 1% | 1% | ||