PlayoffStatus.com

Mon Jun 24 11:45 pm

MLB - Week 15 of 28

Blue Jays What If?

The Blue Jays What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Blue Jays play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Blue Jays What If?

Next Game - Red Sox (43‑36)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
2*
First Round Bye
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7
Win Next Game 36 43 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 95%
Current Standings 35 43 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 96%
Lose Next Game 35 44 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 97%


Current Series - Red Sox (43‑36) - 2 Remaining Games

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
2*
First Round Bye
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7
Blue Jays Sweeps 37 43 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 94%
Current Standings 35 43 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 96%
Red Sox Sweeps 35 45 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 97%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
2*
First Round Bye
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7
84 of 84 100% 119 43 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
80 of 84 95% 115 47 98% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
77 of 84 92% 112 50 94% 5% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
76 of 84 90% 111 51 92% 7% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
75 of 84 89% 110 52 88% 10% <1% 2% <1% <1% <1%
74 of 84 88% 109 53 84% 13% <1% 4% <1% <1% <1%
73 of 84 87% 108 54 78% 16% <1% 6% <1% <1% <1%
72 of 84 86% 107 55 71% 19% <1% 10% <1% <1% <1%
71 of 84 85% 106 56 63% 23% <1% 14% <1% <1% <1%
70 of 84 83% 105 57 55% 25% <1% 19% <1% <1% <1%
69 of 84 82% 104 58 47% 28% <1% 24% 1% <1% <1%
68 of 84 81% 103 59 38% 28% <1% 31% 2% <1% <1%
67 of 84 80% 102 60 29% 29% <1% 38% 4% <1% <1%
66 of 84 79% 101 61 21% 28% <1% 44% 6% <1% <1%
65 of 84 77% 100 62 15% 24% 1% 50% 10% <1% <1%
64 of 84 76% 99 63 10% 22% 1% 52% 15% <1% <1%
63 of 84 75% 98 64 6% 18% 1% 52% 21% 1% <1%
62 of 84 74% 97 65 3% 14% 2% 52% 28% 2% <1%
61 of 84 73% 96 66 2% 10% 2% 47% 36% 4% <1%
60 of 84 71% 95 67 1% 7% 1% 41% 43% 7% <1%
59 of 84 70% 94 68 <1% 4% 1% 32% 49% 12% 1%
58 of 84 69% 93 69 <1% 2% 1% 25% 51% 19% 2%
57 of 84 68% 92 70 <1% 1% 1% 16% 51% 26% 5%
56 of 84 67% 91 71 <1% <1% <1% 11% 45% 35% 9%
55 of 84 65% 90 72 <1% <1% <1% 6% 38% 41% 15%
54 of 84 64% 89 73 <1% <1% <1% 4% 28% 43% 24%
53 of 84 63% 88 74 <1% <1% <1% 2% 20% 43% 35%
52 of 84 62% 87 75 <1% <1% <1% 1% 13% 39% 48%
51 of 84 61% 86 76 <1% <1% <1% <1% 7% 32% 61%
50 of 84 60% 85 77 <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 23% 74%
49 of 84 58% 84 78 <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 15% 83%
48 of 84 57% 83 79 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 8% 91%
47 of 84 56% 82 80 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 95%
40 of 84 48% 75 87 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
30 of 84 36% 65 97 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
20 of 84 24% 55 107 X X X X X <1% >99%
10 of 84 12% 45 117 X X X X X X 100%
0 of 84 0% 35 127 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs