PlayoffStatus.com

Thu Aug 21 3:30 am

MLB - Week 23 of 28

Blue Jays What If?

The Blue Jays What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Blue Jays play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Blue Jays What If?

Next Game - Marlins (60‑67)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
2*
First Round Bye
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7
Win Next Game 75 54 36% 35% 8% 16% 3% 1% <1%
Current Standings 74 54 33% 35% 9% 17% 4% 1% 1%
Lose Next Game 74 55 28% 35% 10% 20% 5% 2% 1%


Current Series - Marlins (60‑67) - 3 Remaining Games

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
2*
First Round Bye
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7
Blue Jays Sweeps 77 54 45% 34% 6% 12% 2% <1% <1%
Current Standings 74 54 33% 35% 9% 17% 4% 1% 1%
Marlins Sweeps 74 57 20% 34% 11% 24% 8% 3% 1%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
2*
First Round Bye
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7
34 of 34 100% 108 54 >99% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
30 of 34 88% 104 58 >99% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
25 of 34 74% 99 63 92% 8% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
24 of 34 71% 98 64 86% 14% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
23 of 34 68% 97 65 78% 22% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
22 of 34 65% 96 66 68% 31% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
21 of 34 62% 95 67 54% 43% 1% 2% <1% <1% <1%
20 of 34 59% 94 68 39% 53% 3% 5% <1% <1% <1%
19 of 34 56% 93 69 25% 57% 8% 10% <1% <1% <1%
18 of 34 53% 92 70 13% 55% 13% 19% <1% <1% <1%
17 of 34 50% 91 71 6% 42% 20% 30% 1% <1% <1%
16 of 34 47% 90 72 2% 28% 23% 42% 5% <1% <1%
15 of 34 44% 89 73 <1% 14% 24% 48% 13% 1% <1%
14 of 34 41% 88 74 <1% 5% 18% 45% 27% 5% <1%
13 of 34 38% 87 75 <1% 1% 10% 33% 39% 15% 2%
12 of 34 35% 86 76 <1% <1% 4% 18% 41% 29% 8%
11 of 34 32% 85 77 <1% <1% 2% 6% 29% 40% 23%
10 of 34 29% 84 78 <1% <1% <1% 2% 14% 36% 48%
9 of 34 26% 83 79 <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 21% 75%
8 of 34 24% 82 80 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 8% 92%
5 of 34 15% 79 83 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
0 of 34 0% 74 88 X X X <1% <1% <1% >99%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs