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Fri Jun 13 3:30 am

MLB - Week 13 of 28

Blue Jays What If?

The Blue Jays What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Blue Jays play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Blue Jays What If?

Next Game - Phillies (39‑29)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Win Next Game 39 30 6% 10% 4% 22% 16% 12% 29%
Current Standings 38 30 5% 10% 4% 22% 15% 12% 32%
Lose Next Game 38 31 5% 9% 5% 21% 15% 12% 34%


Current Series - Phillies (39‑29) - 3 Remaining Games

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Blue Jays Sweeps 41 30 7% 11% 5% 24% 16% 11% 25%
Current Standings 38 30 5% 10% 4% 22% 15% 12% 32%
Phillies Sweeps 38 33 4% 8% 4% 20% 16% 12% 37%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
94 of 94 100% 132 30 >99% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
90 of 94 96% 128 34 >99% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
80 of 94 85% 118 44 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
72 of 94 77% 110 52 94% 5% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
71 of 94 76% 109 53 91% 7% <1% 2% <1% <1% <1%
70 of 94 74% 108 54 88% 9% <1% 3% <1% <1% <1%
69 of 94 73% 107 55 83% 13% <1% 4% <1% <1% <1%
68 of 94 72% 106 56 77% 17% <1% 6% <1% <1% <1%
67 of 94 71% 105 57 72% 21% <1% 8% <1% <1% <1%
66 of 94 70% 104 58 64% 24% 1% 11% <1% <1% <1%
65 of 94 69% 103 59 56% 27% 1% 16% <1% <1% <1%
64 of 94 68% 102 60 48% 31% 1% 20% <1% <1% <1%
63 of 94 67% 101 61 40% 33% 2% 25% <1% <1% <1%
62 of 94 66% 100 62 32% 35% 3% 29% <1% <1% <1%
61 of 94 65% 99 63 25% 35% 5% 35% 1% <1% <1%
60 of 94 64% 98 64 18% 34% 5% 41% 2% <1% <1%
59 of 94 63% 97 65 13% 32% 8% 45% 3% <1% <1%
58 of 94 62% 96 66 8% 28% 9% 49% 5% <1% <1%
57 of 94 61% 95 67 5% 24% 11% 51% 9% <1% <1%
56 of 94 60% 94 68 3% 19% 11% 53% 14% 1% <1%
55 of 94 59% 93 69 1% 14% 11% 51% 21% 2% <1%
54 of 94 57% 92 70 1% 9% 11% 46% 28% 5% <1%
53 of 94 56% 91 71 <1% 6% 10% 39% 34% 9% 1%
52 of 94 55% 90 72 <1% 3% 8% 32% 39% 16% 3%
51 of 94 54% 89 73 <1% 2% 7% 22% 41% 23% 6%
50 of 94 53% 88 74 <1% 1% 5% 15% 38% 29% 12%
49 of 94 52% 87 75 <1% <1% 3% 9% 32% 34% 20%
48 of 94 51% 86 76 <1% <1% 2% 5% 25% 36% 33%
47 of 94 50% 85 77 <1% <1% 1% 2% 16% 32% 48%
46 of 94 49% 84 78 <1% <1% 1% 1% 9% 27% 62%
45 of 94 48% 83 79 <1% <1% <1% <1% 5% 19% 75%
44 of 94 47% 82 80 <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 12% 85%
43 of 94 46% 81 81 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 6% 93%
40 of 94 43% 78 84 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
30 of 94 32% 68 94 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
20 of 94 21% 58 104 X X <1% X <1% <1% >99%
10 of 94 11% 48 114 X X X X X X 100%
0 of 94 0% 38 124 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs