PlayoffStatus.com

Thu Jul 3 3:30 am

MLB - Week 16 of 28

Blue Jays What If?

The Blue Jays What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Blue Jays play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Blue Jays What If?

Next Game - Yankees (48‑38)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
2*
First Round Bye
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7
Win Next Game 49 38 7% 15% 21% 18% 14% 9% 16%
Current Standings 48 38 6% 13% 20% 18% 14% 10% 18%
Lose Next Game 48 39 5% 12% 17% 19% 15% 11% 20%


Current Series - Yankees (48‑38) - 1 Remaining Game

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
2*
First Round Bye
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7
Blue Jays Sweeps 49 38 7% 15% 21% 18% 14% 9% 16%
Current Standings 48 38 6% 13% 20% 18% 14% 10% 18%
Yankees Sweeps 48 39 5% 12% 17% 19% 15% 11% 20%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
2*
First Round Bye
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7
76 of 76 100% 124 38 >99% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
70 of 76 92% 118 44 >99% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
60 of 76 79% 108 54 97% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
59 of 76 78% 107 55 95% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
58 of 76 76% 106 56 92% 8% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
57 of 76 75% 105 57 88% 12% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
56 of 76 74% 104 58 82% 17% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
55 of 76 72% 103 59 75% 23% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1%
54 of 76 71% 102 60 68% 29% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1%
53 of 76 70% 101 61 60% 35% 5% 1% <1% <1% <1%
52 of 76 68% 100 62 50% 41% 8% 1% <1% <1% <1%
51 of 76 67% 99 63 42% 45% 11% 3% <1% <1% <1%
50 of 76 66% 98 64 32% 47% 16% 5% <1% <1% <1%
49 of 76 64% 97 65 23% 48% 21% 8% <1% <1% <1%
48 of 76 63% 96 66 16% 44% 28% 11% <1% <1% <1%
47 of 76 62% 95 67 10% 40% 33% 16% 1% <1% <1%
46 of 76 61% 94 68 6% 33% 37% 22% 2% <1% <1%
45 of 76 59% 93 69 3% 24% 40% 28% 4% <1% <1%
44 of 76 58% 92 70 1% 17% 41% 33% 7% <1% <1%
43 of 76 57% 91 71 1% 10% 37% 37% 14% 1% <1%
42 of 76 55% 90 72 <1% 6% 34% 37% 20% 3% <1%
41 of 76 54% 89 73 <1% 3% 27% 34% 28% 7% 1%
40 of 76 53% 88 74 <1% 1% 21% 28% 35% 13% 2%
39 of 76 51% 87 75 <1% <1% 15% 20% 37% 22% 6%
38 of 76 50% 86 76 <1% <1% 10% 12% 35% 31% 13%
37 of 76 49% 85 77 <1% <1% 6% 7% 26% 35% 26%
36 of 76 47% 84 78 <1% <1% 3% 3% 18% 34% 42%
35 of 76 46% 83 79 <1% <1% 2% 1% 10% 28% 60%
34 of 76 45% 82 80 <1% <1% 1% <1% 4% 19% 76%
33 of 76 43% 81 81 <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 10% 88%
32 of 76 42% 80 82 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 5% 95%
30 of 76 39% 78 84 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
20 of 76 26% 68 94 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
10 of 76 13% 58 104 X X X X X <1% >99%
0 of 76 0% 48 114 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs