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Wed May 27 2:30 pm

MLB - Week 10 of 27

Blue Jays What If?

The Blue Jays What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Blue Jays play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Blue Jays What If?

Next Game - Marlins (26‑30)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Win Next Game 27 29 1% 1% <1% 10% 14% 11% 63%
Current Standings 26 29 1% 1% <1% 9% 13% 11% 65%
Lose Next Game 26 30 1% 1% <1% 8% 12% 11% 67%


Current Series - Marlins (26‑30) - 1 Remaining Game

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Blue Jays Sweeps 27 29 1% 1% <1% 10% 14% 11% 63%
Current Standings 26 29 1% 1% <1% 9% 13% 11% 65%
Marlins Sweeps 26 30 1% 1% <1% 8% 12% 11% 67%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
107 of 107 100% 133 29 >99% <1% X <1% ^ ^ ^
100 of 107 93% 126 36 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
90 of 107 84% 116 46 99% <1% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
86 of 107 80% 112 50 95% <1% <1% 5% <1% <1% <1%
85 of 107 79% 111 51 92% <1% <1% 7% <1% <1% <1%
84 of 107 79% 110 52 90% <1% <1% 10% <1% <1% <1%
83 of 107 78% 109 53 88% <1% <1% 12% <1% <1% <1%
82 of 107 77% 108 54 84% <1% <1% 15% <1% <1% <1%
81 of 107 76% 107 55 80% 1% <1% 19% <1% <1% <1%
80 of 107 75% 106 56 75% 1% <1% 24% <1% <1% <1%
79 of 107 74% 105 57 72% 2% <1% 26% <1% <1% <1%
78 of 107 73% 104 58 66% 2% <1% 31% 1% <1% <1%
77 of 107 72% 103 59 59% 3% <1% 36% 2% <1% <1%
76 of 107 71% 102 60 52% 4% <1% 42% 2% <1% <1%
75 of 107 70% 101 61 46% 5% <1% 46% 3% <1% <1%
74 of 107 69% 100 62 39% 6% <1% 50% 5% <1% <1%
73 of 107 68% 99 63 33% 7% <1% 53% 7% <1% <1%
72 of 107 67% 98 64 27% 8% <1% 56% 9% <1% <1%
71 of 107 66% 97 65 20% 9% <1% 59% 12% <1% <1%
70 of 107 65% 96 66 16% 9% <1% 59% 16% <1% <1%
69 of 107 64% 95 67 11% 8% 1% 60% 21% <1% <1%
68 of 107 64% 94 68 8% 8% 1% 58% 25% 1% <1%
67 of 107 63% 93 69 5% 7% 1% 56% 30% 1% <1%
66 of 107 62% 92 70 3% 6% 1% 50% 37% 2% <1%
65 of 107 61% 91 71 2% 4% 1% 47% 42% 5% <1%
64 of 107 60% 90 72 1% 3% 2% 38% 47% 8% <1%
63 of 107 59% 89 73 <1% 2% 1% 32% 50% 13% 1%
62 of 107 58% 88 74 <1% 1% 1% 25% 52% 18% 3%
61 of 107 57% 87 75 <1% 1% 1% 18% 50% 26% 5%
60 of 107 56% 86 76 <1% <1% <1% 13% 45% 32% 9%
59 of 107 55% 85 77 <1% <1% <1% 8% 38% 37% 16%
58 of 107 54% 84 78 <1% <1% <1% 5% 30% 40% 26%
57 of 107 53% 83 79 <1% <1% <1% 3% 21% 38% 38%
56 of 107 52% 82 80 <1% <1% <1% 1% 13% 34% 52%
55 of 107 51% 81 81 <1% <1% <1% <1% 8% 27% 65%
54 of 107 50% 80 82 <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 19% 77%
53 of 107 50% 79 83 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 10% 88%
52 of 107 49% 78 84 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 5% 94%
50 of 107 47% 76 86 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 99%
40 of 107 37% 66 96 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
30 of 107 28% 56 106 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
20 of 107 19% 46 116 X X X X X X 100%
10 of 107 9% 36 126 X X X X X X 100%
0 of 107 0% 26 136 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs