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Sun Jun 15 3:30 am

MLB - Week 13 of 28

Blue Jays What If?

The Blue Jays What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Blue Jays play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Blue Jays What If?

Next Game - Phillies (41‑29)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Win Next Game 39 32 5% 9% 6% 19% 15% 12% 35%
Current Standings 38 32 4% 8% 6% 18% 15% 12% 37%
Lose Next Game 38 33 4% 8% 5% 17% 14% 12% 40%


Current Series - Phillies (41‑29) - 1 Remaining Game

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Blue Jays Sweeps 39 32 5% 9% 6% 19% 15% 12% 35%
Current Standings 38 32 4% 8% 6% 18% 15% 12% 37%
Phillies Sweeps 38 33 4% 8% 5% 17% 14% 12% 40%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
92 of 92 100% 130 32 >99% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
90 of 92 98% 128 34 >99% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
80 of 92 87% 118 44 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
71 of 92 77% 109 53 94% 6% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
70 of 92 76% 108 54 91% 8% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
69 of 92 75% 107 55 87% 11% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
68 of 92 74% 106 56 83% 15% <1% 2% <1% <1% <1%
67 of 92 73% 105 57 77% 19% <1% 4% <1% <1% <1%
66 of 92 72% 104 58 72% 22% 1% 5% <1% <1% <1%
65 of 92 71% 103 59 64% 27% 1% 8% <1% <1% <1%
64 of 92 70% 102 60 55% 32% 2% 11% <1% <1% <1%
63 of 92 68% 101 61 47% 36% 3% 15% <1% <1% <1%
62 of 92 67% 100 62 39% 37% 5% 19% <1% <1% <1%
61 of 92 66% 99 63 31% 38% 6% 25% <1% <1% <1%
60 of 92 65% 98 64 24% 37% 8% 30% 1% <1% <1%
59 of 92 64% 97 65 17% 36% 10% 35% 2% <1% <1%
58 of 92 63% 96 66 12% 32% 12% 40% 4% <1% <1%
57 of 92 62% 95 67 7% 28% 14% 45% 6% <1% <1%
56 of 92 61% 94 68 4% 22% 15% 48% 10% 1% <1%
55 of 92 60% 93 69 2% 16% 16% 48% 17% 2% <1%
54 of 92 59% 92 70 1% 11% 14% 46% 23% 3% <1%
53 of 92 58% 91 71 <1% 7% 13% 42% 30% 7% 1%
52 of 92 57% 90 72 <1% 4% 11% 35% 36% 12% 2%
51 of 92 55% 89 73 <1% 2% 9% 27% 39% 19% 4%
50 of 92 54% 88 74 <1% 1% 7% 18% 39% 27% 10%
49 of 92 53% 87 75 <1% <1% 4% 11% 34% 34% 17%
48 of 92 52% 86 76 <1% <1% 3% 7% 25% 35% 30%
47 of 92 51% 85 77 <1% <1% 2% 3% 17% 33% 45%
46 of 92 50% 84 78 <1% <1% 1% 1% 11% 27% 60%
45 of 92 49% 83 79 <1% <1% <1% <1% 5% 19% 75%
44 of 92 48% 82 80 <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 12% 86%
43 of 92 47% 81 81 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 7% 92%
40 of 92 43% 78 84 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
30 of 92 33% 68 94 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
20 of 92 22% 58 104 X X <1% X <1% <1% >99%
10 of 92 11% 48 114 X X X X X X 100%
0 of 92 0% 38 124 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs